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Samsara Inc. (IOT)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
42.59 USD +1.79 (4.387%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT

Samsara presents a classic high-risk, high-reward turnaround story with a massive divergence between its operational recovery and its valuation metrics. Fundamentally, the company has executed a remarkable comeback, surging nearly 200% over the last three years and demonstrating robust revenue growth of nearly 30%. The balance sheet is pristine, with negligible debt and strong free cash flow generation, which validates the business quality despite the lofty price-to-sales multiple. However, the stock remains priced for perfection with a trailing P/E of nearly 300x, reflecting the market's skepticism about sustaining such hyper-growth rates. Technically, the stock has reclaimed key moving averages, signaling a shift in momentum from the previous year's decline. Yet, the options market tells a tale of uncertainty; while traders are buying calls for a potential surge to the $50s, they are simultaneously stacking up deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a volatile environment where a sharp correction is always priced in. With no dividend to provide a floor, investors are entirely reliant on capital appreciation. This makes it a speculative play suitable for those who believe the AI infrastructure narrative will continue to drive top-line expansion, but it lacks the safety margin required for a conservative long-term hold.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.079498
AutoETS0.095964
AutoTheta0.108433
AutoARIMA0.137628

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 1.27
Ljung-Box p 0.003
Jarque-Bera p 0.548
Excess Kurtosis 0.08
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.338
Revenue per Share 3.185
Market Cap 24,940,924,928
Trailing P/E 304.21
Forward P/E 44.93
Beta 1.35
Profit Margins 4.90%
Website https://www.samsara.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call open interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) with massive walls at strikes like 45, 50, and 55, suggesting a bullish bias for a move above current levels. However, put volume and open interest are equally aggressive, particularly at lower strikes (15-30 range) where IV spikes indicate hedging or contrarian bets against a drop. The imbalance in OTM call OI suggests the market expects a rally, but the heavy put activity acts as a significant resistance ceiling.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.11658454
Address1 1 De Haro Street
All Time High 61.9
All Time Low 8.42
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,545,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,954,866
Average Volume 5,954,866
Average Volume10Days 4,545,640
Beta 1.352
Bid 42.55
Bid Size 600
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.737
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 42.59
Current Ratio 1.625
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 42.97
Day Low 39.9567
Debt To Equity 4.338
Display Name Samsara
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,788,469,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,788,469,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,788,465,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,796,328,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,796,328,000
Ebitda 31,414,000
Ebitda Margins 0.017
Enterprise To Ebitda 769.768
Enterprise To Revenue 13.088
Enterprise Value 24,181,489,664
Eps Current Year 0.77089
Eps Forward 0.94792
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 39.8464
Fifty Day Average Change 2.743599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06885437
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 11.658454
Fifty Two Week High 47.47
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.880001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10280179
Fifty Two Week Low 23.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.210001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.8216425
Fifty Two Week Range 23.38 - 47.47
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,639,578,600,000
Float Shares 367,215,458
Forward Eps 0.94792
Forward P E 44.92995
Free Cashflow 260,455,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,100
Fullday Change 1.7999992
Fullday Change Percent 4.411763
Fullday Price 42.59
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.76432
Gross Profits 1,412,115,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03765
Held Percent Institutions 1.08077
Implied Shares Outstanding 585,605,209
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-12-15
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy. Its applications include video-based safety; and telematics, which provides visibility into real-time vehicle location and diagnostics with GPS tracking, routing and dispatch, fuel management, driver recognition, electric vehicle usage and charge planning, preventative maintenance, and insights to manage fuel and energy costs. The company also provides site visibility that provides remote visibility into sites to enhance onsite security, safety, and incident response times. It serves transportation, construction, wholesale and retail trade, field services, logistics, manufacturing, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, food and beverage, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Samsara Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 24,940,924,928
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_301743802
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,542,400
Net Income To Common 90,554,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 22,885,451,566
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 40.4
Operating Cashflow 288,374,016
Operating Margins 0.00959
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 985 2400
Previous Close 40.8
Price Eps Current Year 55.24783
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 15.560833
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 13.499444
Profit Margins 0.04901
Quick Ratio 1.214
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.53846
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.79
Regular Market Change Percent 4.38726
Regular Market Day High 42.97
Regular Market Day Low 39.9567
Regular Market Day Range 39.9567 - 42.97
Regular Market Open 40.4
Regular Market Previous Close 40.8
Regular Market Price 42.59
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,402
Regular Market Volume 3,214,869
Return On Assets 0.00487
Return On Equity 0.0643
Revenue Growth 0.299
Revenue Per Share 3.185
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 380,273,036
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.054
Shares Short 31,612,009
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 28,863,883
Short Name Samsara Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.09770001
Short Ratio 4.1
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol IOT
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 39.0
Target Mean Price 52.06667
Target Median Price 52.5
Total Cash 828,928,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.416
Total Debt 69,492,000
Total Revenue 1,847,552,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.14
Trailing P E 304.2143
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.78075
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.80925
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.2607772
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,214,869
Website https://www.samsara.com
Zip 94,107