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VanEck Bitcoin ETF (HODL)

Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
21.91 USD -0.68 (-3.010%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.91

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:53 a.m. EDT

The VanEck Bitcoin ETF presents a classic case of a volatile asset caught in a consolidation phase. While the underlying Bitcoin has delivered a spectacular 93% gain over the last year, the ETF itself is currently trading below its 200-day moving average, signaling that the broader market is taking profits or rotating capital. The recent price action shows a sharp spike followed by a pullback, leaving the stock hovering near its 50-day average. Fundamentally, there is no yield to speak of, making it purely a speculative vehicle dependent on crypto market cycles. The options data confirms this hesitation; traders are buying protection just below the current price while betting on a modest rebound, but they are not aggressively pricing in a massive moonshot yet. For a short-term swing trader, the setup is neutral-to-slightly-bullish as the asset tests its support, but the lack of a clear trend and zero income stream keeps the long-term outlook cautious.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.099086
AutoETS0.102911
AutoTheta0.103455
AutoARIMA0.185327

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 11.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.19

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound to slightly bullish outcome over the next few months. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money strikes (20-22), while put open interest clusters just below the current price (17-18). This distribution suggests a 'straddle' bias where traders expect volatility but anticipate the price staying within a defined band rather than a massive breakout. The lack of deep out-of-the-money call volume indicates limited speculation on a parabolic surge in the immediate term.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 67.03
All Time Low 10.9425
Ask 21.91
Ask Size 4,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,964,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,407,780
Average Volume 1,407,780
Average Volume10Days 1,964,190
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 19.89
Bid Size 9,100
Category Digital Assets
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 22.59
Day Low 21.75
Dividend Yield 0.0
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.5058
Fifty Day Average Change 3.4041996
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.18395312
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -30.067026
Fifty Two Week High 35.76
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.849998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.38730422
Fifty Two Week Low 16.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 5.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33597562
Fifty Two Week Range 16.4 - 35.76
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,704,983,400,000
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fullday Change -0.68
Fullday Change Percent -3.01018
Fullday Price 21.91
Fund Family VanEck
Fund Inception Date 1,704,326,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-01-11
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily based on the reported MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark Rate and process all creations and redemptions in transactions with authorized participants.
Long Name VanEck Bitcoin ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_699879896
Nav Price 22.65
Net Assets 1,048,333,630.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.0
Open 22.41
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 21.91
Post Market Time 1,787,961,478
Previous Close 22.59
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.68
Regular Market Change Percent -3.01018
Regular Market Day High 22.59
Regular Market Day Low 21.75
Regular Market Day Range 21.75 - 22.59
Regular Market Open 22.41
Regular Market Previous Close 22.59
Regular Market Price 21.91
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 4,089,680
Short Name VanEck Bitcoin Trust
Source Interval 15
Symbol HODL
Total Assets 1,048,333,632
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -17.58445
Trailing Three Month Returns -17.58445
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.2752
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.63479996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.029837556
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,089,680
Yield 0.0
Ytd Return -27.86553