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Samsara Inc. (IOT)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | San Francisco, United States | NYSE
36.83 USD +0.11 (0.300%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 36.00 -0.83 (-0.830%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:04 a.m. EDT

Samsara presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally improving business trading at a discount to its growth potential, yet weighed down by insider selling and a lack of income generation. The long-term outlook is solid; the company has delivered a spectacular 173% cumulative gain over the last three years, with revenue growing 30.5% annually and gross margins expanding to 76%. It is not a value trap, but rather a high-quality compounder currently priced for perfection. However, the short-term picture is clouded by significant insider activity, including the CEO offloading nearly $10 million in shares, which creates a ceiling on immediate optimism despite the bullish technical setup. Furthermore, the absence of any dividend yield makes it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. The options market agrees with the bullish thesis, with heavy call positioning targeting a move toward the $45-$50 range. For growth investors comfortable with volatility and ignoring the insider sales, the risk-reward profile looks attractive, but the lack of a safety net in the form of dividends or insider retention warrants caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.180991
AutoETS0.181018
AutoARIMA0.182677
MSTL_1140.189065
MSTL0.189456
MSTL_720.245652
MSTL_72_1140.248950

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 3.82
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.113
Excess Kurtosis -0.60
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.578
Revenue per Share 2.999
Market Cap 21,461,213,184
Trailing P/E 368.30
Forward P/E 41.15
Beta 1.35
Profit Margins 3.32%
Website https://www.samsara.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:04 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 40-55) and significant volume spikes at strikes 43, 44, and 50. While there is a defensive put wall around the 22-30 range, the overwhelming capital allocation is on the right side, suggesting a belief in a breakout above current levels. Implied volatility remains elevated but stable, indicating anticipation of continued movement rather than a crash.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.0223642
Address1 1 De Haro Street
All Time High 61.9
All Time Low 8.42
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,822,060
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,193,593
Average Volume 6,193,593
Average Volume10Days 5,822,060
Beta 1.35
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.587
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.83
Current Ratio 1.621
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 38.24
Day Low 36.5
Debt To Equity 4.578
Display Name Samsara
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,780,606,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,780,606,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,780,603,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,465,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,465,600
Ebitda -1,292,000
Ebitda Margins -0.00075
Enterprise To Ebitda -16,041.729
Enterprise To Revenue 11.976
Enterprise Value 20,725,913,600
Eps Current Year 0.70783
Eps Forward 0.89494
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.1
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 32.2318
Fifty Day Average Change 4.5982018
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.14266041
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.23642
Fifty Two Week High 47.47
Fifty Two Week High Change -10.639999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22414154
Fifty Two Week Low 23.38
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.450003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.57527816
Fifty Two Week Range 23.38 - 47.47
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,639,578,600,000
Float Shares 357,504,290
Forward Eps 0.89494
Forward P E 41.1536
Free Cashflow 242,680,256
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 4,100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.76298
Gross Profits 1,320,413,952
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03867
Held Percent Institutions 1.02747
Implied Shares Outstanding 582,710,082
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-12-15
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy. Its applications include video-based safety; and telematics, which provides visibility into real-time vehicle location and diagnostics with GPS tracking, routing and dispatch, fuel management, driver recognition, electric vehicle usage and charge planning, preventative maintenance, and insights to manage fuel and energy costs. The company also provides site visibility that provides remote visibility into sites to enhance onsite security, safety, and incident response times. It serves transportation, construction, wholesale and retail trade, field services, logistics, manufacturing, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, food and beverage, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Samsara Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 21,461,213,184
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_301743802
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common 57,512,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 21,397,114,210
Number Of Analyst Opinions 20
Open 37.2
Operating Cashflow 265,011,008
Operating Margins 0.01503
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 985 2400
Post Market Change -0.83000183
Post Market Change Percent -2.2536025
Post Market Price 36.0
Post Market Time 1,783,986,880
Previous Close 36.72
Price Eps Current Year 52.03227
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 14.236568
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 12.401061
Profit Margins 0.03323
Quick Ratio 1.202
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.59091
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.110001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.299566
Regular Market Day High 38.24
Regular Market Day Low 36.5
Regular Market Day Range 36.5 - 38.24
Regular Market Open 37.2
Regular Market Previous Close 36.72
Regular Market Price 36.83
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 5,663,845
Return On Assets -0.0032300001
Return On Equity 0.043649998
Revenue Growth 0.305
Revenue Per Share 2.999
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 372,784,485
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0723
Shares Short 42,153,311
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 41,263,334
Short Name Samsara Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.13340001
Short Ratio 5.48
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol IOT
Target High Price 57.6
Target Low Price 30.0
Target Mean Price 44.78
Target Median Price 44.5
Total Cash 804,318,976
Total Cash Per Share 1.38
Total Debt 69,020,000
Total Revenue 1,730,594,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.1
Trailing P E 368.30002
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 33.7033
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.1267014
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.092771366
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,663,845
Website https://www.samsara.com
Zip 94,107