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Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC)

Financial Services | Asset Management | San Mateo, United States | NYSE
16.37 USD -0.03 (-0.211%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 1:12 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:20 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is clouded by a precarious balance sheet and aggressive debt issuance. With a current ratio of just 0.12 and a payout ratio exceeding 90%, the company is effectively funding its dividend entirely from earnings, leaving no cushion for operational shocks. The recent surge in bearish bets and the heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts reflect growing anxiety over the company's ability to service its maturing notes without further dilution. While the 11% dividend yield is attractive on paper, it is a trap for investors ignoring the erosion of equity value; the stock is trading at a premium to book value despite a 15% drop in the trailing twelve months, signaling that the market is already pricing in significant distress. The statistical forecast shows no directional edge, confirming that the current price action is likely a reaction to fundamental deterioration rather than a momentum trade.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.081112
AutoETS0.081112
MSTL0.083879
AutoTheta0.088588

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 2.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.172
Excess Kurtosis -0.23
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-10
Debt to Equity Ratio 103.331
Revenue per Share 3.096
Market Cap 3,063,013,888
Trailing P/E 8.14
Forward P/E 8.32
Beta 0.76
Profit Margins 67.68%
Website https://www.htgc.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:20 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 10 and 13), suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap or liquidity event. Conversely, call volume is concentrated in the 20 strike range, indicating a speculative hope for a recovery to historical highs, but the massive put volume outweighs the call interest, creating a net bearish sentiment.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.82% 11.62% 10.65% 11.35%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-11 0.470 2.819436
2026-05-14 0.470 3.032258
2026-02-25 0.470 3.110523
2025-11-12 0.470 2.655367
2025-08-12 0.470 2.442827
2025-05-13 0.470 2.653868
2025-02-26 0.470 2.278236
2024-11-13 0.400 2.083333
2024-08-13 0.480 2.678571
2024-05-13 0.480 2.514405
2024-02-27 0.480 2.637363
2023-11-14 0.480 3.043754
2023-08-17 0.480 2.939375
2023-05-15 0.470 3.531179
2023-03-01 0.470 3.090072
2022-11-09 0.510 3.640257
2022-08-08 0.500 3.278689
2022-05-16 0.480 3.176704
2022-03-08 0.480 2.823529
2021-11-09 0.400 2.308136
2021-08-10 0.390 2.274053
2021-05-11 0.390 2.325581
2021-03-05 0.370 2.401038
2020-11-06 0.340 2.982456
2020-08-07 0.320 2.751505
2020-05-13 0.320 3.222558
2020-02-28 0.400 3.030303
2019-11-07 0.350 2.527076
2019-08-09 0.340 2.643857
2019-05-10 0.330 2.460850
2019-03-01 0.310 2.313433
2018-11-08 0.330 2.674230
2018-08-10 0.310 2.306548
2018-05-11 0.310 2.481986
2018-03-02 0.310 2.600671
2017-11-10 0.310 2.301410
2017-08-10 0.310 2.431373
2017-05-11 0.310 2.419984
2017-03-02 0.310 2.107410
2016-11-09 0.310 2.337858
2016-08-11 0.310 2.262774
2016-05-12 0.310 2.598491
2016-03-03 0.310 2.755556
2015-11-12 0.310 2.820746
2015-08-13 0.310 2.622674
2015-05-14 0.310 2.444795
2015-03-10 0.310 2.211127
2014-11-13 0.310 1.997423
2014-08-14 0.310 1.974522
2014-05-08 0.310 2.217454
2014-03-06 0.310 2.048909
2013-11-14 0.310 1.877650
2013-08-09 0.280 1.924399
2013-05-10 0.270 2.056359
2013-03-07 0.250 1.996805
2012-11-09 0.240 2.388060
2012-08-15 0.240 2.144772
2012-05-16 0.240 2.197802
2012-03-08 0.230 2.145522
2011-11-09 0.220 2.441731
2011-08-11 0.220 2.491506
2011-05-11 0.220 2.119460
2011-03-08 0.220 1.945181
2010-11-08 0.200 1.846722
2010-08-10 0.200 1.982161
2010-05-10 0.200 2.116402
2010-02-17 0.200 2.183406
2009-12-22 0.040 0.388727
2009-10-16 0.300 2.865329
2009-08-12 0.300 3.167899
2009-05-13 0.300 3.699137
2009-02-19 0.320 7.710843
2008-11-12 0.340 5.414013
2008-08-13 0.340 3.291384
2008-05-14 0.340 3.373016
2008-02-13 0.300 2.459016
2007-11-14 0.300 2.508361
2007-08-14 0.300 2.407705
2007-05-14 0.300 2.111189
2007-02-14 0.300 2.142857
2006-11-02 0.300 2.255639
2006-07-27 0.300 2.579536
2006-04-06 0.300 2.666667
2006-01-04 0.300 2.568493
2005-10-28 0.025 0.227273
Additional Data
dividendYield 11.46
exDividendDate 2026-08-11
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.6
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.09756098
lastDividendValue 0.47
lastDividendDate 2026-08-11
dividendDate 2026-08-18

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.05692929
Address1 1 North B Street
Address2 Suite 2000
All Time High 22.04
All Time Low 3.41
Ask 16.37
Ask Size 800
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,163,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,456,498
Average Volume 1,456,498
Average Volume10Days 1,163,180
Beta 0.763
Bid 16.36
Bid Size 1,000
Book Value 12.317
City San Mateo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.3654
Current Ratio 0.118
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 16.41
Day Low 16.21
Debt To Equity 103.331
Display Name Hercules Capital
Dividend Date 1,787,011,200
Dividend Yield 11.46
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,445,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,445,200
Earnings Growth 0.547
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.65
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,304,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,304,000
Ebitda 474,260,000
Ebitda Margins 0.83766
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.237
Enterprise To Revenue 9.413
Enterprise Value 5,329,189,376
Eps Current Year 1.93232
Eps Forward 1.96702
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.01
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.1124
Fifty Day Average Change -0.74699974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.043652542
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -5.6929293
Fifty Two Week High 19.13
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.7645988
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14451641
Fifty Two Week Low 13.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.6654005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19455479
Fifty Two Week Range 13.7 - 19.13
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,118,323,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 10.09
Float Shares 171,477,204
Forward Eps 1.96702
Forward P E 8.319895
Free Cashflow 257,867,632
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 100
Fullday Change -0.16420174
Fullday Change Percent -0.9927553
Fullday Price 16.3654
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 566,172,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01967
Held Percent Institutions 0.36526
Implied Shares Outstanding 187,164,000
Industry Asset Management
Industry Disp Asset Management
Industry Key asset-management
Ir Website http://investor.htgc.com/index.cfm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,406,400
Last Dividend Value 0.47
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hercules Capital, Inc. is a business development company. The firm specializing in providing private equity, venture debt, and growth capital to privately held venture capital-backed companies at all stages of development from mid venture to expansion stage including select publicly listed companies and select special opportunity companies that require additional capital to fund acquisitions, recapitalizations and refinancing and established-stage companies. The firm provides growth capital financing solutions for capital extension; management buy-out and corporate spin-out financing solutions; company, asset specific, or intellectual property acquisition financing; convertible, subordinated and/or mezzanine loans; domestic and international corporate expansion; vendor financing; revenue acceleration by sales and marketing development, and manufacturing expansion. It provides asset-based financing with a focus on cash flow; accounts receivable facilities; equipment loans or leases; equipment acquisition; facilities build-out and/or expansion; working capital revolving lines of credit; inventory. The firm also provides bridge financing to IPO or mergers and acquisitions or technology acquisition; dividend recapitalizations and other sources of investor liquidity; cash flow financing to protect against share price volatility; competitor acquisition; pre-IPO financing for extra cash on the balance sheet; public company financing to continue asset growth and production capacity; short-term bridge financing; and strategic and intellectual property acquisition financings. It also focuses on customized financing solutions, emerging growth, mid venture, and late venture financing. The firm invests primarily in structured debt with warrants and, to a lesser extent, in senior debt and equity investments. The firm generally seeks to invest in companies that have been operating for at least six to 12 months prior to the date of their investment. It prefers to invest in technology, SaaS Finance, energy technology, sustainable and renewable technology, and life sciences. Within technology the firm focuses on advanced specialty materials and chemicals; communication and networking, consumer and business products; consumer products and services, digital media and consumer internet; electronics and computer hardware; enterprise software and services; gaming; healthcare services; information services; business services; media, content and information; mobile; resource management; security software; semiconductors; semiconductors and hardware; and software sector. Within energy technology, it invests in agriculture; clean technology; energy and renewable technology, fuels, and power technology; geothermal; smart grid and energy efficiency and monitoring technologies; solar; and wind. Within life sciences, the firm invests in biopharmaceuticals; biotechnology tools; diagnostics; drug discovery, drug platform, development, and delivery; medical devices and equipment; surgical devices; therapeutics; pharma services; and specialty pharmaceuticals. Within sustainable and renewables, it invests in Vehicle Technology, Energy Generation and Storage, Ag Technology, Advanced Materials, and Industry 4.0. It also invests in educational services. The firm invests primarily in United States based companies and considers investment in the West Coast, Mid-Atlantic regions, Southeast and Midwest, particularly in the areas of software, biotech, and information services. The firm prefers to invest between $5 million and $500 million in equity per transactions. It invests in debt between $1 million and $40 million in companies focused primarily on business services, communications, electronics, hardware, and healthcare services. The firm invests primarily in private companies but also have investments in public companies. For equity investments, the firm seeks to represent a controlling interest in its portfolio companies which may exceed 25% of the voting securities of such companies. The firm seeks to invest a limited portion of its assets in equipment-based loans to early-stage prospective portfolio companies. These loans are generally for amounts up to $3 million but may be up to $15 million for certain energy technology venture investments. The firm allows certain debt investments have the right to convert a portion of the debt investment into equity. It also co-invests with other private equity firms. The firm seeks to exit its investments through initial public offering, a private sale of equity interest to a third party, a merger or an acquisition of the company or a purchase of the equity position by the company or one of its stockholders. The firm has structured debt with warrants which typically have maturities of between two and seven years with an average of three years; senior debt with an investment horizon of less than three years; equipment loans with an investment horizon ranging from three to four years; and equity related securities with an investment horizon ranging from three to seven years. The firm prefers to invest through its balance sheet capital. The firm formerly known as Hercules Technology Growth Capital, Inc. Hercules Capital, Inc. was founded in December 2003 and is based in San Mateo, California with additional offices in North America and Europe.
Long Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,063,013,888
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10731642
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 380,324,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,176,173,080
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 16.29
Operating Cashflow 8,506,000
Operating Margins 0.83192
Payout Ratio 0.9353
Peg Ratio 0.52
Phone (650) 289-3060
Previous Close 16.4
Price Eps Current Year 8.469301
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.328684
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.410032
Profit Margins 0.67682
Quick Ratio 0.115
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.034599304
Regular Market Change Percent -0.21097137
Regular Market Day High 16.41
Regular Market Day Low 16.21
Regular Market Day Range 16.21 - 16.41
Regular Market Open 16.29
Regular Market Previous Close 16.4
Regular Market Price 16.3654
Regular Market Time 1,791,997,972
Regular Market Volume 553,133
Return On Assets 0.066020004
Return On Equity 0.17318001
Revenue Growth 0.085
Revenue Per Share 3.096
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 187,164,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.044899996
Shares Short 8,401,980
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,676,895
Short Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0458
Short Ratio 6.71
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol HTGC
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 19.5
Target Median Price 18.5
Total Cash 48,176,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.261
Total Debt 2,350,081,024
Total Revenue 566,172,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.6
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.09756098
Trailing Eps 2.01
Trailing P E 8.141991
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.3027
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.06270027
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0038460053
Type Disp Equity
Volume 553,133
Website https://www.htgc.com
Zip 94,401