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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)

Consumer Defensive | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Frisco, United States | NasdaqGS
32.66 USD -0.09 (-0.275%) ⇩ (Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:47 a.m. EDT

The separation savings narrative is currently overshadowed by a deteriorating operational reality. While the stock trades at a forward P/E of roughly 12.5x, implying a cheap valuation relative to future earnings, the underlying business is struggling. Revenue growth has stalled at a mere 0.76%, and earnings have collapsed by nearly 90% year-over-year. This disconnect between a low multiple and collapsing profitability suggests the market is pricing in a permanent degradation in the company's ability to generate returns, rather than a temporary blip. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this pessimism; despite a few recovery years, the asset has lost over 70% of its value since 2016, with the most recent annual performance showing a steep decline. The balance sheet is also concerning, with debt-to-equity nearing 100% and a current ratio below 0.5, indicating liquidity stress. Dividends offer a 3% yield, but this comes with a warning flag: the payout ratio is dangerously close to 93%. The company is distributing almost all of its earnings to shareholders, leaving little room for error if margins compress further. This is not a sustainable safety margin. Short-term sentiment is mixed to bearish. Options flow shows significant hedging activity with heavy put buying at lower strikes, while the statistical forecast model sees no directional edge. The stock appears fully priced for a continuation of its current struggles, making it a risky hold rather than a compelling opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.022742
AutoETS0.022883
AutoARIMA0.023634
AutoTheta0.026166

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 55%
H-stat 0.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.183
Excess Kurtosis 0.27
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-27
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 99.649
Revenue per Share 14.781
Market Cap 44,444,577,792
Trailing P/E 32.99
Forward P/E 12.91
Beta 0.41
Profit Margins 7.10%
Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., 20, 23, 28), creating a 'floor' expectation. Conversely, call interest is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a bias toward range-bound consolidation rather than a breakout. The massive volume spike in far-dated deep puts indicates a hedge against a significant downside event, while the lack of aggressive long-dated call buying suggests skepticism about a major rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.73% 3.13% 2.92% 2.66%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-28 0.230 0.731087
2026-06-26 0.230 0.688623
2026-03-27 0.230 0.876859
2026-01-02 0.230 0.829427
2025-09-26 0.230 0.901961
2025-06-27 0.230 0.700152
2025-03-28 0.230 0.681683
2025-01-03 0.230 0.729233
2024-09-27 0.230 0.614645
2024-06-28 0.215 0.643713
2024-03-27 0.215 0.702844
2024-01-04 0.215 0.664195
2023-09-28 0.215 0.683408
2023-06-29 0.200 0.650195
2023-03-30 0.200 0.569314
2023-01-05 0.200 0.566733
2022-09-29 0.200 0.553710
2022-06-30 0.188 0.531224
2022-03-31 0.188 0.496042
2022-01-05 0.188 0.507696
2021-09-30 0.188 0.550351
2021-06-30 0.188 0.533485
2021-03-31 0.150 0.436427
2021-01-07 0.150 0.471698
2020-10-01 0.150 0.535523
2020-07-01 0.150 0.523195
2020-04-02 0.150 0.628667
2020-01-02 0.150 0.521921
2019-10-03 0.150 0.550661
2019-07-03 0.150 0.496689
2019-04-04 0.150 0.550257
2019-01-03 0.150 0.599042
2018-10-04 0.150 0.669942
2018-07-10 103.750 467.552941
2018-03-20 0.580 0.489865
2017-12-13 0.580 0.618601
2017-09-13 0.580 0.632290
2017-06-12 0.580 0.625944
2017-03-10 0.580 0.612266
2016-12-09 0.530 0.589938
2016-09-09 0.530 0.589938
2016-06-10 0.530 0.574713
2016-03-11 0.530 0.582162
2015-12-10 0.480 0.527009
2015-09-10 0.480 0.631995
2015-06-11 0.480 0.647162
2015-03-12 0.480 0.618876
2014-12-11 0.410 0.577221
2014-09-11 0.410 0.652866
2014-06-12 0.410 0.708729
2014-03-13 0.410 0.790590
2013-12-12 0.380 0.803383
2013-09-12 0.380 0.852783
2013-06-13 0.380 0.811792
2013-03-13 0.380 0.869167
2012-12-13 0.340 0.765249
2012-09-13 0.340 0.748899
2012-06-14 0.340 0.793095
2012-03-15 0.340 0.884265
2011-12-15 0.320 0.837696
2011-09-15 0.320 0.843437
2011-06-16 0.320 0.786627
2011-03-17 0.250 0.670961
2010-12-16 0.250 0.673673
2010-09-16 0.250 0.710429
2010-06-17 0.250 0.653766
2010-03-18 0.150 0.409054
2009-12-17 0.150 0.534569
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.82
exDividendDate 2026-09-28
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.028091604
lastDividendValue 0.23
lastDividendDate 2026-09-28
dividendDate 2026-10-09

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.21611583
Address1 6,425 Hall of Fame Lane
All Time High 126.65
All Time Low 11.83
Ask 34.27
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 11,333,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 11,100,209
Average Volume 11,100,209
Average Volume10Days 11,333,170
Beta 0.41
Bid 31.21
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 3
Book Value 18.395
City Frisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 32.66
Current Ratio 0.479
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 33.08
Day Low 32.49
Debt To Equity 99.649
Display Name Keurig Dr Pepper
Dividend Date 1,791,504,000
Dividend Yield 2.82
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Earnings Growth -0.9
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.74
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,709,000
Ebitda 4,807,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.23927
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.695
Enterprise To Revenue 4.234
Enterprise Value 85,060,575,232
Eps Current Year 2.29202
Eps Forward 2.53047
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.99
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,553,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.3136
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3463993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04299727
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 21.611584
Fifty Two Week High 33.82
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.1599998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.03429923
Fifty Two Week Low 24.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.7800007
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.31270102
Fifty Two Week Range 24.88 - 33.82
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,210,167,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.48
Float Shares 1,354,389,331
Forward Eps 2.53047
Forward P E 12.906693
Free Cashflow 4,607,249,920
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 50,000
Fullday Change 0.02999878
Fullday Change Percent 0.09185174
Fullday Price 32.69
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.50956
Gross Profits 10,236,999,680
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04709
Held Percent Institutions 1.09623
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,360,826,038
Industry Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Industry Disp Beverages - Non - Alcoholic
Industry Key beverages-non-alcoholic
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,553,600
Last Dividend Value 0.23
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. It manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, as well as sales of owned brands and third-party brands; tea, cocoa, and other products; and offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products. The company offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, GHOST, Snapple, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Clamato, Core Hydration, The Original Donut Shop, Sunkist soda, Squirt, C4 Energy, Hawaiian Punch, Electrolit, Bloom, Bai, Evian, Yoo-Hoo, Vita Coco, Big Red, RC Cola, Crush, McCafé, Tim Hortons, Van Houtte, Celestial Seasonings, Bigelow, Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers, Peet's, and Swiss Miss brands, as well as other partner and private label brands. It markets and sells its products to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, e-commerce retailers, office superstores, vending machines, fountains, grocery and drug stores, convenience stores, and other small outlets; and directly to consumers through Keurig.com website. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Frisco, Texas.
Long Name Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 44,444,577,792
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_334622
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,344,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 43,219,834,966
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 33.06
Operating Cashflow 2,527,000,064
Operating Margins 0.12888
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.9293
Peg Ratio 1.01
Phone 800 527 7096
Pre Market Change 0.02999878
Pre Market Change Percent 0.09185174
Pre Market Price 32.69
Pre Market Time 1,791,964,862
Previous Close 32.75
Price Eps Current Year 14.249439
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.7754824
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.2122738
Profit Margins 0.07103
Quick Ratio 0.2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.83333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.27481
Regular Market Day High 33.08
Regular Market Day Low 32.49
Regular Market Day Range 32.49 - 33.08
Regular Market Open 33.06
Regular Market Previous Close 32.75
Regular Market Price 32.66
Regular Market Time 1,791,921,601
Regular Market Volume 11,656,694
Return On Assets 0.03378
Return On Equity 0.051
Revenue Growth 0.756
Revenue Per Share 14.781
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17502642
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 1,360,826,038
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.054
Shares Short 73,547,571
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 75,713,616
Short Name Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.060300004
Short Ratio 7.15
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol KDP
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 29.0
Target Mean Price 36.20588
Target Median Price 38.0
Total Cash 1,526,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.121
Total Debt 33,528,000,512
Total Revenue 20,089,999,360
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.028091604
Trailing Eps 0.99
Trailing P E 32.9899
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.9807
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.52435
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.1356506
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10620558
Type Disp Equity
Volume 11,656,694
Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com
Zip 75,034