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HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK)

Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Fort Worth, United States | NasdaqGM
5.35 USD -0.31 (-5.398%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 5.36 +0.01 (0.226%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:43 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:11 a.m. EDT

HPK is a high-risk value trap exhibiting clear bearish sentiment via derivative markets and deteriorating balance sheet metrics (negative FCF, negative forward PE, rising debt-to-equity). While the stock trades below book value, the fundamentals of negative operating margins and a slashed 2026 drilling budget signal a deteriorating asset quality, making it attractive only for deep-value contrarians with a multi-year horizon, but unsuitable for momentum traders facing an elevated probability of further price compression.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.275639
MSTL0.292539
AutoTheta0.304086
AutoARIMA0.343342

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 10.33
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.256
Excess Kurtosis -1.20
Attribute Value
Sector Energy
Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-30
Last Dividend Date 2025-11-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 74.866
Revenue per Share 6.892
Market Cap 675,384,064
Trailing P/E 41.12
Forward P/E -16.70
Beta 0.61
Profit Margins 2.20%
Website https://www.highpeakenergy.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:11 a.m. EDT: Put volume and Open Interest heavily skewed toward OTM strikes (May '26 $5.0 strike has 15.7k OI, Aug '26 $5.0 strike has 187 OI), while Call OI remains concentrated at lower strikes ($5.0-$7.5) with significantly lower volume relative to puts. This indicates a strong 'pin the price down' strategy by speculators, likely hedging against continued debt sales or dividend cut pressures. The ATM IV for puts is slightly depressed compared to the ~1.0-1.4 range for OTM puts, suggesting the market prices in a decline or flat trade rather than a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.58% 1.49% 1.12%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-01 0.040 0.581395
2025-09-02 0.040 0.512610
2025-06-02 0.040 0.399704
2025-03-03 0.040 0.339584
2024-12-02 0.040 0.269625
2024-09-03 0.040 0.267510
2024-06-03 0.040 0.274653
2024-02-29 0.040 0.247766
2023-10-31 0.025 0.145238
2023-08-07 0.025 0.181914
2023-04-28 0.025 0.130585
2023-01-31 0.025 0.092406
2022-10-31 0.025 0.110891
2022-07-29 0.025 0.105324
2022-04-29 0.025 0.094892
2022-01-31 0.025 0.145957
2021-10-14 0.025 0.206626
2021-07-14 0.100 0.961382
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.16
dividendYield 2.74
exDividendDate 2025-12-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.16
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.028318582
lastDividendValue 0.04
lastDividendDate 2025-12-01
dividendDate 2025-12-23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.41199118
Address1 421 West 3rd Street
Address2 Suite 1000
All Time High 38.21
All Time Low 3.85
Ask 5.39
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 962,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,082,369
Average Volume 1,082,369
Average Volume10Days 962,650
Beta 0.605
Bid 5.3
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 12.723
City Fort Worth
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 5.345
Current Ratio 1.129
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 5.395
Day Low 5.08
Debt To Equity 74.866
Display Name HighPeak Energy
Dividend Date 1,766,448,000
Dividend Rate 0.16
Dividend Yield 2.74
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,773,327,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,773,327,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,773,259,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,529,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,529,600
Ebitda 576,721,024
Ebitda Margins 0.66800004
Enterprise To Ebitda 2.96
Enterprise To Revenue 1.977
Enterprise Value 1,707,103,104
Eps Current Year -0.295
Eps Forward -0.32
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.13
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,764,547,200
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.8743
Fifty Day Average Change -0.5293002
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.090104386
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.19912
Fifty Two Week High 12.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.655
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5545834
Fifty Two Week Low 3.85
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.4949999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.38831165
Fifty Two Week Range 3.85 - 12.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,527,600,600,000
Float Shares 26,258,478
Forward Eps -0.32
Forward P E -16.703125
Free Cashflow -66,328,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 50
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.71609
Gross Profits 618,241,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.82628
Held Percent Institutions 0.21156
Implied Shares Outstanding 126,358,104
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Disp Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Key oil-gas-e-p
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,764,547,200
Last Dividend Value 0.04
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary HighPeak Energy, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas and Eastern New Mexico. The company was formerly known as HPK Energy, LP and changed its name to HighPeak Energy, Inc. in August 2020. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Long Name HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 675,384,064
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_645795910
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 16,869,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 675,384,065
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 5.35
Operating Cashflow 511,596,992
Operating Margins -0.07592
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 1.2308
Phone 817 850 9200
Post Market Change 0.01210022
Post Market Change Percent 0.22638391
Post Market Price 5.3571
Post Market Time 1,776,469,416
Previous Close 5.65
Price Eps Current Year -18.118645
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.4201053
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.7822749
Profit Margins 0.021960001
Quick Ratio 0.937
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.305
Regular Market Change Percent -5.39824
Regular Market Day High 5.395
Regular Market Day Low 5.08
Regular Market Day Range 5.08 - 5.395
Regular Market Open 5.35
Regular Market Previous Close 5.65
Regular Market Price 5.345
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,001
Regular Market Volume 1,355,275
Return On Assets 0.030369999
Return On Equity 0.01186
Revenue Growth -0.233
Revenue Per Share 6.892
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Energy
Sector Disp Energy
Sector Key energy
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 126,358,104
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0673
Shares Short 8,508,464
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 7,651,361
Short Name HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.335
Short Ratio 6.26
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol HPK
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 5.75
Target Mean Price 7.875
Target Median Price 7.875
Total Cash 162,075,008
Total Cash Per Share 1.283
Total Debt 1,193,794,048
Total Revenue 863,358,976
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.16
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.028318582
Trailing Eps 0.13
Trailing P E 41.115383
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.4843
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1393003
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.17570136
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,355,275
Website https://www.highpeakenergy.com
Zip 76,102