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JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK)

Consumer Cyclical | Leisure | Santa Monica, United States | NasdaqGS
22.80 USD +0.16 (0.707%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 11:36 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:01 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is defined by a classic 'strangle' setup where traders are betting on a violent move away from the current $22.73 price. The heavy call volume at $30 and aggressive put buying at $25 suggest the market expects a binary event—likely earnings or a major licensing deal—to trigger a 15-20% swing. While the technicals show a recent bounce off the 200-day average, the underlying business remains fragile. Revenue is contracting at nearly 6%, operating margins are deeply negative, and the company is burning cash despite a modest dividend. The high forward P/E implies analysts expect a massive turnaround, but the lack of free cash flow and the recent share count dilution (implied by the low book value relative to price) make this a high-risk speculative play rather than a solid investment. The short-term catalyst could spark a rally, but the long-term fundamentals do not yet support a premium valuation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.025006
AutoTheta0.025173
AutoARIMA0.027485
AutoETS0.027486
MSTL_630.033885
MSTL_1050.040600
MSTL_63_1050.066595

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 1.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.200
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-28
Debt to Equity Ratio 20.674
Revenue per Share 50.077
Market Cap 260,932,560
Trailing P/E 32.57
Forward P/E 6.97
Beta 1.44
Profit Margins 1.41%
Website https://www.jakks.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile breakout above $25, evidenced by heavy volume in July calls at the $30 strike and massive put buying at the $25 strike for immediate expiration. This creates a 'strangle' scenario where traders bet on a sharp move in either direction, likely driven by upcoming earnings or product announcements, rather than a steady trend.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.13% 5.20% 2.46% 1.47%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-29 0.25 1.131734
2026-02-27 0.25 1.143641
2025-11-28 0.25 1.521607
2025-08-29 0.25 1.406865
2025-05-30 0.25 1.241928
2025-03-03 0.25 0.928333
2013-06-12 0.70 0.703518
2013-03-13 0.70 0.644567
2012-12-12 1.00 0.805802
2012-09-12 1.00 0.622665
2012-06-13 1.00 0.543183
2012-03-13 1.00 0.597372
2011-12-13 1.00 0.574053
2011-09-13 1.00 0.625000
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.0
dividendYield 4.4
exDividendDate 2026-05-29
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.044169612
lastDividendValue 0.25
lastDividendDate 2026-05-29
dividendDate 2026-06-29

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.18472004
Address1 2,951 28th Street
All Time High 314.2
All Time Low 3.0
Ask 29.29
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 51,050
Average Daily Volume3 Month 54,801
Average Volume 54,801
Average Volume10Days 51,050
Beta 1.435
Bid 16.24
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 21.144
City Santa Monica
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 22.8
Current Ratio 1.955
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 23.4199
Day Low 22.58
Debt To Equity 20.674
Display Name JAKKS Pacific
Dividend Date 1,782,691,200
Dividend Rate 1.0
Dividend Yield 4.4
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,840,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,840,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Ebitda 23,105,000
Ebitda Margins 0.040960003
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.659
Enterprise To Revenue 0.437
Enterprise Value 246,280,464
Eps Current Year 2.215
Eps Forward 3.27
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.7
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.3804
Fifty Day Average Change 0.41959953
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.018748527
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 18.472004
Fifty Two Week High 24.45
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.6500015
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.06748472
Fifty Two Week Low 14.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.9299994
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5332885
Fifty Two Week Range 14.87 - 24.45
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 831,043,800,000
Float Shares 9,059,281
Forward Eps 3.27
Forward P E 6.972477
Free Cashflow 13,438,625
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 652
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.34017
Gross Profits 191,886,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.20841
Held Percent Institutions 0.66119003
Implied Shares Outstanding 11,444,411
Industry Leisure
Industry Disp Leisure
Industry Key leisure
Ir Website http://www.jakks.com/investors-overview.html
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,012,800
Last Dividend Value 0.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,594,339,200
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary JAKKS Pacific, Inc. designs, produces, markets, sells, and distributes toys and related products, consumer and electronic products, kids indoor and outdoor furniture, costumes, and sporting goods and home furnishings space products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. The company offers action figures and accessories, such as licensed characters; toy vehicles; dolls and accessories, including small, large, fashion, and baby dolls based on licenses, as well as infant and pre-school products; private label products; and foot-to-floor ride-on products. The company also provides role play, dress-up, pretend play, and novelty products for boys and girls based on brands and entertainment properties, as well as on its own proprietary brands; and indoor and outdoor kids' furniture, activity trays and tables, room décor, and seasonal and outdoor products. In addition, it offers Halloween and everyday costumes for various ages based on licensed and proprietary non-licensed brands, and related Halloween accessories; outdoor activity toys; junior sports toys, including hyper-charged balls, sport sets, and toy hoops; and board games. The company sells its products through in-house sales staff and independent sales representatives to toy and mass-market retail chain stores, department stores, office supply stores, drug and grocery store chains, club stores, value-oriented dollar stores, toy specialty stores, and wholesalers. The company's proprietary brands include Fly Wheels, Perfectly Cute, ReDo Skateboard Co., AirTitans, Sky Ball, JAKKS Wild Games, Xtreme Power Dump Truck, XPV, Moose Mountain, Maui, SportsZone, Charming, KidTopia, Xtreme Power Dozer, and Disguise. JAKKS Pacific, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, California.
Long Name JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 260,932,560
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_371382
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 7,973,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 259,101,465
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 23.14
Operating Cashflow 31,987,000
Operating Margins -0.052249998
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 1.4286
Peg Ratio 1.59
Phone 424 268 9444
Previous Close 22.64
Price Eps Current Year 10.293454
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0783201
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.46256927
Profit Margins 0.01413
Quick Ratio 1.352
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.15999985
Regular Market Change Percent 0.70671314
Regular Market Day High 23.4199
Regular Market Day Low 22.58
Regular Market Day Range 22.58 - 23.4199
Regular Market Open 23.14
Regular Market Previous Close 22.64
Regular Market Price 22.8
Regular Market Time 1,784,043,404
Regular Market Volume 8,432
Return On Assets 0.01922
Return On Equity 0.03343
Revenue Growth -0.058
Revenue Per Share 50.077
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 11,444,411
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.041199997
Shares Short 471,429
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 428,801
Short Name JAKKS Pacific, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.043
Short Ratio 8.25
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol JAKK
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 27.0
Target Mean Price 28.5
Target Median Price 28.5
Total Cash 62,849,000
Total Cash Per Share 5.492
Total Debt 50,028,000
Total Revenue 564,094,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.044169612
Trailing Eps 0.7
Trailing P E 32.571426
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 19.6932
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.1068
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15776005
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,432
Website https://www.jakks.com
Zip 90,405