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GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO)

Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Greenwich, United States | NYSE
48.99 USD -1.62 (-3.201%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT

The investment case for GXO is currently fractured by a disconnect between its massive analyst upside potential and its deteriorating operational reality. While the forward P/E of 14x suggests the market expects a significant earnings turnaround, the price history tells a different story: the stock has failed to generate positive annual returns for two consecutive years, dragging the four-year cumulative performance into negative territory. This multi-year decline is the market's verdict that the current business model is struggling to deliver value, regardless of the attractive valuation multiples. Compounding this weakness is the complete absence of a dividend, which eliminates any income floor for investors. On the short end, options data confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying protection at lower price levels while showing little appetite for betting on a rally. Until the company can demonstrate a sustained reversal in its annual price trajectory and restore capital returns to shareholders, the risk-reward profile remains skewed against the buyer.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.130766
AutoETS0.130767
AutoTheta0.134263
MSTL0.136536

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 0.93
Ljung-Box p 0.031
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 2.16
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 198.468
Revenue per Share 117.785
Market Cap 5,636,230,656
Trailing P/E 43.74
Forward P/E 13.92
Beta 1.61
Profit Margins 0.98%
Website https://www.gxo.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and open interest concentrated in strikes significantly below the current price (e.g., $37.50, $45.00). This 'insurance' strategy suggests a fear of a downside gap or continued weakness. Conversely, call activity is sparse and skewed toward near-term expiration, indicating limited speculative bullish momentum despite the high implied volatility on deep out-of-the-money calls which reflects uncertainty rather than directional conviction.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.028971612
Address1 Two American Lane
All Time High 105.92
All Time Low 30.46
Ask 51.43
Ask Size 100
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.3 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,201,490
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,380,011
Average Volume 1,380,011
Average Volume10Days 1,201,490
Beta 1.609
Bid 48.61
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 4
Book Value 25.803
City Greenwich
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 48.99
Current Ratio 0.851
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 50.97
Day Low 48.75
Debt To Equity 198.468
Display Name GXO Logistics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Ebitda 939,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06956
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.541
Enterprise To Revenue 0.803
Enterprise Value 10,837,230,592
Eps Current Year 3.04488
Eps Forward 3.51902
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.12
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 50.0122
Fifty Day Average Change -1.0221977
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.020438967
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.8971612
Fifty Two Week High 66.85
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.859997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26716524
Fifty Two Week Low 45.4
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.5900002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07907489
Fifty Two Week Range 45.4 - 66.85
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,626,960,600,000
Float Shares 113,753,142
Forward Eps 3.51902
Forward P E 13.92149
Free Cashflow 358,124,992
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 105,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.15438
Gross Profits 2,084,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01023
Held Percent Institutions 1.02677
Implied Shares Outstanding 115,048,589
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Disp Integrated Freight & Logistics
Industry Key integrated-freight-logistics
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services worldwide. It provides warehousing and distribution, order fulfilment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated in 1,043 facilities. The company serves a range of customers in the e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology and consumer electronics, food and beverage, industrial and manufacturing, consumer packaged goods, and other industries. GXO Logistics, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Long Name GXO Logistics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,636,230,656
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_697414712
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 132,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,822,609,089
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 50.64
Operating Cashflow 436,000,000
Operating Margins 0.026080001
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.37
Phone 203 489 1287
Pre Market Change -0.90670013
Pre Market Change Percent -1.8507861
Pre Market Price 48.0833
Pre Market Time 1,784,018,335
Previous Close 50.61
Price Eps Current Year 16.089306
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8986166
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.4175295
Profit Margins 0.00978
Quick Ratio 0.754
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.3125
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.62
Regular Market Change Percent -3.20095
Regular Market Day High 50.97
Regular Market Day Low 48.75
Regular Market Day Range 48.75 - 50.97
Regular Market Open 50.64
Regular Market Previous Close 50.61
Regular Market Price 48.99
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,118,255
Return On Assets 0.0253
Return On Equity 0.04605
Revenue Growth 0.108
Revenue Per Share 117.785
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 115,048,589
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.071100004
Shares Short 8,183,971
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,816,604
Short Name GXO Logistics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0806
Short Ratio 6.2
Source Interval 15
State CT
Symbol GXO
Target High Price 90.0
Target Low Price 63.0
Target Mean Price 71.0
Target Median Price 70.0
Total Cash 794,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.901
Total Debt 5,960,000,000
Total Revenue 13,498,999,808
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.12
Trailing P E 43.741074
Trailing Peg Ratio 1.3715
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 53.7028
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.712799
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.08775704
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,118,255
Website https://www.gxo.com
Zip 6,831