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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)

Consumer Cyclical | Resorts & Casinos | Orlando, United States | NYSE
49.02 USD +3.01 (6.542%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 49.01 -0.01 (-0.010%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 6:23 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT

A volatile but fundamentally improving turnaround story trapped between a massive debt cloud and a bullish valuation reset. The stock is capitalizing on deteriorating leverage ratios (Debt/Equity 510+) and weak historical earnings ($0.95 EPS), which explains the 1.49 beta and lack of a dividend. However, the valuation disconnect—jumping from a 51x trailing P/E to a 10x forward P/E on 4.81 EPS growth—signals a potential re-rating. Recent price surges confirm investor interest in the recovery, but the lack of near-term call volume warns of potential exhaustion before the multi-year growth plays out.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.056189
AutoARIMA0.056189
MSTL0.056404
AutoTheta0.056655

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 54%
H-stat 2.82
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.311
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 510.417
Revenue per Share 50.2
Market Cap 3,991,404,032
Trailing P/E 55.08
Forward P/E 10.18
Beta 1.49
Profit Margins 1.80%
Website https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:56 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows inconsistent speculative positioning. Near-term calls (May/July 2026) have negligible volume, suggesting limited hedging or bullish building. However, significant put volume is observed at the October 2026 expiration (81 contracts) and December 2026 expiration (130 contracts), indicating some speculative activity focused on downside risk beyond 6 months, likely protecting against earnings volatility. The disparity between minimal short-term call activity and significant long-term put flow suggests the market views the immediate future as less risky than the medium-term outlook, with no strong directional bias for the next month.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.48906446
Address1 6,355 MetroWest Boulevard
Address2 Suite 180
All Time High 56.33
All Time Low 8.28
Ask 48.99
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.5 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 786,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 799,754
Average Volume 799,754
Average Volume10Days 786,790
Beta 1.493
Bid 48.93
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 3
Book Value 15.505
City Orlando
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 49.02
Current Ratio 4.457
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 49.26
Day Low 46.83
Debt To Equity 510.417
Display Name Hilton Grand Vacations
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,554,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,554,000
Earnings Growth 1.872
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.4
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,552,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,552,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,552,200
Ebitda 834,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.1848
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.472
Enterprise To Revenue 2.49
Enterprise Value 11,235,403,776
Eps Current Year 4.26843
Eps Forward 4.81724
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.89
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 44.1072
Fifty Day Average Change 4.9128
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.11138317
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.906445
Fifty Two Week High 52.08
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.0600014
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.058755785
Fifty Two Week Low 32.285
Fifty Two Week Low Change 16.735
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5183522
Fifty Two Week Range 32.285 - 52.08
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,483,540,200,000
Float Shares 44,617,905
Forward Eps 4.81724
Forward P E 10.175951
Free Cashflow 81,250,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 22,300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.23244
Gross Profits 1,049,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01936
Held Percent Institutions 1.11178
Implied Shares Outstanding 81,423,993
Industry Resorts & Casinos
Industry Disp Resorts & Casinos
Industry Key resorts-casinos
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, timeshare plans, and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the United States, Japan, and Europe. The company operates through two segments: Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management segments. The Real Estate Sales and Financing segment market and sells the VOIs, and source VOIs through fee-for-service agreements; and provides consumer financing and services loans. The Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages and operates the clubs which provides exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs, and provides ancillary services including food and beverage, retail and spa at timeshare properties. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Long Name Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,991,404,032
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_345409145
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 81,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,983,309,709
Number Of Analyst Opinions 10
Open 47.34
Operating Cashflow 300,000,000
Operating Margins 0.15772
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 407 613 3100
Post Market Change -0.010002136
Post Market Change Percent -0.020404195
Post Market Price 49.01
Post Market Time 1,776,464,581
Previous Close 46.01
Price Eps Current Year 11.484316
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.1615608
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.8844237
Profit Margins 0.01795
Quick Ratio 2.481
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 3.01
Regular Market Change Percent 6.54206
Regular Market Day High 49.26
Regular Market Day Low 46.83
Regular Market Day Range 46.83 - 49.26
Regular Market Open 47.34
Regular Market Previous Close 46.01
Regular Market Price 49.02
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 891,427
Return On Assets 0.03052
Return On Equity 0.059369996
Revenue Growth 0.037
Revenue Per Share 50.2
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 81,258,868
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0798
Shares Short 6,487,501
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 5,898,412
Short Name Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.123900004
Short Ratio 8.67
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol HGV
Target High Price 69.0
Target Low Price 43.0
Target Mean Price 55.3
Target Median Price 53.0
Total Cash 257,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.156
Total Debt 7,350,000,128
Total Revenue 4,512,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.89
Trailing P E 55.07865
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 44.44735
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.572651
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.10287792
Type Disp Equity
Volume 891,427
Website https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com
Zip 32,835