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James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR)

Financial Services | Insurance - Specialty | Chapel Hill, United States | NasdaqGS
3.66 USD -0.05 (-1.348%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 12:06 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:57 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken by a brutal multi-year decline. The price has lost over 85% of its value in nine years, with five consecutive years of negative returns ending recently. While the balance sheet appears technically healthy with low debt-to-equity and a fortress-like current ratio, the market has clearly priced in a severe structural deterioration in the business quality, evidenced by shrinking revenues and stagnant returns on equity. Activist involvement offers a potential catalyst, but the stock is currently trading at a discount that reflects deep skepticism rather than a margin of safety. The dividend is negligible and barely covers inflation, making it irrelevant for income investors. On the short end, the heavy put positioning suggests traders expect further weakness or a slow grind lower, preventing any immediate momentum play. This is a speculative turnaround candidate, not a buy-and-hold opportunity.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.162876
AutoETS0.163188
AutoARIMA0.167045
AutoTheta0.214923

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 8.12
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.827
Excess Kurtosis -0.44
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 50.305
Revenue per Share 14.165
Market Cap 169,271,488
Trailing P/E 9.38
Forward P/E 4.06
Beta -0.17
Profit Margins 4.68%
Previous Name James River Group Holdings, Ltd.
Website https://jrvrgroup.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts at strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., $5.00 and $7.50 expiring in early 2027). This creates a dense 'wall' of resistance suggesting a belief that the stock will struggle to recover without a major catalyst, while call activity remains sparse and concentrated near the money.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.25% 0.81% 1.37% 1.40%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-15 0.01 0.253807
2026-06-08 0.01 0.251889
2026-03-13 0.01 0.156495
2025-12-15 0.01 0.147275
2025-09-15 0.01 0.189753
2025-06-09 0.01 0.170940
2025-03-10 0.01 0.254453
2024-12-16 0.01 0.216450
2024-09-16 0.05 0.751880
2024-06-10 0.05 0.646831
2024-03-08 0.05 0.531350
2023-12-08 0.05 0.553097
2023-09-08 0.05 0.346021
2023-06-09 0.05 0.247647
2023-03-10 0.05 0.223414
2022-12-09 0.05 0.223314
2022-09-09 0.05 0.206954
2022-06-10 0.05 0.200000
2022-03-11 0.05 0.237192
2021-12-10 0.30 1.202405
2021-09-10 0.30 0.873108
2021-06-11 0.30 0.837989
2021-03-12 0.30 0.632111
2020-12-11 0.30 0.641574
2020-09-11 0.30 0.636537
2020-06-12 0.30 0.717360
2020-03-13 0.30 0.860832
2019-12-13 0.30 0.716332
2019-09-13 0.30 0.604595
2019-06-07 0.30 0.646691
2018-12-13 0.30 0.819672
2018-09-07 0.30 0.721501
2018-06-08 0.30 0.751127
2018-03-09 0.30 0.863061
2017-12-14 0.80 2.017654
2017-09-08 0.30 0.764526
2017-06-08 0.30 0.768640
2017-03-09 0.30 0.722892
2016-12-14 1.65 4.318241
2016-09-08 0.20 0.543331
2016-06-09 0.20 0.574053
2016-03-10 0.20 0.650618
2015-12-10 1.16 3.735910
2015-09-10 0.16 0.572656
2015-06-11 0.16 0.664728
2015-03-12 0.16 0.702988
Additional Data
dividendYield 1.08
exDividendDate 2026-09-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.04
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010781671
lastDividendValue 0.01
lastDividendDate 2026-09-15
dividendDate 2026-09-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.30912477
Address1 1,414 Raleigh Road
Address2 Suite 405
All Time High 57.41
All Time Low 3.0
Ask 4.67
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 300,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 271,795
Average Volume 271,795
Average Volume10Days 300,800
Beta -0.17
Bid 2.63
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 11.302
City Chapel Hill
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.66
Current Ratio 4.414
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.69
Day Low 3.61
Debt To Equity 50.305
Display Name James River
Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Dividend Yield 1.08
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,451,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,451,400
Earnings Growth 0.572
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.345
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda 48,789,668
Ebitda Margins 0.07469
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.914
Enterprise To Revenue 0.666
Enterprise Value 434,903,808
Eps Current Year 0.74336
Eps Forward 0.90037
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.39
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.9394
Fifty Day Average Change -0.27939987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.070924476
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -30.912477
Fifty Two Week High 7.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.5399997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.49166664
Fifty Two Week Low 3.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3000002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.089285776
Fifty Two Week Range 3.36 - 7.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,418,394,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.44
Float Shares 40,608,503
Forward Eps 0.90037
Forward P E 4.064996
Free Cashflow 191,272,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 576
Fullday Change -0.049999952
Fullday Change Percent -1.3477076
Fullday Price 3.66
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.35426
Gross Profits 231,407,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.078889996
Held Percent Institutions 0.83981
Implied Shares Outstanding 46,249,038
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Industry Disp Insurance - Specialty
Industry Key insurance-specialty
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,789,430,400
Last Dividend Value 0.01
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary James River Group Holdings, Inc. provides specialty insurance services. It operates in Excess and Surplus Lines, and Specialty Admitted Insurance segments. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment offers commercial excess and surplus lines liability and excess property insurance products in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. This segment distributes its insurance policies primarily through wholesale insurance brokers. The Specialty Admitted Insurance segment provides insurance for fronting, program administrators, and managing general agents. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Long Name James River Group Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 169,271,488
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_276303298
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-10-14
Net Income To Common 23,682,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 178,521,286
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 3.69
Operating Cashflow 1,750,000
Operating Margins 0.08723
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.1026
Phone 919 900 1200
Prev Name James River Group Holdings, Ltd.
Previous Close 3.71
Price Eps Current Year 4.92359
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.3238365
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.25913793
Profit Margins 0.0468
Quick Ratio 0.562
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.049999952
Regular Market Change Percent -1.3477076
Regular Market Day High 3.69
Regular Market Day Low 3.61
Regular Market Day Range 3.61 - 3.69
Regular Market Open 3.69
Regular Market Previous Close 3.71
Regular Market Price 3.66
Regular Market Time 1,791,994,016
Regular Market Volume 89,059
Return On Assets 0.0061799996
Return On Equity 0.04926
Revenue Growth -0.077
Revenue Per Share 14.165
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 46,249,038
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0348
Shares Short 1,610,608
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,742,705
Short Name James River Group Holdings, Inc
Short Percent Of Float 0.040799998
Short Ratio 5.12
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol JRVR
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 4.45
Target Mean Price 4.725
Target Median Price 4.725
Total Cash 199,612,992
Total Cash Per Share 4.317
Total Debt 329,855,008
Total Revenue 653,209,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.04
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010781671
Trailing Eps 0.39
Trailing P E 9.384616
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 5.165875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.5058749
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.29150432
Type Disp Equity
Volume 89,059
Website https://jrvrgroup.com
Zip 27,517