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IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. (IDYA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
36.15 USD -0.84 (-2.271%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 36.15

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 7:07 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst recommendation and inclusion in major indices, the company is hemorrhaging cash with gross margins of -50% and operating losses exceeding $85 million annually. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative free cash flow and a debt-to-equity ratio that suggests leverage is being used to sustain operations rather than fuel growth. The price action confirms this deterioration; after a massive rally in 2024, the stock has crashed nearly 43% year-over-year, leaving it trading at a premium valuation despite having no earnings to justify the multiple. The options market is screaming caution, with traders loading up on puts to protect against further collapse. This is a classic value trap where the narrative of potential success ignores the reality of insolvency and operational failure.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.089079
MSTL0.089541
AutoTheta0.089711
AutoETS0.089826

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 1.02
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.23
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.051
Revenue per Share 2.543
Market Cap 3,480,334,080
Forward P/E -9.89
Beta -0.09
Profit Margins -62.17%
Website https://www.ideayabio.com

As of July 11, 2026, 7:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls across nearly all expirations. The put/call ratio is skewed significantly toward bearish sentiment, with deep strikes showing notable volume. While there is some call activity at higher strikes for later dates, the immediate term is dominated by hedging or speculative bets on a continued decline.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.63817537
Address1 5,000 Shoreline Court
Address2 Suite 300
All Time High 47.735
All Time Low 2.95
Ask 45.52
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,527,930
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,239,122
Average Volume 1,239,122
Average Volume10Days 1,527,930
Beta -0.091
Bid 25.92
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 10.668
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.15
Current Ratio 10.737
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 36.48
Day Low 35.435
Debt To Equity 3.051
Display Name IDEAYA Biosciences
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda -180,680,000
Ebitda Margins -0.80206
Enterprise To Ebitda -14.022
Enterprise To Revenue 11.247
Enterprise Value 2,533,571,328
Eps Current Year -4.28367
Eps Forward -3.65348
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.57
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.2418
Fifty Day Average Change 4.908201
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.15710366
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 63.817535
Fifty Two Week High 40.58
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.4300003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10916708
Fifty Two Week Low 21.33
Fifty Two Week Low Change 14.820002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.69479614
Fifty Two Week Range 21.33 - 40.58
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,558,618,200,000
Float Shares 87,078,958
Forward Eps -3.65348
Forward P E -9.894676
Free Cashflow -57,254,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 145
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins -0.50728
Gross Profits -114,274,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.022249999
Held Percent Institutions 1.01947
Implied Shares Outstanding 96,274,802
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc., a precision medicine oncology company, develops targeted therapeutics for patient populations selected using molecular diagnostics in the United States. The company offers Darovasertib, an oral, potent, and selective protein kinase, C (PKC) inhibitor for the treatment of uveal melanoma, ocular cancer, and is being evaluated in multiple clinical trials as monotherapy and in combination with crizotinib for metastatic, neoadjuvant, and adjuvant settings. The company also offers IDE849, a DLL3 antibody drug conjugate inhibitor for the treatment of SCLC and neuroendocrine carcinomas; IDE034, a B7H3/PTK7 topo-I-payload bispecific BsADC; IDE161, a poly ADP-ribose glycohydrolase inhibitor; IDE705 (GSK101), a Poly Theta Helicase inhibitor that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of tumors with BRCA or other mutations associated with HRD; IDE397, a MAT2A inhibitor for MTAP-deleted tumors; IDE892, a PRMT5 inhibitor; IDE574 selectively inhibits KAT6/7 and is in Phase 1 dose escalation trial for patients with breast, lung, prostate, and colorectal cancers; IDE275 oral small molecule inhibitor of the helicase domain of the Werner protein (WRN) and is in a Phase 1 clinical trial. In addition, the company offers preclinical research programs focused on pharmacological inhibition; DECIPHER dual CRISPR library for synthetic lethality target and biomarker discovery; and INQUIRE chemical library and HARMONY machine-learning engines to enhance its drug discovery platform. The company has strategic alliances with GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc., Novartis, Biocytogen, Cancer Research UK, the University of Manchester, Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd., and Les Laboratoires Servie. It also has a clinical collaboration agreement with AstraZeneca plc to evaluate IDE849, an antibody-drug conjugate; and clinical collaboration with Roche to evaluate IDE892, IDEAYA's potential best-in-class Phase 1 MTA-cooperative PRMT5 inhibitor, in combination with RG6505, Roche's Phase 1 pan-RAS inhibitor, in MTAP-deleted, RAS-mutant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,480,334,080
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_329719147
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -140,059,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,561,204,925
Number Of Analyst Opinions 14
Open 36.43
Operating Cashflow -85,926,000
Operating Margins -16.54634
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 443 6209
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 36.15
Post Market Time 1,783,981,118
Previous Close 36.99
Price Eps Current Year -8.439026
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.388639
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 15.449612
Profit Margins -0.62174
Quick Ratio 10.454
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.4375
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.84
Regular Market Change Percent -2.27088
Regular Market Day High 36.48
Regular Market Day Low 35.435
Regular Market Day Range 35.435 - 36.48
Regular Market Open 36.43
Regular Market Previous Close 36.99
Regular Market Price 36.15
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 630,423
Return On Assets -0.10762
Return On Equity -0.14282
Revenue Per Share 2.543
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 96,274,802
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1073
Shares Short 10,334,969
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 11,338,312
Short Name IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1247
Short Ratio 6.53
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol IDYA
Target High Price 66.0
Target Low Price 36.0
Target Mean Price 52.28571
Target Median Price 50.0
Total Cash 671,201,024
Total Cash Per Share 7.639
Total Debt 28,600,000
Total Revenue 225,270,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.57
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.0463
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.1037025
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.12805542
Type Disp Equity
Volume 630,423
Website https://www.ideayabio.com
Zip 94,080