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Humacyte, Inc. (HUMA)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Durham, United States | NasdaqGS
0.71 USD +0.03 (3.891%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 0.73 +0.02 (2.788%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:24 p.m. EDT

Avoid completely. Humacyte is a value trap with a deteriorating fundamental profile: negative earnings, massive cash burn ($105M operating loss), and a shrinking market cap driven by failed launch concerns (evidenced by analyst downgrades). Despite the 'Buy' recommendation and high analyst count, the price targets imply a precarious margin where market recovery is expected to offset operational failure. The 14-day price action shows range-bound weakness at sub-$1 levels, and the 45-day prediction model forecasts -11.4% returns with statistical instability (Jarque-Bera p-value of 0.144 indicating non-normal distribution risks). The technicals are bleeding (Price -24.5% beneath 50-day avg, -50% beneath 200-day avg). There is no near-term catalyst to reset the narrative.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.183160
AutoARIMA0.204406
AutoETS0.204423
MSTL0.205334

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 10.10
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.144
Excess Kurtosis -1.06
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 2101.833
Revenue per Share 0.013
Market Cap 157,677,968
Forward P/E -3.87
Beta 2.11
Website https://www.humacyte.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:24 p.m. EDT: Options data reveals a heavily skewed put/call spread indicating defensive positioning. In short-term expirations (June 2026), put volume and Open Interest (OI) are dramatically higher than calls (190 vol/418 OI vs 190 vol/194 OI), suggesting significant buying of protection or bearish hedging near current levels ($0.71). For long-term expirations (Jan 2027+), in-the-money (ITM) puts accumulate substantial volume and OI (2,400+ OI at $1.5-$2.5 strikes), while far OTM calls show massive volume but high implied volatility (IV > 100% at some strikes), indicating a 'long wings' risk-on sprint to navigated asset at low cost. However, the fundamental data suggests these are likely non-directional NAV trading costs rather than genuine directional bets given the lack of earnings catalysts and massive cash burn. The lack of short-term call activity and the surge in put OI at low strikes point to a floor being established, not a breakout.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.51034486
Address1 2,525 East North Carolina Highway 54
All Time High 17.45
All Time Low 0.547
Ask 0.7341
Ask Size 50
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,759,120
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,920,672
Average Volume 6,920,672
Average Volume10Days 4,759,120
Beta 2.105
Bid 0.6882
Bid Size 50
Board Risk 5
Book Value 0.016
City Durham
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 0.7102
Current Ratio 3.69
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 0.7536
Day Low 0.7021
Debt To Equity 2,101.833
Display Name Humacyte
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,612,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,612,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,774,614,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,589,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,589,000
Ebitda -100,092,000
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.724
Enterprise To Revenue 84.655
Enterprise Value 172,526,976
Eps Current Year -0.435
Eps Forward -0.18333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 0.9365
Fifty Day Average Change -0.2263
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.24164441
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -51.034485
Fifty Two Week High 2.93
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.2198
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7576109
Fifty Two Week Low 0.547
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.16320002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.29835472
Fifty Two Week Range 0.547 - 2.93
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,606,833,000,000
Float Shares 190,860,946
Forward Eps -0.18333
Forward P E -3.8738887
Free Cashflow -71,891,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 184
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -76,366,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.14151
Held Percent Institutions 0.25278
Implied Shares Outstanding 222,019,108
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Humacyte, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and manufacture of off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues for the treatment of diseases and conditions across a range of anatomic locations in multiple therapeutic areas. The company using its proprietary and scientific technology platform to engineer and manufacture human acellular vessels (HAVs) to be implanted into patient without inducing a foreign body response or leading to immune rejection. It is developing a portfolio of HAVs, which would target the vascular repair, reconstruction, and replacement market, including vascular trauma; arteriovenous access for hemodialysis; peripheral arterial disease; pediatric heart surgery; and coronary artery bypass grafting, as well as for the delivery of cellular therapy, including pancreatic islet cell transplantation to treat Type 1 diabetes. Humacyte, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.
Long Name Humacyte, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 157,677,968
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_107706507
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common -40,833,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 157,478,153
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 0.715
Operating Cashflow -105,042,000
Operating Margins -66.02998
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 919 313 9633
Post Market Change 0.019800007
Post Market Change Percent 2.7879481
Post Market Price 0.73
Post Market Time 1,776,470,003
Previous Close 0.6836
Price Eps Current Year -1.6326437
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 44.387497
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 77.36897
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 2.773
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.57143
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0266
Regular Market Change Percent 3.89116
Regular Market Day High 0.7536
Regular Market Day Low 0.7021
Regular Market Day Range 0.7021 - 0.7536
Regular Market Open 0.715
Regular Market Previous Close 0.6836
Regular Market Price 0.7102
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 5,037,619
Return On Assets -0.52823
Revenue Per Share 0.013
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 222,019,108
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1902
Shares Short 42,223,438
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 38,162,880
Short Name Humacyte, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2094
Short Ratio 4.48
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol HUMA
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 1.0
Target Mean Price 5.10286
Target Median Price 1.5
Total Cash 50,497,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.227
Total Debt 65,346,000
Total Revenue 2,038,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.42508
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.71487993
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.501642
Type Disp Equity
Volume 5,037,619
Website https://www.humacyte.com
Zip 27,713