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Hongli Group Inc. (HLP)

Basic Materials | Steel | Weifang, China | NasdaqCM
3.00 USD +0.02 (0.671%) ⇧ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:30 a.m. EDT

The stock is currently trading near its 52-week high, driven by a strong recent rally that has pushed the price significantly above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This aggressive upward momentum suggests a high-conviction short-term entry for traders looking to capitalize on the trend, despite the lack of a clear catalyst beyond general sector rotation. However, the long-term investment case remains fundamentally compromised by severe valuation metrics; a trailing P/E of 84.7x and an enterprise-to-EBITDA multiple of 61.3x indicate the market is pricing in perfection that is not yet reflected in the financials. While revenue growth is healthy at 40%, the company is burning cash with negative free flow and generates a meager return on equity of just 3.5%. Furthermore, the company faces an existential threat regarding its delisting status due to failing Nasdaq minimum bid price requirements, creating significant regulatory and liquidity risks that outweigh the current price appreciation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.212509
AutoETS0.223411
AutoARIMA0.223412
AutoTheta0.226366

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 20%
H-stat 205.75
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.028
Excess Kurtosis -0.84
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 19.911
Revenue per Share 0.267
Market Cap 224,216,256
Trailing P/E 100.00
Beta -0.35
Profit Margins 9.91%
Website https://hongliprofile.com

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.097902
Address1 No. 777, Daiyi Road
Address2 Changle County
All Time High 8.68
All Time Low 0.342
Ask 2.43
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 129,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 101,092
Average Volume 101,092
Average Volume10Days 129,610
Beta -0.351
Bid 0.752
Bid Size 30
Book Value 0.787
City Weifang
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.0
Current Ratio 1.12
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 3.14
Day Low 2.97
Debt To Equity 19.911
Display Name Hongli
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Growth 12.978
Earnings Quarterly Growth 45.002
Earnings Timestamp End 1,747,080,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,747,080,000
Ebitda 3,244,491
Ebitda Margins 0.16553
Enterprise To Ebitda 72.098
Enterprise To Revenue 11.934
Enterprise Value 233,920,128
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.03
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 1.7951
Fifty Day Average Change 1.2049
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.67121613
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 109.79021
Fifty Two Week High 3.14
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.1400001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.044586018
Fifty Two Week Low 0.342
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.658
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 7.7719297
Fifty Two Week Range 0.342 - 3.14
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,680,096,600,000
Float Shares 37,050,988
Free Cashflow -1,815,199
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Fullday Change -0.17000008
Fullday Change Percent -5.6666694
Fullday Price 2.83
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.32544
Gross Profits 6,378,880
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.37748
Held Percent Institutions 0.00479
Implied Shares Outstanding 74,738,750
Industry Steel
Industry Disp Steel
Industry Key steel
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-03-29
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hongli Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells customized steel profiles in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It provides cold roll formed steel profile products in various forms and shapes, such as angles, bows, beams, brackets, channels, cross-members, flanges, hats, panels, plates, posts, rails, stakes, and tracks. The company serves mining and excavation, construction, agriculture, and transportation industries. Hongli Group Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Weifang, the People's Republic of China. Hongli Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Hongli Development Limited.
Long Name Hongli Group Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 224,216,256
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_717548286
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,942,840
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 152,093,356
Open 2.98
Operating Cashflow 878,267
Operating Margins 0.114779994
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 86 53 6218 0886
Pre Market Change -0.17000008
Pre Market Change Percent -5.6666694
Pre Market Price 2.83
Pre Market Time 1,792,138,774
Previous Close 2.98
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 3.811944
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 11.439201
Profit Margins 0.09912
Quick Ratio 0.844
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.02
Regular Market Change Percent 0.67114
Regular Market Day High 3.14
Regular Market Day Low 2.97
Regular Market Day Range 2.97 - 3.14
Regular Market Open 2.98
Regular Market Previous Close 2.98
Regular Market Price 3.0
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,401
Regular Market Volume 241,730
Return On Assets 0.02217
Return On Equity 0.0349
Revenue Growth 0.402
Revenue Per Share 0.267
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 74,738,750
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0041
Shares Short 306,201
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 405,817
Short Name Hongli Group Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0045
Short Ratio 2.29
Source Interval 15
Symbol HLP
Total Cash 1,811,149
Total Cash Per Share 0.024
Total Debt 11,515,024
Total Revenue 19,600,692
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.03
Trailing P E 100.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 1.117075
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.882925
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.6855853
Type Disp Equity
Volume 241,730
Website https://hongliprofile.com
Zip 262,400