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Defiance Daily Target 2X Short IONQ ETF (IONZ)

Trading--Inverse Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
6.74 USD -0.46 (-6.389%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 6.82 +0.08 (1.191%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★★ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:57 a.m. EDT

IONZ is a dangerous instrument for retail due to its lack of dividends, massive decay, and current severe downside momentum. The recent price action shows a catastrophic drop from ~$29.88 to ~$6.74 in two weeks—a roughly 77% decline for a 2x short fund. This implies the underlying IONQ dropped ~38%, likely due to the 'Big Tech Woes' mentioned in news, specifically concerning Quantum's competition or AI catalysts. While the fund is mathematically 'winning' on paper against its inverse benchmark, the current price level is 93% below its 50-day average ($22.59) and trading at the 52-week low. There is no fundamental support; it is a valueless leveraged note on a volatile tech theme. The options market is positioning for further drops in the underlying or further spikes in volatility, both of which maintain the pressure on IONZ prices. Holders are gambling on a short-term fee-grind; they are being decimated by the compounding leverage.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.275152
AutoARIMA0.275158
MSTL0.291106
AutoTheta0.409685

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 1.17
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.91

As of April 19, 2026, 12:57 a.m. EDT: There is a massive bearish sentiment expressed in options flow. Puts show overwhelming 'ITM positioning' vs Calls, which is atypical for a standard bearish setup on this inverse ETF (which already profits from declines). The imbalance suggests speculators are positioned to profit if the *underlying* (IONQ) rallies significantly, thereby causing IONZ to crash deeper, or they are heavy sellers of the underlying volatility. Specifically, there is new, high-volume flow into far-out-of-the-money puts (Strikes 35-40 with massive volume) and distant-dated long-dated puts, indicating a strong hedge or gamble against a recovery in the underlying sector. The ATM IV on Calls is low (0.13 vs 0.25 on Puts), while OTM IV is elevated, highlighting skew favoring downside protection.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 137.712
All Time Low 6.55
Ask 6.78
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 9,009,900
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,922,196
Average Volume 2,922,196
Average Volume10Days 9,009,900
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 6.68
Bid Size 1
Category Trading--Inverse Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 7.44
Day Low 6.5503
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 22.1496
Fifty Day Average Change -15.409599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.6957056
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -94.47233
Fifty Two Week High 137.712
Fifty Two Week High Change -130.972
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.95105726
Fifty Two Week Low 6.55
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.18999958
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.029007569
Fifty Two Week Range 6.55 - 137.712
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,750,771,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,750,636,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-06-24
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund that attempts to achieve 2 times the inverse (-200%) of the daily percentage change in the price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Short IONQ ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1935475727
Nav Price 6.7382
Net Assets 16,998,854.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.29
Open 7.29
Post Market Change 0.08030033
Post Market Change Percent 1.1913996
Post Market Price 6.8203
Post Market Time 1,776,470,393
Previous Close 7.2
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.46
Regular Market Change Percent -6.38889
Regular Market Day High 7.44
Regular Market Day Low 6.5503
Regular Market Day Range 6.5503 - 7.44
Regular Market Open 7.29
Regular Market Previous Close 7.2
Regular Market Price 6.74
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 15,790,259
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2x Short
Source Interval 15
Symbol IONZ
Total Assets 16,998,854
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 8.83369
Trailing Three Month Returns 8.83369
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 40.2924
Two Hundred Day Average Change -33.5524
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.8327228
Type Disp ETF
Volume 15,790,259
Ytd Return 8.83369