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Hercules Capital, Inc. (HCXY)

NYSE
24.99 USD +0.05 (0.200%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 3 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 24.99

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:13 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook remains flat as the stock trades precisely at its 50-day moving average, showing no momentum to drive a directional move despite a high-confidence statistical model predicting a negligible uptick. While the company offers a stable 6.25% preferred distribution that provides a solid income floor, the underlying business has failed to generate meaningful capital appreciation over the last six years, with the share price down roughly 4% since 2019. This stagnation is compounded by a recent year-over-year decline in earnings, suggesting that the current yield is not being amplified by growth. Consequently, the investment case relies entirely on the dividend rather than total return potential, making it suitable only for income-focused portfolios willing to accept zero capital gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.005345
AutoETS0.005489
AutoARIMA0.005492
MSTL0.005663

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 73%
H-stat 7.44
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.192
Excess Kurtosis -0.79
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 19.40

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.58% 6.25% 6.30% 5.99%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-15 0.391 1.575977
2026-04-15 0.391 1.575977
2026-01-15 0.391 1.552820
2025-10-15 0.391 1.548515
2025-07-15 0.391 1.540583
2025-04-15 0.391 1.592668
2025-01-15 0.391 1.582996
2024-10-15 0.391 1.544844
2024-07-15 0.391 1.577249
2024-04-12 0.391 1.573441
2024-01-11 0.391 1.557769
2023-10-12 0.391 1.678112
2023-07-13 0.391 1.590724
2023-04-13 0.391 1.630525
2023-01-12 0.391 1.581076
2022-10-13 0.391 1.718681
2022-07-14 0.391 1.548515
2022-04-13 0.391 1.536346
2021-10-14 0.391 1.433284
2021-07-14 0.391 1.448685
2021-04-14 0.391 1.461682
2021-01-14 0.391 1.440678
2020-10-14 0.391 1.489524
2020-07-14 0.391 1.551587
2020-04-14 0.391 1.629846
2020-01-14 0.391 1.468820
2019-10-11 0.391 1.490091
2019-07-12 0.391 1.521401
2019-04-12 0.391 1.565879
2019-01-14 0.391 1.629167
2018-10-12 0.156 0.654637
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.24
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.049719326
dividendDate 2026-01-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 28.4
All Time Low 17.27
Ask 25.3
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,610
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,362
Average Volume 2,362
Average Volume10Days 1,610
Bid 24.86
Bid Size 100
Book Value 10.275
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 25.0001
Day Low 24.99
Display Name Hercules Capital
Dividend Date 1,769,731,200
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.288
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.9394
Fifty Day Average Change 0.050600052
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0020289202
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.8110216
Fifty Two Week High 25.71
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.7199993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.028004643
Fifty Two Week Low 24.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.62999916
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.025862034
Fifty Two Week Range 24.36 - 25.71
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,538,055,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Fullday Change 0.0499992
Fullday Change Percent 0.200478
Fullday Price 24.99
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10731642
Open 24.92
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 24.99
Post Market Time 1,787,951,100
Previous Close 24.94
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4321167
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0499992
Regular Market Change Percent 0.200478
Regular Market Day High 25.0001
Regular Market Day Low 24.99
Regular Market Day Range 24.99 - 25.0001
Regular Market Open 24.92
Regular Market Previous Close 24.94
Regular Market Price 24.99
Regular Market Time 1,787,943,626
Regular Market Volume 1,552
Shares Outstanding 93,792,600
Short Name Hercules Capital, Inc. 6.25% No
Source Interval 15
Symbol HCXY
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.24
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.049719326
Trailing P E 19.402174
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.1147
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.124700546
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.004965241
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,552