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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG)

High Yield Bond | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
79.52 USD -0.19 (-0.238%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 79.46 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT

The high-yield bond sector is currently under heavy defensive pressure. While the underlying business quality remains solid—supported by a fortress-like balance sheet and consistent revenue growth—the market is pricing in a significant risk of further deterioration. The price has been flat-to-down over the last decade, reflecting a persistent rotation away from credit risk. However, the options market is screaming caution; the sheer volume of put buying suggests traders are betting on a sharp drop to test the $78 support level. For investors, the 5.9% yield is attractive, but it comes with the baggage of a sector that has lost ground structurally. The short-term outlook is neutral to slightly bearish due to this defensive positioning, while the long-term case holds steady at a 3-star rating because the issuer's fundamentals are sound, even if the market refuses to fully re-rate the asset class.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.004870
AutoETS0.006754
AutoARIMA0.006754
MSTL_900.007208
MSTL0.007278
MSTL_90_1260.010843
MSTL_1260.011748

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 74%
H-stat 2.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.594
Excess Kurtosis -0.44
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 10.93
Forward P/E 1325.33

As of July 11, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in August and September, particularly at the $78-$80 strikes. This creates a significant 'floor' around current prices. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money ($80-$81) with very low volume relative to put flows, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish speculation despite the high yield.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 5.87% 5.92% 5.56%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.369 0.463626
2026-06-01 0.409 0.512275
2026-05-01 0.419 0.523357
2026-04-01 0.384 0.483810
2026-03-02 0.394 0.490782
2026-02-02 0.399 0.493995
2025-12-19 0.381 0.474116
2025-12-01 0.375 0.466012
2025-11-03 0.410 0.511605
2025-10-01 0.381 0.470603
2025-09-02 0.383 0.476427
2025-08-01 0.404 0.505126
2025-07-01 0.379 0.472745
2025-06-02 0.376 0.474867
2025-05-01 0.401 0.512133
2025-04-01 0.382 0.485449
2025-03-03 0.374 0.469908
2025-02-03 0.360 0.454201
2024-12-18 0.409 0.523219
2024-12-02 0.361 0.453233
2024-11-01 0.395 0.501587
2024-10-01 0.390 0.488293
2024-09-03 0.380 0.482969
2024-08-01 0.409 0.524628
2024-07-01 0.405 0.527894
2024-06-03 0.358 0.464875
2024-05-01 0.400 0.524315
2024-04-01 0.395 0.512854
2024-03-01 0.438 0.567505
2024-02-01 0.384 0.495228
2023-12-14 0.379 0.491569
2023-12-01 0.344 0.452691
2023-11-01 0.388 0.532455
2023-10-02 0.385 0.528193
2023-09-01 0.351 0.467564
2023-08-01 0.358 0.478802
2023-07-03 0.403 0.540577
2023-06-01 0.353 0.475741
2023-05-01 0.326 0.436471
2023-04-03 0.342 0.455090
2023-03-01 0.450 0.609178
2023-02-01 0.368 0.479416
2022-12-15 0.396 0.528000
2022-12-01 0.319 0.421846
2022-11-01 0.280 0.380486
2022-10-03 0.351 0.487703
2022-09-01 0.366 0.492200
2022-08-01 0.304 0.390194
2022-07-01 0.329 0.444715
2022-06-01 0.307 0.389100
2022-05-02 0.305 0.389876
2022-04-01 0.334 0.407566
2022-03-01 0.307 0.369301
2022-02-01 0.305 0.359967
2021-12-16 0.296 0.342394
2021-12-01 0.282 0.330327
2021-11-01 0.277 0.320009
2021-10-01 0.289 0.330626
2021-09-01 0.275 0.312891
2021-08-02 0.283 0.324021
2021-07-01 0.292 0.332120
2021-06-01 0.291 0.333907
2021-05-03 0.294 0.337233
2021-04-01 0.294 0.337659
2021-03-01 0.307 0.352468
2021-02-01 0.318 0.365812
2020-12-17 0.359 0.414502
2020-12-01 0.341 0.395592
2020-11-02 0.359 0.428810
2020-10-01 0.357 0.425862
2020-09-01 0.341 0.400470
2020-08-03 0.341 0.400846
2020-07-01 0.343 0.420704
2020-06-01 0.321 0.388056
2020-05-01 0.369 0.468988
2020-04-01 0.385 0.516224
2020-03-02 0.380 0.440273
2020-02-03 0.366 0.419966
2019-12-19 0.314 0.357427
2019-12-02 0.341 0.394037
2019-11-01 0.361 0.415803
2019-10-01 0.350 0.404064
2019-09-03 0.371 0.428703
2019-08-01 0.367 0.424179
2019-07-01 0.386 0.444598
2019-06-03 0.386 0.455995
2019-05-01 0.366 0.424151
2019-04-01 0.379 0.440339
2019-03-01 0.382 0.446210
2019-02-01 0.389 0.459376
2018-12-18 0.391 0.476365
2018-12-03 0.376 0.448687
2018-11-01 0.415 0.492173
2018-10-01 0.389 0.450753
2018-09-04 0.371 0.432351
2018-08-01 0.367 0.427589
2018-07-02 0.381 0.449398
2018-06-01 0.384 0.450757
2018-05-01 0.363 0.425059
2018-04-02 0.349 0.410782
2018-03-01 0.341 0.399906
2018-02-01 0.366 0.421805
2017-12-21 0.361 0.415324
2017-12-01 0.372 0.425727
2017-11-01 0.366 0.415815
2017-10-02 0.365 0.413130
2017-09-01 0.370 0.418931
2017-08-01 0.368 0.415209
2017-07-03 0.377 0.428555
2017-06-01 0.377 0.425844
2017-05-01 0.375 0.427156
2017-04-03 0.373 0.426969
2017-03-01 0.384 0.435226
2017-02-01 0.382 0.437672
2016-12-22 0.286 0.330865
2016-12-01 0.381 0.448922
2016-11-01 0.386 0.452520
2016-10-03 0.386 0.444598
2016-09-01 0.371 0.428902
2016-08-01 0.383 0.452986
2016-07-01 0.397 0.469989
2016-06-01 0.402 0.482361
2016-05-02 0.382 0.457485
2016-04-01 0.379 0.465774
2016-03-01 0.419 0.517795
2016-02-01 0.391 0.498534
2015-12-24 0.424 0.526774
2015-12-01 0.398 0.478136
2015-11-02 0.394 0.461142
2015-10-01 0.398 0.483244
2015-09-01 0.383 0.447534
2015-08-03 0.396 0.453037
2015-07-01 0.395 0.446732
2015-06-01 0.402 0.443415
2015-05-01 0.402 0.442780
2015-04-01 0.406 0.449165
2015-03-02 0.393 0.429696
2015-02-02 0.365 0.404611
2014-12-24 0.386 0.427701
2014-12-01 0.417 0.464365
2014-11-03 0.404 0.437608
2014-10-01 0.391 0.426576
2014-09-02 0.430 0.457836
2014-08-01 0.431 0.468275
2014-07-01 0.415 0.437718
2014-06-02 0.429 0.454835
2014-05-01 0.423 0.450863
2014-04-01 0.445 0.472801
2014-03-03 0.463 0.490570
2014-02-03 0.462 0.499405
2013-12-26 0.467 0.503504
2013-12-02 0.450 0.483871
2013-11-01 0.450 0.484809
2013-10-01 0.445 0.486179
2013-09-03 0.480 0.531032
2013-08-01 0.453 0.494272
2013-07-01 0.480 0.528111
2013-06-03 0.479 0.518623
2013-05-01 0.468 0.491597
2013-04-01 0.488 0.518983
2013-03-01 0.506 0.539906
2013-02-01 0.499 0.533804
2012-12-26 0.505 0.542952
2012-12-03 0.489 0.525637
2012-10-01 0.485 0.529129
2012-09-04 0.508 0.553256
2012-08-01 0.505 0.550769
2012-07-02 0.518 0.570045
2012-06-01 0.542 0.626807
2012-05-01 0.509 0.560820
2012-04-02 0.545 0.603343
2012-03-01 0.537 0.585286
2012-02-01 0.507 0.560841
2011-12-27 0.535 0.599306
2011-12-01 0.549 0.635196
2011-11-01 0.526 0.603419
2011-10-03 0.538 0.661747
2011-09-01 0.563 0.644091
2011-08-01 0.551 0.607497
2011-07-01 0.582 0.638088
2011-06-01 0.566 0.619934
2011-05-02 0.573 0.621273
2011-04-01 0.570 0.624452
2011-03-01 0.579 0.630856
2011-02-01 0.589 0.644632
2010-12-28 0.577 0.643040
2010-12-01 0.588 0.659045
2010-11-01 0.601 0.668000
2010-10-01 0.587 0.657924
2010-09-01 0.625 0.714612
2010-08-02 0.599 0.676989
2010-07-01 0.623 0.735711
2010-06-01 0.643 0.769415
2010-05-03 0.640 0.721127
2010-04-01 0.658 0.752000
2010-03-01 0.646 0.746045
2010-02-01 0.663 0.771110
2009-12-29 0.580 0.664147
2009-12-01 0.622 0.725788
2009-11-02 0.703 0.825699
2009-10-01 0.705 0.845425
2009-09-01 0.703 0.869511
2009-08-03 0.709 0.845054
2009-07-01 0.725 0.915635
2009-06-01 0.715 0.905637
2009-05-01 0.591 0.782160
2009-04-01 0.806 1.201192
2009-03-02 0.719 1.103607
2009-02-02 0.753 1.032922
2008-12-29 0.524 0.695976
2008-12-01 0.698 1.087227
2008-11-03 0.690 0.959800
2008-10-01 0.690 0.813200
2008-09-02 0.620 0.675381
2008-08-01 0.663 0.714286
2008-07-01 0.651 0.698123
2008-06-02 0.634 0.655094
2008-05-01 0.568 0.563380
2008-04-01 0.642 0.665630
2008-03-03 0.616 0.643073
2008-02-01 0.664 0.675689
2007-12-27 0.565 0.556705
2007-12-03 0.642 0.627014
2007-11-01 0.680 0.663415
2007-10-01 0.645 0.621687
2007-09-04 0.623 0.612285
2007-08-01 0.630 0.653188
2007-07-02 0.603 0.591176
2007-06-01 0.586 0.557511
2007-05-01 0.293 0.278173
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 3.803
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.047710452
dividendYield 5.9

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 106.47
All Time Low 61.5
Ask 79.55
Ask Size 41,400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 29,826,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 35,685,398
Average Volume 35,685,398
Average Volume10Days 29,826,270
Beta3 Year 0.66
Bid 79.25
Bid Size 23,300
Book Value 87.966
Category High Yield Bond
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 79.69
Day Low 79.455
Dividend Yield 5.9
Eps Forward 0.06
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 7.2726674
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 79.8666
Fifty Day Average Change -0.3466034
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.004339779
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.4744649
Fifty Two Week High 81.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.840004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.022615584
Fifty Two Week Low 78.57
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.94999695
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.01209109
Fifty Two Week Range 78.57 - 81.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,176,298,200,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0363789
Forward P E 1,325.3333
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,175,644,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The underlying index is a rules-based index consisting of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds for sale in the U.S. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in fixed income securities of the types included in the underlying index that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index.
Long Name iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_33837611
Nav Price 79.66268
Net Assets 17,626,118,100.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.49
Open 79.67
Phone 415-670-2000
Post Market Change -0.05999756
Post Market Change Percent -0.07544965
Post Market Price 79.46
Post Market Time 1,783,987,135
Previous Close 79.71
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.90398556
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.190002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.238367
Regular Market Day High 79.69
Regular Market Day Low 79.455
Regular Market Day Range 79.455 - 79.69
Regular Market Open 79.67
Regular Market Previous Close 79.71
Regular Market Price 79.52
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 32,098,247
Shares Outstanding 195,600,000
Short Name iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corp
Source Interval 15
Symbol HYG
Three Year Average Return 0.0883525
Total Assets 17,626,118,144
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 3.803
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.047710452
Trailing P E 10.93409
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 2.22732
Trailing Three Month Returns 2.22732
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 80.34695
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.8269501
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.01029224
Type Disp ETF
Volume 32,098,247
Yield 0.059
Ytd Return 1.70104