VanEck Bitcoin ETF (HODL)Digital Assets | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
23.11 USD
-0.41
(-1.743%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:53 a.m. EDT
The VanEck Bitcoin ETF presents a classic case of a strong asset trapped in a short-term consolidation phase. Fundamentally, the underlying business is pristine: it tracks Bitcoin, which has delivered a staggering 95% gain over the last year, and the ETF structure offers a fee advantage over competitors like iShares. However, the lack of a dividend stream and the recent price action—hovering just below the 50-day moving average—prevent a full 'buy' rating for the immediate future. The price has been choppy, trading in a tight range between 23 and 24, which suggests the market is waiting for a catalyst to break the ceiling. While the long-term thesis remains intact given the massive annualized returns, the short-term setup lacks the explosive momentum required for a top-tier entry. Investors should view this as a solid core holding for the multi-year horizon but may want to wait for a confirmed breakout above the 50-day average before adding significant weight to the position. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.147341 |
| AutoTheta | 0.150425 |
| MSTL | 0.154391 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.178601 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 561.36 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.084 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.48 |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound or slightly bullish outcome over the next few months. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the money (23.0 strike) and slightly out-of-the-money (24.0, 25.0 strikes), suggesting bets on a continuation of the recent uptrend rather than a massive breakout. Put open interest is also clustered near the current price (20.0, 21.0 strikes) but shows significantly lower volume and open interest compared to calls, indicating limited hedging demand. The implied volatility is elevated for short-dated expirations, reflecting uncertainty around the immediate price path, while longer-dated strikes show lower IV, implying a belief that extreme moves are less likely further out.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 67.03 |
| All Time Low | 10.9425 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 4,100 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 474,140 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,004,279 |
| Average Volume | 1,004,279 |
| Average Volume10Days | 474,140 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 10,300 |
| Category | Digital Assets |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 23.46 |
| Day Low | 23.02 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | BTS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 21.7204 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.3896008 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.06397676 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -23.187458 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.85 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -9.739998 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.2964992 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 16.4 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.710001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.4091464 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 16.4 - 32.85 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,704,983,400,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | Cboe US |
| Fullday Change | -0.20000076 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.8654295 |
| Fullday Price | 22.91 |
| Fund Family | VanEck |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,704,326,400 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,024-01-11 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily based on the reported MarketVectorTM Bitcoin Benchmark Rate and process all creations and redemptions in transactions with authorized participants. |
| Long Name | VanEck Bitcoin ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_699879896 |
| Nav Price | 23.5 |
| Net Assets | 1,232,712,450.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.0 |
| Open | 23.33 |
| Pre Market Change | -0.20000076 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | -0.8654295 |
| Pre Market Price | 22.91 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,792,052,523 |
| Previous Close | 23.52 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.41 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.7432 |
| Regular Market Day High | 23.46 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 23.02 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 23.02 - 23.46 |
| Regular Market Open | 23.33 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 23.52 |
| Regular Market Price | 23.11 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,000 |
| Regular Market Volume | 290,262 |
| Short Name | VanEck Bitcoin Trust |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | HODL |
| Total Assets | 1,232,712,448 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 42.84852 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 42.84852 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 20.880526 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.229475 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.10677294 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 290,262 |
| Yield | 0.0 |
| Ytd Return | -4.13123 |