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Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. (HRMY)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Plymouth Meeting, United States | NasdaqGM
35.54 USD -1.30 (-3.529%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:40 a.m. EDT

Harmony Biosciences presents a classic case of a fundamentally sound business trapped by speculative overhang. The company boasts exceptional balance sheet health with a fortress-like current ratio of 3.58 and robust free cash flow, while trading at a discount to its forward earnings potential. However, the recent price action reveals a disconnect between these fundamentals and market sentiment; the stock has failed to capitalize on its positive momentum, trading flat against its 200-day average despite a healthy year-over-year gain. The short-term outlook remains cautious due to aggressive put writing at lower strikes, which signals that traders are bracing for a potential earnings miss or pipeline disappointment. This defensive positioning keeps the immediate entry unappealing despite the technical uptrend. For the long term, the picture is much brighter. The business demonstrates sustainable profitability with double-digit revenue growth and a return on equity nearing 18%, characteristics typical of a compounder. While the lack of a dividend is irrelevant for a growth stock, the absence of any debt distress or dilution concerns allows investors to ignore the current noise. The market appears to be pricing in a binary event risk that may not exist given the strong operational metrics. A patient investor can accumulate shares at current levels, viewing the volatility as a discount to intrinsic value, but immediate momentum plays are ill-advised until the speculative pressure subsides.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_105 ✓0.085206
MSTL0.098589
MSTL_70_1050.106575
AutoARIMA0.107833
AutoETS0.107864
AutoTheta0.108601
MSTL_700.119402

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_105

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 5.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.090
Excess Kurtosis -0.04
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 18.082
Revenue per Share 15.604
Market Cap 2,057,505,792
Trailing P/E 14.33
Forward P/E 5.90
Beta 0.94
Profit Margins 16.20%
Website https://www.harmonybiosciences.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $27.50 and $30.00 expiring in December), suggesting a fear of a sharp downside gap or a 'naked put' strategy to profit from volatility. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction despite the stock trading above its moving averages. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term puts relative to calls, reflecting asymmetric risk pricing.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.061365604
Address1 630 West Germantown Pike
Address2 Suite 215
All Time High 62.085
All Time Low 18.611
Ask 45.51
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 900,290
Average Daily Volume3 Month 851,122
Average Volume 851,122
Average Volume10Days 900,290
Beta 0.941
Bid 26.38
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 15.732
City Plymouth Meeting
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.54
Current Ratio 3.583
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 36.96
Day Low 35.37
Debt To Equity 18.082
Display Name Harmony Biosciences
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Earnings Growth -0.295
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.287
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,846,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,846,600
Ebitda 214,850,000
Ebitda Margins 0.23896
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.36
Enterprise To Revenue 1.759
Enterprise Value 1,581,196,672
Eps Current Year 4.4979
Eps Forward 6.01959
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.48
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 33.0842
Fifty Day Average Change 2.455799
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.074228756
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.1365604
Fifty Two Week High 40.87
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.329998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13041346
Fifty Two Week Low 25.52
Fifty Two Week Low Change 10.02
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39263323
Fifty Two Week Range 25.52 - 40.87
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,597,843,800,000
Float Shares 51,734,632
Forward Eps 6.01959
Forward P E 5.904057
Free Cashflow 149,726,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 293
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.76548
Gross Profits 688,246,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.11692
Held Percent Institutions 1.03255
Implied Shares Outstanding 57,892,676
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,020-08-19
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases in the United States. The company offers WAKIX (pitolisant), a molecule with a novel mechanism of action for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. It also develops Pitolisant that is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of Prader-Willi Syndrome (PWS); in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat Myotonic Dystrophy (DM1); and is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of Pitolisant Gastro-Resistant (GR) and Pitolisant High-Dose (HD). In addition, the company's products under development include BP1.15205, an orexin 2 receptor agonist for the treatment of narcolepsy and other potential indications; and HBS-102, a melanin-concentrating hormone receptor type 1 (MCHR1) antagonist. Further, it develops ZYN-002 that is in a Phase 3 registrational trial for the treatment of Fragile X Syndrome; and 22q Deletion Syndrome, a disorder caused by a small missing piece on the long arm of the 22nd chromosome. Additionally, the company is developing EPX-100 (clemizole hydrochloride), a serotonin (5HT-2) receptor agonist to treat dravet syndrome and lenox-gastaut syndrome; EPX-200 (liquid formulation of lorcaserin), a selective 5HT-2C agonist to treat developmental and epileptic encephalopathies; CBS105 for the treatment-resistant narcolepsy; and CBS104 for refractory epilepsy. The company was formerly known as Harmony Biosciences II, Inc. and changed its name to Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. in February 2020. Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania.
Long Name Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,057,505,792
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_679038073
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 145,615,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,057,505,705
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 36.81
Operating Cashflow 341,972,000
Operating Margins 0.17312999
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 484 539 9800
Pre Market Change 0.25999832
Pre Market Change Percent 0.7315653
Pre Market Price 35.8
Pre Market Time 1,784,020,450
Previous Close 36.84
Price Eps Current Year 7.9014654
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.2590897
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.288388
Profit Margins 0.16195999
Quick Ratio 3.447
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.3
Regular Market Change Percent -3.52877
Regular Market Day High 36.96
Regular Market Day Low 35.37
Regular Market Day Range 35.37 - 36.96
Regular Market Open 36.81
Regular Market Previous Close 36.84
Regular Market Price 35.54
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 636,969
Return On Assets 0.101789996
Return On Equity 0.17857
Revenue Growth 0.166
Revenue Per Share 15.604
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 57,892,676
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0797
Shares Short 4,611,754
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,940,252
Short Name Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I
Short Percent Of Float 0.1066
Short Ratio 5.32
Source Interval 15
State PA
Symbol HRMY
Target High Price 85.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 44.90909
Target Median Price 43.0
Total Cash 640,918,016
Total Cash Per Share 11.071
Total Debt 164,608,992
Total Revenue 899,107,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.48
Trailing P E 14.330646
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 32.45265
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.0873528
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.09513408
Type Disp Equity
Volume 636,969
Website https://www.harmonybiosciences.com
Zip 19,462