Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Calgary, Canada | NYSE American
6.68 USD
+0.43
(6.880%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:25 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Gran Tierra Energy is currently broken by a perfect storm of deteriorating fundamentals and overwhelming bearish sentiment. The company is trapped in a multi-year value trap, having lost over 84% of its value since 2016, with the most recent annual performance showing a sharp 54% decline. Fundamentally, the business is hemorrhaging value with negative operating margins of nearly 54%, a return on equity of -116%, and a precarious balance sheet where debt is nearly six times the book value of equity. While the company generates some free cash flow, it is insufficient to service the debt load or reverse the capital destruction evident in the stock price. Short-term momentum is nonexistent; the stock is trading well below its 50-day average and is in a clear downtrend. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on cheap put protection while ignoring call opportunities. There is no catalyst to suggest a reversal soon. The lack of dividends offers no floor for investors. Given the structural decline in earnings and the heavy debt burden, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle with no clear path to recovery in the near term. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_115 ✓ | 0.104255 |
| AutoTheta | 0.116516 |
| AutoETS | 0.116548 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.116548 |
| MSTL_90_115 | 0.121754 |
| MSTL | 0.122298 |
| MSTL_90 | 0.143711 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_115
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 1.64 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.016 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.20 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 570.58 |
| Revenue per Share | 17.006 |
| Market Cap | 236,204,048 |
| Forward P/E | -15.27 |
| Beta | 0.13 |
| Profit Margins | -48.79% |
| Website | https://www.grantierra.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (274 contracts vs only 274 volume, indicating heavy accumulation relative to recent activity, though the volume spike suggests active selling pressure). Conversely, call activity is extremely thin, with significant open interest concentrated far out-of-the-money (strikes 12.5 and 15.0) rather than near the money. This asymmetry indicates a market consensus expecting further weakness or a 'sell and forget' scenario rather than a speculative rally.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.32978725 |
| Address1 | 500 Centre Street S.E. |
| All Time High | 96.4 |
| All Time Low | 1.8 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 300 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.2 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 261,780 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 345,404 |
| Average Volume | 345,404 |
| Average Volume10Days | 261,780 |
| Beta | 0.132 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 300 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 3.081 |
| City | Calgary |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 4 |
| Country | Canada |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 6.68 |
| Current Ratio | 0.531 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 6.77 |
| Day Low | 6.375 |
| Debt To Equity | 570.58 |
| Display Name | Gran Tierra Energy |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,252,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,252,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,184,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Ebitda | 179,646,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.29911 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 4.08 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.22 |
| Enterprise Value | 732,928,064 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.067 |
| Eps Forward | -0.4375 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -8.86 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | ASE |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 403 265 3242 |
| Fifty Day Average | 7.8678 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1878004 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.15096982 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 32.978725 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 9.74 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -3.06 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.3141684 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 3.09 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 3.59 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.1618123 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 3.09 - 9.74 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,135,175,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 27,745,138 |
| Forward Eps | -0.4375 |
| Forward P E | -15.268571 |
| Free Cashflow | 100,152,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE American |
| Full Time Employees | 406 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.5578 |
| Gross Profits | 335,014,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.03972 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.64485 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 35,359,890 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,683,244,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 1:10 |
| Long Business Summary | Gran Tierra Energy Inc., together with its subsidiaries, is involved in the exploration and production of oil and gas properties in Colombia, Canada, and Ecuador. The company has a strategic partnership with Ecopetrol S.A. for the development of fields in the Middle Magdalena Valley. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. |
| Long Name | Gran Tierra Energy Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 236,204,048 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_24738407 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -293,011,008 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 236,204,065 |
| Open | 6.36 |
| Operating Cashflow | 412,752,992 |
| Operating Margins | -0.54368997 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.12 |
| Phone | 403 265 3221 |
| Previous Close | 6.25 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 99.701485 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.168127 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.39328212 |
| Profit Margins | -0.48786998 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.418 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.16667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.43 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 6.88 |
| Regular Market Day High | 6.77 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 6.375 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 6.375 - 6.77 |
| Regular Market Open | 6.36 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 6.25 |
| Regular Market Price | 6.68 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 557,628 |
| Return On Assets | -0.08818 |
| Return On Equity | -1.16568 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.023 |
| Revenue Per Share | 17.006 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 35,359,890 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.047 |
| Shares Short | 1,662,884 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,907,291 |
| Short Name | Gran Tierra Energy Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.07 |
| Short Ratio | 5.44 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AB |
| Symbol | GTE |
| Total Cash | 124,752,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.528 |
| Total Debt | 621,475,968 |
| Total Revenue | 600,596,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -8.86 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 6.1655 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 0.51449966 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.083448164 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 557,628 |
| Website | https://www.grantierra.com |
| Zip | T2G 1A6 |