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Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Austin, United States | NYSE
20.57 USD +0.38 (1.857%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 11:02 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline; the stock has lost over 37% of its value in nine years, with the last three years showing consecutive negative returns. This structural deterioration suggests the market has permanently downgraded the business quality, rendering the current low valuation a reflection of poor prospects rather than a bargain. While the company maintains a fortress-like balance sheet and pays a generous 6% dividend, the payout ratio exceeds 180%, indicating the dividend is being funded by capital recycling rather than robust earnings growth. The recent news of a CEO handoff and a sale of a Brazilian business unit adds to the sense of strategic contraction. Short-term, the stock is trading near its 52-week lows with weak momentum, though the heavy put open interest suggests a speculative floor exists. However, without a reversal in the multi-year price trend or a clear turnaround in fundamentals, the investment case remains weak.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.139702
AutoETS0.140849
AutoARIMA0.140999
AutoTheta0.165469

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 26.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.093
Excess Kurtosis -1.59
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-10-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-10-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 36.326
Revenue per Share 22.063
Market Cap 11,317,963,776
Trailing P/E 33.17
Forward P/E 13.13
Beta 0.29
Profit Margins 2.82%
Website https://www.hormelfoods.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 24, 25, 27) acting as a floor, while call volume is concentrated near the money (strikes 20-21) rather than aggressive long-dated targets. Implied volatility is elevated on deep OTM puts, suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap, whereas call IV remains relatively muted. The flow indicates a 'sell the news' or defensive stance rather than a bullish breakout expectation.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.53% 5.44% 4.36% 3.62%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-13 0.293000 1.525247
2026-07-13 0.293000 1.197874
2026-04-13 0.293000 1.430664
2026-01-12 0.293000 1.282276
2025-10-14 0.290000 1.212375
2025-07-14 0.290000 0.974135
2025-04-14 0.290000 0.949264
2025-01-13 0.290000 0.958361
2024-10-15 0.283000 0.908799
2024-07-15 0.283000 0.926350
2024-04-12 0.283000 0.834070
2024-01-12 0.283000 0.889657
2023-10-13 0.275000 0.858838
2023-07-14 0.275000 0.685273
2023-04-14 0.275000 0.700459
2023-01-13 0.275000 0.596529
2022-10-14 0.260000 0.579194
2022-07-08 0.260000 0.546793
2022-04-08 0.260000 0.493265
2022-01-14 0.260000 0.529747
2021-10-15 0.245000 0.574308
2021-07-09 0.245000 0.516442
2021-04-09 0.245000 0.528587
2021-01-08 0.245000 0.539173
2020-10-16 0.233000 0.470327
2020-07-10 0.233000 0.483402
2020-04-09 0.233000 0.490114
2020-01-10 0.233000 0.518931
2019-10-18 0.210000 0.514580
2019-07-12 0.210000 0.512070
2019-04-12 0.210000 0.510328
2019-01-11 0.210000 0.493653
2018-10-19 0.188000 0.450515
2018-07-13 0.188000 0.500266
2018-04-13 0.188000 0.536530
2018-01-11 0.188000 0.547467
2017-10-20 0.170000 0.553025
2017-07-13 0.170000 0.519719
2017-04-13 0.170000 0.499412
2017-01-12 0.170000 0.480226
2016-10-20 0.145000 0.384106
2016-07-14 0.145000 0.394988
2016-04-14 0.145000 0.369427
2016-01-14 0.145000 0.367834
2015-10-15 0.125000 0.385267
2015-07-16 0.125000 0.428449
2015-04-16 0.125000 0.435085
2015-01-15 0.125000 0.490773
2014-10-16 0.100000 0.401123
2014-07-17 0.100000 0.417275
2014-04-16 0.100000 0.419287
2014-01-17 0.100000 0.436205
2013-10-17 0.085000 0.391886
2013-07-18 0.085000 0.413424
2013-04-18 0.085000 0.417280
2013-01-17 0.085000 0.493039
2012-10-18 0.075000 0.508475
2012-07-19 0.075000 0.523743
2012-04-19 0.075000 0.529287
2012-01-19 0.075000 0.512120
2011-10-19 0.064000 0.450546
2011-07-20 0.064000 0.428380
2011-04-19 0.064000 0.452137
2011-01-19 0.063750 0.503953
2010-10-20 0.052500 0.470219
2010-07-21 0.052500 0.500357
2010-04-14 0.052500 0.500477
2010-01-20 0.052500 0.545455
2009-10-21 0.047500 0.524427
2009-07-15 0.047500 0.547550
2009-04-15 0.047500 0.598425
2009-01-21 0.047500 0.622747
2008-10-15 0.046250 0.566269
2008-07-16 0.046250 0.516760
2008-04-16 0.046250 0.464824
2008-01-16 0.046250 0.472300
2007-10-17 0.037500 0.406614
2007-07-18 0.037500 0.411072
2007-04-18 0.037500 0.401392
2007-01-17 0.037500 0.400962
2006-10-18 0.035000 0.392047
2006-07-19 0.035000 0.377054
2006-04-19 0.035000 0.411644
2006-01-18 0.035000 0.411644
2005-10-19 0.032500 0.404480
2005-07-20 0.032500 0.431034
2005-04-20 0.032500 0.443535
2005-01-19 0.032500 0.425532
2004-10-20 0.028250 0.423697
2004-07-21 0.028250 0.383051
2004-04-14 0.028250 0.379704
2004-01-21 0.028250 0.440203
2003-10-15 0.026250 0.438596
2003-07-16 0.026250 0.451613
2003-04-15 0.026250 0.475975
2003-01-15 0.026250 0.458716
2002-10-16 0.024500 0.412111
2002-07-17 0.024500 0.445455
2002-04-17 0.024500 0.371072
2002-01-16 0.024500 0.375623
2001-10-17 0.005750 0.103139
2001-07-18 0.023250 0.379128
2001-04-18 0.023250 0.476923
2001-01-17 0.023250 0.531429
2000-10-18 0.022000 0.533333
2000-07-19 0.022000 0.527341
2000-04-18 0.022000 0.547860
2000-01-19 0.021875 0.443038
1999-10-20 0.020625 0.378223
1999-07-21 0.020625 0.418383
1999-04-14 0.020625 0.458333
1999-01-20 0.020625 0.513619
1998-10-21 0.020000 0.516129
1998-07-15 0.020000 0.463768
1998-04-15 0.020000 0.478505
1998-01-21 0.020000 0.490421
1997-10-15 0.019375 0.487230
1997-07-16 0.019375 0.570115
1997-04-16 0.019375 0.599034
1997-01-15 0.019375 0.579439
1996-10-16 0.018750 0.641711
1996-07-17 0.018750 0.648649
1996-04-17 0.018750 0.560748
1996-01-17 0.018750 0.597015
1995-10-18 0.018125 0.604167
1995-07-19 0.018125 0.588832
1995-04-17 0.017500 0.520930
1995-01-13 0.017500 0.560000
1994-10-17 0.015625 0.537634
1994-07-18 0.015625 0.552486
1994-04-18 0.015625 0.649351
1994-01-14 0.015625 0.584795
1993-10-18 0.013750 0.502857
1993-07-19 0.013750 0.517647
1993-04-12 0.013750 0.500000
1993-01-15 0.013750 0.460733
1992-10-19 0.011250 0.450000
1992-07-13 0.011250 0.444444
1992-04-10 0.011250 0.525547
1992-01-13 0.011250 0.444444
1991-10-11 0.009375 0.375000
1991-07-15 0.009375 0.368098
1991-04-15 0.009375 0.340909
1991-01-14 0.009375 0.454545
1990-10-15 0.008125 0.444444
1990-07-16 0.008125 0.368794
1990-04-16 0.008125 0.409449
1990-01-12 0.008125 0.400000
1989-10-16 0.006875 0.387665
1989-07-17 0.006875 0.400000
1989-04-17 0.006875 0.497175
1989-01-13 0.006875 0.486188
1988-10-17 0.005625 0.476821
1988-07-18 0.005625 0.480000
1988-04-18 0.005625 0.382979
1988-01-15 0.005625 0.411428
1988-01-11 0.003750 0.275862
1987-10-19 0.004688 0.357181
1987-07-13 0.004688 0.300032
1987-04-10 0.004688 0.401381
1987-01-16 0.004688 0.413837
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.17
dividendYield 5.79
exDividendDate 2026-10-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.168
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.05785042
lastDividendValue 0.293
lastDividendDate 2026-10-13
dividendDate 2026-11-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.15980023
Address1 1 Hormel Place
All Time High 55.11
All Time Low 0.208984
Ask 20.54
Ask Size 900
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,508,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,877,806
Average Volume 4,877,806
Average Volume10Days 6,508,340
Beta 0.289
Bid 20.52
Bid Size 900
Board Risk 3
Book Value 14.252
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 20.565
Current Ratio 1.882
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 20.59
Day Low 20.26
Debt To Equity 36.326
Display Name Hormel Foods
Dividend Date 1,794,787,200
Dividend Rate 1.17
Dividend Yield 5.79
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,835,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,835,600
Earnings Growth -0.672
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.676
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 1,264,931,968
Ebitda Margins 0.10414
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.368
Enterprise To Revenue 1.08
Enterprise Value 13,114,469,376
Eps Current Year 1.48359
Eps Forward 1.56679
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.62
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,791,849,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 21.6264
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0613995
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.049078878
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -15.980023
Fifty Two Week High 26.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.035
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22687969
Fifty Two Week Low 18.96
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.6050014
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.08465198
Fifty Two Week Range 18.96 - 26.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.09
Float Shares 290,794,356
Forward Eps 1.56679
Forward P E 13.125563
Free Cashflow 621,551,616
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 20,000
Fullday Change 0.375
Fullday Change Percent 1.8573551
Fullday Price 20.565
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.15741
Gross Profits 1,912,066,944
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00472
Held Percent Institutions 0.91419
Implied Shares Outstanding 550,350,800
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=71258&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,791,849,600
Last Dividend Value 0.293
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,436,800
Last Split Date 1,455,062,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Hormel Foods Corporation develops, processes, and distributes various meat, nut, and other food products to foodservice, convenience stores, and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail, Foodservice, and International. The company provides perishable products, including fresh meats, frozen items, refrigerated meal solutions, bacon, sausages, hams, guacamole, and other items that require refrigeration, as well as shelf-stable products, such as canned luncheon meats, nut butters, snack nuts, chili, shelf-stable microwaveable meals, hash, stews, tortillas, salsas, tortilla chips, and other items that do not require refrigeration. It sells its products under the HORMEL, ALWAYS TENDER, APPLEGATE, AUSTIN BLUES, BACON 1, BLACK LABEL, BREAD READY, BURKE, CAFÉ H, CERATTI, CHI-CHI'S, COLUMBUS, COMPLEATS, CORN NUTS, CURE 81, DAN'S PRIZE, DI LUSSO, DINTY MOORE, DON MIGUEL, DOÑA MARIA, EMBASA, FAST ‘N EASY, FIRE BRAISED, FONTANINI, HERDEZ, HORMEL GATHERINGS, HOUSE OF TSANG, JENNIE-O, JUSTIN'S, LA VICTORIA, LAYOUT, LLOYD'S, MARY KITCHEN, MR. PEANUT, NATURAL CHOICE, NUT-RITION, OLD SMOKEHOUSE, OVEN READY, PILLOW PACK, PLANTERS, ROSA GRANDE, SADLER'S SMOKEHOUSE, SKIPPY, SPAM, SQUARE TABLE, SPECIAL RECIPE, VALLEY FRESH, and WHOLLY brands through sales personnel, independent brokers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Geo. A. Hormel & Company and changed its name to Hormel Foods Corporation in January 1995. Hormel Foods Corporation was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Austin, Minnesota.
Long Name Hormel Foods Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 11,317,963,776
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_279042
Most Recent Quarter 1,785,024,000
Net Income To Common 342,711,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,792,972,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 10,962,987,936
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 20.38
Operating Cashflow 1,091,657,984
Operating Margins 0.08615
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 1.8831
Peg Ratio 1.36
Phone 507 437 5611
Previous Close 20.19
Price Eps Current Year 13.861647
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4429554
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9317565
Profit Margins 0.028210001
Quick Ratio 0.886
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.6
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.375
Regular Market Change Percent 1.8573551
Regular Market Day High 20.59
Regular Market Day Low 20.26
Regular Market Day Range 20.26 - 20.59
Regular Market Open 20.38
Regular Market Previous Close 20.19
Regular Market Price 20.565
Regular Market Time 1,792,162,945
Regular Market Volume 858,939
Return On Assets 0.04634
Return On Equity 0.042930003
Revenue Growth -0.024
Revenue Per Share 22.063
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 550,350,800
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0414
Shares Short 22,804,692
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 20,749,543
Short Name Hormel Foods Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.078099996
Short Ratio 4.75
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol HRL
Target High Price 29.0
Target Low Price 23.0
Target Mean Price 25.3125
Target Median Price 25.0
Total Cash 868,446,016
Total Cash Per Share 1.578
Total Debt 2,855,122,944
Total Revenue 12,146,911,232
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.168
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.05785042
Trailing Eps 0.62
Trailing P E 33.169357
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4015
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 22.9651
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.4000988
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10451071
Type Disp Equity
Volume 858,939
Website https://www.hormelfoods.com
Zip 55,912-3680