Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (KW)Real Estate | Real Estate Services | Beverly Hills, United States |
USD
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 9:29 a.m. UTC
The investment case for this real estate services firm has collapsed entirely due to a definitive corporate restructuring event. The company is effectively being taken private by Fairfax Financial at approximately $10.90 per share, rendering the public equity a non-trading vehicle until the deal closes. This structural change explains the lack of analyst coverage, the absence of forward earnings estimates, and the disconnect between the current market price and the buyout value. While the headline yield appears attractive at roughly 4.4%, it is misleading; the payout ratio is listed at 4.0%, which likely reflects a legacy metric or a specific accounting treatment that ignores the imminent cessation of public distributions post-buyout. Furthermore, the balance sheet is severely compromised with a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 300x and negative free cash flow, indicating that the business was already struggling to generate capital before the transaction. The statistical forecasting models correctly register 'low' confidence because there is no active trading volume or price discovery mechanism left to analyze. For a public investor, the rational action is to exit immediately to capture the buyout premium rather than attempt to trade a stock that is about to cease to exist in its current form. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.005842 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.005905 |
| AutoETS | 0.006085 |
| AutoTheta | 0.006098 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 40% |
| H-stat | 41.90 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.087 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.61 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-06-11 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-06-11 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 312.164 |
| Revenue per Share | 3.92 |
| Market Cap | 1,521,191,808 |
| Trailing P/E | 91.00 |
| Forward P/E | -10.21 |
| Beta | 0.89 |
| Profit Margins | 10.93% |
| Website | https://www.kennedywilson.com |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.60117304 |
| Address1 | 151 South El Camino Drive |
| All Time High | 28.33 |
| All Time Low | 5.98 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 3,210,000 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 3,327,364 |
| Average Volume | 1,377,638 |
| Average Volume10Days | 3,327,364 |
| Beta | 0.89 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 2,290,000 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 5.405 |
| City | Beverly Hills |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.92 |
| Current Ratio | 0.417 |
| Date Short Interest | 1,780,012,800 |
| Day High | 10.93 |
| Day Low | 10.91 |
| Debt To Equity | 312.164 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.044 |
| Ebitda | 221,700,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.40942 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 31.625 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 12.948 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,011,191,808 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,781,136,000 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Timezone Name | UTC |
| Fax | 310 887 3410 |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.954 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 11.085 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 6.635 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Epoch Utc | 1,781,616,600 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 6.05 |
| Float Shares | 121,206,387 |
| Forward Eps | -1.07 |
| Forward P E | -10.205607 |
| Free Cashflow | -22,425,000 |
| Full Time Employees | 324 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,780,531,200 |
| Gross Margins | 0.74737 |
| Gross Profits | 404,700,000 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.15404001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.84102 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 139,303,275 |
| Industry | Real Estate Services |
| Industry Disp | Real Estate Services |
| Industry Key | real-estate-services |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,781,136,000 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.12 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment company in the United States and Europe. It focuses on investing in the rental housing sector and industrial properties; and originating, managing, and servicing real estate loans primarily senior construction loans secured by multifamily and student housing properties that are being developed by institutional sponsors. The company invests in the office assets and other investments, including hotel and retail properties. In addition, it is involved in the development, redevelopment, and entitlement projects; and provides investment management platform. Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. |
| Long Name | Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. |
| Market Cap | 1,521,191,808 |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_30513 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 15,700,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 1,521,191,763 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 1 |
| Open | 10.92 |
| Operating Cashflow | -24,600,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.15484999 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 4.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.1 |
| Phone | 310 887 6400 |
| Previous Close | 10.93 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.0203514 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 2.8092184 |
| Profit Margins | 0.10933 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.231 |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Regular Market Day High | 10.93 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.91 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.92 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.93 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,086,150 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00825 |
| Return On Equity | 0.049510002 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.008 |
| Revenue Per Share | 3.92 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Sector Disp | Real Estate |
| Sector Key | real-estate |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 139,303,275 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0207 |
| Shares Short | 2,881,218 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,777,507,200 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,663,439 |
| Short Name | Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.041199997 |
| Short Ratio | 2.52 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | KW |
| Target High Price | 9.0 |
| Target Low Price | 9.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 9.0 |
| Target Median Price | 9.0 |
| Time Zone Full Name | America/New_York |
| Time Zone Short Name | EDT |
| Total Cash | 189,700,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.362 |
| Total Debt | 4,852,899,840 |
| Total Revenue | 541,500,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.48 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.043915827 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.12 |
| Trailing P E | 91.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 9.92455 |
| Underlying Symbol | KW |
| Uuid | cd37b867-bc72-3e70-92be-76ffdd85630c |
| Volume | 4,086,150 |
| Website | https://www.kennedywilson.com |
| Zip | 90,212 |