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GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Greenwich, United States | NYSE
59.26 USD +0.47 (0.799%) ⇧ (April 20, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:26 p.m. EDT

Beware the 'Value Trap' Daily: While analysts project massive upside (target $90), the operational metrics tell a different story. The 20.2x Trailing P/E paired with -57% earnings growth and poor liquidity (current ratio 0.85) suggests earnings are in freefall. Price action confirms this bearish divergence: despite being above the 200-day average, the stock crushed its 50-day average, trading well below moving averages on one side and showing significant seller concentration above key levels. This is not a catch-up rally; it is an earnings-destroking play that has already corrected, but the fundamental outlook remains weak until earnings growth turns positive.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.067415
AutoETS0.067443
AutoARIMA0.067459
MSTL0.069012

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 68%
H-stat 1.45
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.316
Excess Kurtosis -0.97
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 194.163
Revenue per Share 113.921
Market Cap 6,797,926,400
Trailing P/E 211.64
Forward P/E 17.10
Beta 1.74
Profit Margins 0.24%
Website https://www.gxo.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:26 p.m. EDT: Options data indicates a classic bottoms-heavy positioning with speculators betting on downside protection over upside. The near-term (Apr/May) expiry shows overwhelmingly higher Open Interest (OI) on puts compared to calls (e.g., 13.9k OI on $45 puts vs 13.2k on calls, though specific strikes vary). Crucially, pricing signals fear: ATM put IV (~97% APR) is nearly 3x ATM call IV (31% APR) in the near term, indicating a severe hedging premium attached to downside. While there is some upside flow into +10.6% strikes for July expirations, the dominant signal is a fear of a drop below recent prices, with limited speculative value attaches on the upside relative to the downside coverage.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.7246798
Address1 Two American Lane
All Time High 105.92
All Time Low 30.46
Ask 60.14
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.4 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,088,480
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,353,754
Average Volume 1,353,754
Average Volume10Days 1,088,480
Beta 1.739
Bid 58.48
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 4
Book Value 26.05
City Greenwich
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 59.26
Current Ratio 0.849
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 59.49
Day Low 57.725
Debt To Equity 194.163
Display Name GXO Logistics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,070,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,070,600
Earnings Growth -0.555
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.57
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 901,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06837
Enterprise To Ebitda 13.13
Enterprise To Revenue 0.898
Enterprise Value 11,829,926,912
Eps Current Year 2.99515
Eps Forward 3.46599
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.28
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 57.1766
Fifty Day Average Change 2.083397
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.03643793
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 72.46798
Fifty Two Week High 66.85
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.59
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.11353777
Fifty Two Week Low 33.55
Fifty Two Week Low Change 25.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.7663189
Fifty Two Week Range 33.55 - 66.85
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,626,960,600,000
Float Shares 113,463,201
Forward Eps 3.46599
Forward P E 17.097567
Free Cashflow 394,124,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 105,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.15086001
Gross Profits 1,988,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00981
Held Percent Institutions 1.04901
Implied Shares Outstanding 114,713,579
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services worldwide. It provides warehousing and distribution, order fulfilment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated in 1,043 facilities. The company serves a range of customers in the e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology and consumer electronics, food and beverage, industrial and manufacturing, consumer packaged goods, and other industries. GXO Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Long Name GXO Logistics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,797,926,400
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_697414712
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 32,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,797,926,691
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 58.37
Operating Cashflow 434,000,000
Operating Margins 0.040489998
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.63
Phone 203 489 1287
Pre Market Change 0.84000015
Pre Market Change Percent 1.4174826
Pre Market Price 60.1
Pre Market Time 1,776,764,560
Previous Close 58.79
Price Eps Current Year 19.785318
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.274856
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5158542
Profit Margins 0.00243
Quick Ratio 0.753
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.375
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.469997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.799451
Regular Market Day High 59.49
Regular Market Day Low 57.725
Regular Market Day Range 57.725 - 59.49
Regular Market Open 58.37
Regular Market Previous Close 58.79
Regular Market Price 59.26
Regular Market Time 1,776,715,202
Regular Market Volume 750,947
Return On Assets 0.02359
Return On Equity 0.0119
Revenue Growth 0.079
Revenue Per Share 113.921
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 114,713,579
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0442
Shares Short 5,068,233
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,410,518
Short Name GXO Logistics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0508
Short Ratio 4.02
Source Interval 15
State CT
Symbol GXO
Target High Price 90.0
Target Low Price 58.0
Target Mean Price 71.5625
Target Median Price 70.0
Total Cash 854,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 7.445
Total Debt 5,854,000,128
Total Revenue 13,178,000,384
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.28
Trailing P E 211.64285
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.6461
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.8715
Two Hundred Day Average Change 5.3885
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.100025065
Type Disp Equity
Volume 750,947
Website https://www.gxo.com
Zip 6,831