Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD)Commodities Broad Basket | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
30.75 USD
+0.80
(2.654%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT
The long-term outlook is solid, driven by a robust 18% gain over the last two years and a recent 21% surge, confirming the strategy's ability to outperform during commodity cycles. However, the short-term picture is murky; the stock is trading well below its 50-day and 200-day averages, signaling a technical correction that has dampened immediate momentum. While the 3.95% dividend yield provides a nice floor, the lack of recent price strength suggests the market is waiting for clearer confirmation before adding to positions. The options flow reflects this hesitation, with traders hedging against a drop while dreaming of a bounce, resulting in a neutral stance for the near term. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.054330 |
| MSTL | 0.054997 |
| AutoTheta | 0.056494 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.061340 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 56% |
| H-stat | 0.88 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.324 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.89 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 16.52 |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:14 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at the $29 strike for August expiration, suggesting a fear of downside volatility near current levels. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at the $37 strike for August, indicating a speculative bet on a significant rebound to test the 52-week high, though overall call volume remains thin compared to the put activity.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00% | 3.87% | 3.47% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 0.300 | 1.003680 |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.300 | 0.880540 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0.300 | 0.996347 |
| 2025-09-25 | 0.300 | 0.988468 |
| 2025-06-25 | 0.250 | 0.898828 |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.120 | 0.389724 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.348 | 1.330275 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.300 | 1.185771 |
| 2024-06-25 | 0.150 | 0.614653 |
| 2024-03-25 | 0.150 | 0.637538 |
| 2023-12-26 | 0.255 | 1.096208 |
| 2023-09-27 | 0.100 | 0.390016 |
| 2023-06-27 | 0.100 | 0.405795 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 37.63 |
| All Time Low | 22.69 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 100 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 47,100 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 53,401 |
| Average Volume | 53,401 |
| Average Volume10Days | 47,100 |
| Beta3 Year | 0.89 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 100 |
| Category | Commodities Broad Basket |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 30.75 |
| Day Low | 30.25 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.95 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.8611649 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 33.14512 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -2.3951187 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.07226158 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 4.227555 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 37.63 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -6.880001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.18283287 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 27.751 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 2.9990005 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.1080682 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 27.751 - 37.63 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,680,096,600,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fund Family | Simplify Asset Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,679,875,200 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The adviser seeks to achieve the fund’s investment objective by investing in commodity futures contracts. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests in a portfolio of futures contracts on commodities and commodity indices. The advisor attempts to capture the economic benefit derived from rising trends based on the price changes of the futures contracts. |
| Long Name | Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_1825956540 |
| Nav Price | 29.9543 |
| Net Assets | 81,518,552.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.78 |
| Open | 30.18 |
| Phone | 614-469-3294 |
| Previous Close | 29.955 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.795 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 2.65398 |
| Regular Market Day High | 30.75 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 30.25 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 30.25 - 30.75 |
| Regular Market Open | 30.18 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 29.955 |
| Regular Market Price | 30.75 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,791 |
| Regular Market Volume | 19,558 |
| Short Name | Simplify Commodities Strategy N |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | HARD |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.1098375 |
| Total Assets | 81,518,552 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing P E | 16.52191 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | -14.78352 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | -14.78352 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 31.963526 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -1.2135258 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.037965953 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 19,558 |
| Yield | 0.0395 |
| Ytd Return | 1.76158 |