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Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG)

Financial Services | Insurance - Reinsurance | Pembroke, Bermuda | NYSE
35.35 USD +0.08 (0.227%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 35.35

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:08 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case remains exceptionally strong, driven by a fortress balance sheet with a 31% return on equity and robust free cash flow generation. The business has demonstrated a powerful recovery trajectory, surging nearly 26% over the last year to trade at a reasonable multiple relative to its book value. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by severe sentiment headwinds; the options market is screaming caution with unprecedented put buying at deeply distressed strikes, while recent headlines highlight insider selling and a perceived closing of the valuation gap. This creates a distinct tension: the underlying business quality is elite, but the market is currently pricing in a potential catastrophe that the fundamentals do not yet support. Investors should view the current weakness as a potential entry point for a buy-and-hold strategy, ignoring the speculative panic in the options chain.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.152813
AutoARIMA0.159413
AutoETS0.159439
MSTL0.161046

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 5.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.179
Excess Kurtosis -0.19
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-03-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.122
Revenue per Share 30.145
Market Cap 3,486,018,304
Trailing P/E 6.17
Forward P/E 7.46
Beta 0.44
Profit Margins 19.58%
Website https://www.hamiltongroup.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:08 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive volume in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes $0.50, $5.00, $7.50) expiring in early 2027, suggesting a fear of a significant collapse or a 'black swan' event. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction despite the stock's recent gains.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-03-06 2.0 6.993007
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2026-03-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 2.0
lastDividendDate 2026-03-06
dividendDate 2026-03-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.48818564
Address1 Wellesley House North
Address2 1st Floor 90 Pitts Bay Road
All Time High 37.31
All Time Low 12.44
Ask 36.75
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 298,800
Average Daily Volume3 Month 457,846
Average Volume 457,846
Average Volume10Days 298,800
Beta 0.437
Bid 33.0
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 2
Book Value 27.424
City Pembroke
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country Bermuda
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 35.35
Current Ratio 1.979
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 35.52
Day Low 35.13
Debt To Equity 5.122
Display Name Hamilton Insurance
Dividend Date 1,774,828,800
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,109,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,109,400
Earnings Growth -0.207
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.233
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 878,705,984
Ebitda Margins 0.29373
Enterprise To Ebitda 2.999
Enterprise To Revenue 0.881
Enterprise Value 2,635,638,528
Eps Current Year 4.98412
Eps Forward 4.7358
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 5.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 441 295 5900
Fifty Day Average 34.6646
Fifty Day Average Change 0.6853981
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.019772278
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.818565
Fifty Two Week High 37.31
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.9600029
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.052532908
Fifty Two Week Low 22.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.689999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5600176
Fifty Two Week Range 22.66 - 37.31
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,699,626,600,000
Float Shares 47,344,767
Forward Eps 4.7358
Forward P E 7.46442
Free Cashflow 106,873,376
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 600
Fullday Change 0.079998
Fullday Change Percent 0.226816
Fullday Price 35.35
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.38587
Gross Profits 1,154,343,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04769
Held Percent Institutions 0.85353994
Implied Shares Outstanding 98,614,386
Industry Insurance - Reinsurance
Industry Disp Insurance - Reinsurance
Industry Key insurance-reinsurance
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,772,755,200
Last Dividend Value 2.0
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as specialty insurance and reinsurance company in Bermuda and internationally. It operates Hamilton Global Specialty, Hamilton Select, and Hamilton Re underwriting platforms. The company offers casualty reinsurance products, such as commercial auto, general liability, healthcare, multiline, personal motor, professional liability, umbrella and excess casualty, and worker's compensation and employer's liability reinsurance; property reinsurance and insurance; and specialty reinsurance solutions, including accident and health, aviation and space, crisis management, mortgage, financial risks, marine and energy, and multiline specialty. It also provides accident and health, cyber, energy, environmental, financial lines, fine art and specie, kidnap and ransom, mergers and acquisitions, marine and energy liability, political risk and violence, professional liability, property binders, property direct and facultative, professional lines, space, upstream energy, excess casualty, war and terrorism, allied medical, products liability and contractors, management liability, medical professionals, general liability, and small business casualty insurance plans, as well as surety and treaty reinsurance products. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda.
Long Name Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,486,018,304
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_53838182
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 585,702,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,478,129,393
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 35.1
Operating Cashflow 815,182,016
Operating Margins 0.31425
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 441 405 5200
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 35.35
Post Market Time 1,787,959,804
Previous Close 35.27
Price Eps Current Year 7.0925255
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2890168
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1653082
Profit Margins 0.19579001
Quick Ratio 1.111
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.28571
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.079998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.226816
Regular Market Day High 35.52
Regular Market Day Low 35.13
Regular Market Day Range 35.13 - 35.52
Regular Market Open 35.1
Regular Market Previous Close 35.27
Regular Market Price 35.35
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 204,912
Return On Assets 0.05625
Return On Equity 0.31079
Revenue Growth 0.13
Revenue Per Share 30.145
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 65,890,659
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0136
Shares Short 1,343,675
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,899,383
Short Name Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0214
Short Ratio 3.2
Source Interval 15
Symbol HG
Target High Price 42.0
Target Low Price 32.0
Target Mean Price 38.57143
Target Median Price 39.0
Total Cash 1,073,788,032
Total Cash Per Share 10.889
Total Debt 149,795,008
Total Revenue 2,991,499,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 5.73
Trailing P E 6.1692843
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 30.5939
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.756098
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.15545902
Type Disp Equity
Volume 204,912
Website https://www.hamiltongroup.com
Zip HM 08