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Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW)

Real Estate | Real Estate Services | Beverly Hills, United States |
USD

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 9:29 a.m. UTC

The investment case for this real estate services firm has collapsed entirely due to a definitive corporate restructuring event. The company is effectively being taken private by Fairfax Financial at approximately $10.90 per share, rendering the public equity a non-trading vehicle until the deal closes. This structural change explains the lack of analyst coverage, the absence of forward earnings estimates, and the disconnect between the current market price and the buyout value. While the headline yield appears attractive at roughly 4.4%, it is misleading; the payout ratio is listed at 4.0%, which likely reflects a legacy metric or a specific accounting treatment that ignores the imminent cessation of public distributions post-buyout. Furthermore, the balance sheet is severely compromised with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 300x and negative free cash flow, indicating that the business was already struggling to generate capital before the transaction. The statistical forecasting models correctly register 'low' confidence because there is no active trading volume or price discovery mechanism left to analyze. For a public investor, the rational action is to exit immediately to capture the buyout premium rather than attempt to trade a stock that is about to cease to exist in its current form.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.005842
AutoARIMA0.005905
AutoETS0.006085
AutoTheta0.006098

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 41.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.087
Excess Kurtosis -1.61
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-11
Debt to Equity Ratio 312.164
Revenue per Share 3.92
Market Cap 1,521,191,808
Trailing P/E 91.00
Forward P/E -10.21
Beta 0.89
Profit Margins 10.93%
Website https://www.kennedywilson.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.60117304
Address1 151 South El Camino Drive
All Time High 28.33
All Time Low 5.98
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 3,210,000
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,327,364
Average Volume 1,377,638
Average Volume10Days 3,327,364
Beta 0.89
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 2,290,000
Board Risk 7
Book Value 5.405
City Beverly Hills
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Currency USD
Current Price 10.92
Current Ratio 0.417
Date Short Interest 1,780,012,800
Day High 10.93
Day Low 10.91
Debt To Equity 312.164
Dividend Rate 0.48
Dividend Yield 0.044
Ebitda 221,700,000
Ebitda Margins 0.40942
Enterprise To Ebitda 31.625
Enterprise To Revenue 12.948
Enterprise Value 7,011,191,808
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Timezone Name UTC
Fax 310 887 3410
Fifty Day Average 10.954
Fifty Two Week High 11.085
Fifty Two Week Low 6.635
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Epoch Utc 1,781,616,600
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.05
Float Shares 121,206,387
Forward Eps -1.07
Forward P E -10.205607
Free Cashflow -22,425,000
Full Time Employees 324
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,780,531,200
Gross Margins 0.74737
Gross Profits 404,700,000
Held Percent Insiders 0.15404001
Held Percent Institutions 0.84102
Implied Shares Outstanding 139,303,275
Industry Real Estate Services
Industry Disp Real Estate Services
Industry Key real-estate-services
Last Dividend Date 1,781,136,000
Last Dividend Value 0.12
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment company in the United States and Europe. It focuses on investing in the rental housing sector and industrial properties; and originating, managing, and servicing real estate loans primarily senior construction loans secured by multifamily and student housing properties that are being developed by institutional sponsors. The company invests in the office assets and other investments, including hotel and retail properties. In addition, it is involved in the development, redevelopment, and entitlement projects; and provides investment management platform. Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California.
Long Name Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.
Market Cap 1,521,191,808
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_30513
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 15,700,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,521,191,763
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 10.92
Operating Cashflow -24,600,000
Operating Margins 0.15484999
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 4.0
Peg Ratio 1.1
Phone 310 887 6400
Previous Close 10.93
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.0203514
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.8092184
Profit Margins 0.10933
Quick Ratio 0.231
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Regular Market Day High 10.93
Regular Market Day Low 10.91
Regular Market Open 10.92
Regular Market Previous Close 10.93
Regular Market Volume 4,086,150
Return On Assets 0.00825
Return On Equity 0.049510002
Revenue Growth -0.008
Revenue Per Share 3.92
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 139,303,275
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0207
Shares Short 2,881,218
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,777,507,200
Shares Short Prior Month 3,663,439
Short Name Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.041199997
Short Ratio 2.52
State CA
Symbol KW
Target High Price 9.0
Target Low Price 9.0
Target Mean Price 9.0
Target Median Price 9.0
Time Zone Full Name America/New_York
Time Zone Short Name EDT
Total Cash 189,700,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.362
Total Debt 4,852,899,840
Total Revenue 541,500,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.48
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.043915827
Trailing Eps 0.12
Trailing P E 91.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Two Hundred Day Average 9.92455
Underlying Symbol KW
Uuid cd37b867-bc72-3e70-92be-76ffdd85630c
Volume 4,086,150
Website https://www.kennedywilson.com
Zip 90,212