CarMax, Inc. (KMX)Consumer Cyclical | Auto & Truck Dealerships | Richmond, United States | NYSE
55.73 USD
+0.86
(1.567%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT
The turnaround narrative is fragile. While the recent earnings beat and new CEO focus on cost provide a temporary spark, the underlying business remains structurally challenged. The company is generating negative free cash flow and carries a massive debt load relative to equity, creating a precarious balance sheet. More alarmingly, the price action reveals a brutal multi-year decline, with four consecutive years of negative returns ending recently. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market views the current operations as fundamentally broken rather than merely cyclical. With no dividend to cushion the blow and a valuation that implies high expectations for a recovery that hasn't materialized in years, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the investor. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.096229 |
| AutoETS | 0.096249 |
| MSTL | 0.097322 |
| AutoTheta | 0.104681 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 16.03 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.085 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.93 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 307.787 |
| Revenue per Share | 194.888 |
| Market Cap | 7,908,705,792 |
| Trailing P/E | 34.19 |
| Forward P/E | 18.37 |
| Beta | 1.16 |
| Profit Margins | 0.79% |
| Website | https://www.carmax.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:26 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and open interest concentrated deep in the money (strikes below $30-$40), indicating a fear of significant downside. Conversely, call activity is sparse and skewed toward strikes well above the current price ($60-$80 range), suggesting limited near-term bullish conviction despite the recent earnings beat.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.12877107 |
| Address1 | 12,800 Tuckahoe Creek Parkway |
| All Time High | 155.98 |
| All Time Low | 0.65625 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.9 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,782,490 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,351,167 |
| Average Volume | 3,351,167 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,782,490 |
| Beta | 1.163 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 43.116 |
| City | Richmond |
| Compensation Risk | 9 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 55.73 |
| Current Ratio | 2.705 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 55.84 |
| Day Low | 53.89 |
| Debt To Equity | 307.787 |
| Display Name | CarMax |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,781,697,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,781,697,600 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.052 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.118 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,781,699,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,781,699,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,781,699,400 |
| Ebitda | 1,031,401,024 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.03658 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 25.799 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.944 |
| Enterprise Value | 26,608,695,296 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.67401 |
| Eps Forward | 3.03362 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.63 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 45.6836 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 10.046398 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.21991257 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -12.877107 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 66.04 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -10.310001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.15611753 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 30.26 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 25.47 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.8417052 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 30.26 - 66.04 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 855,066,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 131,141,463 |
| Forward Eps | 3.03362 |
| Forward P E | 18.37079 |
| Free Cashflow | -159,998,368 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 28,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.11805 |
| Gross Profits | 3,328,696,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00447 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.11278 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 141,911,096 |
| Industry | Auto & Truck Dealerships |
| Industry Disp | Auto & Truck Dealerships |
| Industry Key | auto-truck-dealerships |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=125417&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,772,236,800 |
| Last Split Date | 1,174,953,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; wholesale auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services. The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia. |
| Long Name | CarMax, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 7,908,705,792 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_356805 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,780,185,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 222,536,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,803,772,800 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 7,786,661,837 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 13 |
| Open | 55.38 |
| Operating Cashflow | 1,501,892,992 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03425 |
| Overall Risk | 5 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.54 |
| Phone | 804 747 0422 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.0009994507 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.0017934121 |
| Pre Market Price | 55.73 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,104,391 |
| Previous Close | 54.87 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 20.841358 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.2925595 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.28047535 |
| Profit Margins | 0.00789 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.184 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.89474 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.860001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.56734 |
| Regular Market Day High | 55.84 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 53.89 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 53.89 - 55.84 |
| Regular Market Open | 55.38 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 54.87 |
| Regular Market Price | 55.73 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,059,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,859,054 |
| Return On Assets | 0.01556 |
| Return On Equity | 0.03588 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.055 |
| Revenue Per Share | 194.888 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 141,911,096 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0888 |
| Shares Short | 12,599,625 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 15,131,814 |
| Short Name | CarMax Inc |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.101 |
| Short Ratio | 3.02 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | VA |
| Symbol | KMX |
| Target High Price | 96.0 |
| Target Low Price | 33.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 51.30769 |
| Target Median Price | 45.0 |
| Total Cash | 132,223,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.932 |
| Total Debt | 18,832,211,968 |
| Total Revenue | 28,197,509,120 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.63 |
| Trailing P E | 34.190186 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.5353 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 42.89705 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 12.832951 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.29915696 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,859,054 |
| Website | https://www.carmax.com |
| Zip | 23,238 |