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Hercules Capital, Inc. (HCXY)

NYSE
24.98 USD

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook remains neutral as the stock trades within a tight range near its 52-week highs, showing no distinct momentum edge despite a high-confidence short-term model predicting a slight dip over the next month. Fundamentally, the business demonstrates resilience with a balanced six-year price history featuring equal periods of growth and contraction, avoiding the severe multi-year decline penalties that often cripple similar assets. The company maintains a robust operational stance, evidenced by full income coverage of its payouts and successful issuance of new debt, which supports a solid long-term buy rating. However, the dividend yield, while attractive, reflects a mature capital structure rather than aggressive growth, capping the overall investment thesis at a moderate level suitable for income-focused portfolios seeking stability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.005047
MSTL_55_1260.005980
AutoARIMA0.006073
AutoTheta0.006315
AutoETS0.006454
MSTL0.007342
MSTL_550.008183

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 73%
H-stat 1.19
Ljung-Box p 0.039
Jarque-Bera p 0.536
Excess Kurtosis -0.47
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 19.39

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.58% 6.22% 5.77% 5.67%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-15 0.391 1.575977
2026-01-15 0.391 1.552820
2025-10-15 0.391 1.548515
2025-07-15 0.391 1.540583
2025-04-15 0.391 1.592668
2025-01-15 0.391 1.582996
2024-10-15 0.391 1.544844
2024-07-15 0.391 1.577249
2024-04-12 0.391 1.573441
2024-01-11 0.391 1.557769
2023-10-12 0.391 1.678112
2023-07-13 0.391 1.590724
2023-04-13 0.391 1.630525
2023-01-12 0.391 1.581076
2022-10-13 0.391 1.718681
2022-07-14 0.391 1.548515
2022-04-13 0.391 1.536346
2021-10-14 0.391 1.433284
2021-07-14 0.391 1.448685
2021-04-14 0.391 1.461682
2021-01-14 0.391 1.440678
2020-10-14 0.391 1.489524
2020-07-14 0.391 1.551587
2020-04-14 0.391 1.629846
2020-01-14 0.391 1.468820
2019-10-11 0.391 1.490091
2019-07-12 0.391 1.521401
2019-04-12 0.391 1.565879
2019-01-14 0.391 1.629167
2018-10-12 0.156 0.654637
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.24
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.049639713
dividendDate 2026-01-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 28.4
All Time Low 17.27
Ask 25.18
Ask Size 300
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,036
Average Volume 3,036
Average Volume10Days 2,860
Bid 24.99
Bid Size 100
Book Value 10.275
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 24.99
Day Low 24.97
Display Name Hercules Capital
Dividend Date 1,769,731,200
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.288
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.9468
Fifty Day Average Change 0.03319931
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0013308043
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.5760422
Fifty Two Week High 25.71
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.72999954
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.028393604
Fifty Two Week Low 24.36
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.61999893
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.025451515
Fifty Two Week Range 24.36 - 25.71
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,538,055,000,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Hercules Capital, Inc.
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_10731642
Open 24.98
Previous Close 24.98
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4311435
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 24.99
Regular Market Day Low 24.97
Regular Market Day Range 24.97 - 24.99
Regular Market Open 24.98
Regular Market Previous Close 24.98
Regular Market Price 24.98
Regular Market Time 1,784,036,764
Regular Market Volume 79
Shares Outstanding 93,792,600
Short Name Hercules Capital, Inc. 6.25% No
Source Interval 15
Symbol HCXY
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.24
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.049639713
Trailing P E 19.39441
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 25.19135
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.2113514
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.00838984
Type Disp Equity
Volume 79