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Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC)

Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers | Tokyo, Japan | NYSE
34.28 USD +0.22 (0.646%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 34.28

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:15 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Honda is currently bifurcated between a compelling dividend yield and a deteriorating operational trajectory. The 4.1% dividend yield is attractive, supported by a healthy payout ratio of roughly 56%, making it a viable income play for defensive investors. However, the underlying business shows signs of stress: profit margins are negative, return on equity is deeply in the red, and the stock has suffered two consecutive years of price declines. While the forward P/E looks cheap, it reflects the market's skepticism about the company's ability to generate sustainable earnings in the EV transition era. The options market reinforces this caution, with heavy put writing at lower strikes acting as a floor while call speculation remains muted. Until the company demonstrates a clear path to restoring profitability and stabilizing its balance sheet, the long-term outlook remains neutral despite the attractive yield.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.030179
AutoTheta0.033602
AutoETS0.033637
AutoARIMA0.033637

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 2.19
Ljung-Box p 0.007
Jarque-Bera p 0.141
Excess Kurtosis 0.36
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-29
Last Dividend Date 2025-03-27
Debt to Equity Ratio 113.838
Revenue per Share 17233.521
Market Cap 44,479,217,664
Forward P/E 6.91
Beta 0.33
Profit Margins -0.75%
Website https://www.honda.co.jp

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:15 a.m. EDT: Options activity reveals a distinct defensive posture. Put open interest is heavily concentrated in deep out-of-the-money strikes (below $25-$30), suggesting a hedge against a significant downside gap rather than a bearish bet on the current price. Conversely, call activity is sparse and focused near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, with very little speculative volume in strikes far above the current price. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, indicating fear of a sharp move, but the lack of aggressive call buying suggests the market is pricing in stagnation or a drop, not a rally.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-03-28 0.71200 2.611886
2024-09-27 0.67300 2.088765
2024-03-27 0.74700 2.001608
2023-09-28 0.59100 1.696326
2023-03-29 0.43000 1.645618
2022-09-28 0.44300 1.931967
2022-03-29 0.49600 1.707401
2021-09-28 0.39000 1.250000
2021-03-29 0.39000 1.289683
2020-12-29 0.19000 0.673281
2020-09-28 0.15000 0.633981
2020-06-26 0.08000 0.315831
2020-03-27 0.21000 0.909485
2019-12-27 0.20000 0.699790
2019-09-26 0.20000 0.751597
2019-06-26 0.21000 0.823207
2019-03-27 0.21000 0.773196
2018-12-27 0.20000 0.763942
2018-09-26 0.20000 0.660066
2018-03-28 0.20000 0.581058
2017-12-27 0.19000 0.553613
2017-03-28 0.19000 0.616683
2016-12-27 0.19000 0.635877
2016-09-27 0.17000 0.585198
2016-06-27 0.19000 0.767367
2016-03-28 0.18000 0.663717
2015-09-25 0.16000 0.523903
2015-03-26 0.16000 0.476900
2014-12-26 0.16000 0.527530
2014-09-25 0.16000 0.465658
2014-06-25 0.18000 0.516055
2013-12-26 0.17000 0.413525
2013-09-25 0.18000 0.464396
2013-06-25 0.19000 0.527924
2013-03-26 0.18000 0.466321
2012-12-26 0.19000 0.525879
2012-06-26 0.22000 0.674020
2012-03-27 0.17000 0.437468
2011-12-27 0.17000 0.569705
2008-12-26 0.12400 0.601358
2007-12-26 0.19700 0.586659
2007-09-26 0.20200 0.615854
2007-06-27 0.16500 0.462703
2007-03-28 0.14000 0.401146
2006-12-27 0.14500 0.363956
2006-09-27 0.25500 0.771092
2006-03-28 0.15900 0.511418
2005-09-27 0.16900 0.629657
2005-03-28 0.13400 0.524462
2004-09-27 0.10500 0.429624
2004-03-26 0.08700 0.379747
2003-09-25 0.08100 0.384068
2003-03-26 0.06800 0.386364
2002-09-25 0.06600 0.322738
2002-03-26 0.05000 0.240732
2001-09-25 0.05325 0.347471
2001-03-27 0.04925 0.233191
2000-09-26 0.05125 0.278438
2000-03-28 0.05575 0.283625
1999-09-27 0.05225 0.252950
1999-03-26 0.04100 0.182222
1998-09-25 0.04550 0.303333
1998-03-26 0.03450 0.188396
1997-09-25 0.03725 0.211911
1997-03-25 0.03275 0.222034
1996-09-25 0.03150 0.250746
1996-03-26 0.03075 0.276404
1995-09-27 0.03500 0.425856
1995-03-24 0.01550 0.201626
1994-09-23 0.03500 0.419476
1994-03-24 0.03300 0.409302
1993-09-23 0.03275 0.472072
1993-03-24 0.02900 0.480829
1992-09-23 0.27250 4.791209
1992-03-24 0.02550 0.443478
1991-09-23 0.02150 0.384358
1991-03-22 0.02100 0.390698
1990-09-21 0.02050 0.383626
1990-03-23 0.01900 0.345455
1989-09-22 0.01925 0.285185
1989-03-23 0.01940 0.270383
1988-09-23 0.00935 0.119680
1988-03-24 0.01985 0.292449
1987-09-23 0.01755 0.319818
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.33
dividendYield 3.88
exDividendDate 2026-03-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 70.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 2.0551965
lastDividendValue 0.712
lastDividendDate 2025-03-28
dividendDate 2026-06-16

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.09590793
Address1 Toranomon Althea Tower 2-2-3 Toranomon
Address2 Minato-ku
All Time High 44.56
All Time Low 0.86875
Ask 34.3
Ask Size 1,200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 990,190
Average Daily Volume3 Month 990,651
Average Volume 990,651
Average Volume10Days 990,190
Beta 0.328
Bid 34.2
Bid Size 200
Book Value 60.16547
City Tokyo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 34.28
Current Ratio 1.289
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 34.56
Day Low 34.11
Debt To Equity 113.838
Display Name Honda Motor
Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Dividend Rate 1.33
Dividend Yield 3.88
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,916,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,916,800
Earnings Growth 1.475
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.293
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 1,282,138,046,464
Ebitda Margins 0.056939997
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.164
Enterprise To Revenue 0.408
Enterprise Value 9,185,731,280,896
Eps Forward 4.96
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.72
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,774,828,800
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 32.1964
Fifty Day Average Change 2.083599
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.06471528
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 9.590793
Fifty Two Week High 34.56
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.2800026
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.008101926
Fifty Two Week Low 23.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.029999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.47440854
Fifty Two Week Range 23.25 - 34.56
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.0
Float Shares 1,297,243,963
Forward Eps 4.96
Forward P E 6.91129
Free Cashflow 267,755,618,304
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 195,109
Fullday Change 0.2199974
Fullday Change Percent 0.64591134
Fullday Price 34.28
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.17447
Gross Profits 3,928,752,128,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.000060000002
Held Percent Institutions 0.04196
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,297,526,814
Industry Auto Manufacturers
Industry Disp Auto Manufacturers
Industry Key auto-manufacturers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,743,120,000
Last Dividend Value 0.712
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Last Split Date 1,010,620,800
Last Split Factor 4:1
Long Business Summary Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of motorcycles, automobiles, and power products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Power Product and Other Businesses manufactures and sells power products, such as general-purpose engines, lawn mowers, generators, water pumps, brush cutters, and tillers. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sales services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 44,479,217,664
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_278933
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -169,696,002,048
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 41,930,841,959
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 34.22
Operating Cashflow 1,342,118,035,456
Operating Margins 0.08756
Payout Ratio 0.5572
Peg Ratio 3.45
Phone 81 3 3423 1111
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 34.28
Post Market Time 1,792,183,457
Previous Close 34.06
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.569762
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.0019752865
Profit Margins -0.00754
Quick Ratio 0.951
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.219997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.645911
Regular Market Day High 34.56
Regular Market Day Low 34.11
Regular Market Day Range 34.11 - 34.56
Regular Market Open 34.22
Regular Market Previous Close 34.06
Regular Market Price 34.28
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 925,097
Return On Assets -0.00154
Return On Equity -0.0076200003
Revenue Growth 0.135
Revenue Per Share 17,233.521
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Shares Outstanding 1,297,526,814
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0026
Shares Short 3,380,686
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 2,110,842
Short Name Honda Motor Company, Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0026
Short Ratio 4.18
Source Interval 15
Symbol HMC
Target High Price 34.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 33.26637
Target Median Price 33.79912
Total Cash 5,502,037,131,264
Total Cash Per Share 4,239.928
Total Debt 14,376,177,238,016
Total Revenue 22,517,855,027,200
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 70.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 2.0551965
Trailing Eps -0.72
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 28.67225
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.607748
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.19558102
Type Disp Equity
Volume 925,097
Website https://www.honda.co.jp
Zip 105-8404