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Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Newton, United States | NasdaqGS
10.05 USD -0.29 (-2.805%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.24 +0.19 (1.891%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year price trajectory. Over the last nine years, the stock has lost nearly 96% of its value, with five consecutive years of negative returns ending recently. This is not a temporary setback; it is a structural decline where the market has repeatedly punished the business, driving the price from over $140 to under $5. While the company reports positive revenue growth and analysts have upgraded their stance following a Phase 3 trial update, these bright spots are insufficient to counteract the overwhelming evidence of deteriorating fundamentals reflected in the price action. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative book value and significant debt, while the free cash flow remains negative. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put buying at low strikes acting as insurance against further ruin rather than a catalyst for a bounce. Until the price history shows a sustained reversal of this decade-long decline, the risk of permanent capital loss far outweighs the potential for a turnaround.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.083177
AutoETS0.083179
MSTL_1150.087420
MSTL0.090098
AutoTheta0.121430

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 6.28
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.079
Excess Kurtosis 1.01
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Revenue per Share 10.552
Market Cap 227,762,592
Forward P/E -2.06
Beta 0.81
Profit Margins -129.02%
Website https://www.karyopharm.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside event rather than a rally. Put open interest is heavily concentrated deep in-the-money at strikes of 2.5 and 5.0, suggesting a hedge against a collapse or a bet on a failure scenario. Call activity is sparse and skewed toward far-dated, out-of-the-money strikes (15.00+), indicating speculative hope for a recovery but lacking immediate conviction. The implied volatility skew shows significantly higher premiums for downside protection compared to upside potential, reflecting a market consensus of distress.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.1677148
Address1 85 Wells Avenue
Address2 2nd Floor, Suite 210
All Time High 735.075
All Time Low 3.51
Ask 11.4
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 682,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 454,483
Average Volume 454,483
Average Volume10Days 682,120
Beta 0.807
Bid 8.47
Bid Size 1
Book Value -11.783
City Newton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.05
Current Ratio 1.077
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 10.3
Day Low 9.71
Display Name Karyopharm Therapeutics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,760,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,760,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,451,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,451,400
Ebitda -83,981,000
Ebitda Margins -0.55573004
Enterprise To Ebitda -5.241
Enterprise To Revenue 2.912
Enterprise Value 440,124,576
Eps Current Year -4.95333
Eps Forward -4.89
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -16.4
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.086
Fifty Day Average Change 0.96399975
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10609726
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 116.771484
Fifty Two Week High 10.99
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.9399996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.08553226
Fifty Two Week Low 3.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.7534246
Fifty Two Week Range 3.65 - 10.99
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,383,748,200,000
Float Shares 14,811,820
Forward Eps -4.89
Forward P E -2.055215
Free Cashflow -24,317,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 228
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.13452
Gross Profits 20,329,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04678
Held Percent Institutions 0.83692
Implied Shares Outstanding 22,662,943
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,740,528,000
Last Split Factor 1:15
Long Business Summary Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes drugs directed against nuclear export for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in the United States. The company discovers, develops, and commercializes novel and small molecule Selective Inhibitor of Nuclear Export (SINE) compounds that inhibit the nuclear export protein exportin 1 (XPO1). Its lead compounds include XPOVIO in combination with bortezomib and dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with multiple myeloma; in combination with dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma; and for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). It also develops Selinexor for treating hematological and solid tumor malignancies, including multiple myeloma, endometrial cancer, myelofibrosis, and DLBCL; and ELTANEXOR for treating other myeloproliferative neoplasms and TP53 wild-type solid tumors. In addition, the company has license agreement with Menarini Group to develop and commercialize selinexor for human oncology indications; license agreement with Antengene Therapeutics Limited to develop and commercialize selinexor, eltanexor, and KPT-9274 for the treatment and/or prevention of human oncology indications, as well as verdinexor for the diagnosis, treatment, and/or prevention of human non-oncology indications; and distribution agreement for the commercialization of XPOVIO with FORUS Therapeutics Inc. Further, the company has a collaboration with Bristol Myers Squibb company to evaluate novel cereblon E3 ligase modulator agent mezigdomide in combination with Selinexor in patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma. Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts.
Long Name Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 227,762,592
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_115373285
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -194,968,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 234,108,201
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 10.26
Operating Cashflow -59,113,000
Operating Margins -0.76313
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 617 658 0600
Post Market Change 0.18999958
Post Market Change Percent 1.8905431
Post Market Price 10.24
Post Market Time 1,783,987,174
Previous Close 10.34
Price Eps Current Year -2.028938
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -0.8529237
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5071838
Profit Margins -1.2901801
Quick Ratio 0.974
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.57143
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.29
Regular Market Change Percent -2.80464
Regular Market Day High 10.3
Regular Market Day Low 9.71
Regular Market Day Range 9.71 - 10.3
Regular Market Open 10.26
Regular Market Previous Close 10.34
Regular Market Price 10.05
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 417,968
Return On Assets -0.40622002
Revenue Growth 0.168
Revenue Per Share 10.552
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 22,662,943
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2905
Shares Short 6,583,425
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,348,401
Short Name Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.292
Short Ratio 12.59
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol KPTI
Target High Price 16.0
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 13.5
Target Median Price 14.5
Total Cash 90,850,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.009
Total Debt 303,212,000
Total Revenue 151,118,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -16.4
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 7.523725
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.5262752
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.3357745
Type Disp Equity
Volume 417,968
Website https://www.karyopharm.com
Zip 02,459-3298