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Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM)

Basic Materials | Copper | Toronto, Canada | NYSE
20.87 USD -0.77 (-3.558%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 20.83 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful divergence between deteriorating short-term momentum and robust long-term fundamentals. The stock has suffered a brutal recent pullback, trading well below its 50-day average and failing to capture recent market gains, which creates a dangerous setup for a short-term trader looking for immediate entry. However, the long-term picture is compelling: the company has delivered a +102% cumulative return over the last nine years with zero consecutive years of decline at the end of the window, supported by accelerating revenue growth (+27%) and healthy margins. The balance sheet remains solid with manageable debt, and the analyst consensus is aggressively bullish, implying nearly double the current price. The options market confirms this sentiment, with traders stacking call exposure at targets of $30-$35, betting that the recent weakness was merely a correction rather than a trend reversal. While the dividend yield is negligible and offers no cushion, the combination of a beaten-down price, improving operational metrics, and speculative positioning suggests a high-probability rebound for the patient buyer.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.079874
AutoARIMA0.079875
MSTL_790.081537
AutoTheta0.081940
MSTL0.082573
MSTL_55_790.083931
MSTL_550.087165

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 2.61
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.383
Excess Kurtosis -0.43
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-08
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 29.458
Revenue per Share 5.993
Market Cap 9,266,075,648
Trailing P/E 12.96
Forward P/E 11.93
Beta 2.25
Profit Margins 27.74%
Website https://www.hudbayminerals.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:17 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes 30 and 35 across multiple expirations. This bullish skew contrasts sharply with put activity, which is concentrated at lower strikes (12.5 and 15) and shows significantly lower volume relative to calls. The implied volatility surface supports this view, with call IVs generally elevated compared to puts, suggesting the market prices in a higher probability of a rally than a crash.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.03% 0.06% 0.17% 0.21%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-09 0.007 0.027354
2026-03-10 0.007 0.030395
2025-03-04 0.007 0.101597
2024-09-03 0.007 0.094723
2024-03-04 0.007 0.113821
2023-08-31 0.007 0.140845
2023-03-06 0.007 0.133080
2022-09-01 0.008 0.195122
2022-03-07 0.008 0.101911
2021-09-02 0.008 0.130081
2021-03-08 0.008 0.116788
2020-09-03 0.008 0.184758
2020-03-09 0.007 0.382514
2019-09-05 0.008 0.230548
2019-03-07 0.007 0.105740
2018-09-06 0.008 0.183908
2018-03-08 0.008 0.104575
2017-09-07 0.008 0.089888
2017-03-08 0.007 0.100000
2016-09-07 0.008 0.190024
2016-03-09 0.007 0.179028
2015-09-09 0.008 0.170213
2015-03-11 0.008 0.110345
2014-09-10 0.009 0.089109
2014-03-12 0.009 0.120321
2013-09-11 0.010 0.126904
2013-03-14 0.098 1.008230
2012-09-12 0.103 1.072917
2012-03-16 0.101 0.852321
2011-09-13 0.100 0.825083
2011-03-17 0.102 0.636704
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.03
dividendYield 0.13
exDividendDate 2026-06-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.022
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0010166359
lastDividendValue 0.007
lastDividendDate 2026-06-09
dividendDate 2026-06-26

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.0668576
Address1 25 York Street
Address2 Suite 800
All Time High 32.15
All Time Low 1.23
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,751,040
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,543,147
Average Volume 5,543,147
Average Volume10Days 4,751,040
Beta 2.252
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 1,600
Board Risk 4
Book Value 8.896
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 20.87
Current Ratio 1.356
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 21.63
Day Low 20.655
Debt To Equity 29.458
Display Name Hudbay Minerals
Dividend Date 1,782,432,000
Dividend Rate 0.03
Dividend Yield 0.13
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,337,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,337,200
Earnings Growth 0.919
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.896
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda 1,120,800,000
Ebitda Margins 0.47223
Enterprise To Ebitda 7.964
Enterprise To Revenue 3.761
Enterprise Value 8,926,020,608
Eps Current Year 1.42667
Eps Forward 1.75
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.61
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,963,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.3522
Fifty Day Average Change -4.4821987
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.17679723
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 106.68576
Fifty Two Week High 32.15
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.280001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.35085538
Fifty Two Week Low 8.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.940001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.337066
Fifty Two Week Range 8.93 - 32.15
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,234,535,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 0.22
Float Shares 382,277,738
Forward Eps 1.75
Forward P E 11.9257145
Free Cashflow 545,612,480
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.55254
Gross Profits 1,311,399,936
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03642
Held Percent Institutions 0.71314
Implied Shares Outstanding 443,990,201
Industry Copper
Industry Disp Copper
Industry Key copper
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,963,200
Last Dividend Value 0.007
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America. It primarily explores for copper concentrates containing copper, gold, zinc, molybdenum concentrates, and silver. It owns 100% interest in Copper Mountain mine located approximately 20 kilometers south of Princeton, British Columbia, in the Similkameen valley. Hudbay Minerals Inc. was founded in 1927 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,266,075,648
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1789909
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 658,499,968
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,579,079,985
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 21.21
Operating Cashflow 793,800,000
Operating Margins 0.40037
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.0087
Phone 416 362 8181
Post Market Change -0.040000916
Post Market Change Percent -0.19166705
Post Market Price 20.83
Post Market Time 1,783,986,978
Previous Close 21.64
Price Eps Current Year 14.628471
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3459983
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.9041357
Profit Margins 0.27745
Quick Ratio 1.17
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.43478
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.769999
Regular Market Change Percent -3.55822
Regular Market Day High 21.63
Regular Market Day Low 20.655
Regular Market Day Range 20.655 - 21.63
Regular Market Open 21.21
Regular Market Previous Close 21.64
Regular Market Price 20.87
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 3,696,520
Return On Assets 0.06909
Return On Equity 0.19476
Revenue Growth 0.273
Revenue Per Share 5.993
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 443,990,201
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0228
Shares Short 14,328,586
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 12,036,809
Short Name Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Short Ratio 1.65
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol HBM
Target High Price 41.6
Target Low Price 29.0
Target Mean Price 32.93333
Target Median Price 31.25
Total Cash 1,003,800,000
Total Cash Per Share 2.527
Total Debt 1,177,200,000
Total Revenue 2,373,400,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0010166359
Trailing Eps 1.61
Trailing P E 12.962733
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 21.57965
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.70965004
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.03288515
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,696,520
Website https://www.hudbayminerals.com
Zip M5J 2V5