Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV)Consumer Cyclical | Resorts & Casinos | Orlando, United States | NYSE
49.67 USD
-0.75
(-1.488%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is defined by a stark divergence between aggressive analyst price targets and a lack of tangible shareholder returns. While analysts see significant upside potential, the company has completely abandoned dividend payments, offering zero income to investors in a sector where yield is often a key driver. Fundamentally, the business shows signs of recovery with positive year-over-year growth and a forward P/E that looks attractive compared to historical norms, suggesting the market may have oversold the stock recently. However, the technical picture remains fragile; the stock is trading below its 50-day moving average, and the heavy concentration of out-of-the-money puts signals that retail and institutional traders are bracing for further declines or stagnation. Until the price clears its recent resistance and the company resumes capital returns via dividends, this remains a speculative hold rather than a core buy. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.052404 |
| MSTL_79 | 0.053427 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.056884 |
| AutoETS | 0.056884 |
| AutoTheta | 0.056966 |
| MSTL_79_115 | 0.061289 |
| MSTL_115 | 0.064829 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 43% |
| H-stat | 3.49 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.365 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.88 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 547.778 |
| Revenue per Share | 53.572 |
| Market Cap | 3,899,862,528 |
| Trailing P/E | 26.85 |
| Forward P/E | 8.43 |
| Beta | 1.51 |
| Profit Margins | 3.54% |
| Website | https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound market with a distinct bias toward downside protection. Put open interest is heavily concentrated at strikes below the current price (45 and 50), while call open interest clusters at resistance levels (55 and 60). This 'sandwich' structure suggests traders expect volatility within a tight band rather than a breakout. The massive put volume in December further indicates a fear of a significant drop before year-end, despite the lack of immediate expiration hedging.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.037385106 |
| Address1 | 6,355 MetroWest Boulevard |
| Address2 | Suite 180 |
| All Time High | 56.33 |
| All Time Low | 8.28 |
| Ask | 49.96 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,080,210 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,106,377 |
| Average Volume | 1,106,377 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,080,210 |
| Beta | 1.514 |
| Bid | 48.47 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 14.841 |
| City | Orlando |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 49.67 |
| Current Ratio | 4.093 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 51.47 |
| Day Low | 49.49 |
| Debt To Equity | 547.778 |
| Display Name | Hilton Grand Vacations |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,554,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,554,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,552,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,414,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,414,600 |
| Ebitda | 905,000,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.19530001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 12.41 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.424 |
| Enterprise Value | 11,230,871,552 |
| Eps Current Year | 5.48022 |
| Eps Forward | 5.89252 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.85 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 49.8278 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.15780258 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.0031669587 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 3.7385106 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 55.4 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -5.7300034 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.10342966 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 36.79 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 12.879997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.35009506 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 36.79 - 55.4 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,483,540,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 49,122,579 |
| Forward Eps | 5.89252 |
| Forward P E | 8.429331 |
| Free Cashflow | 135,624,992 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 22,300 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.24234 |
| Gross Profits | 1,123,000,064 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.01974 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.03671 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 78,515,453 |
| Industry | Resorts & Casinos |
| Industry Disp | Resorts & Casinos |
| Industry Key | resorts-casinos |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, timeshare plans, and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the United States, Japan, and Europe. The company operates through two segments: Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management segments. The Real Estate Sales and Financing segment market and sells the VOIs, and source VOIs through fee-for-service agreements; and provides consumer financing and services loans. The Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages and operates the clubs which provides exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs, and provides ancillary services including food and beverage, retail and spa at timeshare properties. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. |
| Long Name | Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,899,862,528 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_345409145 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 164,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,899,862,550 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 10 |
| Open | 50.83 |
| Operating Cashflow | 390,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.13644 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 407 613 3100 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.8600006 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.7314287 |
| Pre Market Price | 50.53 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,028,517 |
| Previous Close | 50.42 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 9.063504 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.3468094 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.84157586 |
| Profit Margins | 0.03539 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.322 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.75 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -1.4875 |
| Regular Market Day High | 51.47 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 49.49 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 49.49 - 51.47 |
| Regular Market Open | 50.83 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 50.42 |
| Regular Market Price | 49.67 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 594,134 |
| Return On Assets | 0.03309 |
| Return On Equity | 0.1162 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.119 |
| Revenue Per Share | 53.572 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20365608 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 78,515,453 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0669 |
| Shares Short | 5,250,496 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 5,656,085 |
| Short Name | Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1058 |
| Short Ratio | 3.49 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | FL |
| Symbol | HGV |
| Target High Price | 75.0 |
| Target Low Price | 51.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 57.7 |
| Target Median Price | 55.0 |
| Total Cash | 279,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.498 |
| Total Debt | 7,394,999,808 |
| Total Revenue | 4,633,999,872 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.85 |
| Trailing P E | 26.848648 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 45.322 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 4.3479996 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.09593574 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 594,134 |
| Website | https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com |
| Zip | 32,835 |