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Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | San Diego, United States | NasdaqGS
52.00 USD -1.69 (-3.148%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 52.02 +0.02 (0.037%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:25 a.m. EDT

Kratos presents a compelling high-conviction short-term trade driven by a massive divergence between its deteriorating fundamentals and explosive technical momentum. The stock has engineered a stunning 840% surge over the last nine years, yet it is currently trading at a grotesque 336x trailing P/E with negative operating margins and burning cash. This valuation disconnect suggests the market is pricing in a binary event—likely a major government contract win or hypersonic payload breakthrough—rather than current earnings. The options market confirms this speculative frenzy, with traders building a formidable wall of call options at $70 while ignoring the lack of dividend support. While the long-term investment thesis remains shaky due to the unsustainable valuation and lack of profitability, the immediate setup looks like a high-risk, high-reward momentum play where the catalyst is overdue to materialize.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.106065
AutoTheta0.109861
AutoARIMA0.110160
AutoETS0.110162

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 1.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.094
Excess Kurtosis -0.86
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.65
Revenue per Share 8.621
Market Cap 9,751,038,976
Trailing P/E 305.88
Forward P/E 46.54
Beta 1.11
Profit Margins 2.03%
Website https://www.kratosdefense.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a significant upside breakout, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $70 and $85 strikes and heavy volume spikes in calls at $61 and $62. While there is notable defensive put buying at lower strikes ($35-$55), the overwhelming capital deployment is directional bullishness targeting a move well above current levels.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.18762296
Address1 10,680 Treena Street
Address2 6th Floor
All Time High 1,635.0
All Time Low 2.8
Ask 56.46
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,211,360
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,418,112
Average Volume 4,418,112
Average Volume10Days 3,211,360
Beta 1.106
Bid 47.0
Bid Size 5
Board Risk 3
Book Value 18.271
City San Diego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 52.0
Current Ratio 5.541
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 53.7718
Day Low 51.37
Debt To Equity 5.65
Display Name Kratos Defense & Security
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,877,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,877,200
Earnings Growth 0.074
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.517
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 87,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.057140004
Enterprise To Ebitda 97.902
Enterprise To Revenue 5.594
Enterprise Value 8,517,509,120
Eps Current Year 0.81746
Eps Forward 1.11739
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.17
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 858 812 7301
Fifty Day Average 52.5452
Fifty Day Average Change -0.54520035
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.010375835
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.762297
Fifty Two Week High 134.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -82.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6119403
Fifty Two Week Low 43.09
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.91
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20677651
Fifty Two Week Range 43.09 - 134.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 941,812,200,000
Float Shares 185,250,914
Forward Eps 1.11739
Forward P E 46.537018
Free Cashflow -118,287,504
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,300
Fullday Change -1.69
Fullday Change Percent -3.1477
Fullday Price 52.0191
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.23002
Gross Profits 350,200,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01276
Held Percent Institutions 0.85390997
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,519,984
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.kratosdefense.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Last Split Date 1,252,627,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., a technology company, provides technology, hardware, products, system, and software for the defense, national security, and commercial markets in the United States, other North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Europe, and Internationally. The company operates through Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments. It offers virtualized ground systems for satellites and space vehicles, including software for command and control, telemetry, and tracking and control; jet powered unmanned aerial drone systems and hypersonic vehicles and rocket systems; propulsion systems for drones, missiles, loitering munitions, supersonic systems, spacecraft and launch systems, command, control, communication, computing, combat, and intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; and microwave electronic products for missile, radar, missile defense, space, and satellite; and counter unmanned aircraft systems, directed energy, communication and other systems, and virtual and augmented reality training systems for the warfighter. The company primarily serves national security-related agencies, the U.S. Department of Defense, intelligence and classified agencies, international government agencies, and domestic and international commercial customers. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was formerly known as Wireless Facilities, Inc. and changed its name to Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. in August 1999. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Long Name Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,751,038,976
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_36652
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 30,900,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,078,758,046
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 53.53
Operating Cashflow -39,600,000
Operating Margins -0.00174
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 36.41
Phone 858 812 7300
Post Market Change 0.01910019
Post Market Change Percent 0.03673113
Post Market Price 52.0191
Post Market Time 1,787,961,598
Previous Close 53.69
Price Eps Current Year 63.611675
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.8460402
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 6.4046235
Profit Margins 0.020299999
Quick Ratio 4.736
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.42857
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.69
Regular Market Change Percent -3.1477
Regular Market Day High 53.7718
Regular Market Day Low 51.37
Regular Market Day Range 51.37 - 53.7718
Regular Market Open 53.53
Regular Market Previous Close 53.69
Regular Market Price 52.0
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,965,771
Return On Assets 0.00434
Return On Equity 0.011469999
Revenue Growth 0.305
Revenue Per Share 8.621
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 187,519,984
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0444
Shares Short 8,326,323
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 10,377,180
Short Name Kratos Defense & Security Solut
Short Percent Of Float 0.051
Short Ratio 2.05
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol KTOS
Target High Price 150.0
Target Low Price 60.0
Target Mean Price 105.61905
Target Median Price 104.0
Total Cash 1,437,600,000
Total Cash Per Share 7.658
Total Debt 193,600,000
Total Revenue 1,522,499,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.17
Trailing P E 305.88235
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 72.366
Two Hundred Day Average Change -20.365997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.28143048
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,965,771
Website https://www.kratosdefense.com
Zip 92,131