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Invivyd, Inc. (IVVD)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | New Haven, United States | NasdaqGM
0.79 USD +0.00 (0.523%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 0.79 +0.00 (0.317%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 6:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:57 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Invivyd is currently defined by a severe disconnect between optimistic analyst targets and the brutal reality of its financial performance. While analysts project a tenfold increase to $10.00, the company is burning through cash at an alarming rate, reporting negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, alongside a triple-digit decline in stock price over the last three years. The market has correctly identified this as a value trap; despite the 'strong buy' recommendation, the fundamentals—negative earnings, shrinking revenue growth, and a deteriorating balance sheet—do not support a premium valuation. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying puts to hedge against further collapse rather than betting on a rebound. Until the company demonstrates a clear path to profitability and stabilizes its cash burn, the risk of permanent capital loss outweighs the speculative upside.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.344177
AutoETS0.345187
AutoTheta0.345260
AutoARIMA0.345942

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 27%
H-stat 5.81
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.274
Excess Kurtosis -0.56
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.248
Revenue per Share 0.254
Market Cap 232,003,376
Forward P/E -1.36
Beta 0.67
Profit Margins -138.90%
Previous Name Adagio Therapeutics, Inc.
Website https://www.invivyd.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest dominates across nearly all expirations, with massive concentration in strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., deep OTM puts at $0.50 and ATM puts at $1.00). Call activity is sparse and concentrated in very distant strikes ($5.00), suggesting a speculative 'lottery ticket' mentality rather than a genuine belief in near-term recovery. Implied volatility is elevated on downside strikes, indicating the market prices in a high probability of further decline.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.07702887
Address1 209 Church Street
All Time High 78.82
All Time Low 0.355
Ask 1.0
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,408,030
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,148,081
Average Volume 4,148,081
Average Volume10Days 6,408,030
Beta 0.671
Bid 0.581
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.718
City New Haven
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.7875
Current Ratio 6.473
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 0.8359
Day Low 0.7701
Debt To Equity 4.248
Display Name Invivyd
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,761,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,624,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,624,200
Ebitda -81,157,000
Ebitda Margins -1.4527099
Enterprise To Ebitda -0.696
Enterprise To Revenue 1.011
Enterprise Value 56,476,368
Eps Current Year -0.53
Eps Forward -0.58
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.29
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.08814
Fifty Day Average Change -0.30064
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.27628797
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.702887
Fifty Two Week High 3.07
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2824998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7434853
Fifty Two Week Low 0.483
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3045
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6304348
Fifty Two Week Range 0.483 - 3.07
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,628,256,600,000
Float Shares 214,303,353
Forward Eps -0.58
Forward P E -1.3577588
Free Cashflow -50,099,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 122
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.92938006
Gross Profits 51,921,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.070700005
Held Percent Institutions 0.83893996
Implied Shares Outstanding 294,607,452
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Invivyd, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, commercialization, and sale of antibody therapies for the prevention and treatment of viral infectious diseases in the United States. The company offers Pemivibart, a half-life extended investigational monoclonal antibody for the pre-exposure prophylaxis prevention of COVID-19 in adults and adolescents through injection under the PEMGARDA brand. It also develops VYD2311, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the prevention and treatment of SARS-CoV-2 virus; and VBY329, a monoclonal antibody, which is in pre-clinical trial stage for the prevention and treatment of respiratory syncytial virus and measles in neonates, infants, and children. It has a collaboration agreement with Adimab, LLC for the discovery and optimization of proprietary antibodies. The company was formerly known as Adagio Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Invivyd, Inc. in September 2022. Invivyd, Inc. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in New Haven, Connecticut.
Long Name Invivyd, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 232,003,376
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_677282690
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common -77,600,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 231,679,300
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 0.8095
Operating Cashflow -78,718,000
Operating Margins -3.13853
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 781 819 0080
Post Market Change 0.0024999976
Post Market Change Percent 0.31746
Post Market Price 0.79
Post Market Time 1,783,982,516
Prev Name Adagio Therapeutics, Inc.
Previous Close 0.7834
Price Eps Current Year -1.4858491
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.0967968
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 4.1528544
Profit Margins -1.3890401
Quick Ratio 6.203
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.00410002
Regular Market Change Percent 0.523363
Regular Market Day High 0.8359
Regular Market Day Low 0.7701
Regular Market Day Range 0.7701 - 0.8359
Regular Market Open 0.8095
Regular Market Previous Close 0.7834
Regular Market Price 0.7875
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 2,450,939
Return On Assets -0.29587
Return On Equity -0.60342
Revenue Growth 0.216
Revenue Per Share 0.254
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Shares Outstanding 294,607,452
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.093100004
Shares Short 27,441,668
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 30,932,931
Short Name Invivyd, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1029
Short Ratio 4.06
Source Interval 15
State CT
Symbol IVVD
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 10.0
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 184,152,992
Total Cash Per Share 0.625
Total Debt 8,626,000
Total Revenue 55,866,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.29
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.67831
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.89081
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.530778
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,450,939
Website https://www.invivyd.com
Zip 6,510