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Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF (GUNR)

Natural Resources | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
56.06 USD -0.26 (-0.462%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 56.06

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT

The most compelling signal here is the explosive momentum: the fund has rallied nearly 17% in just two weeks, breaking through its 52-week high and leaving the 200-day average far behind. This technical breakout is reinforced by a massive surge in call open interest, suggesting smart money is positioning for a continued run in natural resources. While the statistical forecast model remains neutral—likely due to the recent volatility resetting its parameters—the fundamental picture is robust. Over the last nine years, the asset has delivered a +54.63% cumulative return with no consecutive negative years at the end of the window, proving the strategy works in inflationary environments. The dividend yield of 2.33% is steady but modest, serving as a floor rather than a primary driver. The only caution is that the statistical model offers no directional edge for the immediate future, creating a tension between the strong technicals/fundamentals and the flat short-term forecast. However, given the clear trend and options flow, the odds favor the momentum continuing.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.054976
MSTL0.057194
AutoTheta0.065561
AutoARIMA0.072027

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 1.02
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.569
Excess Kurtosis -0.71
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 18.09

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, with open interest heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money calls (86% of total volume) expiring in December 2026. The strike distribution shows significant positioning at $57.00, well above current prices, while put activity is minimal and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of hedging demand and a strong speculative bias toward upside continuation.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.69% 2.59% 3.06% 3.56%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-18 0.349 0.688635
2026-03-20 0.198 0.381576
2025-12-19 0.320 0.706246
2025-09-19 0.350 0.812065
2025-06-20 0.353 0.876148
2025-03-21 0.267 0.687082
2024-12-20 0.320 0.884222
2024-09-20 0.319 0.797301
2024-06-21 0.433 1.083855
2024-03-15 0.159 0.398796
2023-12-15 0.459 1.144353
2023-09-15 0.297 0.712914
2023-06-16 0.533 1.300317
2023-03-17 0.165 0.413223
2022-12-16 0.244 0.572636
2022-09-16 0.583 1.459690
2022-06-17 0.613 1.515077
2022-03-18 0.351 0.775177
2021-12-17 0.404 1.062599
2021-09-17 0.544 1.514055
2021-06-18 0.239 0.642300
2021-03-19 0.238 0.653128
2020-12-18 0.189 0.576571
2020-09-18 0.274 0.939321
2020-06-19 0.189 0.685279
2020-03-20 0.255 1.324675
2019-12-20 0.213 0.645846
2019-09-20 0.292 0.918817
2019-06-21 0.297 0.903834
2019-03-15 0.289 0.887592
2018-12-21 0.222 0.775952
2018-09-24 0.293 0.867634
2018-06-18 0.279 0.820106
2018-03-19 0.165 0.509889
2017-12-21 0.120 0.366524
2017-09-18 0.220 0.706714
2017-06-19 0.204 0.713037
2017-03-20 0.123 0.415260
2016-12-22 0.093 0.327580
2016-09-19 0.126 0.480183
2016-06-20 0.156 0.598848
2016-03-21 0.121 0.486530
2015-12-23 1.001 4.373089
2014-12-29 0.857 2.763625
2013-12-27 0.695 2.029790
2012-12-27 0.368 1.043676
2011-12-28 0.088 0.271270
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 2.33

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 57.09
All Time Low 18.69
Ask 58.0
Ask Size 100
Average Daily Volume10 Day 317,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 554,467
Average Volume 554,467
Average Volume10Days 317,180
Beta3 Year 0.41
Bid 53.46
Bid Size 500
Category Natural Resources
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 56.65
Day Low 55.83
Dividend Yield 2.33
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 3.0990512
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 52.111
Fifty Day Average Change 3.9490013
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.07578057
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 31.129217
Fifty Two Week High 57.09
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.0299988
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.018041667
Fifty Two Week Low 42.37
Fifty Two Week Low Change 13.690002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.32310605
Fifty Two Week Range 42.37 - 57.09
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,316,698,200,000
Five Year Average Return 0.1240555
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fullday Change -0.259998
Fullday Change Percent -0.461645
Fullday Price 56.06
Fund Family Northern Trust
Fund Inception Date 1,316,131,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The index is designed to the performance of a selection of equity securities that are traded in or are issued by companies classified as developed or emerging markets, as determined by the index provider pursuant to its index methodology. The fund will invest at least 80% of its total assets (exclusive of collateral held from securities lending) in the securities of the index and in ADRs and GDRs based on the securities in the index.
Long Name Northern Trust Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_140765641
Nav Price 56.4299
Net Assets 7,238,684,700.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.46
Open 56.54
Phone 1-855-353-9383
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 56.06
Post Market Time 1,787,961,581
Previous Close 56.32
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.259998
Regular Market Change Percent -0.461645
Regular Market Day High 56.65
Regular Market Day Low 55.83
Regular Market Day Range 55.83 - 56.65
Regular Market Open 56.54
Regular Market Previous Close 56.32
Regular Market Price 56.06
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 298,675
Short Name Northern Trust Morningstar Glob
Source Interval 15
Symbol GUNR
Three Year Average Return 0.1546942
Total Assets 7,238,684,672
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 18.089407
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -4.14378
Trailing Three Month Returns -4.14378
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 51.46615
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.593853
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.0892597
Type Disp ETF
Volume 298,675
Yield 0.0233
Ytd Return 14.99668