Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Mountain View, United States | NasdaqGM
3.90 USD
-0.07
(-1.763%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 3.93 +0.03 (0.769%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is a stark dichotomy between a fundamentally broken business and a speculative mania. Fundamentally, the company is a value trap: it burns cash aggressively with negative free cash flow, operates at a massive loss, and trades at a premium valuation multiple despite having no earnings. The balance sheet is fragile, and the lack of a multi-year price history prevents any assessment of sustainable growth. The short-term rating is low because the recent price action shows weakness, and the statistical forecast offers no directional edge. However, the long-term outlook remains bleak due to the deteriorating fundamentals. The market is currently ignoring these red flags entirely, evidenced by the heavy call option open interest at strikes far above the current price. This suggests a 'lottery ticket' thesis where investors are betting on a sudden catalyst or a massive re-rating of the autonomous driving sector, rather than the company's actual operational performance. For a rational investor, the lack of profitability and the cash burn make this a dangerous hold. The only reason to consider this is as a high-risk speculative play on a potential industry boom, not as an investment in the company's current business quality. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.156633 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.162526 |
| AutoETS | 0.162530 |
| MSTL | 0.183647 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 6.69 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.117 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.54 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 139.502 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.047 |
| Market Cap | 782,410,880 |
| Forward P/E | -5.02 |
| Beta | 0.45 |
| Website | https://kodiak.ai |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:53 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct 'long gamma' setup with massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $8-$10) relative to puts. This indicates speculative positioning for a significant upside move, likely driven by the narrative of major institutional accumulation (Cathie Wood). However, the implied volatility surface shows elevated premiums for deep out-of-the-money strikes, suggesting the market is pricing in binary event risk rather than steady appreciation. Put volume remains thin compared to call volume, reinforcing a bullish sentiment despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.50062895 |
| Address1 | 1,049 Terra Bella Avenue |
| All Time High | 11.35 |
| All Time Low | 3.76 |
| Ask | 5.65 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 944,610 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,135,564 |
| Average Volume | 1,135,564 |
| Average Volume10Days | 944,610 |
| Beta | 0.452 |
| Bid | 3.23 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | -0.973 |
| City | Mountain View |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 3.9 |
| Current Ratio | 5.536 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 4.01 |
| Day Low | 3.86 |
| Debt To Equity | 139.502 |
| Display Name | Kodiak AI |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,050,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,908,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,908,800 |
| Ebitda | -145,148,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -6.217 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 126.167 |
| Enterprise Value | 902,342,848 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.56368 |
| Eps Forward | -0.77685 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.82 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 4.5955 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.6954999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15134369 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -50.062897 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 11.35 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -7.4500003 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6563877 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.76 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.1400001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.03723407 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.76 - 11.35 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,758,807,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 129,715,696 |
| Forward Eps | -0.77685 |
| Forward P E | -5.0202746 |
| Free Cashflow | -102,067,872 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 341 |
| Fullday Change | -0.0699999 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.76322 |
| Fullday Price | 3.93 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 1.0 |
| Gross Profits | 7,152,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.38009 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.44352 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 200,618,170 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-09-25 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Kodiak AI, Inc. engages in the development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services. It offers Kodiak Driver, a virtual driver that combines advanced AI-powered software with modular and vehicle-agnostic hardware designed to help address its customers. The company also provides oversight and integration tools, including Kodiak OnTime, a proprietary suite of support services and tools designed to provide smooth integration with customer operations. In addition, it delivers freight through its autonomous trucks; and offers driver-as-a-service to its customers. Kodiak AI, Inc. has strategic collaboration with General Dynamics Land Systems to create autonomous ground vehicles (AGVs) for defense applications. The company serves long-haul trucking, industrial trucking, and defense industries. Kodiak AI, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. |
| Long Name | Kodiak AI, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 782,410,880 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_576664358 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -359,080,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 795,451,044 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 4.0 |
| Operating Cashflow | -121,199,000 |
| Operating Margins | -12.48271 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 650 209 8005 |
| Post Market Change | 0.029999971 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.76923 |
| Post Market Price | 3.93 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,549 |
| Previous Close | 3.97 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -6.9188194 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | -4.008222 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 109.39749 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.374 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.0699999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.76322 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.01 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 3.86 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 3.86 - 4.01 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.0 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.97 |
| Regular Market Price | 3.9 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 687,303 |
| Return On Assets | -0.7539 |
| Revenue Growth | 5.956 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.047 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Shares Outstanding | 200,618,170 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0444 |
| Shares Short | 8,913,468 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 8,278,345 |
| Short Name | Kodiak AI, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.070199996 |
| Short Ratio | 9.3 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | KDK |
| Target High Price | 13.0 |
| Target Low Price | 8.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 11.07143 |
| Target Median Price | 12.0 |
| Total Cash | 151,056,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.753 |
| Total Debt | 47,803,000 |
| Total Revenue | 7,152,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.82 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.295525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.395525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.46542573 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 687,303 |
| Website | https://kodiak.ai |
| Zip | 94,043-7373 |