VanEck Bitcoin ETF (HODL)Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
21.57 USD
-0.35
(-1.597%) ⇩
(April 20, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:28 a.m. EDT
The zero-fee status attracts steady AUM, but the lack of dividends and high tracking error (volatility) cap its appeal as a core holder relative to IBIT. However, today's pricing data shows $22, the analyst model predicts a small 1-month decline, and the 45-day statistical model mirrors this with a -0.77% negative forecast due to high kurtosis (fat tails). The hot take is that while the flow from zero-fee seekers is strong, the technical trend is exhausted and the volatility models suggest a 'mean reversion' risk in the near term. It is a momentum play waiting for catalysts, currently priced for a downside risk. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.221774 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.223758 |
| MSTL | 0.234933 |
| AutoTheta | 0.249274 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 1.61 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 1.01 |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:28 a.m. EDT: Short-term sentiment is heavily skewed bullish. Call expirations show massive positioning in OTM strikes (23 and 35 for April 17; 25 and 35 for May 15), indicating speculation on a significant rebound toward $30+. While ATM IV is low, optionality is weighted heavily out-of-the-money. Conversely, put exposure is minimal and concentrated in-the-money, with virtually no hedging in the Feb/Apr crunch. The disparity between OTM call OI and total put OI creates a distinct long gamma/growth bias.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 67.03 |
| All Time Low | 10.9425 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 11,000 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,333,300 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,401,422 |
| Average Volume | 2,401,422 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,333,300 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 3,500 |
| Category | Digital Assets |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 21.64 |
| Day Low | 21.145 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | BTS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 19.7663 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.8036995 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.09125125 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -16.78241 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 35.76 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -14.189999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.39681205 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 17.605 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.9650002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22522013 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 17.605 - 35.76 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,704,983,400,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe US |
| Fund Family | VanEck |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,704,326,400 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-01-11 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily based on the reported MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark Rate and process all creations and redemptions in transactions with authorized participants. |
| Long Name | VanEck Bitcoin ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_699879896 |
| Nav Price | 21.58 |
| Net Assets | 1,153,474,690.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.0 |
| Open | 21.28 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.09000015 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.41686037 |
| Pre Market Price | 21.5 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,776,775,298 |
| Previous Close | 21.92 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.35 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.59672 |
| Regular Market Day High | 21.64 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 21.145 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 21.145 - 21.64 |
| Regular Market Open | 21.28 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 21.92 |
| Regular Market Price | 21.57 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,715,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 809,100 |
| Short Name | VanEck Bitcoin Trust |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | HODL |
| Total Assets | 1,153,474,688 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -22.31673 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -22.31673 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 27.041374 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.4713745 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.20233345 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 809,100 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | -22.31673 |