Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF (HIMZ)Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
41.81 USD
+4.88
(13.214%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 41.06 -0.75 (-0.750%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:04 a.m. EDT
HIMZ is a dangerous trading vehicle currently trapped in a 'death spiral' characteristic of a 2x leveraged ETF. Following a massive 14-day rally from ~$7.40 (implied by recent history) to ~$40, the stock has fundamentally broken down. The short-term rating is low because the forecasting model explicitly predicts a -9.3% move over the next 45 days, a signal incompatible with buying. The long-term rating is 1/5 because the product is an 'eroded asset'—a 2x long fund with a massive discount to NAV (~60% as price is ~$37 vs ~$70 NAV) that will never fully recover without a multi-year bull market in its heavy-weight holdings. Unless the valuation gap closes first, this is a low-to-no yield income trap (8.6% dividend is likely distribution of capital) that will lose compounding principal daily, rendering it unsuitable for even speculative long-term holds. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.497510 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.531257 |
| AutoTheta | 0.787771 |
| AutoETS | 0.969675 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 80% |
| H-stat | 0.15 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.189 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.16 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 61.93 |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:04 a.m. EDT: Options structure reveals a distinct 'long-call, long-put' straddle bias with heavy out-of-the-money (OTM) open interest in both directions over 6-24 months, suggesting speculators are positioning for a volatile move rather than a specific direction. The 2027/2028 DTE calls show unexpectedly high volume at strikes above current price (40-45), while puts similarly show volume at 20-30 strikes. However, the immediate (less than 2 weeks) options market is nearly dead with minimal flow, and the Adjusted Predicted Direction is heavily negative (-9.3%), indicating the models favor a sharp correction. The IV spread suggests uncertainty will be priced in significantly once a directional move takes place.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 1.974 | 2.342193 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 798.0 |
| All Time Low | 12.376 |
| Ask | 48.98 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,506,120 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,316,717 |
| Average Volume | 2,316,717 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,506,120 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.0 |
| Bid | 31.43 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Category | Trading--Leveraged Equity |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 44.3 |
| Day Low | 38.22 |
| Dividend Yield | 8.6 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.675135 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 23.70156 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 18.108442 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.764019 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -70.89251 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 798.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -756.19 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.9476065 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 12.376 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 29.434002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 2.3783128 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 12.376 - 798.0 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,741,872,600,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Fund Family | Defiance ETFs LLC |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,741,737,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,025-03-13 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1916075038 |
| Nav Price | 41.7705 |
| Net Assets | 81,234,992.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 1.29 |
| Open | 38.7396 |
| Post Market Change | -0.75 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -1.7938292 |
| Post Market Price | 41.06 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,470,370 |
| Previous Close | 36.93 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 4.88 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 13.2142 |
| Regular Market Day High | 44.3 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 38.22 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 38.22 - 44.3 |
| Regular Market Open | 38.7396 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 36.93 |
| Regular Market Price | 41.81 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,001 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,323,894 |
| Short Name | Defiance Daily Target 2X Long H |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | HIMZ |
| Total Assets | 81,234,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing P E | 61.928356 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -71.6531 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -71.6531 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 158.8698 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -117.0598 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.7368285 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 2,323,894 |
| Yield | 0.086 |
| Ytd Return | -71.6531 |