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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)

Basic Materials | Coking Coal | Brookwood, United States | NYSE
89.46 USD -0.52 (-0.578%) ⇩ (Oct. 15, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:16 a.m. EDT

Warrior Met Coal presents a compelling growth story backed by robust operational cash flow, despite a modest dividend yield. The company's revenue surged 71% year-over-year, supported by the Blue Creek expansion, which analysts view as a key catalyst. Valuation remains attractive with a forward P/E of 11.6, significantly lower than the trailing 22.4, suggesting the market prices in future earnings growth. While free cash flow is currently negative due to capital expenditures, operating cash flow remains healthy at over 300 million, indicating liquidity is not a constraint. Options activity reveals a bullish bias, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money calls for 2027 expirations, hinting at expectations for a continued rally toward the 110 analyst target. The long-term trajectory is exceptional with a 173% gain over eight years and no recent annual declines, yet the short-term technical picture shows a slight pullback below the 50-day moving average, creating a potential entry point for momentum traders.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.066776
AutoTheta0.066788
MSTL0.067098
AutoARIMA0.223430

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 0.67
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.086
Excess Kurtosis -1.50
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-09
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.297
Revenue per Share 31.934
Market Cap 4,723,674,624
Trailing P/E 21.50
Forward P/E 11.15
Beta 0.74
Profit Margins 13.04%
Website https://warriormetcoal.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:16 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for upside continuation with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls for 2027 expirations, particularly at strikes above the current price. While there is a significant put wall at the 95 strike for January 2027, the overall call skew suggests bullish sentiment. Implied volatility remains low across most expirations, indicating complacency regarding immediate downside risk.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.08% 0.37% 0.79% 2.02%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-10 0.080 0.083884
2026-05-01 0.080 0.092807
2026-02-23 0.080 0.091901
2025-11-07 0.080 0.098534
2025-08-08 0.080 0.131731
2025-05-05 0.080 0.169133
2025-02-24 0.080 0.160643
2024-11-05 0.080 0.117734
2024-08-06 0.080 0.131471
2024-05-03 0.080 0.120791
2024-02-29 0.500 0.877655
2024-02-16 0.080 0.138624
2023-11-02 0.070 0.143855
2023-08-04 0.070 0.176411
2023-05-04 0.070 0.196078
2023-02-27 0.880 2.352941
2023-02-16 0.070 0.175000
2022-11-03 0.060 0.158395
2022-08-19 0.800 2.310803
2022-08-10 0.060 0.193299
2022-05-12 0.500 1.600000
2022-05-05 0.060 0.177672
2022-03-02 0.060 0.164654
2021-11-04 0.050 0.218055
2021-08-06 0.050 0.264271
2021-05-06 0.050 0.303767
2021-02-26 0.050 0.260824
2020-10-30 0.050 0.333333
2020-08-06 0.050 0.335121
2020-05-04 0.050 0.371747
2020-02-24 0.050 0.290529
2019-10-25 0.050 0.224316
2019-08-01 0.050 0.231481
2019-05-03 4.416 15.462185
2019-05-02 0.050 0.151837
2019-03-01 0.050 0.171468
2018-11-01 0.050 0.188537
2018-08-02 0.050 0.200321
2018-05-03 0.050 0.192012
2018-04-12 6.529 28.635966
2018-02-22 0.050 0.161499
2017-11-24 11.210 54.576434
2017-11-02 0.050 0.186706
2017-08-10 0.050 0.210704
2017-05-25 0.050 0.288517
Additional Data
dividendYield 0.36
exDividendDate 2026-08-10
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.32
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0035563456
lastDividendValue 0.08
lastDividendDate 2026-08-10
dividendDate 2026-08-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.37124467
Address1 16,243 Highway 216
All Time High 111.42
All Time Low 9.46
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 525,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 633,470
Average Volume 633,470
Average Volume10Days 525,730
Beta 0.737
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 1
Book Value 43.374
City Brookwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 89.46
Current Ratio 3.927
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 90.425
Day Low 88.14
Debt To Equity 10.297
Display Name Warrior Met Coal
Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Dividend Yield 0.36
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Earnings Growth 14.478
Earnings Quarterly Growth 14.596
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,822,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,822,400
Ebitda 444,617,984
Ebitda Margins 0.26427
Enterprise To Ebitda 10.429
Enterprise To Revenue 2.756
Enterprise Value 4,637,008,896
Eps Current Year 6.63699
Eps Forward 8.02037
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.16
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 96.5512
Fifty Day Average Change -7.091202
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.073444985
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 37.124466
Fifty Two Week High 111.42
Fifty Two Week High Change -21.96
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.19709209
Fifty Two Week Low 61.87
Fifty Two Week Low Change 27.59
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.44593504
Fifty Two Week Range 61.87 - 111.42
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,492,090,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.53
Float Shares 51,774,030
Forward Eps 8.02037
Forward P E 11.154099
Free Cashflow -53,619,500
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,485
Fullday Change -0.02999878
Fullday Change Percent -0.033533175
Fullday Price 89.43
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.30597
Gross Profits 514,788,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.018099999
Held Percent Institutions 0.99847
Implied Shares Outstanding 52,802,087
Industry Coking Coal
Industry Disp Coking Coal
Industry Key coking-coal
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,320,000
Last Dividend Value 0.08
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Long Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,723,674,624
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_380779777
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 219,330,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,764,860,330
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 90.28
Operating Cashflow 301,334,016
Operating Margins 0.18545
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0769
Phone 205 554 6150
Pre Market Change -0.13500214
Pre Market Change Percent -0.15073091
Pre Market Price 89.43
Pre Market Time 1,792,137,603
Previous Close 89.98
Price Eps Current Year 13.479001
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.062526
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.8076081
Profit Margins 0.13036
Quick Ratio 2.507
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.520004
Regular Market Change Percent -0.577911
Regular Market Day High 90.425
Regular Market Day Low 88.14
Regular Market Day Range 88.14 - 90.425
Regular Market Open 90.28
Regular Market Previous Close 89.98
Regular Market Price 89.46
Regular Market Time 1,792,094,403
Regular Market Volume 495,680
Return On Assets 0.051680002
Return On Equity 0.10037
Revenue Growth 0.713
Revenue Per Share 31.934
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 52,802,087
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0774
Shares Short 4,085,186
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,036,149
Short Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.106000006
Short Ratio 6.3
Source Interval 15
State AL
Symbol HCC
Target High Price 123.0
Target Low Price 100.0
Target Mean Price 109.16667
Target Median Price 106.0
Total Cash 322,497,984
Total Cash Per Share 6.108
Total Debt 235,832,000
Total Revenue 1,682,455,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.32
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0035563456
Trailing Eps 4.16
Trailing P E 21.504808
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 90.5662
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.1062012
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0122142825
Type Disp Equity
Volume 495,680
Website https://warriormetcoal.com
Zip 35,444