Samsara Inc. (IOT)Technology | Software - Infrastructure | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
41.16 USD
-0.71
(-1.696%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 41.07 -0.09 (-0.086%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:28 a.m. EDT
Samsara presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally improving software business trapped in a speculative valuation gap. The core thesis is strong; revenue is growing at a robust 30.5%, gross margins are healthy at 76%, and the company has generated free cash flow while maintaining a fortress-like balance sheet with minimal debt. This operational excellence justifies a 'solid buy' stance for the long term, though the current price-to-sales multiple of 13.5x suggests the market is pricing in perfection rather than progress. The short-term outlook is more nuanced. While the stock has reclaimed key moving averages and shows positive momentum, the statistical forecasting model offers no directional edge, indicating the recent rally may be noise. More importantly, the options chain reveals a 'bull trap' setup: heavy call buying targets a move to $45+, but the massive put volume at lower strikes ($15-$30) acts as a psychological ceiling. If earnings miss or guidance slows, the lack of a deep value floor could trigger a rapid repricing. Given the strong fundamentals but the precarious technical setup and lack of statistical certainty, I rate this as a 3.5 for both short and long terms. It is a high-conviction hold for those comfortable with volatility, but not yet a 'buy the dip' opportunity until the price action clears the $45 resistance with volume. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.086869 |
| AutoTheta | 0.099704 |
| AutoETS | 0.103341 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.114164 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 0.31 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.216 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.12 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 4.578 |
| Revenue per Share | 2.999 |
| Market Cap | 23,984,347,136 |
| Trailing P/E | 411.60 |
| Forward P/E | 45.41 |
| Beta | 1.34 |
| Profit Margins | 3.32% |
| Website | https://www.samsara.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:28 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile breakout above the $45-$47 resistance zone, evidenced by massive open interest walls at $45 and $47 in October expirations. However, there is significant hedging activity with deep out-of-the-money put walls at $15-$30, suggesting a fear of a sharp correction if the stock fails to sustain its recent gains. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting uncertainty around the upcoming earnings catalyst.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.17976892 |
| Address1 | 1 De Haro Street |
| All Time High | 61.9 |
| All Time Low | 8.42 |
| Ask | 42.5 |
| Ask Size | 500 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,569,130 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,029,591 |
| Average Volume | 6,029,591 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,569,130 |
| Beta | 1.336 |
| Bid | 41.16 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 2.587 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 8 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 41.16 |
| Current Ratio | 1.621 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 42.63 |
| Day Low | 41.075 |
| Debt To Equity | 4.578 |
| Display Name | Samsara |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,788,465,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,788,465,600 |
| Ebitda | -1,292,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.00075 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -17,994.62 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 13.434 |
| Enterprise Value | 23,249,047,552 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.71585 |
| Eps Forward | 0.90647 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.1 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 36.6152 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 4.5448 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.12412331 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 17.976892 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 47.47 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.3100014 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.13292608 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 23.38 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 17.78 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.7604791 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 23.38 - 47.47 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,639,578,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 359,252,420 |
| Forward Eps | 0.90647 |
| Forward P E | 45.406906 |
| Free Cashflow | 242,680,256 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 4,100 |
| Fullday Change | -0.709999 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -1.69572 |
| Fullday Price | 41.0741 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.76298 |
| Gross Profits | 1,320,413,952 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.038680002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.1006199 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 582,710,082 |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Disp | Software - Infrastructure |
| Industry Key | software-infrastructure |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-12-15 |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,817,600 |
| Long Business Summary | Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy. Its applications include video-based safety; and telematics, which provides visibility into real-time vehicle location and diagnostics with GPS tracking, routing and dispatch, fuel management, driver recognition, electric vehicle usage and charge planning, preventative maintenance, and insights to manage fuel and energy costs. The company also provides site visibility that provides remote visibility into sites to enhance onsite security, safety, and incident response times. It serves transportation, construction, wholesale and retail trade, field services, logistics, manufacturing, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, food and beverage, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | Samsara Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 23,984,347,136 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_301743802 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,680,000 |
| Net Income To Common | 57,512,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,801,353,600 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 24,398,071,132 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 22 |
| Open | 41.74 |
| Operating Cashflow | 265,011,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.01503 |
| Overall Risk | 8 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 415 985 2400 |
| Post Market Change | -0.08589935 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.20869619 |
| Post Market Price | 41.0741 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,600 |
| Previous Close | 41.87 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 57.49808 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 15.910321 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 13.859018 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03323 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.202 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.58333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.709999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.69572 |
| Regular Market Day High | 42.63 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 41.075 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 41.075 - 42.63 |
| Regular Market Open | 41.74 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 41.87 |
| Regular Market Price | 41.16 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,202 |
| Regular Market Volume | 4,636,358 |
| Return On Assets | -0.0032300001 |
| Return On Equity | 0.043649998 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.305 |
| Revenue Per Share | 2.999 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 372,784,485 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0493 |
| Shares Short | 28,708,777 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 39,918,884 |
| Short Name | Samsara Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0908 |
| Short Ratio | 5.4 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | IOT |
| Target High Price | 57.6 |
| Target Low Price | 38.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 45.66364 |
| Target Median Price | 45.5 |
| Total Cash | 804,318,976 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.38 |
| Total Debt | 69,020,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,730,594,944 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.1 |
| Trailing P E | 411.6 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 33.62725 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 7.532749 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.2240073 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 4,636,358 |
| Website | https://www.samsara.com |
| Zip | 94,107 |