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Imperial Oil Limited (IMO)

Energy | Oil & Gas Integrated | Calgary, Canada | NYSE American
130.51 USD -1.71 (-1.293%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 130.83 +0.32 (0.247%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:27 a.m. EDT

Imperial Oil presents a compelling dichotomy: a fundamentally superior business currently facing a short-term speculative squeeze. The long-term outlook is exceptionally strong, driven by explosive growth metrics—revenue up 43% and earnings up 140%—and a dominant market position that has delivered nearly 178% gains over the last nine years. The company is generating robust free cash flow and maintaining a healthy payout ratio, justifying a high conviction buy-and-hold stance. However, the short-term picture is clouded by aggressive short-term selling pressure. The options market is screaming caution, with open interest heavily skewed toward deep out-of-the-money puts, indicating a fear of a sharp pullback. While the statistical forecast model is neutral, the disconnect between the soaring fundamentals and the bearish options flow suggests the stock may be due for a consolidation or a volatility spike before continuing its upward trend. Investors should view the current price as a premium for quality but remain wary of the immediate-term downside risk highlighted by speculators.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.104728
AutoETS0.104728
MSTL0.107519
AutoTheta0.139793

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 10.02
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.321
Excess Kurtosis -0.52
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-03
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-03
Debt to Equity Ratio 17.113
Revenue per Share 105.368
Market Cap 64,894,525,440
Trailing P/E 21.36
Forward P/E 16.13
Beta 0.82
Profit Margins 8.06%
Website https://www.imperialoil.ca

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:27 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively betting on downside protection with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (167 contracts at $85 strike vs 130 at $135), while call volume remains thin relative to put volume. This heavy put positioning suggests a fear of a significant correction or a 'buy the dip' strategy rather than a bullish breakout, despite the stock trading near its 52-week highs.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.49% 2.17% 2.52% 2.51%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-04 0.626000 0.493302
2026-03-05 0.638000 0.537308
2025-12-03 0.526000 0.546778
2025-09-04 0.517000 0.591060
2025-06-04 0.529000 0.732281
2025-03-05 0.500000 0.778816
2024-12-03 0.427000 0.586377
2024-09-04 0.443000 0.623856
2024-06-03 0.440000 0.661256
2024-03-01 0.442000 0.694969
2023-11-30 0.368000 0.653177
2023-08-31 0.370000 0.649579
2023-06-01 0.368000 0.789869
2023-03-02 0.324000 0.632072
2022-12-01 0.328000 0.583319
2022-09-01 0.259000 0.543775
2022-06-01 0.269000 0.481992
2022-03-02 0.267000 0.583097
2021-12-02 0.211000 0.616959
2021-09-02 0.214000 0.780737
2021-06-02 0.224000 0.658049
2021-03-01 0.173000 0.784581
2020-12-02 0.170000 0.964813
2020-09-03 0.169000 1.059561
2020-06-03 0.163000 0.950992
2020-03-04 0.164000 0.732797
2019-12-02 0.166000 0.665597
2019-09-03 0.165000 0.676784
2019-05-31 0.163000 0.609802
2019-03-01 0.144000 0.539326
2018-11-30 0.143000 0.479223
2018-05-31 0.148000 0.453015
2018-03-01 0.125000 0.467464
2017-11-30 0.124000 0.400905
2017-08-30 0.128000 0.437906
2017-05-31 0.119000 0.420941
2017-03-01 0.113000 0.365577
2016-08-31 0.115000 0.377544
2016-06-01 0.115000 0.361408
2016-03-02 0.104000 0.321484
2015-12-01 0.105000 0.321691
2015-09-02 0.106000 0.315570
2015-06-02 0.104000 0.261307
2015-03-03 0.104000 0.267559
2014-12-01 0.114000 0.255892
2014-09-02 0.120000 0.231169
2014-06-02 0.120000 0.243655
2014-03-03 0.117000 0.259194
2013-11-29 0.123000 0.285714
2013-08-30 0.114000 0.272793
2013-05-30 0.116000 0.293225
2013-02-28 0.117000 0.281656
2012-11-29 0.121000 0.277905
2012-08-30 0.121000 0.265002
2012-05-30 0.117000 0.289747
2012-03-01 0.121000 0.251926
2011-11-30 0.107000 0.250351
2011-08-31 0.111000 0.270864
2011-05-31 0.113000 0.227914
2011-03-01 0.110000 0.212437
2010-12-01 0.108000 0.293798
2010-09-01 0.106000 0.281316
2010-06-01 0.109000 0.289509
2010-02-26 0.095000 0.257732
2009-12-02 0.100000 0.263158
2009-09-02 0.092000 0.258936
2009-06-02 0.100000 0.236295
2009-02-26 0.082000 0.258105
2008-12-03 0.082000 0.255770
2008-09-03 0.100000 0.217202
2008-06-04 0.090000 0.158284
2008-02-28 0.090000 0.156576
2007-11-28 0.090000 0.181818
2007-09-06 0.090000 0.199778
2007-06-04 0.090000 0.190355
2007-02-28 0.080000 0.224090
2006-12-01 0.080000 0.212314
2006-09-06 0.080000 0.224152
2006-06-02 0.080000 0.212314
2006-03-01 0.080000 0.248756
2005-11-29 0.080000 0.261780
2005-08-30 0.080000 0.244151
2005-06-06 0.080000 0.329354
2005-03-01 0.073333 0.304118
2004-11-29 0.073333 0.355238
2004-08-30 0.073333 0.475365
2004-06-04 0.073333 0.497735
2004-03-01 0.073333 0.470787
2003-12-01 0.073333 0.547670
2003-08-28 0.073333 0.616935
2003-06-02 0.073333 0.655344
2003-02-28 0.070000 0.660793
2002-11-29 0.070000 0.746534
2002-08-29 0.070000 0.743626
2002-06-04 0.070000 0.713558
2002-03-06 0.070000 0.717949
2001-11-29 0.070000 0.787402
2001-08-30 0.070000 0.778066
2001-06-01 0.070000 0.779799
2001-03-01 0.065000 0.783133
2000-11-29 0.065000 0.764107
2000-08-30 0.065000 0.778055
2000-06-01 0.065000 0.753623
2000-03-01 0.065000 1.029703
1999-11-29 0.065000 0.829787
1999-08-30 0.061667 0.886232
1999-06-01 0.061667 0.986672
1999-03-04 0.061667 1.147293
1998-11-27 0.061667 1.000005
1998-08-28 0.061667 1.254244
1998-05-28 0.061667 0.980138
1998-02-26 0.061111 0.936168
1997-11-28 0.061111 0.925340
1997-09-03 0.061111 0.988762
1997-05-29 0.061111 1.148823
1997-02-27 0.061111 1.232491
1996-11-27 0.061111 1.208789
1996-08-29 0.055556 1.159429
1996-05-30 0.055556 1.146141
1996-02-29 0.055556 1.369874
1995-11-30 0.055556 1.433703
1995-08-30 0.055556 1.384094
1995-05-30 0.050000 1.157556
1995-03-06 0.050000 1.358490
1994-11-28 0.050000 1.358490
1994-08-29 0.050000 1.451613
1994-05-27 0.050000 1.487603
1994-04-26 0.333333 9.266400
1994-02-28 0.050000 1.299639
1993-11-24 0.050000 1.313868
1993-08-26 0.050000 1.184211
1993-05-25 0.050000 1.232877
1993-03-02 0.050000 1.299639
1992-11-24 0.050000 1.338290
1992-08-26 0.050000 1.168831
1992-05-26 0.050000 1.224490
1992-02-25 0.050000 1.281139
1991-11-25 0.050000 1.139241
1991-08-27 0.050000 0.960000
1991-05-28 0.050000 0.967742
1991-02-26 0.050000 0.886700
1990-11-27 0.050000 0.884521
1990-08-28 0.050000 0.810811
1990-05-25 0.050000 0.913706
1990-02-26 0.050000 0.859189
1989-11-27 0.050000 0.865385
1989-08-28 0.050000 0.952381
1989-05-26 0.050000 0.989011
1989-02-27 0.050000 1.094225
1988-11-25 0.050000 1.114551
1988-08-26 0.050000 1.040462
1988-05-25 0.050000 0.986301
1988-02-25 0.050000 0.986301
1987-11-24 0.050000 1.104294
1987-08-26 0.017778 0.275272
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.48
dividendYield 1.88
exDividendDate 2026-09-04
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.18
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.024050824
lastDividendValue 0.626
lastDividendDate 2026-06-04
dividendDate 2026-10-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.4819547
Address1 505 Quarry Park Boulevard S.E.
All Time High 139.44
All Time Low 1.791667
Ask 208.8
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 3.7 - Underperform
Average Daily Volume10 Day 471,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 529,895
Average Volume 529,895
Average Volume10Days 471,820
Beta 0.817
Bid 130.15
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 36.586903
City Calgary
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 130.51
Current Ratio 1.376
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 132.23
Day Low 129.42
Debt To Equity 17.113
Display Name Imperial Oil
Dividend Date 1,790,812,800
Dividend Rate 2.48
Dividend Yield 1.88
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,510,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,510,000
Earnings Growth 1.43
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.308
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,363,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,363,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,363,400
Ebitda 8,193,999,872
Ebitda Margins 0.15867
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.869
Enterprise To Revenue 1.249
Enterprise Value 64,474,685,440
Eps Current Year 14.55188
Eps Forward 8.090012
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 6.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,480,000
Exchange ASE
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 124.2324
Fifty Day Average Change 6.2775955
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.050531067
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.19547
Fifty Two Week High 139.44
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.930008
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.064041935
Fifty Two Week Low 83.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 47.239998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.56731117
Fifty Two Week Range 83.27 - 139.44
Financial Currency CAD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.24
Float Shares 150,740,685
Forward Eps 8.090012
Forward P E 16.132238
Free Cashflow 4,594,999,808
Full Exchange Name NYSE American
Full Time Employees 5,000
Fullday Change -1.71001
Fullday Change Percent -1.2933
Fullday Price 130.8322
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.18056999
Gross Profits 9,324,999,680
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.69606
Held Percent Institutions 0.29377002
Implied Shares Outstanding 497,237,969
Industry Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Disp Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Key oil-gas-integrated
Ir Website http://www.imperialoil.ca/Canada-English/about_investors.aspx
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,531,200
Last Dividend Value 0.626
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,148,947,200
Last Split Factor 3:1
Long Business Summary Imperial Oil Limited engages in exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in Canada. The company operates in three segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical segments. The Upstream segment explores and produces crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, and bitumen. The Downstream segment transports and refines crude oil; blends refined products; and distributes and markets refined products. This segment also transports crude oil production and third-party crude oil to refineries by contracted and common carrier pipelines; owns and operates refineries; maintains a distribution system to move petroleum products to market by pipeline, tanker, rail, and road transport; owns and operates fuel terminals, natural gas liquids, and products pipelines in Alberta, Manitoba, and Ontario; markets petroleum products under the Esso and Mobil brands; and sells petroleum products, including fuel, asphalt, and lubricants to industrial and transportation customers, independent marketers, resellers, and other refiners, as well as the agriculture, residential heating, and commercial markets through branded fuel and lubricant resellers. The Chemical segment manufactures and markets aliphatic solvents, plasticizer intermediates, and polyethylene resins; and markets refinery grade propylene. It also provides petrochemicals. The company was incorporated in 1880 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Imperial Oil Limited operates as a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation.
Long Name Imperial Oil Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 64,894,525,440
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_280747
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 4,160,999,936
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 63,855,862,177
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 131.76
Operating Cashflow 7,176,000,000
Operating Margins 0.17477
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.37150002
Peg Ratio 5.18
Phone 800 567 3776
Post Market Change 0.3222046
Post Market Change Percent 0.24688116
Post Market Price 130.8322
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 132.22
Price Eps Current Year 8.9686
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.5671234
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.2566473
Profit Margins 0.080579996
Quick Ratio 1.087
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key underperform
Recommendation Mean 3.72222
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.71001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.2933
Regular Market Day High 132.23
Regular Market Day Low 129.42
Regular Market Day Range 129.42 - 132.23
Regular Market Open 131.76
Regular Market Previous Close 132.22
Regular Market Price 130.51
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 298,621
Return On Assets 0.081470005
Return On Equity 0.16798
Revenue Growth 0.426
Revenue Per Share 105.368
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 483,592,715
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0416
Shares Short 20,094,826
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 20,199,258
Short Name Imperial Oil Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.221
Short Ratio 41.97
Source Interval 15
State AB
Symbol IMO
Target High Price 109.32523
Target Low Price 109.32523
Target Mean Price 109.32523
Target Median Price 109.32523
Total Cash 2,839,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 5.871
Total Debt 4,200,000,000
Total Revenue 51,640,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.18
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.024050824
Trailing Eps 6.11
Trailing P E 21.360064
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 115.6831
Two Hundred Day Average Change 14.826897
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12816823
Type Disp Equity
Volume 298,621
Website https://www.imperialoil.ca
Zip T2C 5N1