iShares Gold Trust (IAU)Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
76.70 USD
+1.44
(1.920%)
⇧
(July 14, 2026, 10:36 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:01 a.m. EDT
The iShares Gold Trust is currently a speculative vehicle for a commodity rebound, not a stable income generator. The lack of dividends makes it purely a price appreciation play, which is risky given the asset's heavy discount to its net asset value (trading at 2.2x book value). While the long-term trajectory shows a massive 142% gain over nine years, the recent price action reveals a fragile structure; the trust is trading significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent selling pressure. Options data confirms this tension: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money calls hoping for a sudden gold surge, while simultaneously hedging against a drop back to $50. This asymmetry suggests the market is waiting for a catalyst—likely a shift in inflation fears or geopolitical tension—to unlock the value trapped in these shares. Until then, the security remains a hold for those betting on a V-shaped recovery in precious metals, but it lacks the fundamental moat or yield to justify a blind buy. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.050760 |
| MSTL | 0.080938 |
| AutoETS | 0.082597 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.082600 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 27.85 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.232 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.25 |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:01 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (85, 89, 90) with massive open interest walls, suggesting bets on a sharp spike to $90+. Conversely, put writers are establishing significant defensive walls at $71-$75, while aggressive put buyers are targeting deep discounts ($50-$65) with elevated implied volatility, indicating a fear of a crash if gold fails to rally. The skew suggests a 'long gamma' environment where traders expect a binary move away from current consolidation.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 104.4 |
| All Time Low | 8.208 |
| Ask | 76.64 |
| Ask Size | 1,100 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 5,207,710 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 6,003,618 |
| Average Volume | 6,003,618 |
| Average Volume10Days | 5,207,710 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.41 |
| Bid | 76.63 |
| Bid Size | 8,500 |
| Book Value | 34.616 |
| Category | Commodities Focused |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 76.93 |
| Day Low | 76.5654 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.65 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 81.9948 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -5.299797 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.064635776 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 19.86301 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 104.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -27.705002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2653736 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 61.6 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 15.095001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.24504873 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 61.6 - 104.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,106,922,600,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | 0.1691318 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | iShares |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,106,265,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust’s expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of gold. The advisor intends to constitute a simple and cost-effective means of making an investment similar to an investment in gold. An investment in physical gold requires expensive and sometimes complicated arrangements in connection with the assay, transportation, warehousing and insurance of the metal. |
| Long Name | iShares Gold Trust |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_8956538 |
| Nav Price | 77.09152 |
| Net Assets | 60,138,172,000.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.25 |
| Open | 76.77 |
| Previous Close | 75.25 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.2155938 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.4449997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.9202653 |
| Regular Market Day High | 76.93 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 76.5654 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 76.5654 - 76.93 |
| Regular Market Open | 76.77 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 75.25 |
| Regular Market Price | 76.695 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,784,039,789 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,208,029 |
| Shares Outstanding | 970,150,016 |
| Short Name | iShares Gold Trust Shares |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | IAU |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.2653817 |
| Total Assets | 60,138,172,416 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -12.69162 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -12.69162 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 84.1816 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -7.486603 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.08893395 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 1,208,029 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | -6.66087 |