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Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC)

Financial Services | Banks - Regional | Michigan City, United States | NasdaqGS
19.75 USD +0.17 (0.868%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Horizon Bancorp is currently fractured by severe accounting anomalies that distort traditional valuation metrics. The company reports negative trailing earnings and negative revenue per share, resulting in nonsensical forward P/E and price-to-sales ratios. While the balance sheet shows a healthy return on assets relative to peers and a solid operating cash flow, the reported financials suggest a structural reporting issue or a unique business model breakdown that makes standard valuation impossible. Consequently, the long-term rating remains neutral because the market cannot yet distinguish between a temporary reporting glitch and a permanent business impairment. On the short end, the stock is technically trading above its 50-day moving average, offering some immediate support, but the overwhelming options activity—specifically the heavy concentration of put buying at lower strikes—signals that traders are aggressively hedging against a further decline. Until the accounting mess is resolved and positive earnings are consistently demonstrated, the stock lacks the fundamental clarity required for a bullish conviction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.025195
MSTL0.051865
AutoARIMA0.054177
AutoETS0.054177
AutoTheta0.054197

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 2.72
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.551
Excess Kurtosis 0.05
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-01
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-01
Revenue per Share -0.48
Market Cap 1,013,762,816
Forward P/E 8.90
Beta 0.81
Website https://www.horizonbank.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:54 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is heavily skewed toward downside protection. In the September expiration, there is massive open interest in deep-in-the-money puts at the $15 strike, suggesting a fear of a significant drop below current levels. Conversely, call activity is negligible, with almost no open interest in out-of-the-money strikes. This asymmetry indicates the market is pricing in a 'floor' scenario rather than an upside breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.81% 3.74% 4.47% 4.34%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-02 0.160000 0.808898
2026-04-02 0.160000 0.954654
2026-01-02 0.160000 0.967352
2025-10-03 0.160000 1.007557
2025-07-03 0.160000 0.976205
2025-04-04 0.160000 1.203913
2025-01-03 0.160000 1.014585
2024-10-04 0.160000 1.079622
2024-07-05 0.160000 1.345669
2024-04-04 0.160000 1.344538
2024-01-04 0.160000 1.158581
2023-10-05 0.160000 1.560976
2023-07-06 0.160000 1.616162
2023-04-05 0.160000 1.515151
2023-01-05 0.160000 1.048493
2022-10-06 0.160000 0.851970
2022-07-07 0.160000 0.918484
2022-04-07 0.150000 0.821918
2022-01-06 0.150000 0.691882
2021-10-07 0.150000 0.811249
2021-07-01 0.130000 0.738217
2021-03-31 0.130000 0.699677
2021-01-07 0.120000 0.717274
2020-10-01 0.120000 1.181102
2020-07-01 0.120000 1.201201
2020-04-02 0.120000 1.291712
2020-01-02 0.120000 0.638638
2019-10-03 0.120000 0.714711
2019-07-03 0.120000 0.736648
2019-04-04 0.100000 0.615764
2019-01-03 0.100000 0.628141
2018-10-04 0.100000 0.518941
2018-07-05 0.100000 0.479386
2018-04-05 0.100000 0.500000
2018-01-04 0.086667 0.483813
2017-10-05 0.086667 0.463460
2017-07-05 0.086667 0.489644
2017-04-05 0.073333 0.427515
2017-01-04 0.073333 0.393136
2016-10-05 0.066667 0.516888
2016-07-06 0.066667 0.596662
2016-04-06 0.066667 0.617796
2016-01-06 0.066667 0.540154
2015-09-30 0.066667 0.631582
2015-06-24 0.062222 0.550312
2015-03-31 0.062222 0.598544
2014-12-30 0.062222 0.528101
2014-10-01 0.057778 0.568432
2014-07-01 0.057778 0.586645
2014-04-02 0.048889 0.490197
2013-12-31 0.048889 0.434269
2013-09-25 0.048889 0.458908
2013-06-26 0.044444 0.500245
2013-04-03 0.044444 0.512028
2012-12-20 0.044444 0.508125
2012-09-26 0.044444 0.524287
2012-06-27 0.038519 0.495811
2012-04-03 0.038519 0.716657
2011-12-29 0.035556 0.690060
2011-09-28 0.035556 0.692316
2011-06-29 0.033580 0.619755
2011-03-30 0.033580 0.606489
2010-12-30 0.033580 0.639093
2010-09-29 0.033580 0.778026
2010-06-29 0.033580 0.772722
2010-04-12 0.033580 0.827245
2009-12-30 0.033580 1.069174
2009-09-30 0.033580 0.994145
2009-06-30 0.033580 1.046146
2009-04-01 0.033580 1.504414
2008-12-30 0.033580 1.383228
2008-09-30 0.033580 0.764039
2008-07-01 0.033580 0.999993
2008-04-02 0.029630 0.655316
2008-01-02 0.029630 0.625008
2007-10-02 0.029630 0.575823
2007-07-02 0.029630 0.553104
2007-03-29 0.027654 0.526310
2007-01-03 0.027654 0.513755
2006-09-28 0.027654 0.537422
2006-06-30 0.027654 0.536187
2006-03-30 0.027654 0.456021
2005-12-29 0.027654 0.534345
2005-09-29 0.025679 0.489642
2005-06-30 0.025679 0.502901
2005-03-30 0.025679 0.452174
2004-12-30 0.025679 0.482375
2004-09-30 0.023704 0.485051
2004-06-30 0.023704 0.507835
2004-03-30 0.023704 0.469122
2003-12-30 0.023704 0.415806
2003-09-30 0.021070 0.453644
2003-07-01 0.021070 0.524591
2003-03-20 0.021070 0.578245
2002-12-24 0.021070 0.624513
2002-09-26 0.019753 0.692518
2002-06-27 0.019753 0.686496
2002-03-27 0.019753 0.765303
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.64
dividendYield 3.24
exDividendDate 2026-07-02
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.64
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.032686412
lastDividendValue 0.16
lastDividendDate 2026-07-02
dividendDate 2026-07-17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.28080416
Address1 515 Franklin Street
All Time High 23.8
All Time Low 2.074074
Ask 25.15
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.6 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 643,430
Average Daily Volume3 Month 510,068
Average Volume 510,068
Average Volume10Days 643,430
Beta 0.812
Bid 14.1
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 2
Book Value 13.621
City Michigan City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 19.75
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 19.77
Day Low 19.42
Display Name Horizon Bancorp
Dividend Date 1,784,246,400
Dividend Rate 0.64
Dividend Yield 3.24
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,784,836,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,784,836,800
Earnings Growth -0.056
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.093
Earnings Timestamp 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue -48.899
Enterprise Value 1,132,506,880
Eps Current Year 2.1
Eps Forward 2.22
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.31
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,950,400
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 18.9342
Fifty Day Average Change 0.8157997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.04308604
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 28.080416
Fifty Two Week High 20.51
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.7600002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.037055105
Fifty Two Week Low 14.84
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.91
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.33086252
Fifty Two Week Range 14.84 - 20.51
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,010,586,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.13
Float Shares 50,170,738
Forward Eps 2.22
Forward P E 8.896397
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 465
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -23,160,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02242
Held Percent Institutions 0.76638
Implied Shares Outstanding 51,329,764
Industry Banks - Regional
Industry Disp Banks - Regional
Industry Key banks-regional
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,950,400
Last Dividend Value 0.16
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,529,280,000
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Horizon Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Horizon Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals and corporate clients in Indiana and Michigan in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, money market, certificates of deposit, and time deposit accounts, as well as non-interest and interest-bearing demand deposits. It also provides commercial loans, residential real estate loans, mortgage warehouse loans, and consumer loans; home equity loans and lines; auto loans; personal loans and lines; business loans and lines; SBA loans; public fund, medical practice, and franchise financing; and equipment finance solutions. In addition, the company offers corporate and individual trust and agency, investment management, and real estate investment trust services; debit and credit cards; treasury management; and remote deposit, merchant processing, online payment portal, lockbox, smart safe, ACH origination, online bill pay, wire transfer, and positive and reverse positive pay services, as well as sells various life insurance products. Further, it provides online and mobile banking; health savings accounts; wealth management, financial planning, investment management, and insurance services; retirement services, including individual retirement accounts (IRAs), business IRAs, and employee benefit plans; and estate planning and settlement services. Horizon Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Michigan City, Indiana.
Long Name Horizon Bancorp, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,013,762,816
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_386991
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -148,256,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,013,762,839
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 19.6
Operating Cashflow 84,748,000
Operating Margins 0.46576
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.547
Peg Ratio 0.8
Phone 219 879 0211
Previous Close 19.58
Price Eps Current Year 9.404762
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4499669
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months -43.77214
Profit Margins 0.0
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.6
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.17
Regular Market Change Percent 0.868233
Regular Market Day High 19.77
Regular Market Day Low 19.42
Regular Market Day Range 19.42 - 19.77
Regular Market Open 19.6
Regular Market Previous Close 19.58
Regular Market Price 19.75
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 452,672
Return On Assets -0.02089
Return On Equity -0.20101
Revenue Growth 0.085
Revenue Per Share -0.48
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 51,329,764
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0304
Shares Short 1,557,936
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,524,912
Short Name Horizon Bancorp, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0307
Short Ratio 1.92
Source Interval 15
State IN
Symbol HBNC
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 21.4
Target Median Price 21.0
Total Cash 278,480,992
Total Cash Per Share 5.425
Total Debt 397,224,992
Total Revenue -23,160,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.64
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.032686412
Trailing Eps -3.31
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.41975
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.3302498
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.13377056
Type Disp Equity
Volume 452,672
Website https://www.horizonbank.com
Zip 46,360