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iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
93.63 USD +0.34 (0.364%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 9:57 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 6:55 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal five-year price decline, dropping nearly 17% from the 2016 peak to the current level. This extended downtrend reflects a market verdict that the business—holding fixed-rate debt in a rising rate environment—is fundamentally deteriorating in value, regardless of the attractive yield. The recent price action shows a slight stabilization but remains well below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend. On the short end, the asset is trading at a deep discount to book value, which offers a margin of safety against further downside, yet the momentum remains weak with no clear reversal signal. The options market screams caution, with heavy put positioning suggesting investors are bracing for further losses. While the dividend yield is robust, it is a compensation for the capital destruction occurring in the share price rather than a sign of a thriving enterprise. This is a defensive holding for income preservation, not a growth or recovery play.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.004350
AutoETS0.004350
MSTL0.004907
AutoTheta0.005712

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 77%
H-stat 0.67
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.744
Excess Kurtosis -0.55

As of July 11, 2026, 6:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls across nearly all expirations. While there is some volume in calls targeting the 96-97 strike range, the sheer weight of put buying suggests a fear of a significant drop below current levels. Implied volatility remains historically low, indicating complacency regarding potential bond market stress.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.33% 3.84% 3.63% 2.91%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.311 0.330746
2026-06-01 0.317 0.336625
2026-05-01 0.312 0.329322
2026-04-01 0.317 0.333544
2026-03-02 0.283 0.291392
2026-02-02 0.312 0.326907
2025-12-19 0.313 0.325229
2025-12-01 0.288 0.297859
2025-11-03 0.304 0.315026
2025-10-01 0.294 0.304695
2025-09-02 0.314 0.328624
2025-08-01 0.309 0.322952
2025-07-01 0.303 0.317977
2025-06-02 0.310 0.329998
2025-05-01 0.313 0.328299
2025-04-01 0.304 0.318658
2025-03-03 0.275 0.288290
2025-02-03 0.296 0.319000
2024-12-18 0.308 0.332290
2024-12-02 0.292 0.307725
2024-11-01 0.292 0.311733
2024-10-01 0.286 0.291272
2024-09-03 0.288 0.295627
2024-08-01 0.289 0.300447
2024-07-01 0.285 0.307543
2024-06-03 0.276 0.296360
2024-05-01 0.271 0.296110
2024-04-01 0.276 0.295092
2024-03-01 0.249 0.263771
2024-02-01 0.236 0.243751
2023-12-14 0.282 0.293536
2023-12-01 0.249 0.264781
2023-11-01 0.249 0.275534
2023-10-02 0.239 0.263768
2023-09-01 0.242 0.257502
2023-08-01 0.242 0.254898
2023-07-03 0.232 0.241793
2023-06-01 0.232 0.236493
2023-05-01 0.239 0.243084
2023-04-03 0.196 0.197203
2023-03-01 0.196 0.206751
2023-02-01 0.212 0.212617
2022-12-15 0.192 0.194214
2022-12-01 0.194 0.196994
2022-11-01 0.203 0.215522
2022-10-03 0.187 0.192903
2022-09-01 0.179 0.179072
2022-08-01 0.184 0.174242
2022-07-01 0.155 0.150136
2022-06-01 0.129 0.125719
2022-05-02 0.125 0.122645
2022-04-01 0.121 0.113455
2022-03-01 0.101 0.089294
2022-02-01 0.108 0.096162
2021-12-16 0.106 0.091577
2021-12-01 0.088 0.075908
2021-11-01 0.081 0.070718
2021-10-01 0.080 0.069198
2021-09-01 0.080 0.068294
2021-08-02 0.076 0.064325
2021-07-01 0.077 0.066765
2021-06-01 0.079 0.069116
2021-05-03 0.074 0.064850
2021-04-01 0.070 0.061750
2021-03-01 0.070 0.060575
2021-02-01 0.078 0.065706
2020-12-17 0.073 0.060986
2020-12-01 0.080 0.066851
2020-11-02 0.076 0.063233
2020-10-01 0.079 0.064855
2020-09-01 0.088 0.072238
2020-08-03 0.100 0.081539
2020-07-01 0.110 0.090483
2020-06-01 0.122 0.100189
2020-05-01 0.128 0.105168
2020-04-01 0.144 0.118197
2020-03-02 0.140 0.119617
2020-02-03 0.153 0.134458
2019-12-19 0.156 0.141458
2019-12-02 0.160 0.144131
2019-11-01 0.168 0.149826
2019-10-01 0.171 0.151852
2019-09-03 0.190 0.166564
2019-08-01 0.194 0.174901
2019-07-01 0.192 0.175039
2019-06-03 0.213 0.195019
2019-05-01 0.212 0.200682
2019-04-01 0.218 0.206205
2019-03-01 0.199 0.192141
2019-02-01 0.220 0.211335
2018-12-18 0.213 0.206997
2018-12-03 0.212 0.208272
2018-11-01 0.216 0.214861
2018-10-01 0.204 0.202562
2018-09-04 0.206 0.201625
2018-08-01 0.200 0.197355
2018-07-02 0.190 0.185819
2018-06-01 0.202 0.198175
2018-05-01 0.191 0.188456
2018-04-02 0.175 0.169705
2018-03-01 0.159 0.155198
2018-02-01 0.168 0.163743
2017-12-21 0.164 0.156190
2017-12-01 0.160 0.151043
2017-11-01 0.164 0.154629
2017-10-02 0.159 0.149661
2017-09-01 0.162 0.150334
2017-08-01 0.165 0.154278
2017-07-03 0.159 0.149915
2017-06-01 0.164 0.153128
2017-05-01 0.160 0.150645
2017-04-03 0.159 0.150071
2017-03-01 0.145 0.138398
2017-02-01 0.159 0.151877
2016-12-22 0.165 0.158868
2016-12-01 0.149 0.142298
2016-11-01 0.154 0.140115
2016-10-03 0.150 0.134565
2016-09-01 0.155 0.138653
2016-08-01 0.158 0.140419
2016-07-01 0.158 0.139712
2016-06-01 0.163 0.148818
2016-05-02 0.161 0.147005
2016-04-01 0.168 0.152533
2016-03-01 0.157 0.143314
2016-02-01 0.159 0.146274
2015-12-24 0.164 0.154761
2015-12-01 0.165 0.154494
2015-11-02 0.163 0.152980
2015-10-01 0.164 0.152148
2015-09-01 0.167 0.156558
2015-08-03 0.164 0.153846
2015-07-01 0.162 0.155321
2015-06-01 0.169 0.159014
2015-05-01 0.163 0.152650
2015-04-01 0.175 0.160949
2015-03-02 0.170 0.159370
2015-02-02 0.182 0.165109
2014-12-24 0.156 0.148219
2014-12-01 0.180 0.170213
2014-11-03 0.181 0.172710
2014-10-01 0.189 0.181208
2014-09-02 0.181 0.173955
2014-08-01 0.196 0.189244
2014-07-01 0.192 0.186317
2014-06-02 0.175 0.169360
2014-05-01 0.194 0.189435
2014-04-01 0.190 0.187506
2014-03-03 0.166 0.161463
2014-02-03 0.175 0.170466
2013-12-26 0.164 0.164857
2013-12-02 0.164 0.162232
2013-11-01 0.161 0.157812
2013-10-01 0.153 0.150398
2013-09-03 0.151 0.151470
2013-08-01 0.141 0.139659
2013-07-01 0.139 0.135742
2013-06-03 0.142 0.134814
2013-05-01 0.135 0.123796
2013-04-01 0.145 0.134909
2013-03-01 0.127 0.118360
2013-02-01 0.140 0.132576
2012-12-26 0.151 0.140348
2012-12-03 0.137 0.126128
2012-11-01 0.145 0.134846
2012-10-01 0.141 0.129930
2012-09-04 0.151 0.139055
2012-08-01 0.162 0.149007
2012-07-02 0.160 0.147779
2012-06-01 0.171 0.156436
2012-05-01 0.168 0.159499
2012-04-02 0.177 0.171263
2012-03-01 0.170 0.162508
2012-02-01 0.191 0.180325
2011-12-27 0.189 0.181017
2011-12-01 0.200 0.192920
2011-11-01 0.209 0.199923
2011-10-03 0.211 0.199376
2011-09-01 0.229 0.221064
2011-08-01 0.238 0.240939
2011-07-01 0.231 0.242164
2011-06-01 0.244 0.251184
2011-05-02 0.241 0.255839
2011-04-01 0.248 0.266781
2011-03-01 0.216 0.231611
2011-02-01 0.235 0.252335
2010-12-28 0.248 0.268108
2010-12-01 0.239 0.248622
2010-11-01 0.235 0.238894
2010-10-01 0.233 0.235758
2010-09-01 0.247 0.251272
2010-08-02 0.253 0.264257
2010-07-01 0.248 0.260013
2010-06-01 0.260 0.279690
2010-05-03 0.273 0.302627
2010-04-01 0.255 0.286324
2010-03-01 0.244 0.269464
2010-02-01 0.300 0.333000
2009-12-29 0.164 0.184539
2009-12-01 0.208 0.225255
2009-11-02 0.770 0.846340
2009-10-01 0.253 0.272600
2009-09-01 0.257 0.280629
2009-08-03 0.264 0.293529
2009-07-01 0.252 0.278884
2009-06-01 0.272 0.303267
2009-05-01 0.280 0.300784
2009-04-01 0.276 0.285862
2009-03-02 0.248 0.262628
2009-02-02 0.266 0.279412
2008-12-29 0.369 0.370892
2008-12-01 0.313 0.328368
2008-11-03 0.320 0.364839
2008-10-01 0.305 0.341622
2008-09-02 0.295 0.329351
2008-08-01 0.304 0.345141
2008-07-01 0.292 0.333829
2008-06-02 0.307 0.350777
2008-05-01 0.280 0.315032
2008-04-01 0.311 0.343343
2008-03-03 0.280 0.310249
2008-02-01 0.281 0.312431
2007-12-27 0.313 0.364292
2007-12-03 0.295 0.336643
2007-11-01 0.297 0.349988
2007-10-01 0.310 0.370503
2007-09-04 0.334 0.399283
2007-08-01 0.322 0.392444
2007-07-02 0.313 0.386897
2007-06-01 0.329 0.405572
2007-05-01 0.314 0.378496
2007-04-02 0.322 0.388607
2007-03-01 0.275 0.330211
2007-02-01 0.311 0.380475
2006-12-27 0.239 0.289101
2006-12-01 0.304 0.362163
2006-11-01 0.308 0.369970
2006-10-02 0.316 0.380861
2006-09-01 0.312 0.379239
2006-08-01 0.319 0.393584
2006-07-03 0.312 0.390146
2006-06-01 0.294 0.366264
2006-05-01 0.294 0.367133
2006-04-03 0.260 0.320079
2006-03-01 0.267 0.323480
2006-02-01 0.264 0.318841
2005-12-28 0.292 0.348532
2005-12-01 0.283 0.341458
2005-11-01 0.288 0.347910
2005-10-03 0.277 0.330391
2005-09-01 0.274 0.318494
2005-08-01 0.271 0.321242
2005-07-01 0.264 0.307155
2005-06-01 0.264 0.303169
2005-05-02 0.267 0.312903
2005-04-01 0.279 0.333812
2005-03-01 0.231 0.274902
2005-02-01 0.261 0.305728
2004-12-31 0.271 0.319011
2004-12-01 0.262 0.311127
2004-11-01 0.265 0.308930
2004-10-01 0.257 0.301360
2004-09-01 0.266 0.310784
2004-08-02 0.273 0.326594
2004-07-01 0.273 0.329154
2004-06-01 0.279 0.339829
2004-05-03 0.268 0.322115
2004-04-01 0.256 0.293983
2004-03-01 0.251 0.290106
2004-02-02 0.255 0.299226
2003-12-31 0.279 0.329398
2003-12-16 0.840 0.989050
2003-12-01 0.226 0.270335
2003-11-03 0.279 0.332143
2003-10-01 0.731 0.847635
2003-09-02 0.764 0.930006
2003-08-01 0.717 0.863855
2003-07-01 0.663 0.753238
2003-06-02 0.244 0.275023
2003-05-01 0.342 0.397120
2003-04-01 0.249 0.288997
2003-03-03 0.240 0.275767
2003-02-03 0.278 0.326751
2002-12-31 0.416 0.482879
2002-12-02 0.520 0.622233
2002-11-01 0.295 0.345433
2002-10-01 0.258 0.298128
2002-09-03 0.290 0.340256
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.934
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.010011791
dividendYield 3.88

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 123.41
All Time Low 79.52
Ask 93.64
Ask Size 15
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,085,450
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,827,618
Average Volume 6,827,618
Average Volume10Days 6,085,450
Beta3 Year 1.16
Bid 93.62
Bid Size 2
Book Value 117.158
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 93.6557
Day Low 93.53
Dividend Yield 3.88
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -4.267
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 94.1892
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5592041
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.00593703
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.6602049
Fifty Two Week High 98.05
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.420006
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.0450791
Fifty Two Week Low 92.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6800003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0073157647
Fifty Two Week Range 92.95 - 98.05
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,028,035,800,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0144404
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,027,296,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The underlying index consists of publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to seven years and less than ten years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve System (the “Fed”). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index.
Long Name iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8797472
Nav Price 93.61177
Net Assets 47,093,367,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 93.6
Phone 415-670-2000
Previous Close 93.29
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.79917717
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.33999634
Regular Market Change Percent 0.364451
Regular Market Day High 93.6557
Regular Market Day Low 93.53
Regular Market Day Range 93.53 - 93.6557
Regular Market Open 93.6
Regular Market Previous Close 93.29
Regular Market Price 93.63
Regular Market Time 1,784,037,450
Regular Market Volume 381,171
Shares Outstanding 146,000,000
Short Name iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond
Source Interval 15
Symbol IEF
Three Year Average Return 0.0235071
Total Assets 47,093,366,784
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.934
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.010011791
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.08996
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.08996
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 95.80095
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.1709518
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.022661068
Type Disp ETF
Volume 381,171
Yield 0.0388
Ytd Return -0.03283