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Home BancShares, Inc. (HOMB)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Conway, United States | NYSE
29.10 USD +0.38 (1.323%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT

Home BancShares presents a compelling case for a medium-term swing trade backed by a fundamentally sound regional bank. The stock has delivered a robust +44.8% cumulative return over the last nine years, driven by five consecutive years of positive annual growth, which signals a healthy, expanding business rather than a value trap. While the statistical forecasting model suggests a slight negative drift (-0.04%) over the next 45 days, this weak signal is clearly overridden by the overwhelming bullishness in the options chain and the company's solid fundamentals. The options market is positioning for upside, with heavy call buying at $15 and $30 strikes while ignoring downside protection entirely. Fundamentally, the bank trades at a reasonable 11.8x earnings with a 33% payout ratio, offering a 2.9% yield that is sustainable given the low payout. The recent price action shows resilience, trading above its 50-day average despite the broader market's noise. This is a 'buy' for investors seeking exposure to a growing regional lender with a fortress-like balance sheet, though the immediate statistical forecast warrants a cautious entry rather than an aggressive momentum push.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_70 ✓0.027897
AutoARIMA0.037670
AutoETS0.037895
AutoTheta0.038485
MSTL0.040108
MSTL_70_1260.042878
MSTL_1260.061524

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_70

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 0.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.164
Excess Kurtosis -1.18
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-12
Revenue per Share 5.457
Market Cap 5,861,130,752
Trailing P/E 11.98
Forward P/E 11.27
Beta 0.67
Profit Margins 44.52%
Previous Name Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR)
Website https://www.homebancshares.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, evidenced by massive call volume at deep strikes ($15) and significant open interest at the $30 strike across multiple expirations. Conversely, put activity is negligible, with almost no open interest or volume recorded for downside protection, indicating a lack of fear regarding a near-term crash.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.82% 2.98% 2.95% 2.88%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-13 0.210000 0.815217
2026-02-11 0.210000 0.706833
2025-11-12 0.210000 0.767544
2025-08-13 0.200000 0.693963
2025-05-14 0.200000 0.684931
2025-02-12 0.195000 0.641447
2024-11-13 0.195000 0.633117
2024-08-14 0.195000 0.760827
2024-05-14 0.180000 0.726685
2024-02-13 0.180000 0.790167
2023-11-14 0.180000 0.816697
2023-08-15 0.180000 0.797872
2023-05-16 0.180000 0.884521
2023-02-14 0.180000 0.746269
2022-11-15 0.165000 0.641524
2022-08-16 0.165000 0.646552
2022-05-17 0.165000 0.785340
2022-02-15 0.165000 0.690088
2021-11-16 0.140000 0.537016
2021-08-10 0.140000 0.637523
2021-05-11 0.140000 0.506329
2021-02-16 0.140000 0.593723
2020-11-09 0.140000 0.755940
2020-08-11 0.130000 0.726663
2020-05-12 0.130000 1.012461
2020-02-11 0.130000 0.662252
2019-11-12 0.130000 0.692964
2019-08-13 0.130000 0.714286
2019-05-14 0.130000 0.711160
2019-02-12 0.120000 0.616333
2018-11-13 0.120000 0.611933
2018-08-14 0.120000 0.505263
2018-05-15 0.110000 0.466695
2018-02-13 0.110000 0.471698
2017-11-14 0.110000 0.509024
2017-08-14 0.110000 0.452675
2017-05-15 0.090000 0.356718
2017-02-06 0.090000 0.336197
2016-11-14 0.090000 0.355731
2016-08-08 0.090000 0.419776
2016-05-09 0.087500 0.423012
2016-02-08 0.075000 0.383240
2015-11-06 0.075000 0.326158
2015-08-10 0.075000 0.366300
2015-05-11 0.062500 0.371803
2015-02-09 0.062500 0.400641
2014-11-07 0.050000 0.310270
2014-08-11 0.050000 0.331455
2014-05-12 0.037500 0.237944
2014-02-10 0.037500 0.247443
2013-11-08 0.037500 0.211327
2013-08-12 0.037500 0.275027
2013-05-13 0.037500 0.369822
2013-02-11 0.032500 0.372920
2012-11-09 0.032500 0.392394
2012-08-13 0.030000 0.392670
2012-05-14 0.025000 0.356761
2012-02-13 0.025000 0.386997
2011-11-14 0.020000 0.337268
2011-08-15 0.020000 0.344531
2011-05-09 0.013500 0.228620
2011-02-07 0.013500 0.253521
2010-11-08 0.013500 0.249307
2010-08-09 0.013500 0.225188
2010-05-10 0.013636 0.223791
2010-02-08 0.013636 0.254987
2009-11-09 0.013636 0.275222
2009-08-10 0.013636 0.270020
2009-05-11 0.013636 0.278544
2009-02-09 0.013636 0.279713
2008-11-07 0.014773 0.247059
2008-08-27 0.013636 0.259958
2008-05-12 0.011574 0.227084
2008-02-11 0.010522 0.238894
2007-11-28 0.009470 0.214395
2007-08-30 0.008418 0.181416
2007-05-31 0.007365 0.156944
2007-03-01 0.005261 0.107760
2006-12-01 0.005261 0.110866
2006-08-31 0.005261 0.118205
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.84
dividendYield 2.89
exDividendDate 2026-05-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.82
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.028551532
lastDividendValue 0.21
lastDividendDate 2026-05-13
dividendDate 2026-06-03

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.026770592
Address1 719 Harkrider Street
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 32.91
All Time Low 3.240909
Ask 29.4
Ask Size 800
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,407,320
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,771,395
Average Volume 1,771,395
Average Volume10Days 2,407,320
Beta 0.672
Bid 28.91
Bid Size 1,300
Board Risk 7
Book Value 22.147
City Conway
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 29.1
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 29.135
Day Low 28.68
Dividend Date 1,780,444,800
Dividend Rate 0.84
Dividend Yield 2.89
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,232,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,232,000
Earnings Growth 0.035
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.026
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,145,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,145,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,145,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 5.324
Enterprise Value 5,721,812,480
Eps Current Year 2.47042
Eps Forward 2.58099
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.43
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 27.3152
Fifty Day Average Change 1.7847996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06534089
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.6770592
Fifty Two Week High 30.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.7299995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.05611416
Fifty Two Week Low 25.5
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.6000004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14117649
Fifty Two Week Range 25.5 - 30.83
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,151,069,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.79
Float Shares 188,510,879
Forward Eps 2.58099
Forward P E 11.274743
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 2,543
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 1,074,658,944
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.06317
Held Percent Institutions 0.75136
Implied Shares Outstanding 201,413,423
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,630,400
Last Dividend Value 0.21
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,465,430,400
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Home BancShares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Centennial Bank that provides commercial and retail banking, and related financial services to businesses, real estate developers and investors, individuals, and municipalities in the United States. The company offers deposit services, including checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It also provides loans comprising non-farm/non-residential real estate, construction/land development, residential mortgage, consumer, agricultural, and commercial and industrial loans. In addition, the company offers other banking services, such as internet and mobile banking, voice response information, cash management, overdraft protection, direct deposit, and automatic account transfer services, as well as safe deposit boxes and the United States savings bonds. Further, it provides trust, wealth management, and custodial services, as well as trustee services, escrow, and paying agent services. Additionally, the company writes policies for commercial and personal lines of business, including insurance for property, casualty, life, health, and employee benefits. It operates its branches in Arkansas, Florida, Texas, South Alabama, and New York City. Home BancShares, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Conway, Arkansas.
Long Name Home BancShares, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,861,130,752
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_9870193
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-14
Net Income To Common 478,440,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,861,130,609
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 28.8
Operating Cashflow 433,102,016
Operating Margins 0.57334
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.33740002
Peg Ratio 3.01
Phone 501 339 2929
Pre Market Change -0.050001144
Pre Market Change Percent -0.17182523
Pre Market Price 29.05
Pre Market Time 1,784,027,363
Prev Name Home Bancshares, Inc. (Conway, AR)
Previous Close 28.72
Price Eps Current Year 11.779374
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.3139478
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.453945
Profit Margins 0.4452
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.44444
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.380001
Regular Market Change Percent 1.32312
Regular Market Day High 29.135
Regular Market Day Low 28.68
Regular Market Day Range 28.68 - 29.135
Regular Market Open 28.8
Regular Market Previous Close 28.72
Regular Market Price 29.1
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,803
Regular Market Volume 1,250,357
Return On Assets 0.02071
Return On Equity 0.114020005
Revenue Growth 0.024
Revenue Per Share 5.457
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 201,413,423
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0546
Shares Short 11,004,606
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 10,413,559
Short Name Home BancShares, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0761
Short Ratio 5.49
Source Interval 15
State AR
Symbol HOMB
Target High Price 33.0
Target Low Price 29.0
Target Mean Price 31.14286
Target Median Price 31.0
Total Cash 1,109,148,032
Total Cash Per Share 5.507
Total Debt 969,830,016
Total Revenue 1,074,658,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.82
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.028551532
Trailing Eps 2.43
Trailing P E 11.975308
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 27.74155
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.3584499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.04896806
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,250,357
Website https://www.homebancshares.com
Zip 72,032