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Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES)

Industrials | Specialty Industrial Machinery | Denver, United States | NYSE
25.87 USD -0.51 (-1.933%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 25.87

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:46 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is driven by a powerful convergence of a turnaround story and aggressive institutional positioning. Fundamentally, the company has executed a remarkable recovery, posting a +43.9% gain last year and a +49.3% gain the year prior, erasing previous declines to end the seven-year window with a +40% cumulative rise. The balance sheet remains robust with a 3.2x current ratio and healthy free cash flow, while the forward P/E of 13.4 suggests the market is pricing in continued acceleration rather than stagnation. Technically, the stock is testing a critical inflection point. After trading below its 50-day average, recent price action shows a stabilization around $28, which aligns perfectly with the heavy options open interest at the $30 strike. This cluster acts as a magnet and a potential springboard for a breakout. The options flow confirms this thesis, with traders loading up on calls well above the current price, betting on a continuation of the multi-year uptrend. The lack of dividends is a notable omission for income-focused investors, offering no cushion against volatility. However, for growth-oriented capital, the risk/reward profile appears compelling. The stock has shed its 'value trap' label through consistent execution, and the current price sits at a discount to the analyst mean target of $33.45. While the statistical forecasting model offers only a weak lean upward due to recent noise, the fundamental trend and options sentiment provide a much stronger directional bias. This looks like a high-conviction setup for a momentum-driven rally, provided the company can maintain its operational efficiency during the corporate restructuring phase.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.040643
MSTL0.042295
AutoETS0.046834
AutoARIMA0.046834

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 1.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.438
Excess Kurtosis -0.27
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 60.695
Revenue per Share 13.729
Market Cap 6,549,021,184
Trailing P/E 18.75
Forward P/E 13.41
Beta 1.28
Profit Margins 10.37%
Previous Name Gates Industrial Corporation plc
Website https://www.gates.com/us/en.html

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:46 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for upside, with open interest concentrated significantly out-of-the-money at strikes like $30, $32, and $35 across near-term expirations. Call volume and open interest vastly outweigh put activity, suggesting a bullish bet on a breakout above the $28 resistance zone. However, the presence of deep in-the-money put open interest at the $15 strike for the 2028 expiration hints at a long-term 'insurance' strategy or a belief in significant downside protection needs, creating a distinct divergence between short-term optimism and long-term hedging.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.05267358
Address1 1,144 Fifteenth Street
Address2 Suite 1400
All Time High 30.34
All Time Low 5.42
Ask 33.0
Ask Size 700
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,484,360
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,932,746
Average Volume 1,932,746
Average Volume10Days 1,484,360
Beta 1.278
Bid 26.02
Bid Size 700
Board Risk 2
Book Value 13.912
City Denver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 25.87
Current Ratio 3.244
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 26.62
Day Low 25.73
Debt To Equity 60.695
Display Name Gates Industrial
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,506,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,506,400
Earnings Growth 2.058
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.025
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,501,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,190,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,190,600
Ebitda 739,800,000
Ebitda Margins 0.21109
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.433
Enterprise To Revenue 2.414
Enterprise Value 8,458,420,736
Eps Current Year 1.67339
Eps Forward 1.92976
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.38
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 27.1944
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3244
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0487012
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 5.267358
Fifty Two Week High 30.34
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.4699993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14733024
Fifty Two Week Low 20.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.9900017
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.23898476
Fifty Two Week Range 20.88 - 30.34
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,516,890,600,000
Float Shares 247,589,439
Forward Eps 1.92976
Forward P E 13.405812
Free Cashflow 417,662,496
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 13,000
Fullday Change -0.509998
Fullday Change Percent -1.93328
Fullday Price 25.87
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.40532002
Gross Profits 1,420,499,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.01983
Held Percent Institutions 1.03152
Implied Shares Outstanding 253,151,170
Industry Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Disp Specialty Industrial Machinery
Industry Key specialty-industrial-machinery
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. manufactures and sells engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions in the United States, rest of North America, South America, the United Kingdom, Luxembourg, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, East Asia, and Greater China. It operates through two segments, Power Transmission and Fluid Power. The company offers solutions for stationary and mobile drives, engine systems, and personal mobility application platforms; elastomer drive belts; asynchronous and synchronous belts, including V-belts, transmission belts, and micro-V belts; metal drive components, such as tensioners, idlers, pulleys, sprockets, mechanical water pumps, and other accessories used in belt drive systems; and kits for the automotive replacement channel. It also provides fluid power solutions for stationary and mobile hydraulics, vehicle systems, and other industrial application platforms; hydraulics comprising hoses, tubing, couplings, and fittings, as well as assemblies; thermal and emissions management and related products; and industrial hoses, including data center pumps. The company's products are used in applications across various markets, including diversified industrial applications comprising automated manufacturing, logistics systems, and data centers; consumer applications consisting of printers, power washers, automatic doors, and vacuum cleaners; industrial off-highway, such as construction and agriculture; industrial on-highway commercial vehicles, including heavy-duty trucks and buses; energy and resources markets, such as oil, gas, and mining; and personal mobility, including scooters, motorcycles, bicycles, all-terrain vehicles, and snowmobiles. It sells its products under the Gates brand. The company offers its products to aftermarket channel customers and original equipment manufacturers. Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Long Name Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,549,021,184
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_308678
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,518,400
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common 364,100,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,678,127,864
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 26.54
Operating Cashflow 476,600,000
Operating Margins 0.15346
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 303 744 1911
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 25.87
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Prev Name Gates Industrial Corporation plc
Previous Close 26.38
Price Eps Current Year 15.459636
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8595458
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.8686929
Profit Margins 0.103719994
Quick Ratio 2.116
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.72727
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.509998
Regular Market Change Percent -1.93328
Regular Market Day High 26.62
Regular Market Day Low 25.73
Regular Market Day Range 25.73 - 26.62
Regular Market Open 26.54
Regular Market Previous Close 26.38
Regular Market Price 25.87
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 1,801,166
Return On Assets 0.04438
Return On Equity 0.10384
Revenue Growth 0.066
Revenue Per Share 13.729
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 253,151,170
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0398
Shares Short 10,079,471
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 12,709,391
Short Name Gates Industrial Corporation Lt
Short Percent Of Float 0.046
Short Ratio 5.08
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol GTES
Target High Price 39.0
Target Low Price 30.0
Target Mean Price 33.45455
Target Median Price 34.0
Total Cash 826,499,968
Total Cash Per Share 3.265
Total Debt 2,363,599,872
Total Revenue 3,504,600,064
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.38
Trailing P E 18.746378
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.86985
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.0001507
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.040215388
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,801,166
Website https://www.gates.com/us/en.html
Zip 80,202