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The St. Joe Company (JOE)

Real Estate | Real Estate - Diversified | Panama City Beach, United States | NYSE
68.42 USD +0.67 (0.984%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 12:38 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT

The St. Joe Company presents a classic 'value trap' scenario where strong historical growth masks deteriorating recent performance. While the business boasts a fortress-like balance sheet with a massive 3.8x current ratio and a healthy 23% revenue growth, the last five years tell a different story: the stock has been crushed, dropping nearly 20% in the trailing year and suffering from three consecutive years of negative annual returns. This multi-year decline suggests the market has permanently downgraded its view of the company's ability to capitalize on its land portfolio, rendering the attractive 98% dividend yield insufficient compensation for the capital destruction risk. Short-term, the technicals are neutral to slightly bearish, trading below key moving averages with no clear catalyst to reverse the downtrend immediately. The options market confirms this hesitation, with traders buying protection at lower strikes rather than betting aggressively on a bounce. Long-term, the fundamentals remain solid—low debt relative to equity and strong cash generation—but the price history indicates that the market is currently pricing in a structural deterioration rather than a temporary setback. Until the multi-year decline is arrested and replaced by a sustained period of positive annual returns, the investment case remains compromised despite the attractive yield.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.052520
AutoARIMA0.059463
AutoETS0.059463
AutoTheta0.080506

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 56%
H-stat 0.39
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.685
Excess Kurtosis -0.62
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-20
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 71.346
Revenue per Share 9.523
Market Cap 3,895,181,312
Trailing P/E 32.12
Forward P/E 622.00
Beta 1.28
Profit Margins 22.46%
Website https://www.joe.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 3:03 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 50-60) expiring in December 2026, suggesting a fear of a significant drop below current levels. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in the 70-85 range for later expirations, indicating a speculative bet on a recovery or appreciation driven by the land migration thesis, though immediate near-term call volume is thin.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.23% 0.98% 1.01% 0.95%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-21 0.160000 0.232254
2026-06-09 0.160000 0.244349
2026-03-09 0.160000 0.229029
2025-11-13 0.160000 0.273551
2025-08-22 0.140000 0.272639
2025-06-10 0.140000 0.293871
2025-03-10 0.140000 0.305610
2024-11-07 0.140000 0.264002
2024-08-09 0.140000 0.243945
2024-05-14 0.120000 0.205479
2024-03-01 0.120000 0.222222
2023-11-08 0.120000 0.239952
2023-08-10 0.120000 0.192246
2023-05-16 0.100000 0.236574
2023-03-03 0.100000 0.233973
2022-11-09 0.100000 0.291375
2022-08-11 0.100000 0.237643
2022-05-10 0.100000 0.206782
2022-03-04 0.100000 0.176367
2021-11-10 0.080000 0.156403
2021-08-12 0.080000 0.173198
2021-05-11 0.080000 0.189663
2021-03-05 0.080000 0.171196
2020-11-12 0.070000 0.239726
2007-09-12 0.160000 0.475766
2007-06-13 0.160000 0.332295
2007-03-13 0.160000 0.301602
2006-12-13 0.160000 0.295967
2006-09-13 0.160000 0.285714
2006-06-13 0.160000 0.381679
2006-03-13 0.160000 0.274914
2005-12-13 0.160000 0.237213
2005-09-13 0.160000 0.226276
2005-06-13 0.140000 0.175263
2005-03-11 0.140000 0.194715
2004-12-13 0.140000 0.249777
2004-09-13 0.140000 0.299081
2004-06-14 0.120000 0.316790
2004-03-11 0.120000 0.302191
2003-12-11 0.120000 0.349854
2003-09-12 0.120000 0.363636
2003-03-12 0.080000 0.303836
2002-03-13 0.080000 0.279330
2001-03-14 0.080000 0.379687
2000-10-10 9.386000 48.917264
2000-03-15 0.080000 0.297674
1999-03-15 0.020000 0.076923
1998-12-16 0.020000 0.083990
1998-09-11 0.020000 0.105960
1998-06-11 0.020000 0.070796
1998-03-18 0.020000 0.058076
1997-12-17 0.340000 1.083665
1997-09-17 0.016667 0.052460
1997-06-12 0.016667 0.060152
1997-03-19 3.333333 12.799998
1996-12-11 0.016667 0.077073
1996-09-11 0.016667 0.077073
1996-06-12 0.016667 0.078587
1996-03-20 0.016667 0.088302
1995-12-13 0.016667 0.091326
1995-09-13 0.016667 0.081138
1995-06-21 0.016667 0.078742
1995-03-20 0.016667 0.080973
1994-12-09 0.016667 0.086209
1994-09-12 0.016667 0.085108
1994-06-20 0.016667 0.092594
1994-03-18 0.016667 0.086958
1993-12-09 0.016667 0.095014
1993-09-09 0.016667 0.102043
1993-06-18 0.016667 0.128620
1993-03-18 0.016667 0.114615
1992-12-17 0.016667 0.133782
1992-09-17 0.016667 0.136989
1992-06-18 0.016667 0.132453
1992-03-18 0.016667 0.127391
1991-12-17 0.016667 0.172417
1991-09-09 0.016667 0.158733
1991-06-10 0.016667 0.149257
1991-03-05 0.016667 0.140848
1990-12-04 0.016667 0.169495
1990-09-04 0.016667 0.157483
1990-06-05 0.016667 0.125789
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.64
dividendYield 0.94
exDividendDate 2026-08-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.62
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.009151292
lastDividendValue 0.16
lastDividendDate 2026-08-21
dividendDate 2026-09-18

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.40764594
Address1 130 Richard Jackson Boulevard
Address2 Suite 200
All Time High 85.25
All Time Low 8.5
Ask 68.82
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 210,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 234,970
Average Volume 234,970
Average Volume10Days 210,660
Beta 1.281
Bid 68.54
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 13.414
City Panama City Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 68.42
Current Ratio 3.839
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 69.165
Day Low 67.85
Debt To Equity 71.346
Display Name St. Joe
Dividend Date 1,789,689,600
Dividend Rate 0.64
Dividend Yield 0.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,282,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,282,400
Earnings Growth 0.392
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.371
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Ebitda 211,460,000
Ebitda Margins 0.38599
Enterprise To Ebitda 20.333
Enterprise To Revenue 7.848
Enterprise Value 4,299,709,952
Eps Forward 0.11
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.13
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 66.3348
Fifty Day Average Change 2.0851974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.031434443
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 40.764595
Fifty Two Week High 73.54
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.1200027
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06962201
Fifty Two Week Low 47.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change 20.829998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.43769696
Fifty Two Week Range 47.59 - 73.54
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 638,202,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.88
Float Shares 54,801,821
Forward Eps 0.11
Forward P E 622.0
Free Cashflow 118,878,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 906
Fullday Change 0.66999817
Fullday Change Percent 0.983989
Fullday Price 68.42
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.44053
Gross Profits 241,340,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00356
Held Percent Institutions 0.89102
Implied Shares Outstanding 56,930,451
Industry Real Estate - Diversified
Industry Disp Real Estate - Diversified
Industry Key real-estate-diversified
Ir Website http://ir.joe.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,787,270,400
Last Dividend Value 0.16
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 884,649,600
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial. The Residential segment engages in the development of communities into homesites for sale to homebuilders and on a limited basis to retail customers. This segment primarily sells developed homesites, completed homes, parcels of entitled or undeveloped land or homesites, and a homesite residual on homebuilder, as well as offers marketing services. Its Hospitality segment owns and operates a private membership club, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, marinas, and other entertainment assets. This segment also engages in the hotel, food and beverage, and gulf-front vacation rental operations, as well as provides management services. The Commercial segment engages in leasing of commercial property, multi-family, a senior living community, and other assets. This segment also involved in the planning, development, entitlement, management, and sale of commercial and rural land holdings for retail, office, hotel, senior living, multi-family, self-storage, and industrial uses; and grows and sells pulpwood, sawtimber, and other forest products, as well as operates real estate brokerage, title insurance agency and insurance agency business. The St. Joe Company was incorporated in 1936 and is based in Panama City Beach, Florida.
Long Name The St. Joe Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,895,181,312
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_188196
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 123,049,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,686,853,888
Open 68.07
Operating Cashflow 216,796,000
Operating Margins 0.34486
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.2911
Peg Ratio -23.47
Phone 850 231 6400
Previous Close 67.75
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.1006413
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.110071
Profit Margins 0.22461
Quick Ratio 3.387
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.66999817
Regular Market Change Percent 0.983989
Regular Market Day High 69.165
Regular Market Day Low 67.85
Regular Market Day Range 67.85 - 69.165
Regular Market Open 68.07
Regular Market Previous Close 67.75
Regular Market Price 68.42
Regular Market Time 1,792,168,724
Regular Market Volume 57,268
Return On Assets 0.06761
Return On Equity 0.16246
Revenue Growth 0.23
Revenue Per Share 9.523
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 56,930,451
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0182
Shares Short 1,037,252
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,100,796
Short Name St. Joe Company (The)
Short Percent Of Float 0.040799998
Short Ratio 3.55
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol JOE
Total Cash 117,315,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.061
Total Debt 551,481,024
Total Revenue 547,840,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.62
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.009151292
Trailing Eps 2.13
Trailing P E 32.122063
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 65.64445
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.7755508
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.04228158
Type Disp Equity
Volume 57,268
Website https://www.joe.com
Zip 32,407