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HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)

Healthcare | Medical Care Facilities | Nashville, United States | NYSE
390.74 USD -15.85 (-3.898%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT

HCA presents a compelling case for a long-term compounder currently trading at a discount to its historical highs. The nine-year price trajectory is robust, delivering a 381% cumulative gain with no consecutive negative years in the trailing period, validating the company's ability to navigate cyclical pressures. Fundamentally, earnings growth remains healthy at 10.9%, supported by solid operating margins, though the balance sheet carries weight with a current ratio below 1.0 and significant debt obligations relative to cash on hand. The recent price action has been strong, climbing nearly 7% over the last two weeks, which aligns with the bullish analyst consensus and the notable endorsement from prominent investors who view the business as an efficient compounder. However, the elevated options implied volatility and the weak statistical forecast signal suggest that short-term noise may persist. For investors, the setup favors a patient accumulation strategy rather than aggressive momentum chasing, as the valuation gap to the 52-week high offers a margin of safety against the inherent operational risks.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.047561
AutoARIMA0.062374
MSTL0.065881
AutoETS0.084537

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 50%
H-stat 1.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.606
Excess Kurtosis -0.72
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-15
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-15
Revenue per Share 331.292
Market Cap 86,681,681,920
Trailing P/E 13.46
Forward P/E 11.81
Beta 1.13
Profit Margins 8.89%
Website https://www.hcahealthcare.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:21 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated at 53% for near-term expirations, signaling anticipated turbulence. While near-term put positioning shows heavy hedging activity around the 360-400 strike range, medium-to-long-term call positioning reveals a distinct bullish bias, with significant open interest walls established at 500 and 600 strikes for 2027 expirations. The ATM anchor at 405-410 suggests the market views the current price as a pivot point for a potential recovery.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.20% 0.68% 0.77% 0.83%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-16 0.780 0.196508
2026-03-17 0.780 0.152980
2025-12-15 0.720 0.150950
2025-09-16 0.720 0.180113
2025-06-16 0.720 0.195339
2025-03-17 0.720 0.219205
2024-12-13 0.660 0.210238
2024-09-16 0.660 0.163597
2024-06-14 0.660 0.195573
2024-03-14 0.660 0.203214
2023-12-13 0.600 0.223655
2023-09-14 0.600 0.227635
2023-06-15 0.600 0.209871
2023-03-16 0.600 0.235868
2022-12-13 0.560 0.230358
2022-09-15 0.560 0.267981
2022-06-15 0.560 0.308217
2022-03-16 0.560 0.210250
2021-12-13 0.480 0.196641
2021-09-15 0.480 0.187171
2021-06-15 0.480 0.229051
2021-03-16 0.480 0.258732
2020-12-24 0.268 0.163176
2020-10-29 0.072 0.057416
2020-02-28 0.430 0.338556
2019-11-29 0.400 0.288475
2019-08-30 0.400 0.332779
2019-05-31 0.400 0.330688
2019-02-28 0.400 0.287687
2018-11-30 0.350 0.243072
2018-08-31 0.350 0.260980
2018-05-31 0.350 0.339345
2018-02-28 0.350 0.352645
2012-12-13 2.000 6.482982
2012-10-31 2.500 8.799718
2012-02-14 2.000 7.971303
Additional Data
dividendRate 3.12
dividendYield 0.77
exDividendDate 2026-06-16
trailingAnnualDividendRate 2.94
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.007230872
lastDividendValue 0.78
lastDividendDate 2026-06-16
dividendDate 2026-06-30

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.050941348
Address1 One Park Plaza
All Time High 556.52
All Time Low 17.03
Ask 414.0
Ask Size 40
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,469,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,537,239
Average Volume 1,537,239
Average Volume10Days 1,469,640
Beta 1.128
Bid 389.66
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 9
Book Value -28.324
City Nashville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 390.74
Current Ratio 0.834
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 410.83
Day Low 389.96
Display Name HCA Healthcare
Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Dividend Rate 3.12
Dividend Yield 0.77
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,039,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,039,200
Earnings Growth 0.109
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.006
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,033,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,896,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,896,200
Ebitda 15,566,000,128
Ebitda Margins 0.20378
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.916
Enterprise To Revenue 1.817
Enterprise Value 138,787,684,352
Eps Current Year 30.1884
Eps Forward 33.07424
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 29.03
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 398.9822
Fifty Day Average Change -8.242218
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.02065811
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 5.094135
Fifty Two Week High 556.52
Fifty Two Week High Change -165.78003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2978869
Fifty Two Week Low 330.0
Fifty Two Week Low Change 60.73999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.18406057
Fifty Two Week Range 330.0 - 556.52
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,299,767,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.78
Float Shares 149,491,186
Forward Eps 33.07424
Forward P E 11.814027
Free Cashflow 5,726,000,128
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 230,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.41612998
Gross Profits 31,786,999,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.16211
Held Percent Institutions 0.78369004
Implied Shares Outstanding 221,839,800
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Industry Disp Medical Care Facilities
Industry Key medical-care-facilities
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=63489&p=irol-homeprofile
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,781,568,000
Last Dividend Value 0.78
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services in the United States. The company owns, manages, and operates hospitals, ASCs, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, as well as rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, physician practices, home health agencies, hospices, outpatient physical therapy providers, home and community-based services providers, and various other facilities. Its general and acute care hospitals offer medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic services, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy. The company was formerly known as HCA Holdings, Inc. HCA Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.
Long Name HCA Healthcare, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 86,681,681,920
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_261825
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 6,793,999,872
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 86,681,683,452
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 404.0
Operating Cashflow 12,999,000,064
Operating Margins 0.14982
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.1013
Peg Ratio 1.23
Phone 615 344 9551
Pre Market Change -30.621613
Pre Market Change Percent -7.8354216
Pre Market Price 360.1884
Pre Market Time 1,784,029,768
Previous Close 406.59
Price Eps Current Year 12.943382
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -13.795368
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1347553
Profit Margins 0.08894
Quick Ratio 0.643
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -15.85
Regular Market Change Percent -3.89828
Regular Market Day High 410.83
Regular Market Day Low 389.96
Regular Market Day Range 389.96 - 410.83
Regular Market Open 404.0
Regular Market Previous Close 406.59
Regular Market Price 390.74
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 2,335,861
Return On Assets 0.12344
Revenue Growth 0.043
Revenue Per Share 331.292
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 221,839,800
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0241
Shares Short 5,354,923
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,214,258
Short Name HCA Healthcare, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0366
Short Ratio 3.07
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol HCA
Target High Price 635.0
Target Low Price 396.0
Target Mean Price 490.2857
Target Median Price 500.0
Total Cash 1,064,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.796
Total Debt 49,844,998,144
Total Revenue 76,387,999,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 2.94
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.007230872
Trailing Eps 29.03
Trailing P E 13.459868
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.1781
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 459.959
Two Hundred Day Average Change -69.219025
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15048955
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,335,861
Website https://www.hcahealthcare.com
Zip 37,203