Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG)Financial Services | Insurance - Reinsurance | Pembroke, Bermuda | NYSE
32.03 USD
+0.50
(1.586%)
⇧
(April 17, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 31.38 -0.65 (-0.650%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:53 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★★★★ | Long-term: ★★★★★ | Dividends: ★★★★★ |
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:04 a.m. EDT
HG is an exceptional long-term compounder currently trading at a deep value discount to its FY26 EPS growth trajectory, supported by completely flat put volume and aggressive call volume suggesting a rampant 'Sell the News' risk that is already priced out. With a P/E of 5.8x and a projected 29% revenue growth, the stock offers asymmetric risk/reward. Rankings: 5s across the board. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.108519 |
| MSTL | 0.121400 |
| AutoETS | 0.128451 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.128452 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 52% |
| H-stat | 3.00 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.097 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 0.44 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-03-05 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-03-05 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.559 |
| Revenue per Share | 29.009 |
| Market Cap | 3,185,238,528 |
| Trailing P/E | 5.77 |
| Forward P/E | 6.71 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| Profit Margins | 19.81% |
| Website | https://www.hamiltongroup.com |
As of April 19, 2026, 12:04 a.m. EDT: Options flow shows a distinct bullish asymmetry. In the near term (04/17), massive volume was printed in deep OTM calls ($17.5 strike in Oct '26, $5.0 strikes in Jan '27), indicating a conviction in significant upside moves rather than simple hedging. Conversely, put flow is virtually non-existent and flat in volume, with no new speculative positioning in the downside. While IV is elevated on the puts (1.8x-7.2x ATM on near-dates), this reflects limited volume and likely contrarian internalization rather than market-wide pessimism. The expiry of the previous high-dividend event likely decoupled put volume.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 2.0 | 6.993007 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.78938544 |
| Address1 | Wellesley House North |
| Address2 | 1st Floor 90 Pitts Bay Road |
| All Time High | 32.21 |
| All Time Low | 12.44 |
| Ask | 32.8 |
| Ask Size | 700 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 341,840 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 549,537 |
| Average Volume | 549,537 |
| Average Volume10Days | 341,840 |
| Beta | 0.669 |
| Bid | 31.97 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Board Risk | 5 |
| Book Value | 28.498 |
| City | Pembroke |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Bermuda |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 32.03 |
| Current Ratio | 2.011 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 32.11 |
| Day Low | 31.555 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.559 |
| Display Name | Hamilton Insurance |
| Dividend Date | 1,774,828,800 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,640,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,640,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 4.333 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 4.076 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,579,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,777,579,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,777,579,200 |
| Ebitda | 867,009,984 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.29779 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 2.383 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.71 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,066,150,784 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.18003 |
| Eps Forward | 4.77639 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.55 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,772,755,200 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 441 295 5900 |
| Fifty Day Average | 30.0822 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 1.9477997 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.06474925 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 78.938545 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 32.21 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -0.1800003 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.0055883364 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 17.5 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 14.529999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.83028567 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 17.5 - 32.21 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,699,626,600,000 |
| Float Shares | 47,765,857 |
| Forward Eps | 4.77639 |
| Forward P E | 6.705901 |
| Free Cashflow | 840,949,248 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.39351 |
| Gross Profits | 1,145,698,048 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09102 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.79984003 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 99,445,482 |
| Industry | Insurance - Reinsurance |
| Industry Disp | Insurance - Reinsurance |
| Industry Key | insurance-reinsurance |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,772,755,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 2.0 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as specialty insurance and reinsurance company in Bermuda and internationally. It operates Hamilton Global Specialty, Hamilton Select, and Hamilton Re underwriting platforms. The company offers casualty reinsurance products, such as commercial auto, general liability, healthcare, multiline, personal motor, professional liability, umbrella and excess casualty, and worker's compensation and employer's liability reinsurance; property reinsurance and insurance; and specialty reinsurance solutions, including accident and health, aviation and space, crisis management, mortgage, financial risks, marine and energy, and multiline specialty. It also provides accident and health, cyber, energy, environmental, financial lines, fine art and specie, kidnap and ransom, mergers and acquisitions, marine and energy liability, political risk and violence, professional liability, property binders, property direct and facultative, professional lines, space, upstream energy, excess casualty, war and terrorism, allied medical, products liability and contractors, management liability, medical professionals, general liability, and small business casualty insurance plans, as well as surety and treaty reinsurance products. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda. |
| Long Name | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,185,238,528 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_53838182 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,767,139,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 576,670,016 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,185,238,787 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 7 |
| Open | 31.61 |
| Operating Cashflow | 842,350,016 |
| Operating Margins | 0.26877 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 441 405 5200 |
| Post Market Change | -0.6499996 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -2.0293465 |
| Post Market Price | 31.38 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,469,981 |
| Previous Close | 31.53 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 7.6626244 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.1239386 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.0940164 |
| Profit Margins | 0.19806999 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.145 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.28571 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.499998 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.58579 |
| Regular Market Day High | 32.11 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 31.555 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 31.555 - 32.11 |
| Regular Market Open | 31.61 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 31.53 |
| Regular Market Price | 32.03 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,456,002 |
| Regular Market Volume | 417,122 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06125 |
| Return On Equity | 0.32615003 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.294 |
| Revenue Per Share | 29.009 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.38150132 |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Sector Disp | Financial Services |
| Sector Key | financial-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 66,721,755 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0101 |
| Shares Short | 1,005,964 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,021,444 |
| Short Name | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.015800001 |
| Short Ratio | 2.12 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | HG |
| Target High Price | 37.0 |
| Target Low Price | 27.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 33.0 |
| Target Median Price | 34.0 |
| Total Cash | 1,262,818,048 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 12.752 |
| Total Debt | 156,884,000 |
| Total Revenue | 2,911,508,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 5.55 |
| Trailing P E | 5.7711706 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 26.1383 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 5.891699 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.22540483 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 417,122 |
| Website | https://www.hamiltongroup.com |
| Zip | HM 08 |