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Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH)

Financial Services | Financial Conglomerates | Dallas, United States | NYSE
38.20 USD -0.10 (-0.261%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 38.20

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:59 a.m. EDT

Hilltop Holdings presents a classic case of a stagnant regional bank where the business fundamentals have quietly eroded despite a lingering dividend. While the stock trades at a reasonable multiple relative to book value, the underlying reality is stark: revenue is shrinking by 3.4%, earnings are contracting, and the company is burning cash with negative operating flows. The recent price action shows a slight uptick, but this is merely a technical bounce off multi-year lows rather than a reversal of the secular decline. The market has correctly priced this as a value trap; the low P/E reflects the fear that the franchise is losing relevance in a shifting banking landscape. With only one year of consecutive negative returns so far, the worst-case scenario hasn't fully materialized yet, but the trajectory is clearly downward. The dividend, while currently yielding 2%, is barely covering the cost of capital given the negative cash generation and shrinking earnings base, making it unreliable for long-term holders. Investors should avoid this security until there is clear evidence of a turnaround in top-line growth or a stabilization in profitability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.017184
AutoETS0.017535
MSTL0.018025
MSTL_48_1260.021107
MSTL_1260.029829
AutoARIMA0.031679
MSTL_480.032016

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 6.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.486
Excess Kurtosis 0.25
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-07
Revenue per Share 20.613
Market Cap 2,235,853,568
Trailing P/E 14.52
Forward P/E 15.90
Beta 0.87
Profit Margins 12.76%
Website https://www.hilltop.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:59 a.m. EDT: Options activity is extremely sparse with negligible open interest across all expirations. The lack of significant positioning at strikes above or below the current price suggests a complete absence of speculative directional bias, indicating the market is effectively ignoring this name for near-term bets.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.53% 2.15% 2.18% 2.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-08 0.200 0.529661
2026-02-13 0.200 0.509295
2025-11-07 0.180 0.545124
2025-08-15 0.180 0.562500
2025-05-08 0.180 0.592105
2025-02-13 0.180 0.564086
2024-11-08 0.170 0.522755
2024-08-16 0.170 0.543478
2024-05-09 0.170 0.540369
2024-02-09 0.170 0.549984
2023-11-10 0.160 0.556328
2023-08-10 0.160 0.513149
2023-05-09 0.160 0.520325
2023-02-09 0.160 0.475342
2022-11-09 0.150 0.525210
2022-08-11 0.150 0.514933
2022-05-12 0.150 0.522466
2022-02-14 0.150 0.461823
2021-11-12 0.120 0.323625
2021-08-12 0.120 0.360685
2021-05-13 0.120 0.331309
2021-02-11 0.120 0.379507
2020-11-13 0.090 0.376727
2020-08-13 0.090 0.441609
2020-05-14 0.090 0.643777
2020-02-13 0.090 0.401427
2019-11-14 0.080 0.321285
2019-08-14 0.080 0.362647
2019-05-14 0.080 0.391198
2019-02-14 0.080 0.428036
2018-11-14 0.070 0.367647
2018-08-14 0.070 0.331911
2018-05-14 0.070 0.313620
2018-02-14 0.070 0.277778
2017-11-14 0.060 0.265487
2017-08-11 0.060 0.236873
2017-05-11 0.060 0.230061
2017-02-13 0.060 0.216685
2016-11-10 0.060 0.227531
2005-06-28 0.188 1.437309
2005-03-29 0.313 2.528271
2004-12-29 0.313 2.181185
2004-09-28 0.313 1.996173
2004-06-28 0.313 1.896970
2004-03-29 0.149 0.814653
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.76
dividendYield 1.98
exDividendDate 2026-05-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.74
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.01932115
lastDividendValue 0.2
lastDividendDate 2026-05-08
dividendDate 2026-05-22

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.22325134
Address1 6,565 Hillcrest Avenue
All Time High 40.41
All Time Low 6.88
Ask 40.03
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 3.0 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 285,700
Average Daily Volume3 Month 307,145
Average Volume 307,145
Average Volume10Days 285,700
Beta 0.874
Bid 14.95
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 10
Book Value 36.631
City Dallas
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 38.2
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 38.38
Day Low 38.0
Display Name Hilltop
Dividend Date 1,779,408,000
Dividend Rate 0.76
Dividend Yield 1.98
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,035,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,035,600
Earnings Growth -0.015
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.102
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,974,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 2.541
Enterprise Value 3,212,343,552
Eps Current Year 2.375
Eps Forward 2.4025
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.63
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,198,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.8154
Fifty Day Average Change 0.3846016
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.010170502
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 22.325134
Fifty Two Week High 40.41
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.209999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05468941
Fifty Two Week Low 29.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.30821916
Fifty Two Week Range 29.2 - 40.41
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,077,201,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.99
Float Shares 39,400,187
Forward Eps 2.4025
Forward P E 15.9001045
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 3,520
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 1,264,163,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.32056
Held Percent Institutions 0.58201003
Implied Shares Outstanding 58,530,197
Industry Financial Conglomerates
Industry Disp Financial Conglomerates
Industry Key financial-conglomerates
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=147468&p=irol-stockQuote
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,198,400
Last Dividend Value 0.2
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hilltop Holdings Inc. provides business and consumer banking services. The company operates through three segments: Banking, Broker-Dealer, and Mortgage Origination. The Banking segment offers savings, checking, interest-bearing checking, and money market accounts; certificates of deposit; lines and letters of credit, home improvement and equity loans, loans for purchasing and carrying securities, term, agricultural and commercial real estate, equipment loans, and other lending products; and mortgage, commercial and industrial loans, and term and construction finance. It provides treasury management, asset management, check cards, safe deposit boxes, online banking, bill pay, and overdraft privilege services; and estate planning, management and administration, investment portfolio management, employee benefit accounts, and individual retirement accounts services, as well as automated teller machines. The Broker-Dealer segment offers public finance services that assist public entities in originating, syndicating, and distributing securities of municipalities and political subdivisions; specialized advisory and investment banking services; advice and guidance to arbitrage rebate compliance, portfolio management, and local government investment pool administration; advisory services and products for derivatives and commodities; agricultural insurance; and sells, trades in, and underwrites U.S. government and government agency bonds, corporate bonds, and municipal bonds; mortgage-backed, asset-backed, and commercial mortgage-backed securities and structured products; and provides asset and liability management advisory, clearing, retail, and securities lending services. The Mortgage Origination segment offers fixed and adjustable rate mortgages, jumbo, new construction, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Affairs, and United States Department of Agriculture loans. Hilltop Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Long Name Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,235,853,568
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_24451
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 161,311,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,241,706,545
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 38.35
Operating Cashflow -171,806,000
Operating Margins 0.16885
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.2814
Peg Ratio 0.61
Phone 214 855 2177
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 38.2
Post Market Time 1,783,981,120
Previous Close 38.3
Price Eps Current Year 16.084211
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0428326
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.7686421
Profit Margins 0.1276
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0999985
Regular Market Change Percent -0.261093
Regular Market Day High 38.38
Regular Market Day Low 38.0
Regular Market Day Range 38.0 - 38.38
Regular Market Open 38.35
Regular Market Previous Close 38.3
Regular Market Price 38.2
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 108,276
Return On Assets 0.010570001
Return On Equity 0.07564
Revenue Growth -0.034
Revenue Per Share 20.613
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 58,530,197
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0323
Shares Short 1,892,643
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,016,348
Short Name Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0551
Short Ratio 5.84
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol HTH
Target High Price 41.0
Target Low Price 40.0
Target Mean Price 40.33333
Target Median Price 40.0
Total Cash 1,762,397,952
Total Cash Per Share 30.111
Total Debt 2,709,195,008
Total Revenue 1,264,163,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.74
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.01932115
Trailing Eps 2.63
Trailing P E 14.524714
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 35.9223
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.2777023
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.06340636
Type Disp Equity
Volume 108,276
Website https://www.hilltop.com
Zip 75,205