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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX)

Industrials | Trucking | Phoenix, United States | NYSE
74.33 USD -0.86 (-1.144%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4:01 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 75.77 +1.44 (1.937%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the disconnect between the stock's impressive nine-year cumulative gain and its deteriorating operational fundamentals. While the price has rallied nearly 70% over the past decade, the company is currently generating less than 1% return on equity and trading on a trailing P/E of 375, driven by negligible earnings. The forward P/E of 20 suggests analysts expect a sharp earnings recovery, but the balance sheet remains fragile with a current ratio below 1 and high leverage. The dividend yield of 1.04% is insufficient to offset inflation, and the payout ratio exceeds 300% of trailing earnings, making the income stream highly vulnerable to any earnings miss. Technically, the stock trades above its 50 and 200-day averages, supporting a cautious bullish stance for the near term, but the options market reveals a split personality: traders are buying calls for upside while aggressively purchasing long-dated puts for downside protection. This tension suggests the rally may be priced in, and investors should view this as a speculative trade rather than a core holding until the balance sheet strengthens.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79_126 ✓0.100299
MSTL_1260.107942
MSTL_790.124247
MSTL0.135287
AutoETS0.139588
AutoTheta0.139615
AutoARIMA0.139735

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 11.05
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.267
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 37.698
Revenue per Share 46.183
Market Cap 12,078,179,328
Trailing P/E 353.95
Forward P/E 19.71
Beta 1.19
Profit Margins 0.45%
Website https://knight-swift.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:31 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for medium-term upside with heavy call open interest at 85 and 90 strikes for 2026 and 2027 expirations, suggesting a target range above current price. However, long-dated puts (2028) show massive open interest at 105 and 110 strikes, indicating significant hedging against a potential crash. Near-term flow shows unusual put volume at the 77.5 strike, hinting at resistance or profit-taking at current levels, while implied volatility remains elevated across the board.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.25% 1.37% 1.29% 1.13%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-08 0.200000 0.247801
2026-03-06 0.200000 0.351679
2025-12-05 0.180000 0.350877
2025-09-05 0.180000 0.417537
2025-06-09 0.180000 0.405771
2025-03-07 0.180000 0.382084
2024-12-06 0.160000 0.288288
2024-09-06 0.160000 0.319489
2024-06-10 0.160000 0.321996
2024-03-07 0.160000 0.283738
2023-12-07 0.140000 0.248712
2023-09-07 0.140000 0.266972
2023-06-08 0.140000 0.244371
2023-03-02 0.140000 0.239808
2022-12-02 0.120000 0.211566
2022-09-01 0.120000 0.235710
2022-06-09 0.120000 0.256630
2022-03-03 0.120000 0.219138
2021-12-02 0.100000 0.176803
2021-09-02 0.100000 0.188041
2021-06-03 0.100000 0.210438
2021-03-04 0.080000 0.179816
2020-12-03 0.080000 0.198413
2020-09-03 0.080000 0.175940
2020-06-04 0.080000 0.196223
2020-03-02 0.080000 0.240674
2019-12-02 0.060000 0.164114
2019-08-30 0.060000 0.175747
2019-05-31 0.060000 0.217077
2019-03-01 0.060000 0.178147
2018-11-30 0.060000 0.173110
2018-08-30 0.060000 0.177989
2018-05-31 0.060000 0.147493
2018-02-28 0.060000 0.124585
2017-11-30 0.060000 0.140581
2017-08-30 0.060000 0.152284
2017-05-31 0.060000 0.179910
2017-03-01 0.060000 0.180723
2016-11-30 0.060000 0.171429
2016-08-31 0.060000 0.213523
2016-06-01 0.060000 0.229008
2016-03-02 0.060000 0.248036
2015-12-02 0.060000 0.236128
2015-09-02 0.060000 0.225734
2015-06-03 0.060000 0.206256
2015-03-04 0.060000 0.184957
2014-12-03 0.060000 0.183150
2014-09-03 0.060000 0.233010
2014-06-04 0.060000 0.251995
2014-03-05 0.060000 0.273848
2013-12-04 0.060000 0.335946
2013-09-04 0.060000 0.366972
2013-06-05 0.060000 0.359712
2013-02-27 0.060000 0.386349
2012-12-05 0.560000 3.851444
2012-09-05 0.060000 0.423131
2012-05-30 0.060000 0.361882
2012-02-29 0.060000 0.350263
2011-11-30 0.060000 0.401070
2011-08-31 0.060000 0.396040
2011-06-01 0.060000 0.363416
2011-03-02 0.060000 0.320684
2010-12-01 0.810000 4.240838
2010-09-01 0.060000 0.310720
2010-06-02 0.060000 0.301963
2010-03-03 0.050000 0.253165
2009-12-02 0.050000 0.282646
2009-09-02 0.050000 0.306748
2009-06-03 0.050000 0.277316
2009-03-04 0.040000 0.305111
2008-12-03 0.040000 0.265957
2008-09-03 0.040000 0.215983
2008-06-04 0.040000 0.219419
2008-03-05 0.030000 0.192308
2007-12-05 0.030000 0.194553
2007-09-05 0.030000 0.166389
2007-06-06 0.030000 0.159405
2007-03-07 0.020000 0.110436
2006-12-06 0.020000 0.112045
2006-09-06 0.020000 0.125156
2006-06-08 0.020000 0.108167
2006-03-21 0.020000 0.094518
2006-01-27 0.020000 0.099059
2005-09-28 0.013333 0.086954
2005-06-28 0.013333 0.085578
2005-03-29 0.013333 0.082506
2004-12-13 0.013333 0.083750
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.8
dividendYield 1.06
exDividendDate 2026-06-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.74
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.009841735
lastDividendValue 0.2
lastDividendDate 2026-06-08
dividendDate 2026-06-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6073108
Address1 2,002 West Wahalla Lane
All Time High 82.86
All Time Low 1.506173
Ask 79.69
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,236,600
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,205,455
Average Volume 4,205,455
Average Volume10Days 3,236,600
Beta 1.189
Bid 74.77
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 4
Book Value 43.414
City Phoenix
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 74.33
Current Ratio 0.703
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 76.49
Day Low 73.64
Debt To Equity 37.698
Display Name Knight-Swift Transportation
Dividend Date 1,782,086,400
Dividend Rate 0.8
Dividend Yield 1.06
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 1,012,110,976
Ebitda Margins 0.13503
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.354
Enterprise To Revenue 1.938
Enterprise Value 14,527,686,656
Eps Current Year 2.05472
Eps Forward 3.77116
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.21
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,876,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 72.7218
Fifty Day Average Change 1.6082001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.022114415
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 60.73108
Fifty Two Week High 82.86
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.529999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10294471
Fifty Two Week Low 38.63
Fifty Two Week Low Change 35.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9241522
Fifty Two Week Range 38.63 - 82.86
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 783,091,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.06
Float Shares 157,819,048
Forward Eps 3.77116
Forward P E 19.710117
Free Cashflow 491,691,360
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 37,100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.24023001
Gross Profits 1,800,659,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02927
Held Percent Institutions 1.01822
Implied Shares Outstanding 162,494,000
Industry Trucking
Industry Disp Trucking
Industry Key trucking
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,876,800
Last Dividend Value 0.2
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,135,641,600
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a freight transportation company in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through four segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. The Truckload segment offers irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, and cross-border services. The LTL segment provides regional direct service and serves its customers' national transportation needs by utilizing key partner carriers for coverage areas outside of its network. The Logistics segment provides brokerage and other freight management services utilizing third-party transportation providers and equipment. The Intermodal segment offers transportation services, including arranging the movement of customers' freight through third-party intermodal rail services on its trailing equipment; and drayage services to transport loads between the railheads and customer locations. The company also provides repair and maintenance shop services, equipment leasing, warranty services, and insurance; and trailer parts manufacturing, warehousing, and certain driving academy activities. It serves retail, food and beverage, consumer and paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Long Name Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 12,078,179,328
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_334744
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 33,990,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 12,217,923,860
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 76.43
Operating Cashflow 1,299,757,952
Operating Margins 0.0124699995
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 3.5238001
Peg Ratio 0.63
Phone 602 269 2000
Post Market Change 1.4399948
Post Market Change Percent 1.9372996
Post Market Price 75.77
Post Market Time 1,783,987,154
Previous Close 75.19
Price Eps Current Year 36.175247
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7121205
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.61138
Profit Margins 0.00453
Quick Ratio 0.513
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.63158
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.860001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.14377
Regular Market Day High 76.49
Regular Market Day Low 73.64
Regular Market Day Range 73.64 - 76.49
Regular Market Open 76.43
Regular Market Previous Close 75.19
Regular Market Price 74.33
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,862
Regular Market Volume 6,492,674
Return On Assets 0.011460001
Return On Equity 0.00478
Revenue Growth 0.014
Revenue Per Share 46.183
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 162,494,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0529
Shares Short 8,592,850
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 8,969,107
Short Name Knight-Swift Transportation Hol
Short Percent Of Float 0.060700003
Short Ratio 1.89
Source Interval 15
State AZ
Symbol KNX
Target High Price 100.0
Target Low Price 54.0
Target Mean Price 85.61111
Target Median Price 89.0
Total Cash 222,774,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.371
Total Debt 2,662,731,008
Total Revenue 7,495,549,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.74
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.009841735
Trailing Eps 0.21
Trailing P E 353.9524
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.6266
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 57.8068
Two Hundred Day Average Change 16.523201
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2858349
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,492,674
Website https://knight-swift.com
Zip 85,027