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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)

Basic Materials | Coking Coal | Brookwood, United States | NYSE
107.07 USD -1.19 (-1.099%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 107.07
Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:16 a.m. EDT

The near-term outlook is driven by a powerful price surge, with shares rallying over 30 percent in just two weeks to break above key moving averages. This momentum suggests strong speculative interest and a bullish technical setup, though the statistical forecast offers a weak bearish lean that warrants caution. For the long term, the company demonstrates exceptional revenue growth of 71 percent and a cumulative price appreciation of 137 percent over eight years, signaling a fundamentally improving business. However, the balance sheet presents a counterweight with negative free cash flow and elevated debt levels, which prevents a top-tier buy rating despite the growth trajectory. The dividend yield is negligible at 0.31 percent, offering no income support. Overall, this is a high-conviction growth play with significant financial risks, suitable for investors who can tolerate volatility in exchange for exposure to the company's expansion.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.092591
MSTL0.094151
AutoETS0.096295
AutoARIMA0.096453

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 6.20
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.045
Excess Kurtosis -1.14
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.297
Revenue per Share 31.934
Market Cap 5,653,519,360
Trailing P/E 26.05
Forward P/E 15.67
Beta 0.65
Profit Margins 13.04%
Website https://warriormetcoal.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued upside with heavy call open interest at 115 and 120 strikes for later expirations, while maintaining significant put protection at 95 and 100 strikes. Implied volatility remains elevated around 50-55%, indicating heightened expectations for price movement in both directions.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.08% 0.37% 0.79% 2.02%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.080 0.083884
2026-05-01 0.080 0.092807
2026-02-23 0.080 0.091901
2025-11-07 0.080 0.098534
2025-08-08 0.080 0.131731
2025-05-05 0.080 0.169133
2025-02-24 0.080 0.160643
2024-11-05 0.080 0.117734
2024-08-06 0.080 0.131471
2024-05-03 0.080 0.120791
2024-02-29 0.500 0.877655
2024-02-16 0.080 0.138624
2023-11-02 0.070 0.143855
2023-08-04 0.070 0.176411
2023-05-04 0.070 0.196078
2023-02-27 0.880 2.352941
2023-02-16 0.070 0.175000
2022-11-03 0.060 0.158395
2022-08-19 0.800 2.310803
2022-08-10 0.060 0.193299
2022-05-12 0.500 1.600000
2022-05-05 0.060 0.177672
2022-03-02 0.060 0.164654
2021-11-04 0.050 0.218055
2021-08-06 0.050 0.264271
2021-05-06 0.050 0.303767
2021-02-26 0.050 0.260824
2020-10-30 0.050 0.333333
2020-08-06 0.050 0.335121
2020-05-04 0.050 0.371747
2020-02-24 0.050 0.290529
2019-10-25 0.050 0.224316
2019-08-01 0.050 0.231481
2019-05-03 4.416 15.462185
2019-05-02 0.050 0.151837
2019-03-01 0.050 0.171468
2018-11-01 0.050 0.188537
2018-08-02 0.050 0.200321
2018-05-03 0.050 0.192012
2018-04-12 6.529 28.635966
2018-02-22 0.050 0.161499
2017-11-24 11.210 54.576434
2017-11-02 0.050 0.186706
2017-08-10 0.050 0.210704
2017-05-25 0.050 0.288517
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.32
dividendYield 0.3
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.32
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.002955847
lastDividendValue 0.08
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-08-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.8992982
Address1 16,243 Highway 216
All Time High 111.2
All Time Low 9.46
Ask 110.0
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 582,240
Average Daily Volume3 Month 722,983
Average Volume 722,983
Average Volume10Days 582,240
Beta 0.645
Bid 101.39
Bid Size 400
Board Risk 1
Book Value 43.374
City Brookwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 107.07
Current Ratio 3.927
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 109.87
Day Low 106.79
Debt To Equity 10.297
Display Name Warrior Met Coal
Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Dividend Rate 0.32
Dividend Yield 0.3
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,961,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,961,800
Earnings Growth 14.478
Earnings Quarterly Growth 14.596
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 444,617,984
Ebitda Margins 0.26427
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.521
Enterprise To Revenue 3.309
Enterprise Value 5,566,853,632
Eps Current Year 6.33334
Eps Forward 6.83445
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.11
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 87.6492
Fifty Day Average Change 19.4208
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.22157417
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 89.92982
Fifty Two Week High 111.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.1299973
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.037140265
Fifty Two Week Low 54.66
Fifty Two Week Low Change 52.41
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.95883644
Fifty Two Week Range 54.66 - 111.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,492,090,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.58
Float Shares 51,774,030
Forward Eps 6.83445
Forward P E 15.666221
Free Cashflow -53,619,500
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,485
Fullday Change -1.19
Fullday Change Percent -1.09921
Fullday Price 107.07
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.30597
Gross Profits 514,788,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.018099999
Held Percent Institutions 1.0493699
Implied Shares Outstanding 52,802,087
Industry Coking Coal
Industry Disp Coking Coal
Industry Key coking-coal
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.08
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Long Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,653,519,360
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_380779777
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 219,330,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,716,353,938
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 108.51
Operating Cashflow 301,334,016
Operating Margins 0.18545
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0769
Phone 205 554 6150
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 107.07
Post Market Time 1,787,960,058
Previous Close 108.26
Price Eps Current Year 16.905771
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4685295
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.3602796
Profit Margins 0.13036
Quick Ratio 2.507
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.19
Regular Market Change Percent -1.09921
Regular Market Day High 109.87
Regular Market Day Low 106.79
Regular Market Day Range 106.79 - 109.87
Regular Market Open 108.51
Regular Market Previous Close 108.26
Regular Market Price 107.07
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 469,008
Return On Assets 0.051680002
Return On Equity 0.10037
Revenue Growth 0.713
Revenue Per Share 31.934
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 52,802,087
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.082100004
Shares Short 4,332,831
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,906,361
Short Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.112399995
Short Ratio 6.48
Source Interval 15
State AL
Symbol HCC
Target High Price 125.0
Target Low Price 90.0
Target Mean Price 105.16667
Target Median Price 99.0
Total Cash 322,497,984
Total Cash Per Share 6.108
Total Debt 235,832,000
Total Revenue 1,682,455,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.32
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.002955847
Trailing Eps 4.11
Trailing P E 26.051094
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 88.31885
Two Hundred Day Average Change 18.751152
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.21231201
Type Disp Equity
Volume 469,008
Website https://warriormetcoal.com
Zip 35,444