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Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Durham, United States | NasdaqGS
0.69 USD 0.00 (-0.360%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT

The fundamental reality here is stark: Humacyte is a cash-burning biotech company with no revenue growth (-4.3%), negative returns on equity, and a balance sheet that is barely covering its obligations. The stock has lost nearly 77% of its value over the last four years, and the most recent annual performance was another severe decline. While the price-to-book ratio looks cheap at 13x, this is a classic value trap; the book value is eroding due to losses, not a hidden asset base. The recent news of institutional investors increasing stakes is likely a hedge against a binary outcome rather than a vote of confidence in the current trajectory. Short-term, the stock is trapped in a downtrend, trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, with no immediate catalyst to reverse this momentum. The options market is pricing in a 'lottery ticket' scenario where a single positive event could send the price soaring, but the probability of that happening soon is low given the lack of commercialization progress. Long-term, the investment case relies entirely on a future breakthrough that hasn't happened yet. Until there is sustained revenue growth and a path to profitability, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle unsuitable for capital preservation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.345379
AutoETS0.345382
MSTL0.346213
AutoTheta0.600517

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 5.65
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.526
Excess Kurtosis -0.82
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 572.101
Revenue per Share 0.012
Market Cap 186,373,888
Forward P/E -2.88
Beta 2.52
Website https://www.humacyte.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:49 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct 'long gamma' setup where traders are betting on continued volatility rather than a specific directional move. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at strikes significantly above the current price ($1.50, $2.00, $3.50), while Put Open Interest is clustered just above the current price ($1.00, $1.50). This structure suggests speculators are positioning for a binary event—likely a clinical trial result or regulatory decision—that could cause the stock to gap up to the call strikes or gap down to the put strikes, rather than expecting a steady grind higher. The massive disparity in volume and open interest between calls and puts indicates a speculative bias toward upside potential, despite the current downtrend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.71902835
Address1 2,525 East North Carolina Highway 54
All Time High 17.45
All Time Low 0.547
Ask 0.8869
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Daily Volume10 Day 17,650,350
Average Daily Volume3 Month 10,463,724
Average Volume 10,463,724
Average Volume10Days 17,650,350
Beta 2.517
Bid 0.49
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 0.052
City Durham
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.6912
Current Ratio 3.929
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 0.7099
Day Low 0.68
Debt To Equity 572.101
Display Name Humacyte
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,673,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,673,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,675,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,365,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,365,000
Ebitda -105,185,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.63
Enterprise To Revenue 85.031
Enterprise Value 171,421,600
Eps Current Year -0.35
Eps Forward -0.24
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.63
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 0.99004
Fifty Day Average Change -0.29884
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.30184639
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -71.90283
Fifty Two Week High 2.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.1488
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7566197
Fifty Two Week Low 0.547
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.14420003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.2636198
Fifty Two Week Range 0.547 - 2.84
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,606,833,000,000
Float Shares 196,127,240
Forward Eps -0.24
Forward P E -2.88
Free Cashflow -64,806,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 184
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -81,723,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.07506
Held Percent Institutions 0.22275999
Implied Shares Outstanding 269,638,156
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Humacyte, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and manufacture of off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues for the treatment of diseases and conditions across a range of anatomic locations in multiple therapeutic areas. The company using its proprietary and scientific technology platform to engineer and manufacture human acellular vessels (HAVs) to be implanted into patient without inducing a foreign body response or leading to immune rejection. It is developing a portfolio of HAVs, which would target the vascular repair, reconstruction, and replacement market, including vascular trauma; arteriovenous access for hemodialysis; peripheral arterial disease; pediatric heart surgery; and coronary artery bypass grafting, as well as for the delivery of cellular therapy, including pancreatic islet cell transplantation to treat Type 1 diabetes. Humacyte, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
Long Name Humacyte, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 186,373,888
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_107706507
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -95,217,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 186,373,893
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 0.691
Operating Cashflow -101,545,000
Operating Margins -57.0404
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 919 313 9633
Pre Market Change -0.01670003
Pre Market Change Percent -2.4160922
Pre Market Price 0.6745
Pre Market Time 1,784,022,489
Previous Close 0.6937
Price Eps Current Year -1.9748572
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 13.292308
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 92.447365
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 3.025
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0025
Regular Market Change Percent -0.360386
Regular Market Day High 0.7099
Regular Market Day Low 0.68
Regular Market Day Range 0.68 - 0.7099
Regular Market Open 0.691
Regular Market Previous Close 0.6937
Regular Market Price 0.6912
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 7,536,058
Return On Assets -0.51485
Return On Equity -4.0947
Revenue Growth -0.043
Revenue Per Share 0.012
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 269,638,156
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1172
Shares Short 31,597,133
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 40,140,620
Short Name Humacyte, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1179
Short Ratio 1.87
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol HUMA
Target High Price 4.0
Target Low Price 1.0
Target Mean Price 2.05
Target Median Price 2.0
Total Cash 48,539,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.219
Total Debt 66,501,000
Total Revenue 2,016,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.63
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.133635
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.44243503
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.39027995
Type Disp Equity
Volume 7,536,058
Website https://www.humacyte.com
Zip 27,713