Innventure, Inc. (INV)Financial Services | Asset Management | Orlando, United States | NasdaqGM
4.47 USD
-0.55
(-10.878%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:32 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Innventure is currently broken by a catastrophic failure in execution and capital preservation. The company has delivered a brutal -57% return over the last fiscal year, dragging the three-year trajectory down by more than half. Fundamentally, the business is bleeding cash with negative operating margins and a massive hole in free cash flow, while the balance sheet is fragile with debt-to-equity exceeding 5x. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst rating, this appears to be a disconnect where analysts are pricing in a turnaround that the market has already rejected via the stock's collapse. The options market confirms this pessimism, with heavy put buying at the $2.50 level acting as a floor for a potential further decline. There is no dividend to provide income, and the recent price action shows continued weakness, trading well below its 50-day average. This is a deep value trap where the fundamentals are deteriorating faster than any potential turnaround could occur. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.098053 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.107907 |
| AutoETS | 0.108428 |
| MSTL | 0.115898 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 31% |
| H-stat | 5.13 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.264 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.74 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.361 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.053 |
| Market Cap | 375,259,840 |
| Forward P/E | -74.42 |
| Beta | 0.38 |
| Website | https://www.innventure.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside event rather than a rally. Put open interest is heavily skewed toward lower strikes ($2.50 and $5.00), with massive volume at the $2.50 strike for November expiration, suggesting a 'pin risk' or crash scenario is priced in. Conversely, call open interest is concentrated at high strikes ($12.50 and $10.00), indicating a speculative bet on a massive recovery to double or triple the current price, but this is outweighed by the defensive put writing.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.014170051 |
| Address1 | 6,900 Tavistock Lakes Boulevard |
| Address2 | Suite 400 |
| All Time High | 18.75 |
| All Time Low | 2.36 |
| Ask | 5.68 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,767,930 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,343,798 |
| Average Volume | 2,343,798 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,767,930 |
| Beta | 0.381 |
| Bid | 3.53 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 8 |
| Book Value | 2.79 |
| City | Orlando |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 4.465 |
| Current Ratio | 1.367 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 4.9599 |
| Day Low | 4.4301 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.361 |
| Display Name | Innventure |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,792,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,792,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,788,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,651,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,651,200 |
| Ebitda | -94,825,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -6.552 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 189.71 |
| Enterprise Value | 621,301,824 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.62 |
| Eps Forward | -0.06 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.56 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.9764 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.5113997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.25289467 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 1.4170051 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 7.86 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.395 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.43193382 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.36 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.1050003 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.8919493 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.36 - 7.86 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,638,196,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 68,293,081 |
| Forward Eps | -0.06 |
| Forward P E | -74.41667 |
| Free Cashflow | -54,466,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Full Time Employees | 169 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0 |
| Gross Profits | -20,624,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.31863 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.31370002 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 84,044,748 |
| Industry | Asset Management |
| Industry Disp | Asset Management |
| Industry Key | asset-management |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Innventure, Inc. identifies, funds, and operates companies with a focus on sustainable technology solutions acquired or licensed from multinational corporations. Innventure, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. |
| Long Name | Innventure, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 375,259,840 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_30795 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -171,024,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 375,259,799 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 4.93 |
| Operating Cashflow | -100,018,000 |
| Operating Margins | -18.91684 |
| Overall Risk | 8 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 321 209 6787 |
| Previous Close | 5.01 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -7.201613 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 1.6003585 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 114.58316 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.188 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.545 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -10.8782 |
| Regular Market Day High | 4.9599 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.4301 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.4301 - 4.9599 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.93 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 5.01 |
| Regular Market Price | 4.465 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,105,338 |
| Return On Assets | -0.11728 |
| Return On Equity | -0.47397998 |
| Revenue Growth | 5.442 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.053 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 84,044,748 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.098900005 |
| Shares Short | 8,315,120 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 9,414,543 |
| Short Name | Innventure, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.11399999 |
| Short Ratio | 4.32 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | INV |
| Target High Price | 16.0 |
| Target Low Price | 13.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 14.5 |
| Target Median Price | 14.5 |
| Total Cash | 55,367,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.659 |
| Total Debt | 26,705,000 |
| Total Revenue | 3,275,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.56 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.5831 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.11809969 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.025768518 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,105,338 |
| Website | https://www.innventure.com |
| Zip | 32,827 |