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Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI)

Industrials | Rental & Leasing Services | Bonita Springs, United States | NYSE
123.11 USD -5.59 (-4.343%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 123.11
Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT

The most striking feature of this instrument is the massive valuation disconnect between the trailing twelve-month earnings and the forward outlook. While the stock trades at a staggering 80 times trailing earnings, the forward P/E compresses to roughly 11 times, implying a massive earnings re-rating is priced in by the market. This tension creates a compelling case for a long-term entry, yet the balance sheet remains a significant liability with debt-to-equity exceeding 500 percent and return on equity hovering near 3 percent. The business is generating strong revenue growth, but the capital efficiency is poor, preventing a top-tier long-term rating. On the short end, momentum is lagging as the price sits below its 50-day and 200-day averages, yet the analyst consensus has raised targets to imply nearly 50 percent upside, suggesting a potential bounce is forming. The dividend yield is attractive at 2.25 percent, but the payout ratio exceeds 180 percent of earnings, meaning the distribution is not fully covered by current profits and relies on cash flow or reserves. Overall, this looks like a turnaround play where the market is pricing in a profitability explosion that hasn't happened yet, supported by a floor of put buying at 100 and a ceiling of call interest at 165.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.085392
AutoETS0.089787
AutoARIMA0.089790
AutoTheta0.098353

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 5.45
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.168
Excess Kurtosis -1.37
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-01
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-01
Debt to Equity Ratio 505.714
Revenue per Share 145.389
Market Cap 4,115,745,024
Trailing P/E 80.46
Forward P/E 11.27
Beta 2.05
Profit Margins 1.01%
Website https://www.hercrentals.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound outcome between 100 and 165. Call buyers have established a major wall at 165, while put writers are hedging downside at 100. Implied volatility is elevated around 60-70%, indicating uncertainty about the near-term direction despite the bullish call positioning.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.51% 1.97% 1.89% —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-02 0.700 0.508093
2026-05-29 0.700 0.526316
2026-02-18 0.700 0.475737
2025-12-15 0.700 0.456413
2025-08-22 0.700 0.539541
2025-05-30 0.700 0.564516
2025-02-18 0.700 0.377623
2024-12-16 0.665 0.334171
2024-08-23 0.665 0.454297
2024-05-31 0.665 0.458399
2024-02-20 0.665 0.451613
2023-12-08 0.633 0.508965
2023-08-17 0.633 0.496860
2023-05-25 0.633 0.610650
2023-02-21 0.633 0.441577
2022-12-09 0.575 0.442342
2022-08-18 0.575 0.465964
2022-05-26 0.575 0.493139
2022-02-22 0.575 0.372289
2021-10-19 0.500 0.275315
Additional Data
dividendYield 2.18
exDividendDate 2026-09-02
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.8
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.021756021
lastDividendValue 0.7
lastDividendDate 2026-09-02
dividendDate 2026-09-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.048241198
Address1 27,500 Riverview Center Boulevard
All Time High 246.88
All Time Low 4.65
Ask 124.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 548,330
Average Daily Volume3 Month 618,167
Average Volume 618,167
Average Volume10Days 548,330
Beta 2.049
Bid 116.01
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 2
Book Value 56.587
City Bonita Springs
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 2
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 123.11
Current Ratio 1.102
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 129.86
Day Low 120.675
Debt To Equity 505.714
Display Name Herc
Dividend Date 1,789,516,800
Dividend Yield 2.18
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 931,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.19172001
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.641
Enterprise To Revenue 2.807
Enterprise Value 13,630,744,576
Eps Current Year 7.13536
Eps Forward 10.92746
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.53
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,788,307,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 146.2218
Fifty Day Average Change -23.111801
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.15805988
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -4.8241196
Fifty Two Week High 188.35
Fifty Two Week High Change -65.240005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.34637645
Fifty Two Week Low 88.45
Fifty Two Week Low Change 34.660004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.39185986
Fifty Two Week Range 88.45 - 188.35
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,163,687,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.28
Float Shares 30,615,179
Forward Eps 10.92746
Forward P E 11.266113
Free Cashflow 502,875,008
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 9,600
Fullday Change 1.4799957
Fullday Change Percent 1.1633357
Fullday Price 123.11
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.3194
Gross Profits 1,551,000,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02185
Held Percent Institutions 1.06566
Implied Shares Outstanding 33,431,444
Industry Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Disp Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Key rental-leasing-services
Ir Website http://www.hertz.com/rentacar/abouthertz/index.jsp?targetPage=investorrelations.jsp
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,788,307,200
Last Dividend Value 0.7
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,467,331,200
Last Split Factor 1:3
Long Business Summary Herc Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internationally. It rents aerial, earthmoving, material handling, trucks and trailers, air compressors, compaction, and lighting equipment. The company offers ProSolutions, an industry specific solution-based services, which include power generation, climate control, remediation and restoration, pump, trench shoring, and studio and production equipment; and ProContractor professional grade tools. In addition, it provides various services, including repair, maintenance, equipment management, and safety training; and equipment re-rental and on-site support services, as well as ancillary services, such as equipment transport, rental protection, cleaning, refueling, and labor. Further, the company sells used equipment and contractor supplies, such as construction consumables, tools, small equipment, and safety supplies. It serves non-residential and residential construction, specialty trade, restoration, remediation and environment, and facility maintenance contractors; industrial manufacturing industries, including refineries and petrochemical, automotive and aerospace, power, metals and mining, agriculture, pulp, paper and wood, and food and beverage industries; infrastructure and government sectors; and commercial facilities, commercial warehousing, education, healthcare, data centers, hospitality, retail, special event management and non-account customers. The company sells its products through its sales team and industry catalogs, as well as through participation and sponsorship of industry events, trade shows, and Internet. Herc Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Bonita Springs, Florida.
Long Name Herc Holdings Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,115,745,024
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_320141334
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 49,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,587,797,060
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 127.9
Operating Cashflow 1,264,000,000
Operating Margins 0.12209
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 1.8300999
Peg Ratio 0.04
Phone 239 301 1000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 123.11
Post Market Time 1,792,011,900
Previous Close 128.7
Price Eps Current Year 17.25351
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.175588
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8475587
Profit Margins 0.010089999
Quick Ratio 0.974
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.72727
Region US
Regular Market Change -5.59
Regular Market Change Percent -4.34343
Regular Market Day High 129.86
Regular Market Day Low 120.675
Regular Market Day Range 120.675 - 129.86
Regular Market Open 127.9
Regular Market Previous Close 128.7
Regular Market Price 123.11
Regular Market Time 1,792,008,002
Regular Market Volume 650,706
Return On Assets 0.02871
Return On Equity 0.02578
Revenue Growth 0.202
Revenue Per Share 145.389
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1570785
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 33,431,444
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.093
Shares Short 3,109,446
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,177,123
Short Name Herc Holdings Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1246
Short Ratio 3.55
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol HRI
Target High Price 240.0
Target Low Price 135.0
Target Mean Price 182.66667
Target Median Price 175.5
Total Cash 43,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.286
Total Debt 9,557,999,616
Total Revenue 4,856,000,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.8
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.021756021
Trailing Eps 1.53
Trailing P E 80.46406
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.0439
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 140.22665
Two Hundred Day Average Change -17.116653
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.122064196
Type Disp Equity
Volume 650,706
Website https://www.hercrentals.com
Zip 34,134