Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS)Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
46.96 USD
-1.23
(-2.552%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 47.02 +0.06 (0.128%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT
The immediate catalyst here is the disconnect between the stock's depressed technicals and the aggressive options positioning. With the price hovering near its 52-week low, the market is clearly viewing this as a high-conviction bounce play rather than a value trap. The sheer volume of call open interest at $70 and $75 suggests traders are betting on a rapid recovery driven by the 'autonomy growth story' mentioned in recent headlines. However, the statistical forecast model flags a weak negative lean, creating a tension where the fundamental thesis (strong revenue growth, improving margins) clashes with the short-term price noise. For the long term, the business is fundamentally sound with a 1000% cumulative gain over the last decade and no recent multi-year decline, yet the valuation metrics remain stretched with a trailing P/E of 283x and negligible free cash flow. This makes it a compelling momentum trade for the near term, but a risky hold for the long term until profitability stabilizes. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.059814 |
| AutoETS | 0.104314 |
| MSTL | 0.106617 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.107408 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 42% |
| H-stat | 1.37 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.491 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.77 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.437 |
| Revenue per Share | 8.406 |
| Market Cap | 8,805,938,176 |
| Trailing P/E | 293.50 |
| Forward P/E | 43.04 |
| Beta | 1.07 |
| Profit Margins | 2.08% |
| Website | https://www.kratosdefense.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls at strikes like $70, $75, and $85 for August expiration, alongside heavy volume spikes in calls at $70 and $75. While there is some defensive put buying near the $45-$50 range, the overwhelming capital flow is directional bullishness targeting a 30-50% gain within the next month. Implied volatility remains elevated, pricing in substantial moves.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.07309097 |
| Address1 | 10,680 Treena Street |
| Address2 | 6th Floor |
| All Time High | 1,635.0 |
| All Time Low | 2.8 |
| Ask | 50.15 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 4 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.5 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,101,730 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,858,695 |
| Average Volume | 4,858,695 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,101,730 |
| Beta | 1.07 |
| Bid | 44.39 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 18.197 |
| City | San Diego |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 46.96 |
| Current Ratio | 5.626 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 49.06 |
| Day Low | 46.35 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.437 |
| Display Name | Kratos Defense & Security |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,101,200 |
| Earnings Growth | 1.306 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 1.644 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,097,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 81,200,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.05738 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 92.698 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.319 |
| Enterprise Value | 7,527,038,464 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.77665 |
| Eps Forward | 1.09116 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.16 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 858 812 7301 |
| Fifty Day Average | 55.7964 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -8.836399 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15836863 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -7.3090973 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 134.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -87.04 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6495522 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 46.01 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.95000076 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.020647703 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 46.01 - 134.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 941,812,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 184,761,565 |
| Forward Eps | 1.09116 |
| Forward P E | 43.036766 |
| Free Cashflow | -106,725,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 4,300 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.22886999 |
| Gross Profits | 323,900,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.013359999 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.93983 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 187,519,984 |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Disp | Aerospace & Defense |
| Industry Key | aerospace-defense |
| Ir Website | http://ir.kratosdefense.com/index.cfm |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Last Split Date | 1,252,627,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:10 |
| Long Business Summary | Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., a technology company, provides technology, hardware, products, system, and software for the defense, national security, and commercial markets in the United States, other North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, and Internationally. The company operates through Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments. It offers virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles, including software for command and control, telemetry, and tracking and control; jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems and hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems; propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, spacecraft and launch systems, command, control, communication, computing, combat, and intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, and satellite; and counter unmanned aircraft systems, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual and augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. The company primarily serves national security-related agencies, the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence and classified agencies, international government agencies, and domestic and international commercial customers. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was formerly known as Wireless Facilities, Inc. and changed its name to Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. in August 1999. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. |
| Long Name | Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 8,805,938,176 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_36652 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,742,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 29,400,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 9,036,588,028 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 21 |
| Open | 48.49 |
| Operating Cashflow | -40,300,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01779 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 36.41 |
| Phone | 858 812 7300 |
| Post Market Change | 0.060001373 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.12777124 |
| Post Market Price | 47.02 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,987,130 |
| Previous Close | 48.19 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 60.464813 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.580645 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 6.2223983 |
| Profit Margins | 0.020769998 |
| Quick Ratio | 4.852 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.5 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.23 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.5524 |
| Regular Market Day High | 49.06 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 46.35 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 46.35 - 49.06 |
| Regular Market Open | 48.49 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 48.19 |
| Regular Market Price | 46.96 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,506,236 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0057300003 |
| Return On Equity | 0.012259999 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.226 |
| Revenue Per Share | 8.406 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 187,519,984 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0538 |
| Shares Short | 10,092,796 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 11,657,119 |
| Short Name | Kratos Defense & Security Solut |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0618 |
| Short Ratio | 1.85 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | KTOS |
| Target High Price | 150.0 |
| Target Low Price | 60.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 109.33333 |
| Target Median Price | 110.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,464,300,032 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.809 |
| Total Debt | 185,400,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,415,200,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.16 |
| Trailing P E | 293.5 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 78.5686 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -31.608604 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.40230578 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,506,236 |
| Website | https://www.kratosdefense.com |
| Zip | 92,131 |