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HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Fort Worth, United States | NasdaqGM
8.10 USD +0.10 (1.250%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.10
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT

The investment case for HighPeak Energy is currently broken by a deteriorating balance sheet and a failing business model. Despite a recent 26% surge in revenue, the company posted another loss, and the payout ratio of 123% confirms that dividends are being funded by burning cash, not earnings. This is a classic value trap where the stock trades at a discount to book value because the market correctly anticipates capital destruction. The massive short interest (over 50%) and the overwhelming put-heavy options flow confirm that smart money sees a path to lower prices, likely driven by debt distress or further operational missteps. While the 2.7% yield looks attractive on the surface, it is an unsustainable payout that will likely be cut once liquidity tightens. Avoid this stock until the deleveraging strategy shows tangible results and the payout ratio drops below 100%.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.074926
AutoETS0.074927
MSTL0.084806
AutoTheta0.095747

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 7.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.240
Excess Kurtosis -1.23
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-30
Last Dividend Date 2025-11-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 76.682
Revenue per Share 6.852
Market Cap 1,024,267,712
Forward P/E -36.82
Beta 0.37
Profit Margins -10.28%
Website https://www.highpeakenergy.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest dominates across nearly all expirations, with significant concentration at the $5.00 strike, suggesting a 'floor' expectation. Call activity is sparse and heavily weighted toward out-of-the-money strikes ($10.00), indicating limited bullish conviction. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, reflecting fear of further decline.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.58% 1.09% 1.00% 0.81%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-01 0.040 0.581395
2025-09-02 0.040 0.509554
2025-06-02 0.040 0.395257
2025-03-03 0.040 0.334448
2024-12-02 0.040 0.264725
2024-09-03 0.040 0.261952
2024-06-03 0.040 0.268276
2024-02-29 0.040 0.241400
2023-10-31 0.025 0.141163
2023-08-07 0.025 0.176554
2023-04-28 0.025 0.126518
2023-01-31 0.025 0.089413
2022-10-31 0.025 0.107204
2022-07-29 0.025 0.101709
2022-04-29 0.025 0.091542
2022-01-31 0.025 0.140687
2021-10-14 0.025 0.198886
2021-07-14 0.100 0.923361
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.16
dividendYield 2.74
exDividendDate 2025-12-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.08
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.01
lastDividendValue 0.04
lastDividendDate 2025-12-01
dividendDate 2025-12-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.03184712
Address1 421 West 3rd Street
Address2 Suite 1000
All Time High 38.21
All Time Low 3.85
Ask 8.64
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 333,090
Average Daily Volume3 Month 556,603
Average Volume 556,603
Average Volume10Days 333,090
Beta 0.371
Bid 4.95
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 12.266
City Fort Worth
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.1
Current Ratio 0.865
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 8.125
Day Low 7.91
Debt To Equity 76.682
Display Name HighPeak Energy
Dividend Date 1,766,448,000
Dividend Rate 0.16
Dividend Yield 2.74
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,460,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,460,400
Earnings Growth 2.152
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.143
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 576,131,008
Ebitda Margins 0.66767997
Enterprise To Ebitda 3.588
Enterprise To Revenue 2.396
Enterprise Value 2,067,357,696
Eps Current Year -0.075
Eps Forward -0.22
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.7
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,764,547,200
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.3288
Fifty Day Average Change 0.7712002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.10522871
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 3.184712
Fifty Two Week High 9.129
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0289993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11271764
Fifty Two Week Low 3.85
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.2500005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1038963
Fifty Two Week Range 3.85 - 9.129
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,527,600,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.04
Float Shares 21,825,754
Forward Eps -0.22
Forward P E -36.818184
Free Cashflow 68,907,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 50
Fullday Change 0.1
Fullday Change Percent 1.25
Fullday Price 8.1
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.72227997
Gross Profits 623,243,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.82298
Held Percent Institutions 0.38184
Implied Shares Outstanding 126,452,804
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,764,547,200
Last Dividend Value 0.04
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico. The company was formerly known as HPK Energy, LP and changed its name to HighPeak Energy, Inc. in August 2020. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Long Name HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,024,267,712
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_645795910
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -84,729,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,011,622,432
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 7.97
Operating Cashflow 393,878,016
Operating Margins 0.29456
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 1.2308
Phone 817 850 9200
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 8.1
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 8.0
Price Eps Current Year -108.0
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.660362
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1870338
Profit Margins -0.102819994
Quick Ratio 0.745
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.1
Regular Market Change Percent 1.25
Regular Market Day High 8.125
Regular Market Day Low 7.91
Regular Market Day Range 7.91 - 8.125
Regular Market Open 7.97
Regular Market Previous Close 8.0
Regular Market Price 8.1
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 226,965
Return On Assets 0.02643
Return On Equity -0.055359997
Revenue Growth 0.258
Revenue Per Share 6.852
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 126,452,804
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0736
Shares Short 9,303,574
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,721,917
Short Name HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.6037
Short Ratio 18.94
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol HPK
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 5.75
Target Mean Price 7.875
Target Median Price 7.875
Total Cash 146,346,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.157
Total Debt 1,189,436,032
Total Revenue 862,880,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.08
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.01
Trailing Eps -0.7
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.24735
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.8526502
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.29654977
Type Disp Equity
Volume 226,965
Website https://www.highpeakenergy.com
Zip 76,102