Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Mountain View, United States | NasdaqGM
4.66 USD
-0.20
(-4.115%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT
Kodiak AI presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where aggressive analyst targets and high-profile institutional buying create a dangerous illusion of opportunity for retail investors. The company is burning cash at an alarming rate, with operating cash flow of -$107 million and free cash flow of -$87 million, while trading at a negative book value and a forward P/E that is mathematically undefined due to losses. Despite the 'strong buy' analyst consensus and Cathie Wood's recent accumulation, the market has punished the stock hard, sending it down nearly 57% from its 52-week high. The options market confirms this fear, with traders stacking heavy put protection at strikes well above the current price, signaling a belief that the stock could fall significantly further rather than rally to the $12+ targets. Without a proven path to profitability or a massive revenue inflection point, the current valuation is unjustified. The short-term outlook remains bearish as the stock trades below its 50-day and 200-day averages, and the long-term fundamentals are too fragile to support a buy recommendation despite the hype. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.260004 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.260006 |
| AutoTheta | 0.267702 |
| MSTL | 0.268363 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 29% |
| H-stat | 32.98 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.240 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.23 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Revenue per Share | 0.034 |
| Market Cap | 900,082,048 |
| Forward P/E | -7.44 |
| Beta | 0.41 |
| Website | https://kodiak.ai |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:59 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes $6-$10) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call buying at distant strikes ($10+) suggesting a hope for a massive rally, the dominant theme is hedging against further decline, with implied volatility spiking on put options.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.41383648 |
| Address1 | 1,049 Terra Bella Avenue |
| All Time High | 11.35 |
| All Time Low | 4.42 |
| Ask | 5.67 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 939,950 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,206,318 |
| Average Volume | 1,206,318 |
| Average Volume10Days | 939,950 |
| Beta | 0.408 |
| Bid | 3.67 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Book Value | -1.386 |
| City | Mountain View |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.66 |
| Current Ratio | 3.686 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 4.87 |
| Day Low | 4.42 |
| Display Name | Kodiak AI |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,187,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | -127,749,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -8.116 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 249.46 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,036,755,904 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.67664 |
| Eps Forward | -0.62622 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.43 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 6.6989 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.0389004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.30436346 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -41.383648 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 11.35 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.6900005 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.58942735 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.42 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.23999977 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.05429859 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.42 - 11.35 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,758,807,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 93,326,148 |
| Forward Eps | -0.62622 |
| Forward P E | -7.441474 |
| Free Cashflow | -86,781,504 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 341 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Gross Margins | 1.0 |
| Gross Profits | 4,156,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.38241002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.32358003 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 193,150,662 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-09-25 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Kodiak AI, Inc. engages in the development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services. It offers Kodiak Driver, a virtual driver that combines advanced AI-powered software with modular and vehicle-agnostic hardware designed to help address its customers. The company also provides oversight and integration tools, including Kodiak OnTime, a proprietary suite of support services and tools designed to provide smooth integration with customer operations. In addition, it delivers freight through its autonomous trucks; and offers driver-as-a-service to its customers. Kodiak AI, Inc. has strategic collaboration with General Dynamics Land Systems to create autonomous ground vehicles (AGVs) for defense applications. The company serves long-haul trucking, industrial trucking, and defense industries. Kodiak AI, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California. |
| Long Name | Kodiak AI, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 900,082,048 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_576664358 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -436,036,992 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 900,082,084 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 4.7513 |
| Operating Cashflow | -107,430,000 |
| Operating Margins | -20.68361 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 650 209 8005 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.07089996 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -1.5214585 |
| Pre Market Price | 4.5891 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,032,282 |
| Previous Close | 4.86 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -6.886971 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | -3.362193 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 216.57413 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.522 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.2 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.11523 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.87 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.42 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.42 - 4.87 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.7513 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.86 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.66 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,801 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,430,515 |
| Return On Assets | -0.98105 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.244 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.034 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Shares Outstanding | 193,150,662 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0414 |
| Shares Short | 8,004,184 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,565,223 |
| Short Name | Kodiak AI, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.067 |
| Short Ratio | 5.29 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | KDK |
| Target High Price | 15.0 |
| Target Low Price | 11.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 12.33333 |
| Target Median Price | 12.0 |
| Total Cash | 90,192,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.491 |
| Total Debt | 47,020,000 |
| Total Revenue | 4,156,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.43 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 7.943065 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.2830653 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.41332474 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,430,515 |
| Website | https://kodiak.ai |
| Zip | 94,043-7373 |