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Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Austin, United States | NYSE
21.57 USD +0.29 (1.363%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4:03 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.51 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 8 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:41 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is compromised by a brutal multi-year decline; despite the company's status as a dividend aristocrat, the stock has lost nearly 26% over the last nine years, with the last three years showing consecutive negative returns. This structural deterioration outweighs the attractive 4.86% yield, which is currently unsustainable given a payout ratio exceeding 137%. The balance sheet is fragile with debt-to-equity nearing 4.25, and earnings are contracting. While the short-term chart shows a bounce off the 200-day average and options traders are buying protection at lower levels, the fundamental reality is a value trap where the market has correctly priced out the business quality. Investors should view the high yield as compensation for the risk of further capital erosion rather than a reliable income stream.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.053055
AutoARIMA0.053056
MSTL0.057740
AutoTheta0.109161

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 4.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 5.06
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 4.244
Revenue per Share 22.063
Market Cap 11,871,066,112
Trailing P/E 34.79
Forward P/E 13.88
Beta 0.33
Profit Margins 2.82%
Website https://www.hormelfoods.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 19, 20, 21) acting as a floor, while call volume is concentrated near the money (24-25 strikes). The significant volume in August and September ATM calls suggests a bid for a modest rebound to test resistance, but the massive put walls indicate a lack of aggressive bullish conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.20% 5.12% 4.14% 3.43%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-13 0.293000 1.197874
2026-04-13 0.293000 1.430664
2026-01-12 0.293000 1.282276
2025-10-14 0.290000 1.212375
2025-07-14 0.290000 0.974135
2025-04-14 0.290000 0.949264
2025-01-13 0.290000 0.958361
2024-10-15 0.283000 0.908799
2024-07-15 0.283000 0.926350
2024-04-12 0.283000 0.834070
2024-01-12 0.283000 0.889657
2023-10-13 0.275000 0.858838
2023-07-14 0.275000 0.685273
2023-04-14 0.275000 0.700459
2023-01-13 0.275000 0.596529
2022-10-14 0.260000 0.579194
2022-07-08 0.260000 0.546793
2022-04-08 0.260000 0.493265
2022-01-14 0.260000 0.529747
2021-10-15 0.245000 0.574308
2021-07-09 0.245000 0.516442
2021-04-09 0.245000 0.528587
2021-01-08 0.245000 0.539173
2020-10-16 0.233000 0.470327
2020-07-10 0.233000 0.483402
2020-04-09 0.233000 0.490114
2020-01-10 0.233000 0.518931
2019-10-18 0.210000 0.514580
2019-07-12 0.210000 0.512070
2019-04-12 0.210000 0.510328
2019-01-11 0.210000 0.493653
2018-10-19 0.188000 0.450515
2018-07-13 0.188000 0.500266
2018-04-13 0.188000 0.536530
2018-01-11 0.188000 0.547467
2017-10-20 0.170000 0.553025
2017-07-13 0.170000 0.519719
2017-04-13 0.170000 0.499412
2017-01-12 0.170000 0.480226
2016-10-20 0.145000 0.384106
2016-07-14 0.145000 0.394988
2016-04-14 0.145000 0.369427
2016-01-14 0.145000 0.367834
2015-10-15 0.125000 0.385267
2015-07-16 0.125000 0.428449
2015-04-16 0.125000 0.435085
2015-01-15 0.125000 0.490773
2014-10-16 0.100000 0.401123
2014-07-17 0.100000 0.417275
2014-04-16 0.100000 0.419287
2014-01-17 0.100000 0.436205
2013-10-17 0.085000 0.391886
2013-07-18 0.085000 0.413424
2013-04-18 0.085000 0.417280
2013-01-17 0.085000 0.493039
2012-10-18 0.075000 0.508475
2012-07-19 0.075000 0.523743
2012-04-19 0.075000 0.529287
2012-01-19 0.075000 0.512120
2011-10-19 0.064000 0.450546
2011-07-20 0.064000 0.428380
2011-04-19 0.064000 0.452137
2011-01-19 0.063750 0.503953
2010-10-20 0.052500 0.470219
2010-07-21 0.052500 0.500357
2010-04-14 0.052500 0.500477
2010-01-20 0.052500 0.545455
2009-10-21 0.047500 0.524427
2009-07-15 0.047500 0.547550
2009-04-15 0.047500 0.598425
2009-01-21 0.047500 0.622747
2008-10-15 0.046250 0.566269
2008-07-16 0.046250 0.516760
2008-04-16 0.046250 0.464824
2008-01-16 0.046250 0.472300
2007-10-17 0.037500 0.406614
2007-07-18 0.037500 0.411072
2007-04-18 0.037500 0.401392
2007-01-17 0.037500 0.400962
2006-10-18 0.035000 0.392047
2006-07-19 0.035000 0.377054
2006-04-19 0.035000 0.411644
2006-01-18 0.035000 0.411644
2005-10-19 0.032500 0.404480
2005-07-20 0.032500 0.431034
2005-04-20 0.032500 0.443535
2005-01-19 0.032500 0.425532
2004-10-20 0.028250 0.423697
2004-07-21 0.028250 0.383051
2004-04-14 0.028250 0.379704
2004-01-21 0.028250 0.440203
2003-10-15 0.026250 0.438596
2003-07-16 0.026250 0.451613
2003-04-15 0.026250 0.475975
2003-01-15 0.026250 0.458716
2002-10-16 0.024500 0.412111
2002-07-17 0.024500 0.445455
2002-04-17 0.024500 0.371072
2002-01-16 0.024500 0.375623
2001-10-17 0.005750 0.103139
2001-07-18 0.023250 0.379128
2001-04-18 0.023250 0.476923
2001-01-17 0.023250 0.531429
2000-10-18 0.022000 0.533333
2000-07-19 0.022000 0.527341
2000-04-18 0.022000 0.547860
2000-01-19 0.021875 0.443038
1999-10-20 0.020625 0.378223
1999-07-21 0.020625 0.418383
1999-04-14 0.020625 0.458333
1999-01-20 0.020625 0.513619
1998-10-21 0.020000 0.516129
1998-07-15 0.020000 0.463768
1998-04-15 0.020000 0.478505
1998-01-21 0.020000 0.490421
1997-10-15 0.019375 0.487230
1997-07-16 0.019375 0.570115
1997-04-16 0.019375 0.599034
1997-01-15 0.019375 0.579439
1996-10-16 0.018750 0.641711
1996-07-17 0.018750 0.648649
1996-04-17 0.018750 0.560748
1996-01-17 0.018750 0.597015
1995-10-18 0.018125 0.604167
1995-07-19 0.018125 0.588832
1995-04-17 0.017500 0.520930
1995-01-13 0.017500 0.560000
1994-10-17 0.015625 0.537634
1994-07-18 0.015625 0.552486
1994-04-18 0.015625 0.649351
1994-01-14 0.015625 0.584795
1993-10-18 0.013750 0.502857
1993-07-19 0.013750 0.517647
1993-04-12 0.013750 0.500000
1993-01-15 0.013750 0.460733
1992-10-19 0.011250 0.450000
1992-07-13 0.011250 0.444444
1992-04-10 0.011250 0.525547
1992-01-13 0.011250 0.444444
1991-10-11 0.009375 0.375000
1991-07-15 0.009375 0.368098
1991-04-15 0.009375 0.340909
1991-01-14 0.009375 0.454545
1990-10-15 0.008125 0.444444
1990-07-16 0.008125 0.368794
1990-04-16 0.008125 0.409449
1990-01-12 0.008125 0.400000
1989-10-16 0.006875 0.387665
1989-07-17 0.006875 0.400000
1989-04-17 0.006875 0.497175
1989-01-13 0.006875 0.486188
1988-10-17 0.005625 0.476821
1988-07-18 0.005625 0.480000
1988-04-18 0.005625 0.382979
1988-01-15 0.005625 0.411428
1988-01-11 0.003750 0.275862
1987-10-19 0.004688 0.357181
1987-07-13 0.004688 0.300032
1987-04-10 0.004688 0.401381
1987-01-16 0.004688 0.413837
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.17
dividendYield 5.42
exDividendDate 2026-07-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.168
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.054887217
lastDividendValue 0.293
lastDividendDate 2026-07-13
dividendDate 2026-08-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.13823414
Address1 1 Hormel Place
All Time High 55.11
All Time Low 0.208984
Ask 21.55
Ask Size 3,800
Audit Risk 9
Average Analyst Rating 2.6 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,698,600
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,394,088
Average Volume 4,394,088
Average Volume10Days 6,698,600
Beta 0.331
Bid 21.4
Bid Size 6,700
Board Risk 3
Book Value 14.273
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.57
Current Ratio 1.882
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 21.575
Day Low 21.14
Debt To Equity 4.244
Display Name Hormel Foods
Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Dividend Rate 1.17
Dividend Yield 5.42
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,787,835,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,787,835,600
Earnings Growth -0.051
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.051
Earnings Timestamp 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 1,264,931,968
Ebitda Margins 0.10414
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.128
Enterprise To Revenue 0.951
Enterprise Value 11,546,804,224
Eps Current Year 1.48715
Eps Forward 1.55353
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.62
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,900,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.7468
Fifty Day Average Change -3.1767998
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.12837215
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -13.823414
Fifty Two Week High 26.6
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.0300007
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.18909776
Fifty Two Week Low 19.7
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.8699989
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0949238
Fifty Two Week Range 19.7 - 26.6
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.21
Float Shares 290,612,740
Forward Eps 1.55353
Forward P E 13.884508
Free Cashflow 621,551,616
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 20,000
Fullday Change 0.289999
Fullday Change Percent 1.36278
Fullday Price 21.51
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.15741
Gross Profits 1,912,066,944
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00471
Held Percent Institutions 0.91365
Implied Shares Outstanding 550,350,800
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=71258&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,900,800
Last Dividend Value 0.293
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,436,800
Last Split Date 1,455,062,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Hormel Foods Corporation develops, processes, and distributes various meat, nut, and other food products to foodservice, convenience stores, and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail, Foodservice, and International. The company provides perishable products, including fresh meats, frozen items, refrigerated meal solutions, bacon, sausages, hams, guacamole, and other items that require refrigeration, as well as shelf-stable products, such as canned luncheon meats, nut butters, snack nuts, chili, shelf-stable microwaveable meals, hash, stews, tortillas, salsas, tortilla chips, and other items that do not require refrigeration. It sells its products under the HORMEL, ALWAYS TENDER, APPLEGATE, AUSTIN BLUES, BACON 1, BLACK LABEL, BREAD READY, BURKE, CAFÉ H, CERATTI, CHI-CHI'S, COLUMBUS, COMPLEATS, CORN NUTS, CURE 81, DAN'S PRIZE, DI LUSSO, DINTY MOORE, DON MIGUEL, DOÑA MARIA, EMBASA, FAST ‘N EASY, FIRE BRAISED, FONTANINI, HERDEZ, HORMEL GATHERINGS, HOUSE OF TSANG, JENNIE-O, JUSTIN'S, LA VICTORIA, LAYOUT, LLOYD'S, MARY KITCHEN, MR. PEANUT, NATURAL CHOICE, NUT-RITION, OLD SMOKEHOUSE, OVEN READY, PILLOW PACK, PLANTERS, ROSA GRANDE, SADLER'S SMOKEHOUSE, SKIPPY, SPAM, SQUARE TABLE, SPECIAL RECIPE, VALLEY FRESH, and WHOLLY brands through sales personnel, independent brokers, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Geo. A. Hormel & Company and changed its name to Hormel Foods Corporation in January 1995. Hormel Foods Corporation was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Austin, Minnesota.
Long Name Hormel Foods Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 11,871,066,112
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_279042
Most Recent Quarter 1,564,272,000
Net Income To Common 342,711,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,792,972,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 11,710,702,327
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 21.29
Operating Cashflow 1,091,657,984
Operating Margins 0.11057
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 1.8831
Peg Ratio 1.5
Phone 507 437 5611
Post Market Change -0.059999466
Post Market Change Percent -0.27816164
Post Market Price 21.51
Post Market Time 1,787,961,600
Previous Close 21.28
Price Eps Current Year 14.504253
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.511245
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9772909
Profit Margins 0.028210001
Quick Ratio 0.886
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.6
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.289999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.36278
Regular Market Day High 21.575
Regular Market Day Low 21.14
Regular Market Day Range 21.14 - 21.575
Regular Market Open 21.29
Regular Market Previous Close 21.28
Regular Market Price 21.57
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,422
Regular Market Volume 10,615,798
Return On Assets 0.04634
Return On Equity 0.042930003
Revenue Growth -0.029
Revenue Per Share 22.063
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 550,350,800
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0311
Shares Short 17,129,618
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 20,290,232
Short Name Hormel Foods Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.0587
Short Ratio 5.07
Source Interval 15
State MN
Symbol HRL
Target High Price 30.0
Target Low Price 23.0
Target Mean Price 26.125
Target Median Price 26.0
Total Cash 574,262,976
Total Cash Per Share 1.043
Total Debt 250,000,000
Total Revenue 12,146,911,232
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.168
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.054887217
Trailing Eps 0.62
Trailing P E 34.79032
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.4972
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.45345
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.8834496
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08030587
Type Disp Equity
Volume 10,615,798
Website https://www.hormelfoods.com
Zip 55,912-3680