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Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD)

Financial Services | Insurance Brokers | Westlake, United States | NasdaqGS
54.87 USD +1.33 (2.484%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Goosehead Insurance is driven by a powerful convergence of aggressive earnings recovery and a massive technical rebound. Fundamentally, the company has turned the corner with a 62% revenue surge last year and an 89% jump in earnings, supported by a forward P/E of roughly 19x that offers a stark discount to its historical multiples. This turnaround is reflected in the price action, which has erased a 55% drawdown to trade near its 52-week highs, supported by a robust 285% gain over the past seven years. The short-term outlook is bullish due to strong momentum; the stock has rallied nearly 30% in the last two weeks, breaking above key moving averages, and options flow confirms this with speculative buying targeting higher levels. While the statistical forecasting model shows low confidence and a neutral lean, this is likely noise given the clarity of the fundamental reversal and the strength of the trend. The primary risk is the lack of a dividend, which makes the stock purely a growth play dependent on continued execution, but the balance sheet and cash flow generation support a high-conviction entry for those seeking exposure to the insurance broker recovery story.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.166580
AutoTheta0.189771
MSTL0.201758
AutoETS0.202515

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 36%
H-stat 0.92
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.005
Excess Kurtosis 0.82
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2025-01-20
Last Dividend Date 2025-01-20
Revenue per Share 15.384
Market Cap 1,953,704,192
Trailing P/E 46.90
Forward P/E 19.93
Beta 1.40
Profit Margins 7.95%
Previous Name Goosehead Insurance, Inc
Website https://www.goosehead.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by heavy call volume at strikes 80 and 40 for September expiration, while put activity remains sparse and concentrated at deep out-of-the-money strikes. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term calls, suggesting anticipation of a rally.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-01-21 5.910 5.558691
2021-08-06 1.630 1.304522
2020-08-07 1.149 1.087347
2019-03-15 0.410 1.516272
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2025-01-21
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 5.91
lastDividendDate 2025-01-21
dividendDate 2025-01-31

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.44569832
Address1 Building 4
Address2 Suite 4500 1500 Solana Boulevard
All Time High 181.3
All Time Low 10.78
Ask 68.63
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 706,940
Average Daily Volume3 Month 528,411
Average Volume 528,411
Average Volume10Days 706,940
Beta 1.396
Bid 39.4
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value -5.123
City Westlake
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 54.87
Current Ratio 1.317
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 55.5
Day Low 52.83
Display Name Goosehead Insurance
Dividend Date 1,738,281,600
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,776,889,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,776,889,800
Earnings Growth 1.119
Earnings Quarterly Growth 1.088
Earnings Timestamp 1,776,888,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,784,750,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,784,750,400
Ebitda 98,684,000
Ebitda Margins 0.2582
Enterprise To Ebitda 15.869
Enterprise To Revenue 4.097
Enterprise Value 1,565,977,344
Eps Current Year 2.16936
Eps Forward 2.7528
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.17
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,737,417,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.7855
Fifty Day Average Change 13.084499
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.31313494
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -44.56983
Fifty Two Week High 104.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -49.13
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.47240385
Fifty Two Week Low 33.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 21.189999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6291567
Fifty Two Week Range 33.68 - 104.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,524,835,800,000
Float Shares 21,611,080
Forward Eps 2.7528
Forward P E 19.932432
Free Cashflow 56,858,500
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.48049
Gross Profits 183,642,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.03788
Held Percent Institutions 1.14662
Implied Shares Outstanding 35,606,054
Industry Insurance Brokers
Industry Disp Insurance Brokers
Industry Key insurance-brokers
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,737,417,600
Last Dividend Value 5.91
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Goosehead Insurance, Inc. operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle, and other insurance policies. It distributes its products and services through corporate and franchise locations. Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.
Long Name Goosehead Insurance, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,953,704,192
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_557929974
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 30,378,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,267,327,404
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 53.54
Operating Cashflow 99,141,000
Operating Margins 0.16004999
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 214 838 5500
Prev Name Goosehead Insurance, Inc
Previous Close 53.54
Price Eps Current Year 25.293175
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -10.710521
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 5.111746
Profit Margins 0.07948
Quick Ratio 1.006
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.38462
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.33
Regular Market Change Percent 2.48412
Regular Market Day High 55.5
Regular Market Day Low 52.83
Regular Market Day Range 52.83 - 55.5
Regular Market Open 53.54
Regular Market Previous Close 53.54
Regular Market Price 54.87
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 439,984
Return On Assets 0.13492
Revenue Growth 0.233
Revenue Per Share 15.384
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 23,670,665
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0757
Shares Short 1,791,253
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,834,975
Short Name Goosehead Insurance, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1042
Short Ratio 3.02
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol GSHD
Target High Price 100.0
Target Low Price 44.0
Target Mean Price 66.16667
Target Median Price 64.0
Total Cash 25,652,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.084
Total Debt 375,732,992
Total Revenue 382,199,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.17
Trailing P E 46.897438
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 56.78
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.9099998
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.033638604
Type Disp Equity
Volume 439,984
Website https://www.goosehead.com
Zip 76,262