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Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Tokyo, Japan | NYSE
27.84 USD -0.09 (-0.322%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Honda is currently bifurcated between a defensive income play and a distressed turnaround opportunity. Fundamentally, the company is in a precarious spot with negative operating margins (-17%) and free cash flow, despite reporting a massive cash hoard on the balance sheet. The market has rightly punished the stock with a multi-year decline, evidenced by four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending recently, which caps the long-term rating despite the cheap valuation. However, the dividend remains a standout feature, offering nearly 5% yield with a sustainable payout ratio, making it attractive for income-focused investors willing to tolerate operational volatility. On the short end, options data reveals a distinct 'floor' being built at lower price levels via heavy put buying, while traders are betting on a bounce back to the 30.0 resistance level. The statistical forecast shows no directional bias, reinforcing the view that the stock is stuck in a consolidation phase waiting for a catalyst to resolve the earnings crisis.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.086048
AutoARIMA0.090167
AutoETS0.090168
AutoTheta0.092049

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 4.36
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.740
Excess Kurtosis 0.07
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-29
Last Dividend Date 2025-03-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 113.568
Revenue per Share 16358.595
Market Cap 36,123,144,192
Forward P/E 5.61
Beta 0.30
Profit Margins -1.95%
Website https://www.honda.co.jp

As of July 11, 2026, 3:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes 22.5 and 25.0 across multiple expirations, creating a significant floor. Conversely, call activity is concentrated at the 30.0 strike, suggesting a target for a rebound rather than a breakout. Notably, there is fresh call volume at the money (27.5) for October and January expirations, indicating active speculation on a recovery to current levels, while deep out-of-the-money calls remain largely dormant.

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-03-28 0.71200 2.611886
2024-09-27 0.67300 2.088765
2024-03-27 0.74700 2.001608
2023-09-28 0.59100 1.696326
2023-03-29 0.43000 1.645618
2022-09-28 0.44300 1.931967
2022-03-29 0.49600 1.707401
2021-09-28 0.39000 1.250000
2021-03-29 0.39000 1.289683
2020-12-29 0.19000 0.673281
2020-09-28 0.15000 0.633981
2020-06-26 0.08000 0.315831
2020-03-27 0.21000 0.909485
2019-12-27 0.20000 0.699790
2019-09-26 0.20000 0.751597
2019-06-26 0.21000 0.823207
2019-03-27 0.21000 0.773196
2018-12-27 0.20000 0.763942
2018-09-26 0.20000 0.660066
2018-03-28 0.20000 0.581058
2017-12-27 0.19000 0.553613
2017-03-28 0.19000 0.616683
2016-12-27 0.19000 0.635877
2016-09-27 0.17000 0.585198
2016-06-27 0.19000 0.767367
2016-03-28 0.18000 0.663717
2015-09-25 0.16000 0.523903
2015-03-26 0.16000 0.476900
2014-12-26 0.16000 0.527530
2014-09-25 0.16000 0.465658
2014-06-25 0.18000 0.516055
2013-12-26 0.17000 0.413525
2013-09-25 0.18000 0.464396
2013-06-25 0.19000 0.527924
2013-03-26 0.18000 0.466321
2012-12-26 0.19000 0.525879
2012-06-26 0.22000 0.674020
2012-03-27 0.17000 0.437468
2011-12-27 0.17000 0.569705
2008-12-26 0.12400 0.601358
2007-12-26 0.19700 0.586659
2007-09-26 0.20200 0.615854
2007-06-27 0.16500 0.462703
2007-03-28 0.14000 0.401146
2006-12-27 0.14500 0.363956
2006-09-27 0.25500 0.771092
2006-03-28 0.15900 0.511418
2005-09-27 0.16900 0.629657
2005-03-28 0.13400 0.524462
2004-09-27 0.10500 0.429624
2004-03-26 0.08700 0.379747
2003-09-25 0.08100 0.384068
2003-03-26 0.06800 0.386364
2002-09-25 0.06600 0.322738
2002-03-26 0.05000 0.240732
2001-09-25 0.05325 0.347471
2001-03-27 0.04925 0.233191
2000-09-26 0.05125 0.278438
2000-03-28 0.05575 0.283625
1999-09-27 0.05225 0.252950
1999-03-26 0.04100 0.182222
1998-09-25 0.04550 0.303333
1998-03-26 0.03450 0.188396
1997-09-25 0.03725 0.211911
1997-03-25 0.03275 0.222034
1996-09-25 0.03150 0.250746
1996-03-26 0.03075 0.276404
1995-09-27 0.03500 0.425856
1995-03-24 0.01550 0.201626
1994-09-23 0.03500 0.419476
1994-03-24 0.03300 0.409302
1993-09-23 0.03275 0.472072
1993-03-24 0.02900 0.480829
1992-09-23 0.27250 4.791209
1992-03-24 0.02550 0.443478
1991-09-23 0.02150 0.384358
1991-03-22 0.02100 0.390698
1990-09-21 0.02050 0.383626
1990-03-23 0.01900 0.345455
1989-09-22 0.01925 0.285185
1989-03-23 0.01940 0.270383
1988-09-23 0.00935 0.119680
1988-03-24 0.01985 0.292449
1987-09-23 0.01755 0.319818
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.33
dividendYield 4.78
exDividendDate 2026-03-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 70.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 2.5062656
lastDividendValue 0.712
lastDividendDate 2025-03-28
dividendDate 2026-06-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.09639728
Address1 Toranomon Althea Tower 2-2-3 Toranomon
Address2 Minato-ku
All Time High 44.56
All Time Low 0.86875
Ask 28.53
Ask Size 500
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,728,000
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,934,290
Average Volume 1,934,290
Average Volume10Days 1,728,000
Beta 0.295
Bid 27.63
Bid Size 1,000
Book Value 56.249287
City Tokyo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 27.84
Current Ratio 1.281
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 28.01
Day Low 27.73
Debt To Equity 113.568
Display Name Honda Motor
Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Dividend Rate 1.33
Dividend Yield 4.78
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,733,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,733,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda 888,917,000,192
Ebitda Margins 0.04078
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.899
Enterprise To Revenue 0.404
Enterprise Value 8,799,241,895,936
Eps Forward 4.96
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.97
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,774,828,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 26.2914
Fifty Day Average Change 1.5485992
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.05890136
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -9.639729
Fifty Two Week High 34.89
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.049999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2020636
Fifty Two Week Low 23.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19741936
Fifty Two Week Range 23.25 - 34.89
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.13
Float Shares 1,297,111,605
Forward Eps 4.96
Forward P E 5.612903
Free Cashflow -1,265,908,449,280
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 195,109
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.16531
Gross Profits 3,603,182,125,056
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0
Held Percent Institutions 0.04279
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,297,526,814
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,743,120,000
Last Dividend Value 0.712
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Last Split Date 1,010,620,800
Last Split Factor 4:1
Long Business Summary Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of motorcycles, automobiles, and power products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Power Product and Other Businesses manufactures and sells power products, such as general-purpose engines, lawn mowers, generators, water pumps, brush cutters, and tillers. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sales services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 36,123,144,192
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_278933
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -423,941,013,504
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 35,971,120,010
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 27.85
Operating Cashflow 1,135,260,991,488
Operating Margins -0.1728
Payout Ratio 0.5535
Peg Ratio 3.45
Phone 81 3 3423 1111
Pre Market Change 0.3599987
Pre Market Change Percent 1.2926345
Pre Market Price 28.21
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,872
Previous Close 27.93
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.49493963
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.0016572826
Profit Margins -0.019450001
Quick Ratio 0.95
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0900002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.322235
Regular Market Day High 28.01
Regular Market Day Low 27.73
Regular Market Day Range 27.73 - 28.01
Regular Market Open 27.85
Regular Market Previous Close 27.93
Regular Market Price 27.84
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 828,407
Return On Assets -0.00806
Return On Equity -0.028499998
Revenue Growth 0.086
Revenue Per Share 16,358.595
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 1,297,526,814
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0013
Shares Short 1,744,187
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,379,856
Short Name Honda Motor Company, Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0013
Short Ratio 0.81
Source Interval 15
Symbol HMC
Target High Price 32.0
Target Low Price 29.82849
Target Mean Price 30.91424
Target Median Price 30.91424
Total Cash 5,363,801,784,320
Total Cash Per Share 4,133.866
Total Debt 13,796,360,847,360
Total Revenue 21,796,610,899,968
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 70.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 2.5062656
Trailing Eps -1.97
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 28.3713
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.5312996
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.018726656
Type Disp Equity
Volume 828,407
Website https://www.honda.co.jp
Zip 105-8404