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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)

Basic Materials | Coking Coal | Brookwood, United States | NYSE
82.12 USD +2.03 (2.535%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 82.99 +0.87 (1.059%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT

The most compelling signal here is the company's reclassification into Russell Growth indexes, which validates the aggressive 54% revenue growth trajectory and supports the compressed forward P/E of 11.1 versus the trailing 30.7. While the fundamentals are strong enough to warrant a solid long-term buy, the stock is currently lagging its moving averages, trading below both the 50-day and 200-day lines, which creates a technical headwind for the immediate future. The earnings story is catching up to the price, creating a divergence that often resolves positively over time, but patience is required. Investors should ignore the negligible 0.4% dividend yield as it offers no income support; the value proposition lies entirely in capital appreciation driven by the growth re-rating. Options market participants are pricing in high volatility, suggesting a binary outcome is expected soon.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.068317
MSTL0.068330
AutoARIMA0.068362
AutoTheta0.068822

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 4.08
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.171
Excess Kurtosis -0.37
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.613
Revenue per Share 27.981
Market Cap 4,336,097,280
Trailing P/E 31.46
Forward P/E 11.38
Beta 0.67
Profit Margins 9.34%
Website https://warriormetcoal.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:05 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility remains elevated across expirations, ranging from 55% to 60%, indicating heightened uncertainty. Open interest is heavily concentrated out-of-the-money on both sides, with significant call positioning at 100 and 110 strikes and substantial put open interest at 95 and 100 strikes for January 2027. This distribution suggests speculators are positioning for a significant price swing rather than a steady drift, hedging upside potential while protecting against a sharp decline.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.09% 0.41% 0.82% 2.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-01 0.080 0.092807
2026-02-23 0.080 0.091901
2025-11-07 0.080 0.098534
2025-08-08 0.080 0.131731
2025-05-05 0.080 0.169133
2025-02-24 0.080 0.160643
2024-11-05 0.080 0.117734
2024-08-06 0.080 0.131471
2024-05-03 0.080 0.120791
2024-02-29 0.500 0.877655
2024-02-16 0.080 0.138624
2023-11-02 0.070 0.143855
2023-08-04 0.070 0.176411
2023-05-04 0.070 0.196078
2023-02-27 0.880 2.352941
2023-02-16 0.070 0.175000
2022-11-03 0.060 0.158395
2022-08-19 0.800 2.310803
2022-08-10 0.060 0.193299
2022-05-12 0.500 1.600000
2022-05-05 0.060 0.177672
2022-03-02 0.060 0.164654
2021-11-04 0.050 0.218055
2021-08-06 0.050 0.264271
2021-05-06 0.050 0.303767
2021-02-26 0.050 0.260824
2020-10-30 0.050 0.333333
2020-08-06 0.050 0.335121
2020-05-04 0.050 0.371747
2020-02-24 0.050 0.290529
2019-10-25 0.050 0.224316
2019-08-01 0.050 0.231481
2019-05-03 4.416 15.462185
2019-05-02 0.050 0.151837
2019-03-01 0.050 0.171468
2018-11-01 0.050 0.188537
2018-08-02 0.050 0.200321
2018-05-03 0.050 0.192012
2018-04-12 6.529 28.635966
2018-02-22 0.050 0.161499
2017-11-24 11.210 54.576434
2017-11-02 0.050 0.186706
2017-08-10 0.050 0.210704
2017-05-25 0.050 0.288517
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.32
dividendYield 0.4
exDividendDate 2026-05-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.32
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.003995505
lastDividendValue 0.08
lastDividendDate 2026-05-01
dividendDate 2026-05-07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5768852
Address1 16,243 Highway 216
All Time High 110.39
All Time Low 9.46
Ask 85.0
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 880,290
Average Daily Volume3 Month 871,306
Average Volume 871,306
Average Volume10Days 880,290
Beta 0.671
Bid 77.45
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 1
Book Value 41.753
City Brookwood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 82.12
Current Ratio 3.479
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 82.181
Day Low 80.45
Debt To Equity 10.613
Display Name Warrior Met Coal
Dividend Date 1,778,112,000
Dividend Rate 0.32
Dividend Yield 0.4
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,581,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,581,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,579,200
Ebitda 343,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.23294
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.644
Enterprise To Revenue 2.945
Enterprise Value 4,336,835,072
Eps Current Year 6.11311
Eps Forward 7.21467
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.61
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 89.3796
Fifty Day Average Change -7.259598
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.08122209
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 57.688522
Fifty Two Week High 110.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -28.269997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.256092
Fifty Two Week Low 48.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 33.350002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.68382204
Fifty Two Week Range 48.77 - 110.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,492,090,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.61
Float Shares 51,678,866
Forward Eps 7.21467
Forward P E 11.382364
Free Cashflow -174,414,752
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 1,485
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.28338
Gross Profits 417,279,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02009
Held Percent Institutions 1.08903
Implied Shares Outstanding 52,801,964
Industry Coking Coal
Industry Disp Coking Coal
Industry Key coking-coal
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,777,593,600
Last Dividend Value 0.08
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Long Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,336,097,280
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_380779777
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 137,507,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 4,228,909,296
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 80.09
Operating Cashflow 206,603,008
Operating Margins 0.17307
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.122600004
Phone 205 554 6150
Post Market Change 0.8699951
Post Market Change Percent 1.0594193
Post Market Price 82.99
Post Market Time 1,783,985,433
Previous Close 80.09
Price Eps Current Year 13.433425
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.966805
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.9447422
Profit Margins 0.093380004
Quick Ratio 2.225
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.85714
Region US
Regular Market Change 2.03001
Regular Market Change Percent 2.53466
Regular Market Day High 82.181
Regular Market Day Low 80.45
Regular Market Day Range 80.45 - 82.181
Regular Market Open 80.09
Regular Market Previous Close 80.09
Regular Market Price 82.12
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 619,210
Return On Assets 0.03269
Return On Equity 0.06424
Revenue Growth 0.54
Revenue Per Share 27.981
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 52,801,964
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0698
Shares Short 3,685,700
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,563,671
Short Name Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.095699996
Short Ratio 4.25
Source Interval 15
State AL
Symbol HCC
Target High Price 123.0
Target Low Price 90.0
Target Mean Price 103.0
Target Median Price 100.0
Total Cash 233,239,008
Total Cash Per Share 4.417
Total Debt 233,976,992
Total Revenue 1,472,487,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.32
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.003995505
Trailing Eps 2.61
Trailing P E 31.463604
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 84.2263
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.1063004
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.025007632
Type Disp Equity
Volume 619,210
Website https://warriormetcoal.com
Zip 35,444