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iShares Gold Trust (IAU)

Commodities Focused | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
83.82 USD -2.80 (-3.233%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 83.97 +0.15 (0.176%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT

The iShares Gold Trust is currently exhibiting a classic defensive rebound pattern. Fundamentally, the trust is tracking the commodity perfectly, having delivered a massive +146% cumulative gain over the last nine years with no recent annual declines, confirming its role as a pure-play inflation hedge. However, the short-term outlook is mixed; while the price has recovered to near its 52-week highs, the statistical forecasting model predicts a modest -4% drift over the next 45 days, suggesting the immediate relief rally may be exhausting. Options data tells a different story, with traders building substantial call walls at $90 and $100 for early 2027, indicating a belief that gold will eventually break out of its current consolidation range. The lack of dividends is expected for a commodity trust, making this a capital appreciation play. The investment case rests on the assumption that central bank buying and geopolitical instability will push gold prices higher, overcoming the short-term statistical headwind.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.042557
AutoETS0.047253
AutoTheta0.078438
AutoARIMA0.131255

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 52.52
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.071
Excess Kurtosis -0.92

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:06 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a moderate upside move, evidenced by significant open interest walls at $90 and $100 strikes for January 2027 expiration, alongside heavy volume spikes in calls at $88 and $90. While there is notable put volume at lower strikes ($70-$80 range), the overall structure favors a test of higher resistance levels rather than a deep decline.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 104.4
All Time Low 8.208
Ask 83.8
Ask Size 1,200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,335,290
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,160,363
Average Volume 6,160,363
Average Volume10Days 6,335,290
Beta3 Year 0.36
Bid 83.8
Bid Size 1,300
Book Value 34.616
Category Commodities Focused
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 87.07
Day Low 83.57
Dividend Yield 0.0
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.65
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 79.1274
Fifty Day Average Change 4.6925964
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.059304316
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 25.761436
Fifty Two Week High 104.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -20.580002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19712645
Fifty Two Week Low 65.56
Fifty Two Week Low Change 18.260002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.27852353
Fifty Two Week Range 65.56 - 104.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,106,922,600,000
Five Year Average Return 0.2013187
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -2.8
Fullday Change Percent -3.23251
Fullday Price 83.9676
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,106,265,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust’s expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of gold. The advisor intends to constitute a simple and cost-effective means of making an investment similar to an investment in gold. An investment in physical gold requires expensive and sometimes complicated arrangements in connection with the assay, transportation, warehousing and insurance of the metal.
Long Name iShares Gold Trust
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8956538
Nav Price 85.8992
Net Assets 59,743,736,000.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.25
Open 86.55
Post Market Change 0.14759827
Post Market Change Percent 0.17608956
Post Market Price 83.9676
Post Market Time 1,787,961,582
Previous Close 86.62
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4214234
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.8
Regular Market Change Percent -3.23251
Regular Market Day High 87.07
Regular Market Day Low 83.57
Regular Market Day Range 83.57 - 87.07
Regular Market Open 86.55
Regular Market Previous Close 86.62
Regular Market Price 83.82
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 9,434,486
Shares Outstanding 970,150,016
Short Name iShares Gold Trust Shares
Source Interval 15
Symbol IAU
Three Year Average Return 0.3367908
Total Assets 59,743,735,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -12.73713
Trailing Three Month Returns -12.73713
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 84.97875
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1587524
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.01363579
Type Disp ETF
Volume 9,434,486
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -6.66785