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KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. (KLC)

Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | Lake Oswego, United States | NYSE
5.11 USD +0.07 (1.389%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT

The investment case for KinderCare is currently broken by a catastrophic balance sheet and deteriorating profitability. The company carries nearly $2.5 billion in debt against a market cap of less than $600 million, resulting in a grotesque debt-to-equity ratio of 537%. This leverage is crushing the business, evidenced by negative free cash flow and a return on equity of -62.5%. While the stock recently rallied off a 39% crash, the fundamentals remain dire with negative earnings and minimal revenue growth. The options market confirms this distress, with traders buying deep puts to protect against further collapse while longing for a miraculous turnaround. There is no margin of safety here; the debt load poses an existential threat that overrides any potential value in the assets.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.411441
MSTL_880.433975
AutoTheta0.442144
AutoETS0.451465
AutoARIMA0.451955

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 30%
H-stat 6.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.991
Excess Kurtosis 0.03
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 537.822
Revenue per Share 23.123
Market Cap 605,168,640
Forward P/E 15.52
Profit Margins -15.48%
Website https://www.investors.kindercare.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at the $2.50 strike, suggesting a fear of a significant drop to half current prices. Conversely, call interest is concentrated far out-of-the-money at the $7.50 strike, indicating a speculative hope for a massive rally rather than a measured move to earnings estimates. Implied volatility is elevated on both sides, reflecting deep uncertainty.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.46097046
Address1 5,005 Meadows Road
All Time High 29.89
All Time Low 1.75
Ask 6.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 10
Average Daily Volume10 Day 868,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 939,706
Average Volume 939,706
Average Volume10Days 868,270
Bid 5.01
Bid Size 1,300
Board Risk 8
Book Value 3.978
City Lake Oswego
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.11
Current Ratio 0.735
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 5.26
Day Low 4.93
Debt To Equity 537.822
Display Name KinderCare Learning Companies
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,792,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,792,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,788,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,478,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,478,400
Ebitda 251,964,992
Ebitda Margins 0.09204
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.93
Enterprise To Revenue 1.098
Enterprise Value 3,005,934,592
Eps Current Year 0.19607
Eps Forward 0.32928
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.63
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 4.1382
Fifty Day Average Change 0.9718003
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.23483649
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -46.097046
Fifty Two Week High 10.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.65
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.52509296
Fifty Two Week Low 1.75
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.3600001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.9200001
Fifty Two Week Range 1.75 - 10.76
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,728,480,600,000
Float Shares 34,185,513
Forward Eps 0.32928
Forward P E 15.518708
Free Cashflow -27,479,124
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 35,700
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.20766
Gross Profits 568,499,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.059169997
Held Percent Institutions 0.91406
Implied Shares Outstanding 118,428,299
Industry Education & Training Services
Industry Disp Education & Training Services
Industry Key education-training-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-11-18
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,398,400
Long Business Summary KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. provides early childhood education and care services in the United States. The company offers community-based early childhood education services for infants, toddlers, preschool, and kindergarten students; and customized family care benefits for organizations, including care for young children on or near the site where their parents work, tuition benefits, and backup care under the KinderCare Learning Centers (KCLC) and Crème School brands. It also provides before-and after-school programs, including summer camp programs for preschool and school-age children under the Champions brand. The company was formerly known as KC Holdco, LLC and changed its name to KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. in January 2022. KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon.
Long Name KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 605,168,640
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1685545783
Most Recent Quarter 1,775,260,800
Net Income To Common -423,868,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,934,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 605,168,607
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 5.1
Operating Cashflow 171,148,992
Operating Margins 0.02884
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 503 872 1300
Pre Market Change -0.029999733
Pre Market Change Percent -0.5859323
Pre Market Price 5.09
Pre Market Time 1,784,033,271
Previous Close 5.04
Price Eps Current Year 26.06212
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2845652
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.22105801
Profit Margins -0.15483
Quick Ratio 0.618
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0700002
Regular Market Change Percent 1.38889
Regular Market Day High 5.26
Regular Market Day Low 4.93
Regular Market Day Range 4.93 - 5.26
Regular Market Open 5.1
Regular Market Previous Close 5.04
Regular Market Price 5.11
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 909,456
Return On Assets 0.022149999
Return On Equity -0.62519
Revenue Growth 0.006
Revenue Per Share 23.123
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 118,428,299
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0373
Shares Short 4,418,285
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,019,608
Short Name KinderCare Learning Companies,
Short Percent Of Float 0.1374
Short Ratio 5.63
Source Interval 15
State OR
Symbol KLC
Target High Price 6.0
Target Low Price 2.5
Target Mean Price 4.24286
Target Median Price 4.2
Total Cash 132,874,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.122
Total Debt 2,533,639,936
Total Revenue 2,737,601,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.63
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.2742
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.8358002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.1955454
Type Disp Equity
Volume 909,456
Website https://www.investors.kindercare.com
Zip 97,035