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Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC)

Financial Services | Asset Management | San Mateo, United States | NYSE
15.92 USD -0.09 (-0.562%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 16.02 +0.10 (0.628%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 6:57 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT

Hercules Capital presents a classic value trap wrapped in a distressed dividend yield. While the 12% yield is attractive on paper, the payout ratio of 105% is a critical red flag, signaling that the company is burning capital to maintain the dividend rather than generating enough free cash flow to sustain it organically. The operating cash flow is actually negative, which makes this yield unsustainable in the medium term. Fundamentally, the business is showing signs of stress. Revenue growth is positive, but earnings are contracting significantly (-20%), and the stock has suffered a sharp 10% decline year-to-date. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt significantly outweighing equity and a current ratio well below 1.0, suggesting liquidity constraints. The options market confirms this pessimism. There is a massive wall of put open interest at strikes below the current price, indicating that traders are hedging against a drop or betting on a crash. This defensive positioning contrasts with the weak statistical forecast, which sees almost no upside potential. For investors, the trade-off is clear: you are buying a stock with deteriorating fundamentals and a broken balance sheet just to receive a dividend that the company may soon be forced to cut. Unless there is a specific catalyst regarding the ESOP shelf registration that resolves the dilution fears, the risk-reward profile is skewed heavily toward the downside. The price appears cheap because the market has already priced in the likelihood of dividend cuts and continued earnings erosion.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.020721
MSTL_1260.024331
MSTL_79_1260.024618
AutoARIMA0.026510
AutoETS0.026510
AutoTheta0.026512
MSTL_790.034455

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 49%
H-stat 0.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.123
Excess Kurtosis -0.21
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 114.694
Revenue per Share 3.077
Market Cap 2,978,927,872
Trailing P/E 8.89
Forward P/E 8.00
Beta 0.74
Profit Margins 59.85%
Website https://www.htgc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, particularly in the August and December expirations where OTM put open interest dominates. This suggests a fear of a significant downside gap or a 'crash' scenario rather than a steady decline. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the stock will likely trade sideways or drift up modestly, but without the conviction to bet on a major rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.03% 11.24% 10.69% 11.24%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-14 0.470 3.032258
2026-02-25 0.470 3.110523
2025-11-12 0.470 2.655367
2025-08-12 0.470 2.442827
2025-05-13 0.470 2.653868
2025-02-26 0.470 2.278236
2024-11-13 0.400 2.083333
2024-08-13 0.480 2.678571
2024-05-13 0.480 2.514405
2024-02-27 0.480 2.637363
2023-11-14 0.480 3.043754
2023-08-17 0.480 2.939375
2023-05-15 0.470 3.531179
2023-03-01 0.470 3.090072
2022-11-09 0.510 3.640257
2022-08-08 0.500 3.278689
2022-05-16 0.480 3.176704
2022-03-08 0.480 2.823529
2021-11-09 0.400 2.308136
2021-08-10 0.390 2.274053
2021-05-11 0.390 2.325581
2021-03-05 0.370 2.401038
2020-11-06 0.340 2.982456
2020-08-07 0.320 2.751505
2020-05-13 0.320 3.222558
2020-02-28 0.400 3.030303
2019-11-07 0.350 2.527076
2019-08-09 0.340 2.643857
2019-05-10 0.330 2.460850
2019-03-01 0.310 2.313433
2018-11-08 0.330 2.674230
2018-08-10 0.310 2.306548
2018-05-11 0.310 2.481986
2018-03-02 0.310 2.600671
2017-11-10 0.310 2.301410
2017-08-10 0.310 2.431373
2017-05-11 0.310 2.419984
2017-03-02 0.310 2.107410
2016-11-09 0.310 2.337858
2016-08-11 0.310 2.262774
2016-05-12 0.310 2.598491
2016-03-03 0.310 2.755556
2015-11-12 0.310 2.820746
2015-08-13 0.310 2.622674
2015-05-14 0.310 2.444795
2015-03-10 0.310 2.211127
2014-11-13 0.310 1.997423
2014-08-14 0.310 1.974522
2014-05-08 0.310 2.217454
2014-03-06 0.310 2.048909
2013-11-14 0.310 1.877650
2013-08-09 0.280 1.924399
2013-05-10 0.270 2.056359
2013-03-07 0.250 1.996805
2012-11-09 0.240 2.388060
2012-08-15 0.240 2.144772
2012-05-16 0.240 2.197802
2012-03-08 0.230 2.145522
2011-11-09 0.220 2.441731
2011-08-11 0.220 2.491506
2011-05-11 0.220 2.119460
2011-03-08 0.220 1.945181
2010-11-08 0.200 1.846722
2010-08-10 0.200 1.982161
2010-05-10 0.200 2.116402
2010-02-17 0.200 2.183406
2009-12-22 0.040 0.388727
2009-10-16 0.300 2.865329
2009-08-12 0.300 3.167899
2009-05-13 0.300 3.699137
2009-02-19 0.320 7.710843
2008-11-12 0.340 5.414013
2008-08-13 0.340 3.291384
2008-05-14 0.340 3.373016
2008-02-13 0.300 2.459016
2007-11-14 0.300 2.508361
2007-08-14 0.300 2.407705
2007-05-14 0.300 2.111189
2007-02-14 0.300 2.142857
2006-11-02 0.300 2.255639
2006-07-27 0.300 2.579536
2006-04-06 0.300 2.666667
2006-01-04 0.300 2.568493
2005-10-28 0.025 0.227273
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.88
dividendYield 11.74
exDividendDate 2026-05-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.099937536
lastDividendValue 0.47
lastDividendDate 2026-05-14
dividendDate 2026-05-21

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.15514511
Address1 1 North B Street
Address2 Suite 2000
All Time High 22.04
All Time Low 3.41
Ask 16.24
Ask Size 1,400
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,382,170
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,646,108
Average Volume 1,646,108
Average Volume10Days 1,382,170
Beta 0.738
Bid 15.9
Bid Size 1,600
Book Value 12.075
City San Mateo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.92
Current Ratio 0.118
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.205
Day Low 15.9
Debt To Equity 114.694
Display Name Hercules Capital
Dividend Date 1,779,321,600
Dividend Rate 1.88
Dividend Yield 11.74
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,014,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,014,800
Earnings Growth -0.208
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.156
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Ebitda 464,616,992
Ebitda Margins 0.83788
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.724
Enterprise To Revenue 9.823
Enterprise Value 5,447,001,600
Eps Current Year 1.93715
Eps Forward 1.98985
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.79
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.6818
Fifty Day Average Change 0.23820019
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.015189595
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.514511
Fifty Two Week High 19.67
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.75
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19064565
Fifty Two Week Low 13.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.2200003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.16204382
Fifty Two Week Range 13.7 - 19.67
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,118,323,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.96
Float Shares 171,227,745
Forward Eps 1.98985
Forward P E 8.000603
Free Cashflow 247,843,504
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 554,518,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01983
Held Percent Institutions 0.33975
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,118,590
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Ir Website http://investor.htgc.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Last Dividend Value 0.47
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hercules Capital, Inc. is a business development company. The firm specializing in providing private equity, venture debt, and growth capital to privately held venture capital-backed companies at all stages of development from mid venture to expansion stage including select publicly listed companies and select special opportunity companies that require additional capital to fund acquisitions, recapitalizations and refinancing and established-stage companies. The firm provides growth capital financing solutions for capital extension; management buy-out and corporate spin-out financing solutions; company, asset specific, or intellectual property acquisition financing; convertible, subordinated and/or mezzanine loans; domestic and international corporate expansion; vendor financing; revenue acceleration by sales and marketing development, and manufacturing expansion. It provides asset-based financing with a focus on cash flow; accounts receivable facilities; equipment loans or leases; equipment acquisition; facilities build-out and/or expansion; working capital revolving lines of credit; inventory. The firm also provides bridge financing to IPO or mergers and acquisitions or technology acquisition; dividend recapitalizations and other sources of investor liquidity; cash flow financing to protect against share price volatility; competitor acquisition; pre-IPO financing for extra cash on the balance sheet; public company financing to continue asset growth and production capacity; short-term bridge financing; and strategic and intellectual property acquisition financings. It also focuses on customized financing solutions, emerging growth, mid venture, and late venture financing. The firm invests primarily in structured debt with warrants and, to a lesser extent, in senior debt and equity investments. The firm generally seeks to invest in companies that have been operating for at least six to 12 months prior to the date of their investment. It prefers to invest in technology, SaaS Finance, energy technology, sustainable and renewable technology, and life sciences. Within technology the firm focuses on advanced specialty materials and chemicals; communication and networking, consumer and business products; consumer products and services, digital media and consumer internet; electronics and computer hardware; enterprise software and services; gaming; healthcare services; information services; business services; media, content and information; mobile; resource management; security software; semiconductors; semiconductors and hardware; and software sector. Within energy technology, it invests in agriculture; clean technology; energy and renewable technology, fuels, and power technology; geothermal; smart grid and energy efficiency and monitoring technologies; solar; and wind. Within life sciences, the firm invests in biopharmaceuticals; biotechnology tools; diagnostics; drug discovery, drug platform, development, and delivery; medical devices and equipment; surgical devices; therapeutics; pharma services; and specialty pharmaceuticals. Within sustainable and renewables, it invests in Vehicle Technology, Energy Generation and Storage, Ag Technology, Advanced Materials, and Industry 4.0. It also invests in educational services. The firm invests primarily in United States based companies and considers investment in the West Coast, Mid-Atlantic regions, Southeast and Midwest, particularly in the areas of software, biotech, and information services. The firm prefers to invest between $5 million and $500 million in equity per transactions. It invests in debt between $1 million and $40 million in companies focused primarily on business services, communications, electronics, hardware, and healthcare services. The firm invests primarily in private companies but also have investments in public companies. For equity investments, the firm seeks to represent a controlling interest in its portfolio companies which may exceed 25% of the voting securities of such companies. The firm seeks to invest a limited portion of its assets in equipment-based loans to early-stage prospective portfolio companies. These loans are generally for amounts up to $3 million but may be up to $15 million for certain energy technology venture investments. The firm allows certain debt investments have the right to convert a portion of the debt investment into equity. It also co-invests with other private equity firms. The firm seeks to exit its investments through initial public offering, a private sale of equity interest to a third party, a merger or an acquisition of the company or a purchase of the equity position by the company or one of its stockholders. The firm has structured debt with warrants which typically have maturities of between two and seven years with an average of three years; senior debt with an investment horizon of less than three years; equipment loans with an investment horizon ranging from three to four years; and equity related securities with an investment horizon ranging from three to seven years. The firm prefers to invest through its balance sheet capital. The firm formerly known as Hercules Technology Growth Capital, Inc. Hercules Capital, Inc. was founded in December 2003 and is based in San Mateo, California with additional offices in North America and Europe.
Long Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,978,927,872
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10731642
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 329,112,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,995,768,625
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 16.15
Operating Cashflow -434,236,992
Operating Margins 0.84029996
Payout Ratio 1.0503
Peg Ratio 0.52
Phone (650) 289-3060
Post Market Change 0.10000038
Post Market Change Percent 0.6281431
Post Market Price 16.02
Post Market Time 1,783,983,421
Previous Close 16.01
Price Eps Current Year 8.218259
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.3184265
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.3721027
Profit Margins 0.59854
Quick Ratio 0.115
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.56215
Regular Market Day High 16.205
Regular Market Day Low 15.9
Regular Market Day Range 15.9 - 16.205
Regular Market Open 16.15
Regular Market Previous Close 16.01
Regular Market Price 15.92
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,369,396
Return On Assets 0.06552
Return On Equity 0.15702
Revenue Growth 0.184
Revenue Per Share 3.077
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 187,118,590
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0616
Shares Short 11,525,589
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 11,155,153
Short Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.062800005
Short Ratio 8.54
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol HTGC
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 15.5
Target Mean Price 19.36111
Target Median Price 19.25
Total Cash 42,365,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.23
Total Debt 2,554,234,112
Total Revenue 554,518,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.099937536
Trailing Eps 1.79
Trailing P E 8.893855
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.70615
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.78615
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.04705752
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,369,396
Website https://www.htgc.com
Zip 94,401