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Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV)

Consumer Cyclical | Residential Construction | Matawan, United States | NYSE
125.30 USD -2.00 (-1.571%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 125.30

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is neutral due to conflicting signals: while the stock recently rallied nearly 15% from its lows, the statistical forecasting model offers only a weak lean upward with low confidence, suggesting the recent pop may be noise rather than a trend. More critically, the long-term picture is severely damaged by a sharp 23.5% drop in the most recent year, capping a decade-long rally. This latest decline follows four prior years of negative returns, indicating a persistent structural deterioration in the business rather than a temporary setback. The fundamentals confirm this distress: revenue is shrinking by 2.7%, profitability is negligible with a mere 1.25% profit margin, and the company carries a heavy debt load relative to equity. Compounding the risk, insiders and directors have been actively selling shares, signaling a lack of confidence among those closest to the operations. With no dividend history to provide income, this appears to be a value trap where the low price reflects genuine business decay.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.082931
MSTL0.086998
AutoETS0.088665
AutoTheta0.088723
AutoARIMA0.088941

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 35%
H-stat 3.86
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.809
Excess Kurtosis 0.03
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 130.139
Revenue per Share 452.873
Market Cap 734,207,552
Trailing P/E 34.61
Forward P/E 29.76
Beta 1.81
Profit Margins 1.25%
Website https://www.khov.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.08775532
Address1 90 Matawan Road
Address2 Fifth Floor
All Time High 1,835.0
All Time Low 5.12
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 124,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 120,109
Average Volume 120,109
Average Volume10Days 124,130
Beta 1.809
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 8
Book Value 117.852
City Matawan
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 125.3
Current Ratio 4.334
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 128.915
Day Low 124.465
Debt To Equity 130.139
Display Name Hovnanian Enterprises
Dividend Date 1,553,817,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,375,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,375,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,366,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,229,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,229,000
Ebitda 99,905,000
Ebitda Margins 0.03424
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.399
Enterprise To Revenue 0.561
Enterprise Value 1,638,308,480
Eps Forward 4.21
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.62
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 116.7172
Fifty Day Average Change 8.582802
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07353502
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.775532
Fifty Two Week High 162.06
Fifty Two Week High Change -36.759995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.22682954
Fifty Two Week Low 91.52
Fifty Two Week Low Change 33.780006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36909974
Fifty Two Week Range 91.52 - 162.06
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 431,789,400,000
Float Shares 4,309,675
Forward Eps 4.21
Forward P E 29.76247
Free Cashflow 41,273,876
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,891
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.1515
Gross Profits 442,100,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.10027
Held Percent Institutions 0.65119004
Implied Shares Outstanding 5,859,597
Industry Residential Construction
Industry Disp Residential Construction
Industry Key residential-construction
Ir Website http://www.khov.com/Home/IR/CorporateSummary/CorporateSummary.htm
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,761,868,800
Last Split Date 1,553,817,600
Last Split Factor 1:25
Long Business Summary Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, markets, and sells residential homes in the United States. It offers single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes with amenities, such as clubhouses, swimming pools, tennis courts, tot lots, and open areas. The company markets and builds homes for first-time buyers, move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active lifestyle buyers, and empty nesters. It also provides mortgage loans and title services. Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. was founded in 1959 and is based in Matawan, New Jersey.
Long Name Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 734,207,552
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_279534
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common 24,245,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,793,404,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 732,295,837
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 128.62
Operating Cashflow 295,644,000
Operating Margins 0.03398
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.0
Phone 732 747 7800
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 125.3
Post Market Time 1,783,976,700
Previous Close 127.3
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.063198
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.25160602
Profit Margins 0.012519999
Quick Ratio 0.677
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.0
Regular Market Change Percent -1.57109
Regular Market Day High 128.915
Regular Market Day Low 124.465
Regular Market Day Range 124.465 - 128.915
Regular Market Open 128.62
Regular Market Previous Close 127.3
Regular Market Price 125.3
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 64,486
Return On Assets 0.01964
Return On Equity 0.04395
Revenue Growth -0.027
Revenue Per Share 452.873
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 5,071,686
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0556
Shares Short 325,534
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 302,799
Short Name Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0721
Short Ratio 2.56
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol HOV
Target High Price 74.0
Target Low Price 74.0
Target Mean Price 74.0
Target Median Price 74.0
Total Cash 310,924,992
Total Cash Per Share 53.063
Total Debt 1,077,022,976
Total Revenue 2,918,084,096
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 3.62
Trailing P E 34.613262
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 117.17485
Two Hundred Day Average Change 8.125153
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.06934212
Type Disp Equity
Volume 64,486
Website https://www.khov.com
Zip 7,747