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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY)

Industrials | Airports & Air Services | Santa Cruz, United States | NYSE
6.98 USD -0.17 (-2.378%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 7.01 +0.03 (0.430%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:22 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a classic tale of massive potential versus immediate execution risk. Fundamentally, the company is burning cash with negative free cash flow and negative operating margins, trading at a premium valuation despite no earnings. However, the recent surge in stock price—driven by the Virgin Atlantic deal—has created a massive gap between the current price and the cost base, making the current valuation look cheap relative to the asset's potential if certification succeeds. The options market confirms this sentiment, with traders betting aggressively on a continued rally toward the $10-$11 range. While the statistical forecast models see no clear direction due to the noise inherent in such volatile, early-stage tech plays, the fundamental narrative of a potential 10x leap from current levels remains intact if the regulatory hurdles clear. It is a high-risk, high-reward speculative play where the downside is capped by the cash burn and the upside is theoretically unlimited.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.133349
AutoETS0.134474
AutoTheta0.154876
MSTL0.156768

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 1.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.472
Excess Kurtosis -0.69
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 42.322
Revenue per Share 0.127
Market Cap 6,904,087,040
Forward P/E -10.82
Beta 2.70
Website https://www.jobyaviation.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:22 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, with open interest overwhelmingly concentrated in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $9.00 to $11.00) across nearly all expirations. This suggests a bullish bet on a significant price surge, likely driven by the Virgin Atlantic partnership and certification milestones. Conversely, put activity is clustered near the money ($6.50-$8.00), indicating a hedge against volatility or a floor rather than a bearish thesis. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, pricing in a binary event outcome.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.46562034
Address1 333 Encinal Street
All Time High 20.95
All Time Low 3.15
Ask 6.99
Ask Size 2,500
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 22,825,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 39,373,703
Average Volume 39,373,703
Average Volume10Days 22,825,120
Beta 2.698
Bid 6.99
Bid Size 11,400
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.791
City Santa Cruz
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 6.98
Current Ratio 17.975
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 7.18
Day Low 6.89
Debt To Equity 42.322
Display Name Joby Aviation
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,963,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,963,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda -838,780,032
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -6.424
Enterprise To Revenue 46.33
Enterprise Value 5,387,974,144
Eps Current Year -0.99
Eps Forward -0.645
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.96
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 8.0086
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0286002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12843695
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -46.562035
Fifty Two Week High 19.98
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.0
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6506507
Fifty Two Week Low 6.63
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3499999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.052790333
Fifty Two Week Range 6.63 - 19.98
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,604,932,200,000
Float Shares 669,004,069
Forward Eps -0.645
Forward P E -10.821706
Free Cashflow -436,446,240
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,559
Fullday Change -0.17
Fullday Change Percent -2.37762
Fullday Price 7.01
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.34289002
Gross Profits 39,876,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32407
Held Percent Institutions 0.45907003
Implied Shares Outstanding 989,124,237
Industry Airports & Air Services
Industry Disp Airports & Air Services
Industry Key airports-air-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Joby Aviation, Inc., an air mobility company, engages in research, develop, test, manufacture, and sale of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft in the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers facilitation of passenger transportation via helicopter or fixed wing aircraft. It is also involved in the provision of government flight services, customer demonstration, and engineering services; and exhibition activities. Joby Aviation, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.
Long Name Joby Aviation, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,904,087,040
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_551384045
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -878,155,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,072,238,294
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 7.15
Operating Cashflow -609,942,016
Operating Margins -6.75181
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 831 201 6700
Post Market Change 0.03000021
Post Market Change Percent 0.42980242
Post Market Price 7.01
Post Market Time 1,787,961,588
Previous Close 7.15
Price Eps Current Year -7.050505
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.897264
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 59.367016
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 17.665
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.17
Regular Market Change Percent -2.37762
Regular Market Day High 7.18
Regular Market Day Low 6.89
Regular Market Day Range 6.89 - 7.18
Regular Market Open 7.15
Regular Market Previous Close 7.15
Regular Market Price 6.98
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 26,950,204
Return On Assets -0.27508
Return On Equity -0.65902
Revenue Growth 2,574.933
Revenue Per Share 0.127
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 989,124,237
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1033
Shares Short 102,159,688
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 109,764,445
Short Name Joby Aviation, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.15439999
Short Ratio 2.29
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol JOBY
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 6.0
Target Mean Price 10.67556
Target Median Price 11.5
Total Cash 2,263,825,920
Total Cash Per Share 2.289
Total Debt 747,713,024
Total Revenue 116,295,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.96
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 10.6051
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.6250997
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.34182608
Type Disp Equity
Volume 26,950,204
Website https://www.jobyaviation.com
Zip 95,060