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H World Group Limited (HTHT)

Consumer Cyclical | Lodging | Shanghai, China | NasdaqGS
47.82 USD +0.11 (0.231%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 47.82
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:41 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here is a classic case of a high-quality business trading at a discount due to sector-specific fears, creating a compelling long-term opportunity despite short-term noise. Fundamentally, H World Group is an exceptional asset: it boasts a fortress-like balance sheet with over $15 billion in cash against manageable debt, generating robust free cash flow and delivering double-digit revenue growth. The market is currently rewarding this quality handsomely with a forward P/E of roughly 15x and a price-to-book ratio under 1x, which is deeply undervalued for a company generating nearly 38% returns on equity. The recent price action confirms a strong recovery trend, having erased previous losses and pushing the stock up significantly year-over-year. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by a disconnect between the business reality and the market's risk appetite. The options data reveals a stark divergence: while some traders are betting on a rally toward $60, a much larger contingent is positioning for a sharp decline, evidenced by the aggressive buying of deep out-of-the-money puts. This suggests that despite the strong earnings and expansion news, the broader market remains fearful of the lodging sector or specific geopolitical risks associated with the company's operations. This fear is keeping the stock suppressed relative to its intrinsic value. Regarding the dividend, investors should exercise caution. The current yield of 4.4% is attractive on paper, but the payout ratio of 156% is unsustainable and indicates the company is paying out more than it earns, likely dipping into cash reserves to maintain the payout. This is a red flag for income stability, though the sheer size of the cash pile provides a buffer for now. For the long-term investor, the combination of superior fundamentals, a recovering price trajectory, and a depressed valuation makes this a top-tier buy, provided one can ignore the short-term volatility and the market's tendency to over-punish the sector.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.042996
AutoETS0.049663
AutoARIMA0.050032
MSTL0.067465

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 33.56
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.012
Excess Kurtosis -0.11
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-03
Debt to Equity Ratio 240.492
Revenue per Share 86.009
Market Cap 14,705,787,904
Trailing P/E 34.16
Forward P/E 15.03
Beta 0.11
Profit Margins 18.93%
Previous Name Huazhu Group Limited
Website https://www.hworld.com/

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility and a potential downside gap. While there is notable call volume at the $65 strike suggesting a bullish target, the put market is aggressively pricing in a crash scenario. Specifically, massive new flow into deep out-of-the-money puts at the $70 strike for December expiration indicates a fear of a severe drop well below current levels. Conversely, the call side shows heavy open interest concentration at the $60 strike, creating a wall of resistance that suggests traders expect the stock to struggle to break past that level without a major catalyst.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.71% 4.89% 4.30% 2.71%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-04 1.30 2.712289
2025-09-09 0.81 2.176834
2025-04-09 0.97 2.981863
2024-08-14 0.63 2.234042
2023-12-20 0.93 2.785265
2022-03-23 0.21 0.639075
2020-01-09 0.34 0.852985
2018-12-31 0.34 1.187566
2017-12-01 0.16 0.595183
2015-12-28 0.17 2.089736
Additional Data
dividendRate 2.17
dividendYield 4.55
exDividendDate 2026-09-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 14.865
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.3115699
lastDividendValue 1.3
lastDividendDate 2026-05-04
dividendDate 2026-09-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.30016315
Address1 No. 1299 Fenghua Road
Address2 Jiading District
All Time High 64.53
All Time Low 2.6275
Ask 47.68
Ask Size 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.2 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,056,630
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,901,242
Average Volume 1,901,242
Average Volume10Days 2,056,630
Beta 0.113
Bid 34.67
Bid Size 2
Book Value 6.6433086
City Shanghai
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 47.82
Current Ratio 1.208
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 48.45
Day Low 47.62
Debt To Equity 240.492
Display Name H World
Dividend Date 1,790,035,200
Dividend Rate 2.17
Dividend Yield 4.55
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,964,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,964,400
Earnings Growth 0.001
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.021
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,969,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,918,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,918,600
Ebitda 8,885,999,616
Ebitda Margins 0.33402002
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.815
Enterprise To Revenue 1.274
Enterprise Value 33,900,316,672
Eps Current Year 18.51691
Eps Forward 3.181964
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.4
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,825,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 43.1834
Fifty Day Average Change 4.6366005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.107369974
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 30.016315
Fifty Two Week High 56.64
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.82
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15572034
Fifty Two Week Low 36.03
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.790001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.32722735
Fifty Two Week Range 36.03 - 56.64
Financial Currency CNY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,269,610,200,000
Float Shares 190,329,826
Forward Eps 3.181964
Forward P E 15.028455
Free Cashflow 7,371,624,960
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 26,458
Fullday Change 0.11000061
Fullday Change Percent 0.23056091
Fullday Price 47.82
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.41002998
Gross Profits 10,908,000,256
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01134
Held Percent Institutions 0.54965997
Implied Shares Outstanding 307,523,819
Industry Lodging
Industry Disp Lodging
Industry Key lodging
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,852,800
Last Dividend Value 1.3
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,527,206,400
Last Split Factor 4:1
Long Business Summary H World Group Limited develops and operates leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, Ibis Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Starway Hotel, Ibis Styles Hotel, Crystal Orange Hotel, IntercityHotel, Grand JI Hotel, Manxin Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Madison Hotel, Novotel Hotel, CitiGO Hotel, MAXX, Joya Hotel, Blossom House, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, Jaz in the City, Grand Mercure Hotel, Steigenberger Icons, and Song Hotels. The company was formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited and changed its name to H World Group Limited in June 2022. H World Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name H World Group Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 14,705,787,904
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_99150697
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common 5,036,000,256
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 15,001,142,766
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 47.86
Operating Cashflow 8,780,999,680
Operating Margins 0.31147
Payout Ratio 1.5593
Peg Ratio 0.27
Phone 86 21 6195 2011
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 47.82
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Prev Name Huazhu Group Limited
Previous Close 47.71
Price Eps Current Year 2.5825043
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 7.1982203
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5527868
Profit Margins 0.1893
Quick Ratio 1.123
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.15789
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.11000061
Regular Market Change Percent 0.23056091
Regular Market Day High 48.45
Regular Market Day Low 47.62
Regular Market Day Range 47.62 - 48.45
Regular Market Open 47.86
Regular Market Previous Close 47.71
Regular Market Price 47.82
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 1,416,568
Return On Assets 0.07454
Return On Equity 0.38126
Revenue Growth 0.108
Revenue Per Share 86.009
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 307,523,819
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0308
Shares Short 9,466,321
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 11,296,703
Short Name H World Group Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0405
Short Ratio 6.52
Source Interval 15
Symbol HTHT
Target High Price 65.746185
Target Low Price 43.881195
Target Mean Price 59.964355
Target Median Price 60.13917
Total Cash 15,564,000,256
Total Cash Per Share 49.37
Total Debt 34,233,999,360
Total Revenue 26,602,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 14.865
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.3115699
Trailing Eps 1.4
Trailing P E 34.157143
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.6282
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.19179916
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0040270085
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,416,568
Website https://www.hworld.com/
Zip 201,803