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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
40.86 USD +0.12 (0.295%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 11:07 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT

Kratos presents a fascinating dichotomy: a fundamentally exceptional business currently trading at a discount due to cyclical headwinds, yet trapped in a short-term technical correction. The long-term picture is compelling; the company has delivered a staggering 1,300%+ return over the last nine years, driven by explosive growth in hypersonics and defense contracts. Despite recent price weakness, the underlying trajectory remains robust, with revenue growing 30% and earnings up 52% year-over-year. The balance sheet is fortress-like, holding over $1.4 billion in cash against minimal debt, while analysts see a massive gap between the current price and their $100+ targets. However, the short-term outlook is murky. The stock is down significantly from its highs, and the options market is crowded with hedging activity at key support levels. While the business quality warrants a strong buy for a patient investor, the immediate path forward looks choppy as the market digests the recent pullback and awaits confirmation of sustained momentum.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.097157
AutoETS0.099948
AutoARIMA0.099950
AutoTheta0.159513

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 0.02
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.082
Excess Kurtosis -0.88
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.65
Revenue per Share 8.621
Market Cap 7,662,066,688
Trailing P/E 240.35
Forward P/E 36.69
Beta 1.11
Profit Margins 2.03%
Website https://www.kratosdefense.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated in the $45-$60 range, creating a dense wall of resistance that suggests traders expect a struggle to break past these levels without a massive catalyst. Conversely, Put Open Interest is substantial at lower strikes ($35-$40), indicating a hedge against a drop back to the 52-week lows. The implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty ahead of earnings and the upcoming 52-week anniversary. The flow shows a 'wait and see' approach with heavy bets on both sides, but the lack of aggressive volume at extreme strikes suggests the market is pricing in a range-bound scenario until the next major data point.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.5098653
Address1 10,680 Treena Street
Address2 6th Floor
All Time High 1,635.0
All Time Low 2.8
Ask 44.87
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,000,930
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,988,873
Average Volume 3,988,873
Average Volume10Days 5,000,930
Beta 1.107
Bid 38.17
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 18.271
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 40.86
Current Ratio 5.541
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 41.7167
Day Low 40.56
Debt To Equity 5.65
Display Name Kratos Defense & Security
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,877,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,877,200
Earnings Growth 0.074
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.517
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 87,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.057140004
Enterprise To Ebitda 73.607
Enterprise To Revenue 4.206
Enterprise Value 6,403,766,784
Eps Current Year 0.81465
Eps Forward 1.11358
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.17
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 858 812 7301
Fifty Day Average 49.8728
Fifty Day Average Change -9.012798
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.18071571
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -50.986526
Fifty Two Week High 134.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -93.14
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6950746
Fifty Two Week Low 37.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.0200005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07980974
Fifty Two Week Range 37.84 - 134.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 941,812,200,000
Float Shares 185,256,546
Forward Eps 1.11358
Forward P E 36.69247
Free Cashflow -118,287,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,300
Fullday Change 0.11999893
Fullday Change Percent 0.29454818
Fullday Price 40.86
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.23002
Gross Profits 350,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01291
Held Percent Institutions 0.85699
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,519,984
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.kratosdefense.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Last Split Date 1,252,627,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., a technology company, provides technology, hardware, products, system, and software for the defense, national security, and commercial markets in the United States, other North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, and Internationally. The company operates through Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments. It offers virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles, including software for command and control, telemetry, and tracking and control; jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems and hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems; propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, spacecraft and launch systems, command, control, communication, computing, combat, and intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, and satellite; and counter unmanned aircraft systems, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual and augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. The company primarily serves national security-related agencies, the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence and classified agencies, international government agencies, and domestic and international commercial customers. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was formerly known as Wireless Facilities, Inc. and changed its name to Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. in August 1999. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,662,066,688
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36652
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 30,900,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,665,216,454
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 40.83
Operating Cashflow -39,600,000
Operating Margins -0.00174
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 36.41
Phone 858 812 7300
Previous Close 40.74
Price Eps Current Year 50.15651
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.2363307
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.032556
Profit Margins 0.020299999
Quick Ratio 4.736
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.11999893
Regular Market Change Percent 0.29454818
Regular Market Day High 41.7167
Regular Market Day Low 40.56
Regular Market Day Range 40.56 - 41.7167
Regular Market Open 40.83
Regular Market Previous Close 40.74
Regular Market Price 40.86
Regular Market Time 1,792,163,244
Regular Market Volume 981,022
Return On Assets 0.00434
Return On Equity 0.011469999
Revenue Growth 0.305
Revenue Per Share 8.621
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 187,519,984
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052199997
Shares Short 9,797,446
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 9,729,860
Short Name Kratos Defense & Security Solut
Short Percent Of Float 0.06
Short Ratio 2.46
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol KTOS
Target High Price 150.0
Target Low Price 55.0
Target Mean Price 98.33333
Target Median Price 95.0
Total Cash 1,437,600,000
Total Cash Per Share 7.658
Total Debt 193,600,000
Total Revenue 1,522,499,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.17
Trailing P E 240.35294
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 67.3734
Two Hundred Day Average Change -26.513397
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.39352918
Type Disp Equity
Volume 981,022
Website https://www.kratosdefense.com
Zip 92,131