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Keros Therapeutics, Inc. (KROS)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Lexington, United States | NasdaqGM
11.67 USD -0.05 (-0.427%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.80 +0.13 (1.114%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4:20 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT

The technical setup is a bearish trap disguised by a strong fundamental thesis. Despite a high cash balance and improved operational cash flow, the stock has violated longer-term moving averages and is lagging revenue growth by 87%. The immediate options market is aggressively betting on a downside correction, and while the 'Strong Buy' analyst upgrade suggests a long-term turnaround, the current valuation premium and lack of consistent revenue growth make it a risky short holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.311322
AutoETS0.311325
MSTL0.313010
AutoTheta0.380098

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 28.27
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.064
Excess Kurtosis -1.49
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.57
Revenue per Share 6.557
Market Cap 355,539,008
Trailing P/E 5.07
Forward P/E -2.31
Beta 0.99
Profit Margins 35.65%
Website https://www.kerostx.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:23 p.m. EDT: Put buying (10.0 strike) dominates the immediate short-term upside, exceeding call volume significantly at the ATMX and ITM ranges. While there is some ATM positioning in the intermediate May expiry with a 71% dist increase noted by analysts, the immediate 9-day flow is heavily skewed bearish (OI ratio indicates more puts). The June expiry shows a divergence with massive in-the-money put OI (1.5k strikes), suggesting a price floor defense below current levels, while long-dated calls show minimal positioning. Implied volatility is relatively low across the board, indicating muted expected moves unless earnings volatility spikes.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.18391609
Address1 1,050 Waltham Street
Address2 Suite 302
All Time High 88.8
All Time Low 9.12
Ask 11.72
Ask Size 4
Audit Risk 6
Average Daily Volume10 Day 348,750
Average Daily Volume3 Month 408,551
Average Volume 408,551
Average Volume10Days 348,750
Beta 0.988
Bid 11.6
Bid Size 4
Board Risk 6
Book Value 15.51
City Lexington
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.67
Current Ratio 15.452
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 12.0
Day Low 11.565
Debt To Equity 5.57
Display Name Keros Therapeutics
Earnings Timestamp 1,772,658,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,529,600
Ebitda 72,078,000
Ebitda Margins 0.29533002
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.561
Enterprise To Revenue -0.166
Enterprise Value -40,428,388
Eps Current Year -4.67333
Eps Forward -5.05333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.3
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.1071
Fifty Day Average Change -1.4370995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.109642826
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -18.39161
Fifty Two Week High 22.55
Fifty Two Week High Change -10.879999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.48248336
Fifty Two Week Low 10.415
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2550001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.12049929
Fifty Two Week Range 10.415 - 22.55
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,586,352,600,000
Float Shares 19,118,514
Forward Eps -5.05333
Forward P E -2.3093684
Free Cashflow 66,236,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 78
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.47904998
Gross Profits 116,918,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.058819998
Held Percent Institutions 1.03566
Implied Shares Outstanding 30,466,069
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Keros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes novel therapeutics to treat patients with disorders linked to dysfunctional signaling of the transforming growth factor-beta family of proteins in the United States. It develops rinvatercept, which acts as a ligand trap and inhibits the biological effects of myostatin and activin A in Phase 1 clinical trials for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis; and elritercept to target TGF-ß signaling pathways to address diseases that arise from ineffective hematopoiesis in Phase 3 clinical trials for Myelodysplastic Syndromes and Phase 2 clinical trials for Myelofibrosis. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Hansoh (Shanghai) Healthtech Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and licensed products containing elritercept; and Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and certain derivative compounds. Keros Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts.
Long Name Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 355,539,008
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_333195513
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 87,014,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 230,103,610
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 11.98
Operating Cashflow 107,505,000
Operating Margins -75.76623
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 314 6297
Post Market Change 0.13000011
Post Market Change Percent 1.1139684
Post Market Price 11.8
Post Market Time 1,776,457,212
Previous Close 11.72
Price Eps Current Year -2.4971488
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.7524178
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.4567629
Profit Margins 0.35653
Quick Ratio 15.101
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0500002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.426623
Regular Market Day High 12.0
Regular Market Day Low 11.565
Regular Market Day Range 11.565 - 12.0
Regular Market Open 11.98
Regular Market Previous Close 11.72
Regular Market Price 11.67
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 370,525
Return On Assets 0.09247
Return On Equity 0.19896
Revenue Growth -0.873
Revenue Per Share 6.557
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 19,717,533
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0758
Shares Short 1,494,814
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,031,197
Short Name Keros Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2974
Short Ratio 2.62
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol KROS
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 16.0
Target Mean Price 22.57143
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 287,415,008
Total Cash Per Share 14.577
Total Debt 16,883,000
Total Revenue 244,060,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.3
Trailing P E 5.073913
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.694025
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.024025
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2564049
Type Disp Equity
Volume 370,525
Website https://www.kerostx.com
Zip 2,421