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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Oak Brook, United States | NasdaqGS
39.61 USD -0.37 (-0.925%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 39.61

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:46 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Hub Group is currently paralyzed by a perfect storm of legal overhang and deteriorating operational metrics. Despite a historically strong 81% cumulative gain over the last nine years, the company is facing a material crisis: a securities class action alleging financial misstatements and internal control failures, coupled with a restatement that triggered an 18% drop. This legal uncertainty has created a toxic environment where the market is pricing in potential liability rather than business quality. Fundamentally, the business is showing signs of strain. Revenue growth has turned negative at -5.3%, and while earnings grew 20.5% likely due to cost-cutting or one-time factors, the trajectory is concerning. The balance sheet is also fragile, with debt-to-equity at 28.41 and a payout ratio of 28.7% that, while sustainable mathematically, offers little buffer given the legal risks. The dividend yield of 1.25% is insufficient to compensate for the elevated risk profile and the threat of capital impairment from litigation. Technically, the stock is struggling to maintain momentum, trading below its 50-day average and facing heavy put pressure in the options chain. The statistical forecast models offer only a weak lean upward, which is irrelevant given the structural headwinds. Until the legal proceedings conclude and clarity returns regarding the financial restatements, the risk-reward profile remains skewed heavily toward the downside. Investors should avoid initiating positions here.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.059009
AutoETS0.061965
AutoARIMA0.062026
MSTL0.063333

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 14.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.160
Excess Kurtosis -0.12
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-04
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-04
Debt to Equity Ratio 28.41
Revenue per Share 62.075
Market Cap 2,422,290,688
Trailing P/E 23.03
Forward P/E 18.67
Beta 1.22
Profit Margins 2.81%
Website https://www.hubgroup.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $45 strike for October expiration, creating a significant wall of resistance against further downside. While there is some call interest at $50, the overwhelming open interest in puts suggests a consensus view that the stock will struggle to break above current levels without significant catalysts, reflecting fear of the pending legal outcomes.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.29% 1.31%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-05 0.125 0.291172
2026-03-13 0.125 0.364431
2025-12-05 0.125 0.302810
2025-09-12 0.125 0.347319
2025-06-23 0.125 0.373804
2025-03-18 0.125 0.334762
2024-12-06 0.125 0.251054
2024-09-06 0.125 0.281595
2024-06-07 0.125 0.290495
2024-03-07 0.125 0.292398
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.5
dividendYield 1.25
exDividendDate 2026-06-05
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.5
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.012506253
lastDividendValue 0.125
lastDividendDate 2026-06-05
dividendDate 2026-06-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.06880736
Address1 2,001 Hub Group Way
All Time High 53.26
All Time Low 0.425
Ask 50.24
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 995,250
Average Daily Volume3 Month 937,963
Average Volume 937,963
Average Volume10Days 995,250
Beta 1.217
Bid 28.75
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 8
Book Value 27.825
City Oak Brook
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 39.61
Current Ratio 1.474
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 40.51
Day Low 39.065
Debt To Equity 28.41
Display Name Hub
Dividend Date 1,781,654,400
Dividend Rate 0.5
Dividend Yield 1.25
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,328,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,328,800
Earnings Growth 0.205
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.21
Earnings Timestamp End 1,774,900,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,774,900,800
Ebitda 332,960,992
Ebitda Margins 0.08929
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.573
Enterprise To Revenue 0.766
Enterprise Value 2,854,489,600
Eps Current Year 1.8251
Eps Forward 2.12213
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.72
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,617,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 44.874
Fifty Day Average Change -5.264
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.11730623
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.8807364
Fifty Two Week High 53.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.649998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.25628987
Fifty Two Week Low 32.9
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.709999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.20395133
Fifty Two Week Range 32.9 - 53.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 826,727,400,000
Float Shares 58,751,400
Forward Eps 2.12213
Forward P E 18.66521
Free Cashflow 59,145,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 6,604
Fullday Change -0.369999
Fullday Change Percent -0.92546
Fullday Price 39.61
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.11378
Gross Profits 424,254,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02892
Held Percent Institutions 1.06325
Implied Shares Outstanding 61,153,510
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=108789&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,617,600
Last Dividend Value 0.125
Last Fiscal Year End 1,735,603,200
Last Split Date 1,706,486,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Hub Group, Inc., a supply chain solutions provider, offers transportation and logistics management services in North America. It operates in two segments, Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS), and Logistics. The ITS segment offers intermodal and dedicated trucking services, including freight transportation, truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, temperature-controlled, and dedicated and regional trucking services. The Logistics segment provides transportation management, freight brokerage, shipment optimization, load consolidation, mode selection, carrier management, load planning and execution, warehousing, fulfillment, cross-docking, and consolidation and final mile delivery services. It also provides trucking transportation services, including dry van, expedited, less-than-truckload, and refrigerated and flatbed services. As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of approximately 2,300 tractors, 3,200 employee drivers, 500 independent owner-operators, and 4,700 trailers; and owned approximately 50,000 dry and 53-foot containers, as well as 900 refrigerated 53-foot containers. It serves a range of industries, including retail, consumer products, automotive, and durable goods. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.
Long Name Hub Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,422,290,688
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_347555
Most Recent Quarter 1,759,190,400
Net Income To Common 104,970,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,444,917,328
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 39.92
Operating Cashflow 160,236,992
Operating Margins 0.04162
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.2874
Peg Ratio 2.15
Phone 630 271 3600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 39.61
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 39.98
Price Eps Current Year 21.70292
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.42354
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6496045
Profit Margins 0.02815
Quick Ratio 1.356
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.369999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.92546
Regular Market Day High 40.51
Regular Market Day Low 39.065
Regular Market Day Range 39.065 - 40.51
Regular Market Open 39.92
Regular Market Previous Close 39.98
Regular Market Price 39.61
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 903,989
Return On Assets 0.03162
Return On Equity 0.06241
Revenue Growth -0.053
Revenue Per Share 62.075
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 60,578,607
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.059299998
Shares Short 3,628,648
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,893,407
Short Name Hub Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0851
Short Ratio 3.14
Source Interval 15
State IL
Symbol HUBG
Target High Price 50.0
Target Low Price 29.0
Target Mean Price 41.0
Target Median Price 41.5
Total Cash 119,699,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.957
Total Debt 498,759,008
Total Revenue 3,728,869,888
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.5
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.012506253
Trailing Eps 1.72
Trailing P E 23.02907
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.1919
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 42.4045
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.7944984
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.06590099
Type Disp Equity
Volume 903,989
Website https://www.hubgroup.com
Zip 60,523